the bitcoin trade today is OBVIOUS (don't miss this)

What's good guys, welcome back to another video. The trade yesterday ended up being, you know, pretty good and it was a much-needed win after the rough couple of weeks that we've had. And yeah, yesterday was a rare occasion where, you know, we entered the trade and off you go throughout the rest of the day. Now ultimately for me, my target didn't get hit until literally the next day, like this morning. And but hey, a win's a win and this ended up being a 4.74R called the trade from yesterday. Now if you actually followed me on Twitter, you would have seen that at the time that I was calling the trade, I was like, yeah, based on the past few weeks, 9:30 AM has consistently stopped us out. So I wouldn't recommend this trade to anyone who who's risk-averse, but it is a valid setup and it's what I planned for in the video earlier. So I just go in and essentially this is one of those moments where I just kind of like plan to trade and trade the plan, and I just get in regardless of the uncertainty that I was feeling. Now I will get into this and share a lesson regarding to how to still enter trades even though you are feeling uncertain because you have lost like a lot of trades in recent, you know, kind of memory. But for now, to people that are new here, like in this video I'm going to get into the exact Bitcoin trade that I'll be looking at for today. And before I get into it, if you're new here, welcome, my name is Xuan. I've had a publicly documented 75% win rate over the last couple of years on Bitcoin trades. And it— that basically just means that I tend to be right just a tiny bit more often compared to when I'm wrong. So that gives you a good reason to listen to me. Then let's get into the rest of the video. Now, before I get into the trade for today, let's finish up on the lesson that I was talking about beforehand, which is yesterday when I was taking the trade, I was not only posting it onto Twitter, but I was also on a live trading call with a lot of my students. And obviously in the live trading call, and in fact posting on Twitter, means that a lot of people are going to end up following the trade. So I take this very seriously, and there is a great deal of responsibility that I put on my shoulders to try my best not to lose people Money and try my best to make people money, knowing that people are going to be copy trading this. So I don't call trades likely, and yesterday was one of those moments where I knew it was a valid setup, right? At the time that I was like kind of looking at the trade, I was like, okay, price ended up you know getting that hourly CSD, and everything that I was looking for has been met. The only thing that wasn't necessarily perfect was that the entry, right, happened at around eight thirty a.m. Now, if you guys recall from the last like 4 weeks or so, a lot of the trades where I've entered at 8:30, even though historically this is a great time to enter, what ended up happening is that 9:30 would kind of like stop us out, and then it would dive straight to the TP. Now, you guys weren't around for that rough kind of period where this was consistently happening. Like, don't worry, you're not missing out on much. But because of that, in the back of my mind, I was like, yeah, the recent trades that I've taken at 8:30 have consistently stopped me out. At the end of the day, I realized that this was a valid setup. That this was the trade that I planned for, and now that it's happening, I decided to kind of instead of letting myself kind of think about this or analyze this or think about that. At the end of the day, I just brought it back to all right. What was I? What was my plan heading into the markets? And is this plan valid? And if even if I were to wait, right, what would I be waiting for? Do I wait for like a sweep? Is it guaranteed to happen? No. For the most part, at this point right here, everything that I was looking for was already met. I've got the daily bias was pointing downwards. I've got the hourly, you know, that's already given me a CSD, and the five minute was also giving me a CSD at exact. Exactly the timing that I was looking at for this to happen. So everything was met. I just dove right in. And the lesson here, and the way that you can apply this to your own trading, is is something that I like to call like outsourcing your decision making. Instead of leaving it up to your ability as a trader and your skill, right? Your skill as a trader to kind of make these decisions when you're under pressure, when you're kind of in the live markets and you've got money on the line. Instead, outsource it. For me, I tend to outsource it to my system. Like for example, in my system, there's a set of criteria that I look for to be present. Before I get into any trades. As long as these conditions are not present, I do not take a trade regardless of how I feel. If these conditions are present, such as what was happening yesterday, I take the trade regardless of how uncertain I might feel, or regardless of whether or not I think it could be stopped out and I might lose money. And in my case, it's even worse because if I'm going to take the trade, I'm going to be posting it on X where thousands of people are going to see this. And obviously yesterday I was taking this trade during a live trading call where people were going to kind of copy the trade. The reason why I'm able to kind of not fall or like buckle under the pressure is simply that I am not making The decision myself. I already have a set of rules that are predetermined beforehand, before even jumping into the markets. All right, this is the plan. My decision making literally boils down to if the plan is met, I take the trade. If the plan is not met, I don't take the trade. That's why it's so easy for me on days where, for example, I come up with an idea and you know the market does the completely different thing, and I just end up with a no trade. And it's super easy. Like I don't feel anything when I kind of skip the trade. I don't look at the chart and think like, "Ooh, this could potentially work out." Ooh, blah blah blah. No. As long as you are clear on exactly what you are looking for in the markets, anything. That doesn't meet that criteria, it's super easy to skip because, well, you know what you're looking for, and hence by default you also know exactly what you're not looking for, if that makes sense. But now that I have shared that bit of alpha, let me get into the official trade setup for today. And I'm going to be straight and upfront with you guys, this is not the easiest day to kind of navigate in the sense where this line right here that price just touched at $82,100 is kind of the candle body high of, you know, basically this entire order block right here. And I know this is going to seem very excessive, but still, this is officially by technical definition still an order block, right? This entire blue box right here. Which means that if you were bullish on the bull market and you were expecting the bull market to come back— which, by the way, I will make a separate video shortly on like my take on the bull market and how I would approach this kind of like next few days, next couple of weeks, because there are a lot of people that are looking to get back in. There are a lot of reasons that are arguing against that, hey, the bull market's back, and there are a few reasons to argue for the fact that the bull market is back. I'm going to break that all down in a video shortly. Just understand that traditionally, if you were looking for a breakout followed by a retest, this would be the level where you would look to get in during the retest. All right, price just touched this level today. Now the reason why I mentioned this is because if you take a look at the daily bias right now, because yesterday's candle closed incredibly bearish and the fact that you have a bearish CSD on the daily chart, plus the fact that if you go down into the 1-hour chart, it is really bearish. Because of all of these other reasons combined, you are actually supposed to be looking for shorts today. But it makes it a little bit tougher knowing that, you know, you've just hit like a very key level for people to— like, if you were interested in getting into the bull run and you know, buying Bitcoin at spot or like just building some swing positions, you would do it from here from a traditional perspective. In this case, how am I going to navigate this? Well, the answer is going to be pretty simple, and it all revolves around this order block right here, which is where price is currently in at the moment. Basically the candle from $83,000 all the way up to $83,400. Now by the time the New York session rolls around, there are going to be 2 possibilities and only 2. One is you're going to break above this order block and potentially, you know, flip this potential resistance Or rather, this is not potential resistance. This is in fact resistance. You will flip the resistance into potential support, and then price is going to bounce away from that, right? This is scenario number 1. Scenario number 2 is that you're going to get, you know, you're going to respect the order block and you're going to start breaking lower. And obviously it goes without saying that I would be looking for the second scenario to trade because my daily bias is pointing towards the downside. My 1-hourly timeframe is currently pointing towards the upside. And even if the hourly were to point towards the upside, the daily is still pointing down. And if you know anything about the system that I trade is that I look for timeframe alignment, meaning If I jump into any trades, I want my higher timeframe, my middle timeframe, and my lower timeframe to all be pointing in the same direction. This is how you get A+ trades consistently. I do not magically stumble upon a 75% win rate without prioritizing quality over quantity of trades. And this is a very simple way to ensure that you have quality. So even if I were to be looking for a long, it's not to say that this trade right here is completely invalid. It's just not what I would look for. And again, the way that I would break it down is that I have— I know exactly what I'm looking for. And by default, That means I also know exactly what I'm not looking for. And as long as it's not what I'm looking for— no, that's a bit of a mouthful— I will not take the trade, period. Simple as that. And the sooner you can start to recondition yourself to think in terms of that and only that, that is how you start achieving some consistency in trading. But with that out of the way though, this would be what I look for and the exact criteria to meet for this to happen. Now obviously at this point right here, you can already, you know, I could already consider, you know, jumping into a trade right here, right now. Now, is that a— is that going to be the best kind of course of action? Absolutely not. So here's what I would look for specifically. By the time you guys watch this video, considering it's only 3 AM by the time I'm recording this video, you want to look for an hourly candle close beneath $82,600, specifically this level. Why? Because when you close beneath this level, this entire block right here is going to become a new bearish order block, at which point you can, you know, look for a retracement into the order block and then price to dump. This was the exact same setup that we ended up taking yesterday where If you take a look here, I mentioned yesterday there were only 2 criteria that you want to look for. A is that price retraces into this fair value gap. You close beneath this level right here, you turn— you validate this into a potential hourly order block. You retrace and then you go down, right? This was the exact scenario that happened, and eventually voilà. Same thing for today. Now the way that I would kind of like give you a simple, you know, do this or that is that A, this would be the ideal one. You get a candle close below, retrace into the order block, and you go towards the downside. Scenario number B is you take out these relatively equal highs right here. As you can see, these are a bunch of relatively equal highs which serve as liquidity points. You sweep out these highs without closing above this level. If you see this, this is still a valid trade. But if you see, like, the invalidation criteria would be if you get a candle close on the 1-hourly chart above $83,400, it shows you that this bearish order block here has been disrespected. All right, the reason why that matters is, again, time frame alignment. We want to trade only when all 3 time frames are aligned, assuming We get this bearish order block that gets broken through. It shows you that the market is no longer that willing to respect bearish order flow, and you are looking at a potential bullish reversal here. So this candle close right here is going to tell you exactly when you should not be taking a trade, right? This— if this happens, the day becomes a no-trade day, and this Bitcoin trade becomes invalidated. Now, a lot of what I've shared inside this video in regards to, you know, approaching psychology or just approaching, like, thinking about the markets the right way is probably, like, the most valuable thing you could possibly learned in regards to trading. I just had a student yesterday where, you know, we were on a live trading call and he took a couple of minutes to just kind of turn on his mic and share that, hey, you got funded for like $250,000 and the biggest reason why is the mindset modules. Now, I'm not sure if Clarence will be able to kind of put that Zoom segment where you can hear it from his words. So again, it's his words, not mine.

But I kind of recommend like everybody, you know, like if you're in a bit of a slump, like, you know, maybe go back and look at Schwinn's modules, especially the early ones about mindset and about motivation and how to deal with that. He's this guy. Yeah, he's he's got it down pat. I'm I'm kind of amazed by you know for someone so young that you're just so so wise and knowledgeable and really sort of helping everybody out and and have put all this together and yeah doing your thing. So good job.

Mine, but I have echoed this statement for a while now where. If you know how to think about trading, it doesn't matter what strategy you use, even if it's a 51% win rate or like just even a slightly profitable system, which is clearly not the best. But as long as you know how, like, as long as you're equipped with the mental models and you know how to think about the markets and think about trading, you're going to be successful. But even if I give you my entire 75% win rate strategy or whatever, if you don't know how to think about how to trade and how to be consistent on a day-to-day basis, which is going to involve a lot of psychology, by the way, and a lot of mental game, then You're not going to be profitable, period. So as much as people like to clown on the fact that, oh yeah, these are— oh, I don't need mindset. Well, trust me, you do. And even amongst the 7-figure traders that I've had the pleasure of coaching within my community, everyone says mindset is the most important thing. You can learn the technicals in like 2 weeks, which by the way, psychology doesn't really matter if you don't have a profitable system to start with. If you would like to install this exact 3-step system that you're seeing daily right here on YouTube, which is clearly something that works because I've had a 75% win rate, which is publicly documented over the last 2 years across more than 200 trades using this exact system. we have had 31 out of 45 total students go through the program, learn the system, and 31 of them were able to get funded for at least $100,000, which is like a 70% funding rate, which is absolutely insane results in the trading education space. If you'd like to install the system for yourself, I want you to click the first link below and just book a call. Don't worry, we're not going to, you know, put you through some high-pressure sales tactics. This is literally just a call to figure out, hey, if this is a good fit for you, would this make sense for you? Do you want this? And if not, like, hey, no pressure. But yeah, in regards to the trade today, uh, if I do get into it, I will be calling it on X. Uh, if I don't get into it today, I will also be calling it on X. But for now, take care, trade safe, bye-bye.