why losing $500 on a A+ setup doesn't matter

14 Apr 2026 · 2 min

Watch on YouTube

1:30

In this video Roman Ceccardi examines two nearly identical trades he executed on the same day: a EUR trade taken during the New York morning session that yielded a $2,000 profit, and an oil trade taken during the London session that resulted in a $500 loss. Both trades were based on a newly formed order block and a continuation price move, with entry timing around session-specific high‑probability zones. Ceccardi explains that even with a high‑probability setup, individual outcomes can vary—wins are not guaranteed and losses can occur despite perfect execution. He emphasizes that trading success should be measured over the long term, relying on statistical edge demonstrated by his data. As long as he continues to take such continuation trades when the setup appears, the aggregate profit will exceed losses, even through streaks of 5‑10 losing trades. The core message is to trust the data, maintain discipline, and avoid over‑reacting to single‑trade results.

Chapters

So I'm about to break down 2 exactly similar trades that I took yesterday. One of them ended up making about $2,000 and the other one ended up, you know, losing me $500. So what gives if they're the exact same setup? Well, let's get into it. So this is the first one on euro right here that I took yesterday around the New York morning. Took advantage of this newly formed order block and then took advantage of price to just kind of give a continuation. Now prior to that, price has already been pumping. So I was literally just taking advantage of, again, around 9:00 AM New York, just taking advantage of continuation. Let's move on to this other trade here on oil. Very similar, except I took this on London. As you can see on the chart, this is pretty much the same thing where I had an order block. I took advantage of the order block. I ended up getting stopped out. Price did not even hit the TP, but overall this was a very similar setup. So the point I'm trying to make here is that just because you have a high probability setup, you're not going to win all the time, right? In trading, you can do everything right and still be wrong sometimes. And sometimes you can do everything wrong and you can still make money. The point is not the immediate short term. It's— the point is not to focus on the results of, you know, individual trades, right? It's all about the long term. I understand from my data that as long as I'm taking continuation trades like this at around good timing zones, in this case, this was during the London session, then I'm gonna make more money than I lose. And so I trust in the data and every time that setup comes around, I take it regardless of if I go through a 5 or 10 losing streak taking that exact setup. It's not like I'm just gonna doubt it, right? Right? Because it's something that works and the data has shown it.