In this solo trade breakdown video, the creator walks through a recent AMD long trade that was entered after a break above a key level during the New York "kill zone" (7‑10 AM ET). He explains his entry criteria—waiting for a change in delivery state and a bullish order block break—along with his risk management choice to risk only half of his usual position size because the day was a non‑news day. The speaker emphasizes a systems‑theory view of trading: the trader controls only the input (price‑action signals) and the process (the trading system), while the outcome (win or loss) is dictated by the market. He argues that as long as the inputs are high‑quality and the process is followed with discipline, the long‑term profitability is assured, making individual wins or losses irrelevant. Throughout, he stresses patience, adherence to bias, and a calm mindset, encouraging viewers to adopt a process‑oriented approach rather than reacting emotionally to losses.
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What's up guys, just recording this little breakdown of this trade that I posted on Twitter. So that was my entry right there, and that was me like 10 minutes later. And the reason why I'm filming this video is because I really want to talk you guys through how I deal with losses. Um, more specifically, like in this case, I just feel like there's a valuable lesson to be shared. Obviously this is more of a raw video, but Yeah, let's get into it. So let me just break down the call from today. Essentially, I was waiting for a change in state of delivery, basically a break above this level right here. Reason why I was waiting for a level break above there is that that would be the definitive kind of change in order flow kind of moment in the sense that, all right, like at this entire point here, as you're going up, you could still make the argument that going to get rejected off of this bearish order block right here, and price is going to go lower because so far throughout the entire day you have been forming bearish order flow, right? And so my entry criteria and my conditions were very clear, right? I do not want to be entering into a long until this level gets taken out. Now obviously it goes without saying that my higher timeframe as well as my daily chart, they are both bullish. Even my weekly chart was bullish. So I was already looking for longs regardless. Let me just clean this Actually, let's not clean it up. You know, better to show how it really looks like on a day-to-day basis before I clean it up on, you know, my daily videos. Anyways, once this happened at exactly the timing that I was looking for, so this happened exactly at 8:45 AM. Now, when I say the timing that I'm looking for, what I'm really talking about is just the timing window between 7 AM to 10 AM New York. This is known as the New York kill zone, as you can see on top of here. That is the ideal trading hours, at least for me. In my experience, this is where most of the major moves and most of the high probability moves happened within the markets. Now, I've already called this AMD before, and you can see that AMD indeed did happen. So here's what's going through my mind right now. Even though I lost the trade, I'm not salty about it whatsoever. As you can see right here, I played it with half risk, and the reason why I played it with half risk was because today was a non-newsday and Just to show you what I mean, we head on to Forex Factory. I don't see Forex Factory here. So today you have New Zealand dollar news and your JPY news, and that isn't even going to be happening like today technically because, well, it's 9 PM, right? 9 PM New York means 9 AM in Asia, and in the case of New Zealand, that is actually 12 PM their time, right? Because of the time difference. So today is a non-news day, and when the day has no news, it tends to be lower probability, meaning you could see the exact same You know, these price action concepts that we've used time and time and time again, like I've called 150 public trades since February, right? I make a daily video every single day calling a trade and time and time again, right? With a CSD happening at exactly the hours between 7:00 AM to 10:00 AM, based on all of these criteria, it's supposed to be a good trade. And that's also the reason why I took it, right? Besides the fact that it was a non-news day, like most of the other conditions were met. I was patient to not make any moves during this entire period here. Once this happened, I made my move and I got stopped out. So is that a problem? No, it's not, because I'm taking this trade like win or lose, it doesn't really matter. What I really want you to understand about trading is that this is a process-oriented game, meaning if you imagine like If I now start drawing kind of like 3 boxes, right? This is box number 1, this is box number 2, and this is box number 3. This first box is your input, meaning price action, right? Based on the price action, you're going to take it through some kind of process. And then once you go through that process, which is your system, your trading strategy, basically kind of like step 1, 2, 3, basically what I did here, waiting for CSD, once CSD happened, retracing to order block, and then I take the trade, go long. So that's the process. Then you end up with your desired— well, sorry, you end up with a result. This is the premise of systems theory. Now, I am missing out on the environment as well as feedback right now, but this is the simplified version of systems theory. Now, there's one thing you will realize about systems theory is that you only have control over the input and the process. Whether or not the outcome comes out as a win or a lose, It's completely up to the market, right? This is a game of probability. There's if there's one thing certain about the financial markets is that nothing is ever certain. So based on this, as long as I focus on putting in the right inputs and going through the correct process, meaning as long as I'm reading the price action based on my system and executing it based executing my system exactly right with discipline. While following all of my rules, then that's already my job done as a trader. Win or lose doesn't matter as long as my input quality is high, meaning as long as I'm doing the right things, I am more likely than not going to make more money over the long run than I am going to lose, which means that over the long run, I'm going to be a profitable trader. And that's the kind of lesson that I hope to instill with you with this trade right here. Now, I may have lost money. But that doesn't matter. Like, I'm not salty about it whatsoever because when I reflect on this trade, all of my input— sorry, all of my entry criteria were met. The price action was, you know, aligning with the scenarios that I painted earlier today. And so when the trade showed itself exactly at the timing, I just take it. Win or lose doesn't matter. And that's the mindset you want to get into as a trader, where you are patient, Until everything is met, and then you act without hesitation. For me, the moment I pulled it up, the moment I saw price coming back into this order block, I pulled the trigger, placed my stop, I placed my target, and win or lose, boom, it's all up to the market. And there's no need to get salty, there's no need to revenge trade, because truthfully, I've already mentioned it beforehand, but in terms of the higher timeframe and in terms of the trade that we're looking for today, terms of, well, just today, we're looking for longs. And so far, I don't know if you can tell, but this chart is looking bearish as heck. There is no indication that there is any sort of a bullish setup. And it's also okay to just let price do this, by the way. You don't need to change, you don't need to flip your bias, you don't need to, you don't need to do anything. As long as your setup is not there, as long as the criteria For your setup is not there. You don't need to do anything, and that's the lesson that I'm hoping to impart to you today. Obviously, I'm recording this right as this is happening, so yep. Strike when the iron is hot. But let me know if you appreciate these types of breakdowns and if you like these types of reflections. But otherwise, I'm going to enjoy the rest of my night with this Nympha. Wow! I've been aging this for like a solid two years, and man, it's going so good. But anyways, have a good night. Ciao ciao.
