In this video Vladimir Ribakov of Home Trader Club presents a bearish, "sell the rallies" trading thesis for the coming week across major forex pairs, gold, and Bitcoin. He frames the outlook with a volatile macro backdrop—ongoing tensions in the Middle East, the Russia‑Europe conflict, and expectations of heightened market stress after the U.S. mid‑term elections. For each instrument he walks through technical setups: EUR/USD is trading in a descending channel with lower highs/lows and an oversold RSI, suggesting a move toward 1.13‑1.10 and possibly lower; GBP/USD shows a re‑emerging bullish divergence but overall lower‑high structure, targeting a retest of 1.30‑1.29 and a potential slide to 1.20‑1.18; USD/JPY hinges on a critical zone around 153, with ABCD and range scenarios pointing to tests below 152 and possibly 150; Gold remains in a consolidation with an ABCD pattern and a bearish bias, with a possible buy trigger on a future divergence; Bitcoin is near a strong supply area at $95‑$100k, with bearish divergence and a likely retest of $77k, while a false breakout could offer a short entry. Across all assets Ribakov emphasizes the "sell the rallies" approach—short on pullbacks and wait for the next rally to sell. The video concludes with a promotional call to join Home Trader Club and AvaTrade for real‑time education and trade copying.
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Sell the rallies. The market is screaming that, and it looks like great opportunities are ahead of us. Let's take a look on the charts. So welcome back, traders. I'm Vladimir from Home Trader Club, and sensitive week behind us and very sensitive period is ahead of us. According to the latest data, Trump said no to the offer from Iran. Of course, everything could change at any moment, but the war that goes nowhere between Iran, Houthis, Saudi Arabia, the US, all the Middle East, and now the tension between Russia and Europe. The sensitive period is ahead of us, and according to the expectations, right after the midterm elections in US in November, um, things are going to get worse. That's according to the expectations. What does that look like on the charts? Let's start with the euro dollar. So the way the price action moves at the moment, the euro dollar is moving inside this channel, and by keeping these lower highs, lower lows, it looks like the euro dollar is heading lower, back to the bottom of the chart. That means we are very likely we'll see 113, 112 again, and then very possibly 111, 110, maybe even beyond that. On a daily chart, we can clearly see the market attempts to make the lower highs, lower lows. At the moment, no signs against some oversold conditions on the RSI 20, which usually hints some pullbacks are ahead of us just to make further sells. So I believe that that's exactly the, uh, the plan. Uh, if we start the week with the retest of this range or this range, from there look for the sell. If we start the week with one more drop with this divergence to complete, then very likely we're gonna retest the highs and from there looking for the sell. So this or other way around, sell the rallies looks like the inevitable plan on the euro dollar. And the pound dollar is not different the way I see this one with the return of the divergence and the failure to hold off this high. Because if we manage to, to hold this high and all the craziness that happens right now wouldn't happen, the pound-dollar is going to clean the 140. And I believe for the long run it will. But on the short run, this divergence is back alive, which means very possibly we are ahead of this corrective structure. That means we should see the pound-dollar cleaning the previous low around the 130 Possibly retest this consolidation here around the 129, and in a much more bearish scenario, the retest of the 120 area right here before the big buys come in again. So on the shorter term, the way it looks right now, daily chart breaks this trend line, making the lower highs, lower lows. No signs against. So from my point of view, sell the rallies is again inevitable. Here, there are two scenarios similar to the euro dollar. If the week starts with some pullback, then this range and then possibly the support and also the falling resistance line. These are the levels to look to sell the pound dollar. If the week starts with another push to the downside, something like that first, and completes a bullish divergence, then I do expect a pullback to retest the highs either here. Over here, and then look to sell. So pretty much similar to the euro dollar. I think this one has much more to go. I believe it's a question of time until this low is going to be cleaned and retested, and this low, and further on. So sell the rallies from my point of view is the trading plan. And what happens with the dollar yen? So during this week, I published you this very video. Which I hope you watched, and we were talking about the key zone we have here. And as long as it holds, we should be looking to sell. So my view did not change. This is still critical area. And from my point of view, as long as it holds, it is a sell on the dollar-yen. There are 2 scenarios that it could follow. Scenario 1, Some ABCD here. Scenario two, some range, and then the major continuation down. But the most important thing for the dollar yen is this zone. As it holds, my bearish view remains solid, unchanged, and I believe we're gonna retest the 153, most likely even below 152, and very. Very possible below 150. And gold, what's up with this one? So, uh, my view did not change from the last week. It didn't really do anything this week. It was flirting around the same levels, so nothing interesting there. Uh, I still see this one as one of the two options. We either complete the ABCD here, back to the zone here, or maybe even this consolidation at 5,000, and from there some major sell, or it develops as some range here. It's also an option, something like that. And of course, there is a very possible scenario that the peak is already completed, and as long as the resistance holds, that we could experience here some zigzag— 2 waves down, 2 waves up— and then the breakout and a sell. My view remains bearish. I do not think the gold bearish move is completed. I think these waves should complete themselves. I And then once the divergence appears, it will be probably good opportunity for the buy. But meanwhile, for me, sell the rallies. And the final one is Bitcoin, which is approaching to some key levels. Look at this zone consolidation here, which is now being retested, and that's a pretty strong supply area. And of course, this zone closer to $95,000 or $100,000. I believe that these two levels are the levels to look for the sell. Sell. We are forming here some bearish divergences, so looking for reversal signs here definitely, uh, should give the opportunities for the sell. And with high probability, we're gonna retest the $77,000 or maybe even this rising supportive line. So on the lower time frame, like the 4-hour chart, I would be looking for one of the 2 scenarios. The ideal scenario is some false breakout. Something like that, false breakout with bearish divergence, higher highs on the chart, lower highs on the MACD, and from there looking for the sell. Alternative scenario is that the Bitcoin starts to make the lower highs, lower lows, make the pullback, but as long as this high holds, with the next breakout and possibly the break of this rising trend line, uh, could give like a double, uh, trend line breakout here, uh, could give a great opportunity For the sell, so I definitely believe that the next several weeks these key levels we see on the Bitcoin as long as they hold from my point of view look to sell from there. So that would be it for this video, and as always, I hope you find value in it, and these trading opportunities are interesting to you. If you enjoy them, make sure you smash this like button. If you are new to our channel. Subscribe for more trades, education, and tips. And I want to thank you for your time watching this video, and of course to invite you to our family Home Trader Club. Full courses, real-time education, real-time trades, so much more. The link is below this video in the description. And also you can check out the option to join with AvaTrade, where you can get access, unlimited access, to Home Trader Club with the trade copier and all the projects. Check the link below this video in the description. Thanks for watching once again. Wishing you wonderful trading. And good week ahead. I'll see you soon with more. Bye for now.
