The Surprising Truth About Making Decisions Nobody Tells You

14 Jan 2021 · 34 min
34:08

Annie Duke, a former poker champion and cognitive psychologist, explains why we mistake lucky outcomes for good decisions. She describes three biases that trap us: resulting (judging decisions by their endings), confirmation bias, and availability bias. Duke's concrete fix: start with base rates, get outside opinions before sharing your own, and separate facts from opinions.

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