In this weekly market outlook, Vladimir Ribakov of Home Trader Club delivers a technical analysis of four major instruments—EUR/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/JPY and Bitcoin—emphasizing a "sell the rallies" approach. He begins with a sponsor acknowledgment for 8K Broker, then outlines his macro view that each pair is still in a corrective phase within a larger bullish cycle, but short‑term bearish pressure dominates. For EUR/USD he identifies a three‑wave corrective structure, bearish MACD/RSI divergence, and key supply zones where broken support now acts as resistance, recommending short‑term short positions on rally pull‑backs. For GBP/USD he notes similar lower‑low/lower‑high patterns, a massive volume‑profile balance zone, and specific resistance levels around 132.5, 133.2‑133.6 and 134.7‑134.5 as sell‑the‑rally targets. EUR/JPY is presented as a longer‑term bullish setup with higher highs on price versus lower highs on MACD, Bollinger‑band overruns, and a psychological 180 zone, but still calls for short trades on rally peaks. Bitcoin is described as under strong bearish pressure, with weekly MACD divergence, lower highs/lows, and broken‑support zones near 98,900, 105‑107k and 111‑116k, again favoring short entries on pull‑backs. Throughout, Ribakov references his proprietary indicator suite (volume profile, Bollinger Bands, MACD, RSI) available via links in the description, and closes with a call to action for his Home Trader Club courses and community.
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Hello traders, Vladimir here from Home Trader Club. Welcome to another weekly forex forecast. Before we begin, as always, big thanks, thumbs up to 8K Broker for their support in our community. To enjoy all the offers we have with the broker, please refer to the link below this video in the description. Euro-dollar is our first one for today and beautiful opportunities are ahead of us very likely. Quick analysis before the levels on the weekly chart. I still expect that for the long run after this correction the euro will complete the final rally until this cycle will complete. I am just not sure that the current corrective structure is over. So at the end of the 3 waves we saw on the EUR/USD here, we also faced a bearish divergence. Usually that brings a corrective structure. Corrective structure could be in 2 formats most of the times: either ABCD correction before the trend continuation, or Or some sort of prolonged range, which still could be the case, of course. But if that is the case, then I think there is a good chance that after that rally, we should see another drop before the continuation. With this idea in mind, for me, the sell the rallies is still the plan. So if we go down to the 4-hour chart, let's break down the levels we have here. Currently, this is our structure. Okay, sequence: lower highs, lower lows, without a doubt. So we have the key zone, of course, through this high, which is the supply area, and broken support became a resistance. This is a strong area for the euro dollar. A slightly higher, we have these two high of supply, high of supply. Another key zone. So from these areas, if the euro dollar managed to complete something like that for us, right? What we want is basically bearish signs. We want to make sure that at the end of the rally there is bearish divergence, right? And price rejection. So after the sequence of higher highs, higher lows, we start to see lower highs, lower lows, at least on the lower time frame. This should give us a great sign to look for the sell. Now these are the 2 levels we want to pay attention to. So to summarize that in a simple way, broken support became resistance and then last high acts as supply, last high as a supply of this rally. That means for me the EUR/USD, once it completes the rally and starts to give some bearish signs, From these levels, I would be looking for the sell opportunities. Next one is the pound-dollar, and similar to the euro, I do not think that the long-term cycle is over. I think that after this drop, the pound should go up again and complete the weekly cycle. However, on the shorter time frames, I also don't think, similar to the euro-dollar, that it is over. Unlike the euro, by the way, the pound after the three waves it had, it did complete two waves down. However, at the moment, it's lower lows on the chart, lower lows on the indicators, and we do also the RSI, and we do not have any reversal signs yet. Then that what makes me think that the bearish pressure, at least for the short term, is not over. I believe that this run. Should be countered down, and then either find a low until we have a divergence and then rallies, or at least some sort of a move like that before the next rally takes place. So with this idea in mind, for me it is sell the rallies plan. By the way, on a daily chart, take a look on this massive. Absolutely massive balance zone based on the volume profile. You can learn more about all the indicators I use. You have the link below the video in the description, uh, the access to all the indicators I use here. So if we go to the lower time frame, let's go to the 4-hour chart, we also see that after the move down, there are no signs of a bullish divergence. It's lower lows on the chart, lower lows on the MACD, currently without any signs it's over, which makes me think that these rallies should be sold. What levels should we pay attention to? Broken support acts as a resistance. Of course, we still have and face that dynamic resistance line, which also is important to pay attention to. And if it manages to break through and rally to the next zone— by the way, this low also, it's a zone here, I would say. It's not a specific one level here. It's all these lows that act as broken support and resistances, and of course here as a range of supply. So this is a very strong zone I would pay attention to. And if it managed to break that, then the next zone I would be paying attention to is surrounded by these highs on the horizon. I believe that these are the 2 key levels to look for the sell opportunities. Pay attention to these developing divergence here, what could bring the GBPUSD also to the range Correction before the breakdown and the move lower from there. So to summarize, for the pound-dollar, we still follow the bearish trend, bearish pressure on the shorter term. The price change— the price action did not change, the price structure did not yet change to the bullish direction. Therefore, at the moment, sell the rallies. Is still the plan here. We have the falling resistance line, we have broken support that acts as the resistance, we have broken support here as well. The first zone is around the 132.50-ish, the next key zone 133.20 up to 133.60, and the next key zones around it around 134.70 up to 134. 520-ish, which is the highs that creates the zone of sellers. So for me, in that case, I am looking to sell these rallies from these levels while paying attention to the format the 4-hour chart— the bearish divergence format the 4-hour chart creates. Also, a possible scenario here is The range movement and break through the range to the downside. For me, sell the rallies was and remains the plan. Next one is the euro yen. I think we are building here some very interesting opportunity for the long term. Patience required as it is forming, but here is what we see on the euro yen: beautiful waves. And a developing bearish divergence on the moving average of the MACD. Comparing the last highs on the monthly chart on the price with the last highs on the MACD, we see that the market is making higher highs, but MACD is potentially making lower highs. I say potentially because this peak is yet to form. It didn't complete yet, so patience is required. On the weekly chart, we are also overriding the upper Bollinger Band for more than 20 candles. Every time it happened last time, we saw beautiful retraces here. And once again, all the indicators I use here, you can find the link below this video in the description. Everything is there for you. So I do expect that we will see a peak forming later or sooner here and a corrective movement to start and build. And while the long term will take time to form, take a look what happens on the shorter terms. We have here a bearish divergence on the moving average of the MACD on a daily chart. Dynamic resistance line is moving, so very likely around this zone We will see the sellers fighting their prices there. On the 4-hour chart, this is where I am looking to trade the opportunity. Once again overriding on the Bollinger Band. Last time it happened here, we saw the pullback. Last time it happened here on the bottom, we saw the rally. And right now we are building it again. So I believe that the 4-hour chart should complete Its waves, and from there look for this bearish divergence to form and look to sell. So to summarize, the daily chart dynamic resistance line with moving average divergence on the MACD, which makes me think that we are about to see some peaks here before corrections. And on the 4-hour chart, I want to see these 3 waves completing the condition of higher highs on the chart versus lower highs on the MACD. RSI could be— could join there as well. Pay attention that all that is expected to happen around, maybe slightly above, the psychological level of 180 key zone. Once we see higher highs on the chart, lower highs on the MACD, this is our time to look for possible retraces down, potentially back to the levels of 178, 177, maybe even 176, 175. And the final one, Bitcoin. Who can enjoy this crash unless you are in a sell position? So it's not fun for the long-term holders. I had multiple discussions about this one recently, what is expected here. So we've been talking about the Bitcoin on this very channel in the past weekly, uh, forecasts. You can find them all on this channel, of course. And we've been alerting of this bearish divergence and the cycle to complete and the correction to begin. So before— I'm not, I'm not here to say any doom or anything like that. I don't think the run is over, but I do think that we are in a corrective structure which, once it is over, should only then take the Bitcoin to the next bullish phase. So that means for me we are still under the bearish pressure. So what do we have here? We saw the weekly divergence there, and here is what happens on a daily chart. We develop sequence of lower highs, lower lows. At the moment, there are no signs again. MACD pushing down, RSI pushing down. So what's next for for for the Bitcoin? Personally, I do not think that the move down is over. I think pullbacks are welcome, but they should bring. Further portion of the sellers. And yes, it could take time. So I would be paying attention to these key levels. Broken support act as a resistance— these are the levels I refer to, of course. Then broken support act as resistance, high acts as supply— another key zone. While the first one is around the 98,900, the next one is around the 105,000-107,000. So what happens there, and the final zone is around 111,000 up to 116,000, also surrounded the highs which act as supplies. So any retrace towards this zone, and on the lower time frame, I believe look to sell. And on the lower time frame, here is how it looks like. It's on the lower time frame, by the way. It starts to show some. Some slowdown, which usually means if the smaller time frame has signs against it but higher time frames do not, it is nothing more than a pullback. So I would be paying attention to look for the next sell opportunities around the mentioned levels here, as long as they hold and you see the price rejection from climbing candles making higher highs, higher lows Look for reversal patterns, and there is your sell opportunity to join the current ongoing momentum. So that's it for this video. As always, I hope you find value in this one. Don't forget to hit the like button if you do and subscribe to our channel with the subscribe button if you are new to this channel. If you have any questions, don't hesitate to ask in the comments. I want to invite you once again to our family, the Home Trader Club. Get access to all of our courses, real-time education, real-time trading opportunities, so much more. Follow the link below this video in the description. Thanks for watching. Best to you and yours. I'll see you soon with more, and good trading. Bye for now.
