A Chinese Tanker Broke America's Blockade: Here's Why That Changes Everything

In this livestream, host David Oualaalou (Speaker A) examines the recent transit of the Chinese‑sanctioned tanker Rich Starry through the Strait of Hormuz despite a U.S.‑declared naval blockade. He argues the passage is a deliberate Chinese probe testing U.S. resolve, not a mere commercial accident. The analysis weaves together geography (the U.S. naval presence is in the Gulf of Oman, not the strait), legal arguments about the law of the sea, and past U.S. seizures of sanctioned vessels (Venezuelan, Russian ships) to question why the U.S. did not interdict the Chinese tanker. Oualaalou cites statements from China’s defence minister, the Saudi foreign minister, and Iran’s navy commander, highlighting a shifting regional alignment: Saudi Arabia publicly distancing from the U.S., Iran threatening U.S. warships, and China positioning itself as a strategic partner of Iran while warning against interference. He outlines two competing analyst camps – one that sees China lacking the regional force‑projection to intervene militarily, another (including himself) that sees a hybrid‑war approach (diplomatic vetoes, intelligence sharing, naval base expansion, weapon transfers) that could lead to direct conflict if the blockade escalates. The host also details Iran’s newly disclosed “Hoot” underwater ballistic missile/torpedo, describing its technical specifications and potential to cripple U.S. carrier groups in the narrow strait. Historical parallels to the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis are invoked to stress the need for back‑channel diplomacy. Throughout, Oualaalou engages the live audience with polls (e.g., whether a U.S. boarding would trigger war) and calls for support. The overall narrative frames the Rich Starry transit as a flashpoint that could trigger a broader U.S.–China confrontation over energy security, maritime freedom, and regional influence.
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Ah, all right. Hello everybody and welcome to Geopolitical Trends, where truth matters. A Chinese tanker just stared down the entire US Navy as of yesterday and sailed straight through, right, looking at the US destroyers or, or whatever naval assets we have there. So this isn't sort of a shipping dispute. No, no, no, no, no. This could be also the opening move for a much wider war when you know, or if you consider what China's calculation, strategic ones regarding these aspects of targeting its strategic interests. And I have a clip, not a clip rather, I'm sorry. I have an excerpt from my book Eran book that I address this particular point. I'm going to share it with you later on and let you be the judge yourself. So now you consider 20% of the world oil going through, through there, but you also have to consider 250 Chinese warships drilling nearby in that vicinity of the Strait of Hormuz, Red Lars. And there is one American blockade. If we can even call it blockade. Of course, it will apply to the smaller countries, but something is about to break. And when it does, harsh reality will suggest that your gas prices will be the least of your worries and problems. This is again where the concern is. And in this livestream, I'm going to be sharing with you my insights regarding these aspects of What does China's defiance right in front of the rest of the world, having its oil tanker going through, and whether the US backed down out of fear of escalation, out of fear of retaliation, or just didn't have a plan in place. That is exactly what has happened. So what I'm going to do first, I'm going to share a clip with you. It's in English. Just take a listen here, then I'll move into addressing for you how, for example, even if we are to think about how does the United States plan on implementing this so-called naval blockade against Iran. So let's first take a lesson right here, and then we'll just go from there.
Sanctioned Chinese tanker Rich Starry has passed through the Strait of Hormuz despite the US naval blockade. The ship was carrying around 250,000 barrels of methanol, becoming the first known tanker to exit the Gulf since the blockade began. Now China is pushing back. Its defense minister warned that no country has the right to threaten China's energy security. This could turn a regional crisis into a much bigger global standoff.
Now Remember the statement that the Chinese defense minister said, no one threatens China's interests. Keep that in mind when we get to the point where I will share the excerpt with you. But now the question first that I need to share with you is, first of all, how does the United States intend to really, really implement this so-called blockade? Well, the big question that many are asking, you know, be it military analyst geopolitical observers and so forth. And it's a question that is worth asking. Well, let's start first with the geography. And what do I mean by this? I'm going to share some pictures with you regarding— you've seen this before, like for example, this one here. Why is this important? It's important because the United States as of today is not, and I repeat, is not in the Strait of Hormuz. Nor is it in the Arabian Gulf. The United States is in the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. Look at this map you are looking at. This is the Persian Gulf, right? This is the Strait of Hormuz. This is the Gulf of Oman, which will give you access to the Indian Ocean. So the US is not right here by the Strait of Hormuz, as they might have you believe. It is not. That is where the difference. And this is where analysts will think in terms of when you think about the ships, ships, you know, the cargo, oil and energy, what have you, attempting to cross via the route that is designated by Iran, not by the United States. Why is this important? It is important because the route that Iran designated is different from the international one that has been accustomed to where countries send their oil tankers and so forth. This special route where Iran instructs ships wishing to import or purchase oil to use it, of course, Iran is charging fees for the passage. And that is exactly this one, this particular route, will most likely be subject to the US surveillance if the US succeeded at that. This route, which involves ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, okay, will apparently allow the United States to determine whether these ships have paid Iran or not. Now, here is where the key to all this. What Trump stated the day before or yesterday, yesterday was in the US. What is stated is that these ships paying the Iranian government will be punished, okay? And the United States will seize their cargo. Well, hold on a second, America. If you are seizing cargo, that means you are stealing or you are going to steal the oil in that particular oil tanker or what have you. And this is not, by the way, the first time the United States did this. You all remember it previously seized a ship carrying Venezuelan oil, and that ship, by the way, the name of it was Partha. And Partha ship was loaded with the Chinese oil destined for Venezuela. Then, or you remember the incident which I report on it a month and a half to 2 months ago, you're regarding the USS Marinara. Which boarded the Russian ship was also seized and its cargo was confiscated. And of course, it causes a diplomatic row, a row between Washington and Moscow at that time, and China for that matter, because what those two countries, China and Russia, called it is called it a piracy, which is exactly befeering. And that in itself pushed those two countries, Russia and China, to reject this kind of piracy and action by the United States. So the US, of course, had to justify it. And here is the stupid argument that Washington made, is that it argued this under invoking the law of the sea and trying to find loopholes in that. Which will allow the US to seize ships heading towards countries sanctioned by the US. Well, if it is the case, how come the US couldn't seize this Chinese cargo ship? Which, by the way, this Chinese cargo ship, and I'm gonna get into a brief description about it, is sanctioned by the US. So why the US couldn't do it? And this is again where you see now What Donald Trump is trying to do, he's trying to play with this situation by trying to find a way out using other countries. And what do I mean by this? I mean that Donald Trump is intent now to allow other ships that US satellites identified, okay, as not ships going to Iran. For example, and I'll give you a quick example here, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, as an example here. The Chinese case is different, and I'll get into why that is. So any other ship that is sort of flying a flag or whose route is manifest clearly indicates that is headed to some other countries will be allowed to, to cross the Gulf of Oman. Remember, we're talking about the Gulf of Oman here. That is exactly where, uh, and this is where I found it very interesting as to what the Saudis declared today. So I'm gonna share a clip with you as far as what the Saudis stated, the foreign minister of Saudi Arabia stated. So let me pull it up for you here, and we're gonna take a list. I'm not gonna— I'll let it play quickly here, but, uh, I'll explain to you or translate for you what he's saying, basically. So let's take a listen first. Basically, what he's saying is that like any other country, Saudi Arabia doesn't put its own strategic interest based on other countries. It has to think about its own. Well, all that is good because here is where the U-turn that happens right now. This is the Saudis' position today. And I quote here, "We can no longer stand with Trump. Trump should first save himself, then save us." This is a major announcement, in my opinion, by the Saudis. And of course, it happened in the event or against the backdrop of the Chinese ship crossing the Strait of Hormuz while the US is watching. That is what's important about this particular development here. So now the Chinese tanker, which is crosses, as I said, the Strait of Hormuz despite the American embargo. So the logical question we have to ask is how significant that is. It is significant because you have the cargo ship, which called, by the way, the Rich Starry. It's a 188-meter chemical oil product tanker. Let me put the picture for you so you can see it right there. This is the Chinese, and its owner, which is the Shanghai, uh, Chan Run shipping company, it's headquartered in Shanghai, were placed under the US sanctions for dealing with Iran. And yet, as of yesterday, it was able— actually, on Monday night, they turned back, but within minutes of approaching the chokepoint. But the next day, they just crossed, they moved forward. And that is crucial developments because Some— the US argument is that, oh, this, this cargo wasn't headed to Iran, that's why we let it. No, no, no, no, no, no. You let it out because you know what the outcome is going to be. It's because, again, this is where the significance of it. This is the first test of the real so-called blockade. Because remember, Donald Trump said we're going to use a blockade on Strait of Hormuz and so forth. No ships is crossing. And yet the Chinese ship, or cargo ship rather, was able to cross through while the American Navy vessels are just watching. So this is where the story is that makes now signal that the blockades might not amount to anything serious. It might be applicable to some, you know, not so strong countries, if I'm permitted to use the term. Because what China is doing, basically China is pushing back against the US. That's exactly why this ship or this cargo was able to cross. And the Chinese Foreign Ministry, you know, called the US blockade dangerous and irresponsible behavior, end quote. Let that sink in. And of course, I, I had a chance to read the statements and I'm gonna share the link with you, uh, for, for that statement if you wanna read it. And he added that this action by the US will exacerbate tensions and undermine the already fragile ceasefire agreement. So let me put the link for you in the chat box and you can read it later on should you decide. To do so. And that's again, Beijing is not just a bystander watching from a distance, especially now with the confirmation that certain types of weapons are making it to Iran. You need to remember that China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil. That is again where the key as to whether the US is really inching closer to an open confrontation with China. It won't be pretty. As a matter of fact, some of you— I did ask the question earlier for the community as a survey question, and some of you answered that one. And thank you, by the way, for participating in that. When I asked the question, if a US warship intercepts and boards a Chinese-owned tanker on the Strait of Hormuz, does China finally go to war? And if they do, who will win? 88% of you said China, 2% of you said the US, and 10% said we don't know. And that's, that's, that's a logical argument or logical response. And this is again where you think in terms that the, this enforcement of the US is ambiguous anyway. It's already showing that the US will not have the capabilities nor the means to do so. That is why the significance of this is remain uncertainty. That is the key, the uncertainty regarding the exact parameters of the blockade. Because we don't have any strategy. We just start shouting, we're gonna issue a blockade, we're gonna blockade the Strait of Hormuz. Well, that's not gonna go. It's not going to apply to stronger countries like China. Because even we don't even know whether the fleet tankers fall under this category of so-called neutral vessels. Central Command has not clarified this. And that raises serious questions about this ability to do so. Just FYI, when you think about this from a perspective of a global economy, Iran by itself for the last 40 days, 40 days, earned roughly $9 billion from crude export. Exports. That's how much it required. So the bigger picture, when you think about this, the significance of it might be less when it comes down to considering military confrontation, but will be more when it comes down to diplomatic and legal stress test, because that's exactly what the defiance of China demonstrated that they can go ahead and forge forward. Because the questions that analysts now are asking, and I'll be asking this right now, is that this blockade has really, if I may use the term, a gray zone to it, you know, because that gray zone is what's going to allow other vessels to exploit. Simple as that. And China is willing to at least passively test the US resolve, and he tested it and he moved forward. While at the same time, verbally, China still condemning the blockade by the US. The other challenge that lies ahead is that the commercial vessels now are now going to be caught between two major naval powers. Because to those who might think that the Chinese Navy is not up to the— oh, they are, if you only know what the Chinese have developed when it comes down to the naval assets. And I'm going to be talking about some aspects, certain technologies that Iran is now deploying. And this is where it's going to be now the challenge for these commercials, because they're going to have to ask permission from two. From Iran and from the United States to navigate the Strait of Hormuz safely. That is where the challenge is going to be. Well, we don't know yet. We don't know yet. There is— here is one thing I need you to just get out of this particular aspect is that this transit of the rich starry tanker, this boat right here, or tanker, I'm sorry. This transit, it's in my opinion, it's nothing but a probe by the Chinese. It wasn't meant as a provocation because China want to test the waters. Remember, there are a lot of international visits to China as we speak, including from the Gulf states. Why that is? The same thing. Think about the statements of Saudi Arabia this morning about we need to think about our own safety. Then the US, we will count on it. All this doesn't happen in a vacuum. And this is why, with the way you see it, or the way you categorize it as a probe, is because if, if China start to escalate openly by doing what? Escorting tankers or formally defying the US intersections for the Strait of Hormuz. But so far it was nothing but a probe. And that in itself, that's where my fear is. This could open the door for a direct US-China confrontation, which will be, as you know, one of the most devastating and critical outcome to it. So let me, let me show you on the screen. Let me just share the screen here with you, and I'm not gonna— there's nothing to play because it's sound. There's a soundtrack on it. I'm not gonna play it. What you can read right here, Chinese Defense Minister Admiral Dong Jun is in a message to the Trump administration, to the US Navy, quote, Our ships are moving in and out of the waters of the Strait of Hormuz. We have trade and energy agreements with Iran. We will respect and honor these agreements and expect others not to interfere in our affairs. Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz and it is open for us. Very poignant. Words. Those are not just some very poignant— and this leads me to the key question: will China intervene militarily if its energy or strategic interests are threatened? You can't ignore this question. You cannot ignore this question because for now China's posturing is best described as strategic ambiguity, if I may use the term. However, China is also keeping a foot back or step back just in case there is an escalation, stakes might take place. China is not being passive, but also is not being directly, or looking for a direct military intervention either. China still playing the diplomatic card, by the way, because China, that's their focus on this mediation and so forth. But think about it, at the UN Security Council, Russia and China vetoed Bahrain Security Council resolution that will have authorized military force to open the Strait of Hormuz. Because what the Chinese said, and the Russians for that matter, is saying that this resolution that was, by the way, vetoed anyway, it was biased against Iran and sending the wrong message to the rest of the world. So there are analysts who are saying, oh, it's unlikely that China will intervene militarily. That's their argument. I can see the logic to this. To a degree, for example, their arguments, and that's what I always do. I provide you both sides of the arguments of some key analysts from both sides of the Atlantic. This way you form, you have both sides and you form your own conclusion. And the reason for that, this saying is that China does not have capability parity in the region. In a simple terminology, China doesn't have enough assets in the region to confront the US. We have the Fifth Fleet in Bahrain. We have Al Udeid in Qatar. We have military installations in United Arab Emirates and Jordan and Egypt to a degree. China doesn't have that. The argument these analysts are making is also that what did China do when the US seized the Venezuelan president or captured or sort of kidnapped the president of Venezuela, Maduro, which by the way, Venezuela, as you know, is a partner of China. And their argument of those analysts is that China made no move because it had no military hardware in the region. For example, in the Caribbean to contest what the US did to Venezuela. That would be no different than what's going on in the Middle East, they argue. However, the case of Iran is slightly different. Iran is in a different value because the projection of power problem is similar at this distance, meaning in a simple language that China will have no other option but to show its military capabilities, naval assets in this case, to make a point. China has also a major other interest, and the interest has nothing to do with that part of the world. It has to do with Taiwan, because Taiwan remains priority to China. And remember who was in China recently. This is a picture of her name, Tsai Ing-wen. She is the head of the KMT, the opposition party in Taiwan. And to China, Taiwan remains priority because any military confrontation with the US in the Persian Gulf will devastate China's position vis-à-vis Taiwan. Because to China, Taiwan is the real strategic red line. That is where the difference— that's why the calculations, sort of what those analysts are saying. Then, of course, you think about the economic self-interest and so forth. So the other camp of analysts, which I am one of those, I argue that the military intervention cannot be ruled out. I will not rule that out. Remember, once again, Iran provides China with roughly about, to my knowledge, 15 or 16% of China's annual fossil fuel needs, which is below the market value, far from the significant stakes with Venezuela. And the bottom line to this is that the blockade will become some sort of— if the blockade became prolonged or the US seized the Chinese cargoes, that's going to become a problem or even threatening the survival of the Iranian regime. Or if the US sunk or sank the Chinese cargo, which will be a major catastrophe. And that is again where I do see the intervention of the Chinese, militarily speaking, will not be ruled out. So, so far what China is doing is that it's waging a hybrid war. By proxy. It's not getting directly involved. For example, diplomatically, they vetoed the UN Security Council. Militarily, on the, on the ground, they supply intelligence, coordinates, satellite imagery, and missile components. Chinese are also deploying warships as a signal and letting the tankers, the sanctioned, not even just regular tanker, The sanctioned tankers probe the blockade, which is exactly what China just did by having its cargo ship sort of transit the Strait of Hormuz. That's a probing. That's exactly what the Chinese did. And it is doing the maximum it can, China, short of triggering a direct US military conflict. China doesn't want that, not because they're afraid, it's just, it's not a smart move at this point. So that's why some analysts in Washington are saying, oh, the direct intervention remains unlikely. I say otherwise, and here is why. I'm gonna share an excerpt with you from my Iran book that I wrote in which I addressed this particular point. I wrote it back then just in case. Here is what I wrote back then. Anticipating a geopolitical shift in the Middle East with Iran playing a far greater role, China hedges its bet on building its naval infrastructure around the strategic ports on the Indian Ocean with easy access to the Middle East. I believe China's endeavors go beyond routine stops at naval bases for fueling and dropping supplies. Rather, China aims to strengthen its posture, sending a message to the United States and others that it will take the necessary measures on land, by sea, and through the air to defend its strategic interests. Establishing the Chinese naval base in Djibouti means that Beijing understands that its newly found global power affords it the opportunity to build a geopolitical foundation and forge ties with the countries it believes play a pivotal role to realizing China's strategic vision. Thereby, China hits two birds, one expanding its naval presence across key strategic locations while laying the foundation to protect its interests should circumstances warrant. With one stone, providing government where these naval bases are some form of protection. That's exactly what I argued back then, and that's what I see right now. And like I said earlier, this happened during a time when you have international visits to China, because following the Chinese Foreign Minister, Mr. Wang Yi's remark an emphasis on the, the 5 points of the agreement between Pakistan and China to resolve the conflicts between the United States and Iran, as well as the recent international crisis that's going on with this so-called blockade. At the same time, you have foreign leaders visiting China from Spain to Russia to Vietnam to the United Arab Emirates. And that in itself should provide you an insight into, is there a role that China might be playing into this, or is China already working towards de-escalating tensions and ending the war in the Middle East? Let me know in chat box, in the chat box, what do you think? And this is again where the importance of understanding that the Chinese tanker was on the US sanctions list, but nonetheless it went ahead and transited the Strait of Hormuz, no matter what the US is saying, making it the first known passage during the current so-called blockade. And by the way, and this was shown through— I saw the traffic, the maritime traffic data showed the vessel transited the strait early Tuesday after it circled the area near the strategic waterway. And all this happened during a time where you have now Iran vowing to destroy US assets. And that is the key that I'm going to be sharing with you after this clip here. If the truth matters to you, hit like, subscribe, and tap that bell. No spin, no agenda, just the stories they don't want you to know. So don't watch from the sideline, be part of the movement. Your support keeps the truth alive. Thank you very much. Indeed, when we think in terms of, okay, why Iran is stating this particular, this particular statement right now, this doesn't happen in a vacuum. The statement came by Shahram Ehrani. Shahram Ehrani is the is the Navy commander for Iran. Let me show you a picture. I'm aware of his background. I read about his background and so forth. What's interesting is that he's of Kurdish ethnicity and he's the current commander of the Iranian Navy. His appointment, I think, was in 2021 or 2022, one of these. I'm sorry, I couldn't remember the exact year. But here is the key that I found very interesting about this individual, the Shahram Irani, is that he's a Sunni. He's not a Shiite, which gives you an idea. Within the Iran government, it's not about Sunni or Shiite, what some other countries in the Sunni world might have you believe, that the Shia this or Shia that. It's not true. He's a Sunni, and yet he holds one of the highest Possession inside Iran. But suffice it to say that he threatens now to destroy US warships in the Strait of Hormuz and declared Iran's naval readiness for confrontation. This is again very, very interesting development and makes you wonder why will he state this at this point unless Iran has some wild card that it can play. I digged enough between yesterday and today so I can prepare this video for you. And I did find out indeed it has one of the wilder cards, wildest cards they can play from a naval perspective. So I'm gonna be sharing with you, and this, by the way, Iran's statement is directed at the US, straightforward. It's nothing to do with Israel. Israel will not be able to function there anyway. This is about the US if they approach the Strait of Hormuz. Once again, I need you to understand, our wonderful community, the US is not in the Strait of Hormuz. The US is in the Gulf of Oman, way out. That is a big difference. The, the narrative Matters here. So, and that is where this threat is coming from. So here is what I need you to understand. Iran has developed one specific type of torpedoes. Let me, let me show if I have a picture. Ah, no, I'm gonna— what I'm gonna do, I'm gonna show you where those pictures of this particular clip, and, and I give credit to this particular platform. From the heart of the reality. That's where the clip is. So I'm gonna let it play out, but I will silence this one here and we'll just go from there. I'm not gonna play it in its entirety. And here is exactly what it says. What I'm about to tell you isn't just a military analysis. It is a nightmare hunting the Pentagon operations room right now. While the world talks about ballistic missiles and drones, Iran revealed a silent monster crawling underwater, a weapon the Iranian Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has kept hidden for the moment of great explosion. I am talking about the "Hoot," which is an Arabic word for "the whale." It's not just a torpedo; it's an underwater ballistic missile. Designed for one purpose only, to sink American most valuable assets at sea. So why do Aegis radars tremble before this weapon? And how can an 8-meter-long piece end the myth of a nuclear aircraft carrier? The traditional Western torpedoes that America boasts about travel about 90 kilometers per hour. Slow and boring. But this whale for Iran, this monster is powered by a solid fuel rocket engine. Yes, an ICBM engine underwater. Imagine a speed of 360 kilometers per hour, 4 times faster than any naval weapons in the world. The secret lies in technology. The super captivating whale doesn't swim in the water. It creates an air tunnel around itself, evolving its body in a gas bubble that makes water friction zero. It flies underwater, meaning that American sonar will only see a blurry and untraceable ghost Now imagine the moment of impact. This particular type isn't just about its explosives. The whale carries about 10,210 kilograms of high explosives. But the real secret lies in the shock wave. Due to the— its incredible speed, when it strikes below the waterline, it doesn't just puncture the ship. It transforms the water pressure into a giant hammer that rips engines from their moorings in fraction of a second. An aircraft carrier carrying thousands of soldiers becomes a lifeless corpse on the waves. No electricity, no functioning nuclear reactors, and not a single aircraft capable of taking off. A single underwater strike ends the battle before it begins. Some might say, oh, its range is only 13 meters, which is short. And that's exactly where lies the greatest deception. We are talking about the Strait of Hormuz. Its narrow point is no more than 34 meters. Any aircraft carrier that passes through the strait Necessarily, within the circle of death, the whale needs only 100 seconds to reach its target. Do you know what 100 seconds is? It's time that isn't enough to sound the fire alarm on a ship of this size. The whale needs only 100 seconds to reach its target. Once again, do you understand what it means? Iran won't launch a single troop. This is again where the difference is. The plan is to flood the surface radar with thousands of drones and suicide boats while everyone above is preoccupied. The whale will launch from the silent midget submarines hidden in the rocky seabed. A three-dimensional attack. That will paralyze the world's most powerful computers. That's exactly what I want you to see. And I wanted to share this with you to understand. I had to check and double-check the accuracy of this information. And indeed, Iran never disclosed this before for a reason. And based on what I found out, Iran still has few surprises for the US. That is why we are— we're saying we are at Strait of Hormuz. We are not. We are not. So, and what I found, that's what I have to share with you guys. I'm going to just share one conclusion for you and close this out because I I just want you to be aware because I've been seeing, reading headlines, even some here in my location where I'm at, and the West seems to really, really manipulate the narrative. And I found it very, very problematic that they are trying to mislead the masses regarding this particular aspect. So it is my responsibility to provide you the accuracy of this information. What I found also interesting, which I forget, by the way, to share with you yesterday, the picture of why North Korea is testing its cruise missiles. Here is one. That was 2 days ago. That's North Korea testing this. Once again, I am one— I've been around long enough to know nothing happens in a vacuum. There is no way. Kim Jong-un was just going to do this for the sake of it or the heck of it. No, no, there is specific calculations. And because those cruise missiles, should they ever be deployed, this particular asset for the US, this is the US Michael Murphy and this is the Patterson destroyers. And even if we are to get an aircraft carrier close by, no, it's not going to happen. So here is just my overall conclusion for you. What started as a single tanker, sort of at first it gets closer, turned around, but it crossed the Strait of Hormuz, has now revealed something far bigger. The US didn't count on that. The US thought we're going to just intimidate everybody, including the Chinese. That's a wrong calculation. And this is where you talk about the silent power struggle that exists between the world's two superpowers, China and the US, because this silent struggle is now playing out on the real, in real time, on the world's most crucial waterways, the Strait of Taiwan. Strait of Hormuz. That is why it's very important to understand this development. Because China in this case is not flirting with— China is not flirting with bullets or missiles. What? No, no, no, no, they're not gonna get into that yet. Not yet. Instead, China is using diplomatic routes by vetoing, by vetoing the presence of any force in the Strait of by supplying missile components to Iran behind closed doors, by deploying warships as silent warriors or warning, if I may use the term. And of course, the key to them is by letting sanctioned tankers probe and cross American resolve, one crossing at a time. That's how China's approaching this. And China doing all this short of a war because they know it's not— they're not ready. It's just not smart to do, to do face to face with the Americans at this point. You don't want to remember Sun Tzu, The Art of War. Remember that. However, I am not ruling out that Every— in every crisis, in my experience, in every crisis, there is always a tipping point. I don't know where that tipping point will be. Will it be when the vessel, the Chinese vessel, is boarded? Will it be if a Chinese sailor is killed? Will it— could it be a miscalculation at the sea? Because when you have two nuclear-armed superpowers are operating warships in the same narrow strait, that is where the challenge is. A waterway so tight that you can almost see both shores, so the margin for error becomes dangerously Then you can't afford it. And so far, Trump is not— he just lost for what's needed to be done. The Secretary of Defense is, which was unqualified for the position to begin with. And now it became clear that there's a hawkish and neocon pushing for more war. And of course, which I will share a clip with you at the end, Bibi, is the one that is directing the US on what to do behind the scenes. Americans are furious right now because a clip just came out, which I will share it with you in a second here. And this is again what the world has learned, and I'm gonna use history for you as my— as, uh, using history as my guide, I'll take you back to 1962. When Kennedy and Khrushchev, yeah, at that time, you all remember the speech of Nikita Khrushchev at the UN when he tapped his shoes on the podium there. When Kennedy and Khrushchev brought humanity to the edge over Cuba, we stepped back from the brink. But however, that action required backchannel diplomacy. Required secret compromises, which they were. And of course, leaders on both sides who blinked before it was too late. That is again the lesson we ought to learn. The question now is not whether Washington and Beijing have the same restraint or whether the prize of controlling the world oil supplies is simply too great to walk away from. Yeah, because one thing that I've learned, and I am in a process, I'm going to share it with you now even though I never want to say about it. I'm in process of writing or completing my book about China, and I argue in it always China is always playing the long game. China will probe, China will supply, China will position itself without pulling the trigger. Because every game, every game has a moment where patience runs out. China is aware of that. So make sure you drop me— oh, sorry, I knocked this down here. What is it? Yeah, make sure you drop me, uh, a comment. I always, like I said, I I always like to read your, your, your, your feedback. I did promise you I will show you— where did I put it? From— I don't know where did I put it, and I had it ready for you. Maybe I'll do it next time if I come across it soon, because I don't know where I put it. And, uh, oh yeah, I have it. I'm sorry, I was like, no way, it's because I organized it. All right, let me share the screen with you. Uh, it's disturbing, it's disturbing. I'm, I'm not surprised. I've been aware of it during my days in Washington. It's always been the norm. But here is what I need you to listen. It's in English. Not only I who speaks English, but it's so disturbing, and it tells you who's in charge. All right, let's take a listen, please.
Today with Vice President J.D. Vance. I spoke yesterday with Vice President J.D. Vance. He called me from his plane on the way back from Washington. He reported to me in detail, as the people of this administration do every day, on the development of the negotiations. In this case, the explosion in the negotiations, the explosion came from the American side, which was not willing to tolerate the blatant violation of the agreement to enter negotiations by Iran. Essentially, the agreement was that there would be a ceasefire and Iran would immediately open the crossings. They didn't do that. The Americans were not willing to accept it.
Okay, I'm gonna stop right there. That's not the important thing. The important part is the first part when he said, "They report to me," which means in every step the U.S. government gets involved in negotiations, they have to report to Tel Aviv. That's disturbing, and it tells you right there who is in charge of American foreign policy. Decisions are not made in Washington. They are made in Tel Aviv. And the decisions for the likes of Tokyo, Japan, Seoul, South Korea, Canberra, Australia, Germany, and Philippines, all of them are made in Washington. But the US foreign policy decisions are made in Tel Aviv. That should, that should give Americans a pause very, very, very seriously concerning aspects of it. Uh, let me take this opportunity to say thank you to Jane Wong. Thank you so much for your super sticker. I also saw Noel. Where is Noel? Right here. I saw it earlier here. Let me, let me pull it up and share it on the screen because I saw it when I logged in first. And thank you very much, Noel, for your continued support. Noel's been an avid supporter of the channel from, from day one, and many others of you. I'm just saying Noel since he's here. So others of you as well have been supporting the channel, and I am very, very grateful to all of you. Uh, let me see where, where is Noel here. Okay, I don't see it. I don't know. Yeah, oh, right there. Right there. Noel, much appreciate your, uh, your Super Sticker. Truly, truly appreciate you, uh, for appreciate you for that. All right, let me also say thank you to, uh, I want to say thank you to or give shout out to Carol Landy. Thank you for buying me cups of coffee, cups of coffees in support of the channel. I'm very grateful to you. And I also want to say thank you to Ronald Scherzer. Thank you very much for your support in buying me a cup of coffee. In support of the channel. So I'm very, very grateful to those who wants to support the channel. You all know, even though I am here on personal matter, I'm still have my commitment towards the community because I promised you that's what you would expect from me. So should you decide to support the channel, it is the link for, for that. And if you want to get a copy of the Iran book which I will highly recommend. There are also the— you, you can get a copy of that from this particular site. So I wrote what I shared with you on the Iran book. Anyway, I hope you enjoyed this. Please hit the like button and share this video with others, and I look forward to seeing you next time. As always, remember, geopolitics impacts your daily life in more ways than one. Till next time, bye-bye.
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