Shafiq Hirani CCIMReal Estate Advisor, REMAX Distinctive · Real Estate Advisor at RE/MAX Distinctive Commercial | Washington, DC | Your Guide To Profitable Real Estate Ventures

Rent Growth Forecast: Under 2% National Average! #shorts

20 Aug 2026 · 1 min

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In this brief market update, the speaker cites RealPage’s forecast that effective rent growth across the United States will average about 1.9% over the next four quarters—well below the 2% threshold. Only three metros—San Francisco, Milwaukee, and Miami—are expected to achieve roughly 3% growth. More than half of the top 50 markets are projected to see growth between 2% and 2.9%. Cities such as New York, Seattle, Washington, D.C., and Phoenix are forecasted to grow around 1%, while Austin, Tampa, Denver, and Fort Worth are expected to post sub‑1% growth. Houston and San Antonio may even experience slight rent declines.

Chapters

Here, expectations need to be honest. RealPage forecasts national effective rent growth of about 1.9% over the next 4 quarters. Not 4%, not 3%, under 2%. Only 3 markets are projected to reach the 3% range: San Francisco, Milwaukee, and Miami. More than half of the top 50 land between 2% and 2.9%. New York, Seattle, Washington, D.C., and Phoenix sit in the 1% range. Austin, Tampa, Denver, and Fort Worth come in below 1%. Houston and San Antonio may see slight declines.