How To Accurately Predict Where Price Will Head To Next

28 Sept 2023 · 10 min
10:05

In this instructional video, The Art of Crypto explains how to use key price levels to determine higher‑timeframe market bias. The presenter first distinguishes two categories of key levels: (1) significant key levels, which are used to predict the market’s direction over weeks or months, and (2) execution‑based key levels, which are only relevant for trade entry on lower timeframes. He outlines strict rules for identifying significant levels – they must be prior highs or lows, equal highs/lows, or Spaceman BTC levels – and stresses that only 4‑6 such levels should be plotted to avoid chart clutter. The method for selecting these levels involves three steps: (a) the most recent breakout (price taken out), (b) the closest relevant high or low, and (c) a further macro‑target low or high. The video also clarifies the difference between external and internal structure, emphasizing that significant levels belong to the external structure of the price swing. Concepts such as inducement (market makers creating equal highs/lows to lure traders) and liquidity sweeps are introduced to explain why certain levels are more likely to be respected. The presenter demonstrates the approach on a 4‑hour chart of the Australian dollar, marking recent breakouts, close‑relevant highs/lows, and long‑term targets, and then states the resulting higher‑timeframe bias (a bullish expectation to take out lower levels). Finally, he notes that execution‑based levels (e.g., a bearish order block on a lower timeframe) are useful for trade entry but irrelevant for bias determination.

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