A short interview-style discussion analyzing why the Conservative Party lost the 2025 federal election despite leading in polls earlier in the year. The speakers attribute the outcome primarily to the collapse of the NDP which shifted progressive votes to the Liberals, narrowing the Conservatives’ support between January and the April election.
Chapters
January 2025, your party started off with a 25 point lead against the Liberal Party. So if the elections were held in January, it's likely your party. There's like a 95% chance your party would have won. But when the elections happened in April, only a few months later, your party only won 42% of the popular vote and roughly the same amount of seats in Parliament. So what happened?
I'm not going to sit here and spin you. So after every election, you sort of go back to the drawing board and start to look at the pieces of what happened. I think the party's doing that from one perspective. I think it is impossible to talk about this election without talking about just the complete collapse of the ndp, a traditionally progressive party that splits the votes and nervousness around the Conservatives forming government, and a lot of that vote ending up with the Liberals.