The speaker argues that violent crime rose 19% from 2019 to 2023 using the National Crime Victimization Survey, with urban violent crime up 40-50% and urban property crime up 26%. He says the FBI's reporting changes and missing data from major agencies like LAPD make their statistics unreliable, and that media outlets downplay these increases.
Another lie of Kamala Harris is that the rates of crime are down. Wall Street Journal: Left-leaning commentators and advocates have insisted over the past year that crime rates are falling. ABC's David Muir asserted so while rebutting Donald Trump during the recent presidential debate. It's unbelievable that you have the moderators correcting, quote unquote, one of the candidates. It's so stacked against conservatives. You think it's only Donald Trump they would have done that to? The nation's largest crime survey says otherwise. Crime rates haven't been falling, and urban crime is far worse than it was in the pre-George Floyd era. The new findings were released this month by the National Crime Victimization Survey, run by the Bureau of Justice Statistics and administered by the Census Bureau. The NCVS, that is National Crime Victimization Survey, dates to the Nixon administration, is one of the largest federal surveys on any topic. The violent crime rate in 2023 was 19% higher than in 2019, the last year before the defund the police movement swept the country. So what does it mean that crime rates are going down in 2023 compared to 2022? What does it mean? America's recent crime spike has been concentrated in urban areas. No kidding. There— these are the areas in which leftist prosecutors have gained the strongest footholds, where police have been the most heavily scrutinized, and where lax enforcement and prosecution have become common. According to the NCVS, National Crime Victim Survey, the urban violent crime rate increased 40% from 2019 to 2023. Wow, get that? Almost 50%, almost the half again increase in urban crime. This is violent crime, by the way. Violent crime, by the way. Do they include Mobs breaking down a store and stealing is violent crime, or does it have to involve a person? I assume that it's included. The urban violent crime rate didn't change to a statistically significant degree, so these higher crime rates appear to be the new norm in American cities. The urban property crime rate is also getting worse. So is a store property, or is it only a home? So in other words, the near 50% increase in urban violent crime may not include theft. Property crime rate is getting worse. It rose from 176 victimizations per 1,000 in 2022 to 192 in 2023. So that's, that's, that's a comparison of post-COVID to post-COVID, and it's getting worse. It's part of a 26% increase in the urban property crime rate since 2019. These numbers exclude— oh my God, there it is. Okay. My question was valid. My answer was a wrong guess. Those numbers exclude rampant shoplifting. The NCVS is a survey of households and not of businesses. The FBI switched to a new reporting system in 2021 that that makes year-to-year comparisons, that is from the year before its change, difficult if not impossible. Why did the FBI do that? I don't know. It may have been a perfectly legitimate reason. I don't know. The FBI lacks data from a relatively large number of law enforcement agencies, including the Los Angeles Police Department. So why is its data even used? Because it shows the Democrats did not ruin urban centers. That's why the FBI publishes data only on crimes reported to the police, which means it doesn't capture most crimes.
Life, Legacy, and a Dangerous Mission in the Soviet Union | Sunday Fireside Chat
