Vladimir Ribakov analyzes AUD/CAD on weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts, forecasting a bearish move toward an untested low zone. He identifies a potential false breakout with bullish divergence that could signal a reversal, and emphasizes monitoring lower timeframes for exit signals using disciplined risk management.
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Hello traders, how are you? Vladimir here from Traders Academy Club, and this video is my technical analysis and price forecast on the Australian-Canadian AUD/CAD. And there is a great bearish move right now. We are heading to amazing target zone Uh, so, um, I think, uh, let's begin because there are a lot of great things to talk about. So let's start. But a very quick one before I go to the charts and show the technical analysis the way I see that. If you are new to this channel, welcome to our amazing community. Please subscribe to the channel with the subscribe button below the video. And also, I would like to invite you to join us in our trading family, Traders Academy Club. Enjoy all the trading ideas and trade opportunities I share real time together with real-time trading education. Each trade opportunity comes with a detailed video of the analysis behind it and the strategy that is implemented in this specific idea. To join us in our family, please follow the link below the video in the description or in the pinned comment in the comment section. So what do we have there? On this Aussie CAD. Um, now quick one, this is a follow-up, okay, analysis and follow-up to the weekly forecast. This very pair I analyzed here for you in the weekly forecast. If you missed the weekly forecast, make sure to watch it. You can find it in the, in the channel, or right now on the right top corner of this video you would find a direct link. Um, so I want you to watch that in order to understand why did I choose the bearish direction. Okay, so as the price progresses at the moment, here is what I see on, um, on that. So according to the weekly time frame, the way I see that we are heading to these lows, okay, there are a couple of interesting lows here. This whole area, you can see it also was retesting it here, and this zone was never yet retested after the price flipped. So here is what happens here. So we've had lower highs, lower lows, right? The price flipped by making higher highs. And the most recent low, the place where it basically created a low, high, fake low or new low, and then it changed this low, the place where the buyers showed their interest was never tested yet. And here is why I believe this is the area where the current move is heading. So that's where I think we are heading to. But what do we need to pay attention to at the moment? We are developing here massive cycle, and this one already starts to show potential divergence sign. So at the moment, this divergence not completed, right? We got our range here and we got the 5 spots in play and continuation down. But, um, we need to pay attention. Of course, if you are involved, if you did follow this idea, to this divergence. If this one comes in play, okay, uh, this is a good opportunity to consider and cash out as we are getting close to the target zone. So, uh, If that happens, this divergence comes in play and you want to be more specific, I would suggest drop to one lower time frame and look for reversal signs. What are the reversal signs I talk about? Well, first of all, it could be false breakout. So low, high, low, and then with the bullish divergence with low, high, and higher low. That's how divergence completes. Then this is the first sign where a false breakout might happen. The idea of a false breakout is we got a new low, but with the divergence it becomes a fake low. Okay, uh, it normally— it's a— it's not a guarantee that this is how it's going to happen, but normally we do have, when the trend continues, more than one false breakout. So something like that, that's, I would say, in like 80% of the times. And After that, it flips to make the higher highs. This right, this if that happens is the moment to say okay, I've had enough with this bearish ride and it's time to step back and close the cells and enjoy the profits. So this is how I see the Aussie CAD, and as soon as we get to this area, I believe that. We will start to see the market making the slowdown signs. You see where the sign is, right? I can— I believe we're gonna see here the slowdown, the false breakout, that divergence come in play, then we'll probably flip and make the move upside from the lows of the weekly. Usually we do get a good price reaction, and this is pretty much what I anticipate to see with this pair. Keep in mind Um, such moves could have— could take time. Okay, this is a weekly, daily, 4-hour chart analysis, so that could take time. But as you can see, since the moment we analyze this one on the weekly forecast, here we are a few days after, and bam, the market already delivers. So, um, I hope you enjoyed the ride, and I wanted to explain the logic behind the target and what to pay attention for management, because, uh, for me If you follow me in Traders Academy Club, you know my techniques. If not, I work with 3 steps in trading. For me, this is the complete trading: the analysis, which is the preparation for trade; the strategy that implemented here, in that case the range, uh, for continuation; and, uh, the management. Management is key part because I am always loyal to my techniques For entry and exit, and the reason for that is if I rely on the charts to tell me when to enter a trade, why wouldn't I rely on the charts to tell me when to exit a trade? If I rely on the higher low, lower highs, or all these patterns in my waves, then why wouldn't I rely on that the same technique to get out? Right? As long as it's with me, good. I can trade it. But as soon as it's not. I don't want to be involved. I, as I always say in Traders Academy Club, and I want you also to know and remember, do not stay in the party you were not invited to, okay? Or if you are in the party but there are signs things are going wrong, get out of the party. Stay away of troubles. And same, uh, logic I apply also to, uh, to my trading. Once the signs are there, and that's why I record this video as a follow-up and the analysis What to pay attention to? Okay, very important. It starts with the price, the fake highs, fake lows, and then it the indicator indicates that the slowdown and the change is coming, and this is the very moment to step back and cash out. Okay, so that's it for this video basically. Let me know what do you think about the Aussie CAD and how do you see this pair? Are you riding the sales? Or are you looking for buys? Please share your feedback in the comment section. And also, if you enjoy these videos, hit the like button. Once again, I invite you to join us in our trading family, Traders Academy Club. The link to do so is below the video in the description or in the pinned comment. And join us, enjoy all the real-time trading opportunities, and mainly learn how real-time, in real time, how all my trading techniques look like And, um, and deliver. That's it. So thanks for watching. Stay safe, be well. I wish you good trading. I'll see you soon with more. Ciao for now.
