My BEST Plays for September (Easiest Money You can Make)

Good morning everyone, welcome to the first kind of weekly outlook. Now this serves as a way for me to share my high-level thoughts on the markets as well as share any plays that you can focus on throughout the week. I'll give you my exact plays as well, of course. Now this will be hopefully first of many. The only thing I ask that you do not expect is that this is very, very planned. Just going to really hop from one chart to the next and share thoughts as we go. So without any further ado, let's dive into Bitcoin first before we even start off on a higher time frame. It's first important to understand that where we are currently in terms of timing. So for the past 3 months, we've had, well, summer and everyone took time off. You know, crypto markets really took a shit. In general, it was very low liquidity, low action, very boring markets. Right now is the start of the 2nd week of September. This is very important because there is a saying amongst the Europeans and the Americans. Now correct me if I'm wrong, but this is something that's very much not present in Asia. According to many Europeans and Americans, The new year actually starts, you know, on September. After you come back from summer refreshed, you know, you're feeling good, and the market makers are all back in the game now. Today is the official start of a new game, essentially. Expect volume to come back. Congratulations if you've survived the past 6 months of basically retracement, but the game starts now. And if you're still in the game, great. If you have capital lying around, even better, because I think this is going to be the start of a huge run-up that, you know, is going to be a lot like 2021. Taking a look at the monthly just as a high-level overview, I don't expect expect the year to close out, you know, within the zone here. What do I mean by that? So this was the official, you know, yearly open, and this is the true yearly open. Sorry, this right here is the true yearly open, as you can see on that orange line there. So there is a difference between the, you know, official, you know, on-paper yearly open. We are currently nowhere close to hitting, you know, $40K. I highly doubt that we're going to hit $40K. Like, it— this will only happen if you're bearish on the year. Right? And right now, nobody and their mother and their grandmother is bearish on the year or the rest of Q4. In fact, if anything, Q4 is projected to be very bullish. And if that is the case, then this is where it gets really interesting. Because according to quarterly theory by day, like if you are bullish on something, you want to buy below the true open, not the official on-paper open, but the true open. You see this across, you know, every timeframe. For example, you can see this play out Even, you know, on a shorter time frame. True open for the day actually starts in London because that is the second quarter of today. The first quarter being Asia, second quarter London, third quarter New York morning, fourth quarter New York afternoon. You can see that, you know, as the day opens, right, all the price action before is just, you know, really choppy. But then if you're bullish for the day, you buy anywhere below the true open. Of course, you add some confluences to this such as liquidity, fair value gaps, premium discount, whatever. But once you have that Look, you know, price even comes back to find support on the true daily open. And you can even apply this to sessions, meaning the true London open, right? If you're bullish on London, for example, right here is your true London open. Buy below the true London open and boom, this is how you refine your entry even more. But going back to the higher timeframe, right now we are, or rather we have spent the entirety of the year after the true yearly open below the open essentially. And this is a really good sign if you are bullish because it states that any price around this area is going to be great price to buy heading into the expansion after the true yearly open. And so the way the year is probably going to close out, in fact, probably even do this. This is the yearly candle. Very unlikely that you return back to the open. Very likely that you expand either back to, you know, to try to create a new high or even just any expansion whatsoever. 20-30% is still going to be great. Don't get me wrong, very unlikely to happen that throughout the entirety of Q4 you're just gonna pump 20%, but you get the idea. So this is currently what we're looking at in terms of the higher timeframe. So taking a look at what we should expect from Bitcoin on the lower timeframes, well, given the fact that you have swept this level, which I've been calling for, not on Discord, but you know, on mainly on Inner Circle calls as well as YouTube videos and Twitter. But otherwise, like this level has been hit already. The only other realistic level that you can hit is back at $50K. Again, not super likely to happen just because, you know, you did see excess. It's like an order flow, you know, sort of term. You had a really strong reaction after sweeping the liquidity here, so that's a really good sign that it's— the market is unlikely to return back to these levels because you're gonna have a lot of trapped sellers here. Again, like, there's no reason to go down there and let them get out. In terms of Bitcoin, currently you're also at the range low, so all of this just adds up to I've been saying this for like a couple months now. This is not a time where you want to be selling. This is the time where you want to be buying on the macro. Yes, you're going to stomach 30 to 50% drops, likely to be 50% from this point onwards, but you're gonna have to stomach some drops in order to reap the, you know, 5, 10, 20x benefits. I think that's about to happen. That's all for Bitcoin. I think the interesting part is getting into the weekly outlook on altcoins. First one that I want to draw your attention to is AAVE. This has been a sleeper top performer since July. Even throughout the entire dip, it did not really dip that much, primarily because it's already down pretty much 99% from its all-time high. It definitely did drop about 97 or 98%. AAVE is already really down, and that's not to mention the fact that it's been down since, like, or rather, the entirety of DeFi started its bear market a lot earlier than, you know, the rest of crypto. As everything was still, you know, taking off, you can see that Pretty much since May, Aave has been, you know, dropping. May of 2021, by the way. And it has never quite recovered. And right now it has just started to break out. That's 861 days where it's been staying in a range between $40 and $100, or like $120, same same. You know how the saying goes, right? The longer the accumulation, the more explosive the movement afterwards becomes. Currently you have a lot of just free liquidity lying on top of Aave, and at a very relatively low resistance compared to many of the other charts out there. Right now, the first stop for AAVE is pretty much $260, which is a 2 to 3x from this point onwards. And after this, do expect some kind of, you know, short retracement. And then afterwards, you know, it's going to be a low resistance liquidity run from $300 basically to $450. All in all, you're looking at a potential, you know, 4, 5x, or maybe even more depending on how much mindshare this gathers. So far, There are a lot of, you know, smart crypto people that are already in this train and they're actively talking about it. So my hopes for Aave is high. I do think that Aave remains to be one of my top 5 highest conviction coins in the rest of 2024. In terms of entries, look for liquidity sweeps during trend and of course look for retracements. You guys should have already known this, so not gonna get too much into that. And when I say conviction, by the way, I'm talking about plays that are, you know, already proven. Some plays that are relatively high market cap and stuff that you can put a lot of money behind. Now you're not going to expect like a 25-50x just like you would with, you know, for example catching Popcat early or catching WIF early, but these are higher market cap, very likely to play out, and just generally strong tokens that you can put money behind. We will talk about, you know, higher risk plays later on, but Aave, very high conviction, very solid. Which also brings me on to Arguably my highest conviction play. I do see a world where Solana overtakes ETH, given how much the narrative is shifting in Solana's favor. And it has been shifting in its favor. It's been a slow little creep for like the last three to four years where people you know Solana is the ETH killer. And it is true because in basically every regard of the network and its performance, Solana is way better than Ethereum, right? That's the paper metrics. Then you have the amount of mindshare that you have from. New participants in crypto Twitter. And for example, the majority of the meme coins that have been outperforming the markets during this run have came from Solana. And I expect this to continue, right? They're not going anywhere. WIF is not going anywhere. Popcat's not going anywhere. And a bunch of the other shitcoins are not going anywhere. I think this is the year where we can see Solana make a real push to overtake Ethereum in, you know, the king of the layer 1, this kind of race. And in terms of Solana, like Just make sure you pick some up here. Between $130 and $120 was the level that I've been calling for on Discord. We have hit that. If you're not, you know, still picking this up right now, you're making a big mistake. This is essentially a classic AMD. It's your accumulation, it's very likely to be an accumulation, and right here it's going to be your distribution. But how far that distribution is going to go, I do expect Solana to have a pit stop at around $200. This is the true yearly open, so it's going to be some kind of strong resistance level. Go for a little bit of a retrace before continuing the move. Otherwise, even if Solana were to end the year at $200, it would still place it in a really good spot for it to, you know, pump by another, you know, couple hundred dollars in Q1 next year before pausing and going back for another retrace, this time a big one. But otherwise, Solana, like, the beautiful thing about Solana also is that it gives you so much flexibility to get into meme coins after, because you need Solana in the first place to get into a lot of the meme coins. And if you are trading meme coins, then having a spare couple hundred Solanas lying around is going to be highly beneficial to any sort of meme coin trading. Or if you just see some trend that pops up on Solana that you want to take advantage of, you can, right? You already have the Solana. It's as easy as swapping it. So that's Solana. Now we move on to Pocket, which is probably my third, you know, third to fourth highest conviction play. This thing is going to melt faces. Like, it's throughout this entire dip, even though it has dropped by about, you know, 70%, the recovery that it has shown so far is market leading. Like, there are very little tokens in the market outside of BNB that have been performing to the level of PopCat. So if you haven't picked this up already, it's a really good place to pick it up. Anywhere around the 50-cent level is going to be great to pick up. Otherwise, you can wait also for like a break above, you know, 60 cents. Essentially what you're looking for is break above 60 cents, retrace before like the continuation. That is something you can look for as well. Zero— like, that is arguably the higher conviction— sorry, the higher probability play. So that is also a smart move. But either way, do not sleep on This thing's going to melt faces. Like, targets, you're definitely gonna have a pit stop at the previous all-time high. It's the previous all-time high, like, it makes sense. And then after that, just literally you can take profit at 50-cent increments. Get in at 50 cents right now, looking at taking profit every 2x, and I think that's a good world to be. Now, I see Polkadot reaching about $2.50 after this, you know, Q4-Q1 run. I do think that is highly likely. Could it go higher? I don't know. I haven't seen a precedent for a cat coin going above, you know, $5 or $10 billion. But if PopCat were to hit, you know, $2.5, I believe it would put PopCat at around $2.5 billion. And yeah, it would put it around $2.5 billion. So I see PopCat like ending this run at close to $5 billion. So that is the ultimate long-term target for it. But, you know, just in the next quarter, you know, $2.5 or at least, you know, $1.5 to $2, highly, highly likely. So PopCat becomes the 3rd highest conviction play. And since we talked about BNB for a moment, it's time to get into BNB. Now, BNB is also one of those really high conviction plays because the CZ is getting released at the end of this month, all in time for the start of Q4, all in time for the elections. The plays just adds up, and BNB is one of those coins that are one of the closest so far to its previous all-time high. I'm talking like, I know it's still a 40% dump, but relatively speaking, this is one of the only large caps that is still maintaining strength just like Bitcoin is. And that is a really good sign to see that something has formed a very clear range. For example, you have a very clear range high deviation, go to the range low deviation, back to the high, and now you just got the low deviation. And right now you are in some kind of a retracement, forming some kind of an inverse heads and shoulders. And overall, like, I would even put this at my number 2 spot for just HEX conviction in terms of September, potentially even the first, just because of how the narrative is adding up. Now, at its current price at $500, it's a great buy. Like, of course, if you go below this, even better. But right now, right here, don't be afraid to buy BNB. This is going to easily give you a 50% return throughout the month of September. This is very much a buy the rumor, sell the news kind of event. Unless you're planning on holding on to BNB, then that's a different story. Otherwise, this is very much buy the start of September, sell at the end of September for 50%. Again, very high conviction, very high probability. The only thing that could get in the way of BNB's performance would be some kind of a major, major black swan event. Bitcoin where it dumps, you know, God save you, because there is pretty much zero kind of support all the way until you hit, you know, $350. You're not going to go there in one swoop, like one fell swoop. Of course you're going to have pauses. You potentially could even re— like reverse and go back into an uptrend. Otherwise, this level here, very low risk, very high potential reward. So this just makes sense. And lastly, did I want to talk about anything else? I think WIF deserves its own little You talk. First of all, I would still love to see this sell-side liquidity here at $1.3 get taken out. But otherwise, where WIF currently is at, I believe it's sitting at about $1.5 billion. Just to put into perspective what Shiba did last cycle, Shiba hit a peak market cap of about $40 billion, right, with a B. And WIF currently is at $1.5 billion. This is huge contrast to what could potentially happen with WIF. And there's All I'm saying is that there is a lot of potential for WIF to hit, you know, $10, $20, $40 even. And WIF remains until today the highest conviction, you know, dark, like up-and-coming dark token that exists. And it's pretty much the poster child for a lot of the gains that people have been making throughout this cycle. When I called this in the Discord, it was like 9 months ago at the beginning of the year when WIF was at like $250 million, right? With M dollars market cap right now is probably one of the best prices that you're going to ever get with that. Ideally, 1.3 to 1.2 is going to be the ideal level. Whether we get that or not, it remains a different story. Of course, if price just starts breaking out here, remember to just momentum trade. Otherwise, like people were complaining about not being able to get into WIF at really high prices here. People still complaining here. People refused to buy WIF here because they thought you know meme coins was going to zero. Now I'm telling you, like, this is where WIF's mindshare is probably at its lowest point in— since the start of this bull run. If you missed out on DOGE and you missed out on Shiba— I missed out on Shiba, don't worry, I did catch DOGE though— WIF is probably your best bet to getting there. Assuming Popcat outperforms, it doesn't make sense why WIF would not outperform. Heck, WIF is currently 3 times the market cap of Popcat but still remains one of the highest conviction plays for the rest of Q4 and even entering into Q1. Hope this video is helpful, guys. Hope you enjoy it. Yeah, see you in the next one.