In this video Vladimir Ribakov delivers an English‑language annual market outlook for 2023, focusing on four tradable assets – GBP/USD, USD/JPY, the Nasdaq (U.S. equity indices) and Bitcoin. For each instrument he walks through multi‑time‑frame technical analysis, highlighting bullish or bearish divergences on the MACD, Bollinger‑Band squeezes, support‑demand zones, volume‑profile clusters and key price levels that could trigger reversals. He explains how to interpret these signals, advises traders to wait for confirmation before entering, and suggests possible entry zones for the upcoming year. Throughout the presentation he intersperses calls to action – liking, subscribing, commenting, and joining the Home Trader Club – where he promotes access to educational tools, real‑time trading education, automated market snapshots and other resources. The overall tone is instructional and cautiously optimistic, with a focus on disciplined trade‑set‑up rather than market prediction.
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Hello traders, how are you? Vladimir here from Home Trader Club and welcome to the annual Forex forecast and market predictions. Uh, we are preparing for the year of 2023. So first of all, I hope you enjoyed your holidays, you had some great time with your family, with your friends. And I would like to wish you once again a very happy New Year. There are several amazing opportunities I believe the market will provide us in 2023, and some of them I would like to share with you. But before I go to the charts and start talking all the technical analysis, if you enjoyed this video and appreciate the work I do for you in the channel, please hit this like button below this video, subscribe to the channel Feel free to share this video with anyone who you believe can benefit by watching that, uh, and, uh, thank you very much of course for your time and for your help and your support. So the first one would be the pound-dollar, a very interesting opportunity that I see here, and here is why. Starting from the analysis from the monthly time frame, here is what I see after 3 losing momentum waves. The market created a massive bullish divergence on the moving average of the MACD. While the chart is making clear lower lows, the MACD is building the higher lows. Okay, so yet the MACD yet to cross in order to complete the bullish sign, which I believe should happen somewhere on the coming, uh, period. Uh, the interesting part I see here is that after the bottom that was created during 2022, we see the first, second, and third candles in a row— 3 positive months making higher highs, higher lows right after that. Dropping down to the weekly chart, uh, and after riding on the lower part of the Bollinger Band for more than 20 candles The market is creating here also a beautiful bounce, and it's pretty much in a V shape. Okay, straight move down, straight move up beyond the previous high. Okay, right before the move down started. Very interesting technical sign. So from my point of view, the low, the previous low here would be a strong demand area. And if we will drop down to the lower chart, this is the low I'm talking about. Of course, here are the next daily levels. Okay, so the daily high was broken. Excuse me. The low behaves as a demand area, and so it does here on the previous low before the final rally took place. So any visit, I would say, in these levels—we have the first one from the weekly level. Down to the daily levels. Any of these levels, I believe, should be a good opportunity to look for reversal signs. If we manage to see the reversal signs here, that could be the beginning of the rally in the as the next corrective leg on this pair. What do you think about the pound dollar? Share with us your view in the comment. Section below this video. And also, before I continue, I would like to invite you to join us in our Home Trader Club if you still didn't do so. Follow the link below this video in the description, uh, join us and enjoy all the amazing features we have in our club for you. Download all our amazing tools, ebooks, and all the other educational material. Of course, enjoy our real-time trading education and real-time trading opportunities. Join us with the link below this video in the description. The next instrument I would like to share with you would be the dollar yen. What a crazy year it was on the dollar yen. From the first part, it was skyrocketing all the way to reach the 150 level. Magical numbers, right? Um, for, for some traders, it's just way beyond imagination. And right after that, but the second part of the year, it crashes for several weeks in a row. Dramatical moves, right? And to look at— look how it looks like on the monthly chart. All the way straight to the upside just to reach extreme conditions on the MACD histogram and overbought conditions on the RSI. Right after that, we have Look at these massive monthly candles, okay, creating that strong bearish momentum. However, with all the bearish momentum, I believe that, uh, the bottom is not too far at this moment. And here are levels I would like to pay attention to. So on the wave up, the market was creating obvious, clear higher highs, higher lows. Okay, these lows are now being retested. So the first low is at this area, the next low is not too much below. Okay, if we go and provide here the, uh, rising supportive lines, they are also not too far from this area. And that's what makes me think that the current momentum should be ending sometime very likely at the first month or the first half of the year and should provide some good bounces to the upside. If we take it to the next lower time frame, which would be the daily chart, you will see very interesting situation here. So we have clear waves to the downside and the market starts to create bullish divergence. So while the market is making lower lows, look what starts to happen with the MACD. Okay, so this is the first low that is now being retested. This is the next important low on the row here. And if we manage to complete this bullish divergence, so while the market will make one more low and the MACD creates one more higher low, okay, here is what I would be following. So this is the first false breakout, and what I will want to see here is another false breakout. If that starts to happen, we will be looking here for reversal signs. After the low would be created, we can start looking for the flip on the price where the market will start making higher highs, higher lows, and start going back towards this massive volume area, as you can see on this volume profile indicator. Okay, so the lower we go here towards the next areas, the stronger the pressure to take us back to this volume area. And we have also some supply zone on the way, so it should be a good opportunity to bounce back towards this area. Share with us what do you think about dollar yen and how far do you believe this one can go. Uh, your comments and your inputs are very much appreciated. Share your view in the comment section below. The next opportunity I would like to share with you is not forex. It's coming from the indices, but very interesting conditions I believe we start to have here. Okay, so while everyone is predicting the terrible recession and bad conditions in 2023, which I don't say cannot happen, but technically speaking, here are several key zones to pay attention to. So this high is the broken resistance which now becomes a supportive area. Look what happens here in terms of the Bollinger Bands, from the upper band to the lower band in straight move. Usually such moves end within 50% deviation, which means we are right here, okay, from the current market area to through the support and the rising supportive lines, okay. That's from the monthly chart. When we go to the lower time frames, we can clearly see here Also bearish trending structure, which makes the lower highs, lower lows. But on the other hand, another bullish divergence developing. So while the first false breakout was created, I assume the market will try to make another false breakout, which means one more fake low on the chart versus higher low on the MACD. If that managed to happen again, pay attention to the broken resistance that is now a support. And a massive supply— sorry, demand area. I know this is a wide range, right? But it's pretty much where and how the market could really stop and create the reversal signs. Okay, when and if this completes— and I say when and if because no one can predict. Remember, as traders, we react to the price Act. Okay, a very important thing: don't try to predict the level or set some pending order when everything is moving down. Wait for the signs. Wait. Let the market create the setups for you. Let the market to build up these signs for you. Look for the candle patterns that starts to represent where the slowdown starts to happen. Look for the bullish divergence to complete. Then. Look for your opportunities to buy. Okay, so I believe that the beginning of 2023 could yet be challenging, but if we manage to complete this low and the bullish divergence, brighter days could really come on the Nasdaq. What's your view on the Nasdaq? Are we going for an absolute low, or is it going to bounce sometime soon? At the beginning of 2023, I would say maybe the first quarter, maybe the first two quarters. That's my you know time period I would give to the Nasdaq to complete the low. And if it does, as I explained, I'll be looking for bullish signs and bullish reversals to attack my buys. What is your view? Share with us in the comment section. And the final one: How can we forget this one? The Bitcoin. You know what, uh, funny enough, usually I am asked by my followers, uh, mostly about Forex or some commodities. This year I would say at least 40% of the questions were about the crypto markets, so I cannot of course avoid sharing my view on this one. I also believe this one would be great opportunity. However, It's very important to keep in mind that by, you know, by its nature or the origins of the Bitcoin, um, were to provide some sort of alternative to investments, okay, to speculative investments, uh, when the market is not attractive. But now with all the, uh, rates hikes and the improving conditions, you know, just holding cash Okay, saving programs, uh, whatever it is, the banks, the bank starts to provide better conditions. So markets like the stocks, markets like the cryptos, what's supposed to be an interesting alternative or more, uh, potential rewards alternative, right, with more risk of course, but with also more rewards Now it's not that attractive, and that's one of the reasons why recently we can see— of course, all the things happen, all the negative sentiment in the crypto market and all the bankruptcies and scams and everything does not contribute to the positive, um, view over the market. However, don't forget what happened in 2008, right, when huge banks, uh, bankrupted. So That's okay. It happens in every market once in a while. Crypto is not different. Okay, a country can go in bankruptcy, so couldn't some private companies go? Of course they would. And we will probably hear more and more stories because under such negative sentiment, more companies will have more challenging times. And there is one quote I love on all this situation about dark periods, you know. The darkest nights produce the brightest stars. Okay, so even this super dark period on the market, conditions on the market, sentiment on the market, eventually very likely to end, and brighter days are very likely to come. So will that happen at the beginning of 2023 or late 2023? Personally, and maybe I'm too pessimistic, I don't know. But I don't think, uh, 2023, at least the first half of it, should be too promising to the crypto market. Um, and somehow I, I hope I'm wrong because I myself have investments there. Um, but I do, uh, believe that the real turnaround would begin somewhere 2024, 2025, maybe even later. Until then, challenges are still, uh, potentially to stay here. However, I believe that there are several levels that are important to pay attention to. First of all, of course, the low, right, of this uptrend here. This is a massive demand area, and I know you would not like to hear the numbers, but we are talking About close to the 3,000 level. Okay, slightly higher. There is some support area around the 11,000, 10,000, which might be a good supportive area as well, as it's also a round number, right? But this is what I really want to pay attention to— this 3 losing momentum waves. So I want to see this low completed, which means one more push, and I really will wait for this divergence to take place. Okay, once the divergence is in place, the MACD makes one more strong low versus one new low on the chart and start the crossover. That would be the opportunity to start and look to build up some positions for a longer term run. And as I said, I do not, and I hope I am wrong, but I do not anticipate. Too much positive sentiment on the market, because let's admit it, there are currently more interesting alternatives for the money who is looking for some sort of you know safe ground, and crypto is definitely not one of that at the moment. So that's pretty much it for this annual forecast. I hope you find it useful. If you do, please hit the like button. Share the video with anyone who you believe can benefit watching that, and subscribe to our channel. Thank you very much in advance for all your support. If you have any questions, don't hesitate to ask me in the comment section below this video. And once again, I welcome you to join us in Home Trader Club, the place where you'll find every single thing you need in your trading journey, starting from the very beginner's levels all the way to the advanced levels. We have here everything you need, including automated solutions like Trend Market Snapshots. We have trading ideas, real-time trading education. We have full courses for different levels. You're welcome to join. The link is below this video in the description. I would like to wish you once again a very happy New Year. Thanks for your time watching this video. All the very best to you and yours. I'll see you soon with more. Bye for now.
