A brief transcript excerpt of a conversation with Liv Boeree about the reliability of intuition versus mathematical reasoning in decision-making. Boeree reflects on the failure rate of gut instincts, advocates moderation, and later describes opening to a sense of shared or inspired knowledge that increases her creative insights.
In poker, sometimes my gut is right, but sometimes it's wrong. There's an error rate inherent in my. In my intuition, and we should maybe talk about that. And I think this. I can imagine this is the case with others as well. I wouldn't go so far to say as I was disparaging of the gut, but I called for moderation. Like, there are things that our gut is good for, and there are things that it's definitely not bad. Go on.
So what you're raising is a very difficult problem, which is a failure rate.
Yes.
Of our gut. So now we're left standing, going, well, then, when do I trust my gut? And what you're making a case for is, well, trust the math. At least you know what the failure rate is.
Now I'd say I've swung back in the other direction again and think that there is almost like, some kind of shared knowledge going on that we can tap into. Like, and once I became open to the idea that you can sort of almost tap into some borderline supernatural realm of inspiration, I've started having way more inspiration.