A trader walks through five recent FX and commodity trades using delta patterns across multiple timeframes. He shows how hidden divergence and Fibonacci retracements guided entries in natural gas and GBP/AUD, and examines a losing trade to illustrate risk management and stop-loss discipline.
Chapters
Hey guys, the very first trade. This is where we got the actual entry here, okay? And basically the setup— let's go back to the live chart. The setup, guys, was based on actually all of them. Are based on this delta pattern right here. So on the 4-hour chart, we can see the price is moving inside this range. Once it dropped, we got the hidden divergence here, which later on started moving as continuing divergence. And this is where the first 2 attempts got in play, basically inside that zone. So during that push, the second attempt managed to get some money. This is the latest entry here. This one was based again the big range here on the 4-hour chart, but we also got 30 minutes or 1-hour chart doesn't really matter this pattern. And this after the breakout here told us we're very likely going to continue higher along with the delta setup. It made Perfect entry to go ahead and trade it. If I remember correct, that was the 15-minute chart setup right here where we get the breakout trigger and then the price reversed. But that's fine because we managed to book some profits. Then the next one, let's close it. The next one was natural gas. For this setup, we've been talking for some time in the other videos as well on YouTube. Let me remove that. And the idea here is very simple. This is the overall picture. Now, once we got to the bottom, at least we hope this is the bottom, of course, due to different factors, we started looking at this specific setup here, which gave us the reversal. During the reversal, we also got on the daily chart The delta pattern. Then hidden divergence forming fantastic level. This is around the 50%, 50, 61 Fibonacci. And on the one-hour chart, of course, after these multiple divergences here, here, and here that was caught by the indicator, we finally got the breakout. And you can see. The momentum and the forces behind this move. Very fast trade, uh, still running. And to be honest, guys, for this one I do expect much, much higher prices to be reached. So if you're currently holding it and you have no problem with longer-term commitment to natural gas, In terms of contracts and so on and swap, those are the levels. Let's just make it brighter. Here we go. So first of all, 61.8. The least, the minimum we can expect is to get there. And of course, I am expecting it to go much, much further for all the reasons mentioned before that. We have one zone which starts from here and ends around here, okay, which is also matching the 100%. So this tiny exposure here could be bringing us amazing, amazing risk-reward ratio. Again, if your broker allows you to hold a position for such long periods— this is probably going to take a month or 2 to develop, if it will be developing of course in this direction. And, um, if it's going to be breaking these lows and continuing lower, then we can go ahead and and reanalyze it. Then we have pound Aussie again. We covered the Moldorian, was a trade, still is a trade. This is the daily chart, very rarely occurring but totally valid. And if we go back, I'll just open it quickly here. If we open the chart, we can see that on the weekly chart We got here the delta pattern, and even though we're in the range, and inside my manual trading I'm looking for buys based on delta, which proved me wrong many, many times, and that's why I have learned to diversify my trading based on the given strategy. You must understand that if you're trading multiple strategies, there will be always times where one strategy gives you buy, the other one gives you sell. And if you want to follow the statistics behind the given strategy or the trading method, you should be respecting the rules for that given strategy. So this is a classical example, okay? And since I have the delta pattern daily chart, daily chart reversal here is also happening, looking for possible continuation down. Every strategy comes with its own risk and money management. That's why it's perfectly fine when these cases are happening to for us to go ahead and trade them. At least this is how I do it. Not sure if this is the correct way or not, but it proved in the longer term to work for me. So I'm sticking to this methodology. Qn. Another setup that we got now here, it became interesting. That was a losing trade unfortunately, but, uh, the idea here is also very simple. First of all, we got some sort of cycle here. We also have a channel and levels. This is where of course we have the bearish delta pattern, as you can see right here in the navigation, and a pretty tiny Setup in terms of stop loss, which means this double top, if it will be providing us with the move to the downside, we can easily take small risk for this trade, take the first target, and then this target we can go ahead and move it here. So then the risk reward versus the second target will be this. Versus that. Okay, if you're managing your positions, if you're around the PC, if you can deal with this kind of setups, there you go. This is an idea of how it could be done. And that pretty much sums up what's happening with Delta last week. Stay tuned for the next video, which will be posted next Monday. Until then, don't forget to like, share, comment below if you have any questions, and of course join us in Telegram for free setups, free trading idea educational materials from myself and Vlad. The channel, the channel's link you can find below in the comments. It's absolutely free, guys, so you can join at any time. Thank you for watching.
