A New Global Order in the Making?

Hello everyone and welcome to Geopolitical Trends. My name is David Oualaalou. So good to be with you guys. Uh, here's the thing. China today declares its full support for Russia as a great power. That is a heavy statement that tells you about the changes to the global order that the West is not willing to accept. So, but before I'll delve deeper into this topic and provide you my brief analysis and insights on it, since it is something I'm a little bit familiar with, uh, uh, please don't forget to subscribe and hit the notification button so you will be notified every time I upload a new video. And by the way, guys, thank you so much for your support. It means a lot. As I wanted to grow this channel even bigger so we can reach more people and raise awareness. That is my objective. So let's delve, let's delve deeper into this topic because there is a lot to cover. And I'm just gonna sort of provide you the big picture from the global perspective for you to put things in perspective, that is. So just for you to have a clear understanding. Well, here's what happened today. And this is, by the way, by the time you see it, it will be 2 or 3 days. I might even release this tomorrow, first thing in the morning. So Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi has held a phone call with his Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov, and the two of them— and I had a chance to read the transcript for that— the two of them pledged, and get this, to strengthen bilateral ties and provide more stability to the world. Those are— this is a— those words are very measured, you know, in the world of diplomacy and global affairs and so forth. Those kind of words carries meaning and messages. And the message here is clear for the West. Make no mistakes about it. And I will explain this in a second here. So the Chinese Foreign Ministry, statements, which confirms the call, of course, saying that Mr. Wang Yi stressed that China— get this again, guys— will firmly support the Russian side, firmly support the Russian side to overcome difficulties to achieve the strategic goal of development and strengthen Russia's status as a great power. That is very, very powerful and significant. You know, the spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs also stressed that China and Russia— and this is of course based on the phone call that took place between Mr. Wang Yi and Mr. Sergey Lavrov, uh, as they discussed— this is the briefing of what that transcript was all about. So basically what they're saying is that the both of them Both foreign ministers stress that China and Russia have legitimate rights to development, which is in line with basically with the trends of our current time. What do they mean by that? There is a message there, and the message there is that the global shift is moving away from unipolar to a multipolar in which now the United States cannot be the only power in the world dictating the terms. That's what the statement means. Just— I'm going to repeat it for you just to put it in perspective. China and Russia have legitimate rights to development which is in line with the current time, the trends in current time, as, as he puts it. So Noting also that any attempt— and this is the statements goes on— any attempt to prevent Beijing and Moscow from moving forward is doomed to failure. Again, another message there to the West: no matter what you do, we are moving forward with this. And I've been seeing these trends moving forward. I've been writing about it. I've been discussing it on many, many videos. That's part of my academic background. I wrote a book about Russia in this particular aspect. So I'm kind of seeing again where the trends are headed. And to me, the phone call that took place today between Mr. Wang Yi and Mr. Lavrov just confirms what I've been saying for a while. So, so for his part, you know, Lavrov also said that Russia is ready to strengthen communication. That's very, very key, important communication with China at all levels. Which means what in a simple term is that we, the Russian, or Russia in this case, is going to cooperate with China on all levels. Now, there is one specific thing that I am putting a big question mark on, and I discussed it in my, uh, in my Russia book when I devoted an entire section to Russia-China relations. And even in that, I argued that they're gonna cooperate on all level except one particular thing, whether they're gonna move forward militarily or not. And this is the question that I'm gonna keep for you towards the end here. So, so basically, the communication with China, uh, between Russia and China is going to be on all levels, also to deepen the multilateral cooperation and jointly safeguard the Asian-Pacific region, as well as ensure peace and stability in the world. You can just see the, the hidden messages being sent to the West in light of this Ukraine crisis, of course, in light of these ill-defined policies, the sanctions that have wreaked havoc not only on Russia but on the world at large especially with the energy crisis. So the Chinese Foreign Ministry discussed views on the Ukrainian crisis, of course, and announced that the Russian side expressed its readiness to hold dialogue with Ukraine and the United States to resume negotiations. What does it all this means? It means that China can play a role of a mediator here because Ukraine cannot negotiate by itself. Ukraine does not have a sovereignty, and I'm gonna say it straightforward here. Let's not sugarcoat it, you know. I'm gonna say it straightforward because— excuse me, I just had to have a sip here— uh, it's because Ukraine is under the control of the United States. So if the US said, sure, you go negotiate, then Ukraine will do, you know. To those who are not, uh, sort of didn't wake up to this reality sort of, you kind of need to realize Ukraine cannot make decisions. Ukraine has no power to make decisions. That's how it is. So here is my, uh, at least my insights or analysis or whatever you want to call it. So the way I see it, and based again on what I wrote in my Russia book, because I detailed this kind of aspect, the way I see it, like I discussed before, is the possibility of Russia-China alliance could provide both countries, Russia and China, the right platform on the global stage, that is, on which to further their cooperation on all fronts, which is exactly what I talked about few years ago, uh, including the military. So there is no certainty, of course, about what the global geopolitical landscape might look like in the next decade or so. Because you have to keep in mind, as an analyst, you have to think in terms of, of course, the scenarios of what if, but also you have to think in terms of what kind of world affairs we're gonna be dealing with in the next decade. Well, now we are starting to see. This is why it's an interesting time for you to be alive in this. I, I didn't witness this in during World War II because I wasn't born back then. But this is, to me, it's an interesting fact because you are now part of history, seeing it unfolding before your eyes as the world shifts from a unipolar into a multipolar. So it's very, very important. So, uh, and as I argued before, one cannot conclude that the Russia-China alliance will further— because again, it will further And this is, of course, when you reach the conclusion that if this rapprochement between China and Russia will only do one particular— that one particular thing, and the thing is it will contribute to a precipitous shift in the global order and further decline of United States' share of global power. And this is exactly what we are witnessing right now. So because we can't You can't be a sort of, uh, uh, uh, sugarcoating it or cherry-picking in the word. You gotta word it the way it is, and that's how it is. The world is shifting, and the West does not want to accept that reality that its days of glory, the dominance, the hegemony, and so forth, it's coming to an end. That's the reality of it. So one thing is that the shift in the global balance of power is already underway. And this is when I say, you know, the West is kind of playing games with itself. Let's just not pretend that we're still dominating the world. And no, no, that era is gone. So, but here's what I found also interesting. Don't ever think that just because Russia and China are cooperating and now China's support, it's made public, there is some underlying issues between China China and Russia that they're gonna have to manage. What am I talking about here? I am talking about the idea that, uh, uh, Central Asia, it's very, very, very important. Why? Because there is a competition between China and Russia regarding the dominance in Central Asia. And why is this important? If you look at history and read about history, you're gonna find out that most of the major powers in the world for them to control or manage the world or take over or be a global power, whatever, it has to start at the Central Asia, the Caucasus area, you know. And if you look at history again, most of the power, most of the global powers that lost power is because they lost Central Asia. This is why this competition between Russia and China in Central Asia is under the radar. And my opinion— in my opinion, it would behoove both countries, Russia and China, to figure out a way of how to balance out their interest, their strategic interest, that is, so China does not step over Russia and Russia does not step over China. So, excuse me. There is also another aspect that I need to address for you, is that— and this is part of the statements that's coming out, or that came out, out of the Chinese Foreign Ministry— is that Beijing appreciates Russian President Vladimir Putin's speech, and especially on one particular aspect. And that aspect is when President Putin said that he, regarding the One China policy, that he is in support of that. Again, read between the lines. That is a message to the West regarding Taiwan. If there is any issue— remember I did the video last time and I told you, will the United States and China go to a war over Taiwan. And by the way, thank you so much for your answer for all that, and I do appreciate reading your comments and so forth. This is the reason why I'm saying, which means Russia is sending a message to the West that we will stand by China should there ever be a military conflict regarding Taiwan. This is why China— Vladimir Putin, President Putin, you give him the proper respect to all of them. When a president, you call by the title. So President Putin made it clear that he adheres— Russia in this, in this case— adheres to one China principle. That is, that is very, very, very important. And also the Chinese Foreign Ministry added that the US is promoting a false narrative about China's nuclear policy, noting that China has a responsibility regarding the use of nuclear weapons, which is a very— it's, it's, it's nuclear weapon is no small matter. And you can't— for us, we need to understand the severity of what's going on right now in Ukraine as NATO and the West is pushing Russia to If you corner Russia, and in their nuclear doctrine, they will, they will deploy, they will use nuclear weapon, because when their interests are threatened, their sovereignty and security are threatened, they're gonna use nuclear weapon. So on China's part, he made it clear as to where they stand on this issue. So good relations between Russia and China does not mean an agreement on all aspects, as I said earlier. Some. Well, here's my conclusion for you. So for now, suffice it to state that the Russia-China understanding does not— and I repeat this— does not bode well for the United States or the West, for, for that matter, especially in time of an ambiguous American foreign policy, a dysfunctional U.S. Congress, and high-energy prices hit at home, in addition to an American population discontent over where the country is headed. So this is where I see it moving forward. So, so here's my question for you for today: do you believe that Russia-China alliance will translate into a military one? Let me repeat: do you believe that China and Russia rapprochement or agreement, whatever you want to call it, translates into a military alliance. Make sure to leave me some comments and let me know what you think. As always, remember, geopolitics impacts your daily life more ways than one. Till next time, guys, bye-bye.