Lara GuevaraSupply Chain expert (Product and Service)

Gut Feel Is Not Inventory Strategy

16 Mar 2026 · 1 min

Watch on YouTube

0:57

In this instructional video, Lara Guevara warns founders and operators that relying on gut feeling or panic when reordering inventory is a costly mistake. She explains two common error patterns: ordering too much too early because inventory looks low (over‑stocking) and, after a stock‑out, over‑compensating by ordering double (panic ordering). Both approaches tie up cash in excess inventory or safety stock. To replace guesswork, Lara introduces a "reorder timing system" built on four key inputs and two simple formulas, promising a math‑based, predictable way to decide when and how much to reorder. She ends with a call to follow for the formulas and invites viewers to acknowledge if they’ve ever panic‑ordered.

Chapters

Gut feel is not a reorder strategy, and it's costing you thousands. Here's how most founders reorder inventory. Option A: looks low, order more. Option B: we stocked out, order double. Both of those are bleeding you dry. Gut feel leads to overordering. You order too much too early, and your cash sits on shelves for months. Fear leads to panic ordering. You stock out once, get traumatized, and bury yourself in safety stock you don't need. Both trap cash. Both feels like a smart decision in the moment, but both are costing you real money. This week I'm teaching you the reorder timing system. 4 inputs, 2 formulas, no more guessing, no more gut feel, no more panic, just math. Follow for the formulas. Drop a hand raise if you've ever panic ordered. I know I'm not the only one who's seen it.