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In this concise commentary, Shafiq Hirani CCIM outlines a deepening affordability crisis in the U.S. housing market. He notes that 77% of households cannot afford the median price of a new single‑family home, with home values jumping over 45% from 2020 to 2025—equivalent to 11 years of typical appreciation compressed into five. Mortgage rates have risen to around 6.5%, dramatically increasing monthly payments for new buyers compared with those who locked in sub‑3% rates during the pandemic. A structural “lock‑in” dynamic is highlighted: more than half of existing mortgages are below 4%, discouraging owners from selling and thus suppressing inventory, which sustains high prices and forces prospective buyers into prolonged renting. Consequently, nearly half of U.S. renters are cost‑burdened, spending over 30% of income on housing, and many rent not by choice but because homeownership is financially out of reach. While three‑quarters of Americans still view homeownership as part of the American Dream, an increasing number find that dream unattainable at current price levels.

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