a bias is not a trade

3 Sept 2026 · 1 min

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In this short lesson, The Art Of Crypto explains that a bearish daily (and weekly) bias merely indicates a general short‑side outlook, but it does not constitute a trade on its own. The speaker emphasizes the need to drop to lower timeframes to seek concrete market evidence that aligns with the higher‑timeframe bias before entering a position. The process is presented as a two‑step workflow: (1) establish a bias based on daily/weekly analysis, and (2) confirm that the market on lower timeframes is showing signs that support the same directional expectation. Without this confirmation, the bias remains an opinion, not a tradable signal.

Chapters

So right now, because we're looking at a bearish daily bias, we know that we're overall going to be positioned towards the short side for today. So now we're going to go into the lower timeframes, and this is the keyword right here. I'm going to start looking for evidence that the market agrees with whatever my idea is. So right now, based on my daily bias and my weekly bias, I'm thinking short. So now I need to come down to the lower timeframe to see, does the market agree? Because at the end of the day, having a trade idea or having an opinion about what the market is going to do does not automatically mean that there is going to be a trade idea. Having that trade idea is just step 1, you need step 2, which is, hey, the market needs to be showing signs that it is also thinking the same way as you.