In this video Vladimir Ribakov provides a follow‑up to his NZD/USD trade idea posted eight days earlier. He reviews the current price action, confirming that the pair is moving within a bearish channel and highlights two untested low‑volume zones that could serve as target areas. Ribakov explains that the Federal Reserve’s recent comments signal the end of the “free‑money” era and set the stage for a potential slowdown, which may produce false breakouts and bullish divergences. He outlines the conditions needed for a bullish reversal—completion of a bearish move, emergence of lower‑timeframe candle wicks indicating weakening sellers, and the appearance of fake lows/false breakouts leading to higher highs. Throughout, he advises traders on when to take profits, how to manage the trade, and repeatedly promotes his Traders Academy Club for deeper education and real‑time trade signals.
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Hello traders, how are you? Vladimir here from Traders Academy Club, and in this video I would like to share my technical analysis and trading idea and follow-up on our trade on New Zealand dollar, a trade I shared with you 8 days ago exactly. And if you missed it Make sure to watch it in the channel. Uh, and, um, the move is happening and it's happening fast. And this video, I would like to update what will, um, I expect to see from the price and how you can benefit from it. But right before I do so, if you are new to this channel, welcome to our amazing community. Please subscribe to the channel, follow the subscribe button below the video and remember to enable the notification. And also, I would like to invite you to join us in our trading family, Traders Academy Club. Enjoy all our trading ideas delivered to you in real time with the real-time trading educational videos. To do so, please follow the link below the video in the description or in the pinned comment in the comment section. So as I said before, if you missed the original video, please make sure to watch that so you understand the whole idea I had here with this sell of the break after the breakout and the continuation. If you missed that, 8 days ago I published that. Watch it on my channel, or right now, top corner, right top corner of this video, you can get to find the direct link to watch this video. Also, if you missed my weekly forecast where I analyzed the euro yen, sell the raddies, and Aussie CAD trading opportunities, please make sure to do so as well. You can enjoy from these two amazing opportunities that were shared with you. And now to the New Zealand dollar follow-up and update. So according to the weekly analysis I shared with you eight days ago, as before. Uh, we are moving in a bearish channel, and 8 days ago we were right here at this area, and we were talking about this volume zone. Okay, and besides this area, there are 2 key zones that not yet were tested: this low and this low on the way. And also we can see the lows right here, so that's the lows of the move down. And that's the lows of the move up, right? Together it gives us an amazing zone for potential targets. Add to that the fact there is a volume there, and with that, that could be a massive target for us. So right now the plan follows exactly as we wanted. We want to see the break below this range and to see further continuation. And right now I want to point you how this Should end, and when do you know when to cash out? So first of all, fundamentally, today the Fed really said what the market is expecting. Yeah, and that was get ready for rate hikes. That's it. As simple as that. Well, it was a bit more complicated and longer, but to summarize all the blah blah and all the noise around. We are getting ready for rate hike, and the way the market is getting it is that the party is over—the party of free money. So what I want to see is basically the beginning of a slowdown. That means that could be anything like that, okay? Where we can start to see false breakouts and a bullish divergence. If we get a new low here, and I'm not— I don't, uh, do not intend to predict what the market would do, okay? If this is a new low, then of course we need to see the price dropping further in order to complete the bullish divergence. So we get lower lows on the chart but higher lows on the indicators. And if all the terms I'm using in this video are completely new to you You can find many more videos in my YouTube, and if you want to take it a step further and really get the full control over all these trading principles and the trading techniques I use— cycles, divergences, and all my trading strategies in it— I invite you to join us in Traders Academy Club and to enjoy that in real time, all the trading strategies I apply for myself. So That's what I want to see the market do. Okay, and this area starting from the current zone, go all the way down to the lows I marked before on a daily chart. This is our target zone, and I expect to see slowdowns first of all by completing a divergence. At the moment there is no divergence, so the market can make a little pullback and simply crash. Don't try to guess, but once the divergence completes and you start to see false breakouts This is your time to consider, manage, and enjoy the profits. What should happen in order for the New Zealand dollar to become bullish? So first of all, let the bearish move to complete, okay? And by complete, I mean to reach critical levels. And then on the lower time frames like the daily chart and the 4-hour chart, we would start to see slowdown. So we can start to see some candles here, okay? And this starts to basically turn bullish, okay? We should see more wicks lower than wicks spikes on the bottom of the candles, and this way we will know that the sellers are losing their control, okay? And buyers start to show interest. This is how you will know to get out of the sell, amazing sell we enjoy so far, And then for a switch to the upside, what I would want to see basically the market do is making the reversal. So fake lows, right? False breakouts, and then switch to higher highs. That would be a sign that we can start looking for a bullish period or a bullish phase on the market. Okay. So I would like to ask your help, and if you enjoy these videos and would like to see more of them, please hit the like button below the video, drop some feedback in the comment section. Your help is very much appreciated and needed so this channel can continue to be relevant and grow, and I appreciate your help. Thank you very much in advance. So that's it for this video. Once again, I would like to invite you to join us in our trading family, Traders Academy Club, and enjoy all our real-time trading ideas and real-time trading education delivered to you by videos and by our track recording trading journal. Join us with the link below the video in the description or in the pinned comment. Thank you for your time watching this video. I'll see you soon with more. Stay safe, be well, and I wish you wonderful trading.