Does Iran Secretly Have a Nuke? What Really Happened...

All right, hello everybody and welcome to Geopolitical Trends, where truth matters. Right now, West Asia, or Middle— known also as Middle East, is a single miscalculation away from an all-out war. This is exactly what just happened with the US provocation, and this after the United States jets sort of targeted Iranian bases in Qeshm and in Bandar Abbas. And you know what happened? Iran didn't just back down, they fired back, slamming missiles directly into US assets at Kuwait International Airport. And I have the pictures to prove it and show it to you. So the fragile ceasefire that we've been talking about, you know, for the last whatever many weeks, you know, is in theater. Yeah, is in theater right now. It is, uh, that's it. And the US Navy is on a really a high alert, as I get yesterday some confirmation regarding the Fifth Fleet. So, and this is exactly what the mainstream media isn't telling you the truth about, about the damage that Iran has caused. And again, I have the pictures to show it and prove it to you. So in this live stream, I'm going to be providing you my own analysis about this recent development which started yesterday, June 3rd. Uh, that's, that's, that's when it happens. And I'll share some information with you from different sources in West Asia and, uh, just provide you my own insight. And I'll conclude with some clips and I'm gonna be playing with you. So now, how— the logical question to be asked is really, how close are we? Some say World War III. Yes, there is possibility to that. Let's just call it a major war. And this is exactly what happened with the recent US strikes, uh, on, on Qeshm Island and Bandar Abbas. As a matter of fact, I have the pictures to show you. This is Qeshm Island right there. And this is exactly, uh, oh, and Bandar Abbas. Bandar Abbas is right here. So, and this is exactly what happened when the US carried out as targeted, targeted tactical response. What the US is saying, oh, we're saying, oh, we just want to get into, you know, preemptive of sort because those attacks, which was initiated by the United States, to me, I look at it as a provocation, no more, no less. So, and this tells you about the military scrimmages in the Persian Gulf that is ongoing between the US and Iran. So both nations now are currently operating under this fragile sort of somehow strained ceasefire. But apparently the US has broken down, and I'm gonna tell you why. But before I'll do this, I'm gonna share a clip with you, and I want to show you exactly the images that mainstream media in the West is not— might not allow that one. This one is from, uh, Angelo Juliano, I consider him a friend. He's been on the show a couple times, and I'm gonna share with you the— share the screen and let you read for yourself. So I'm not gonna read it for you out loud. So let's, uh, sorry, let's take a look here, uh, to the screen, and I'm gonna share it. Okay, hold on a second. Let me— all right, right there. I'm gonna make this bigger for you a little bit. To see what you can, uh, and right there you can see the images. This is in Kuwait City Airport, badly damaged. Those are the images. And, and, uh, and I trust, uh, Angelo, he's not gonna just make up things. There is no such thing because I confirmed it from different sources, and I have the link. I'm gonna share it with you later on to show you the damages that's been caused. So now at least, uh, you saw it with your own, uh, with your own eyes to know that, uh, the damage has been, uh, uh, uh, or happened, that is. So what I'm gonna do now is provide you the US perspective about this and the Iran perspective, and of course, like I always do, let you make your own decision. So here is the US explanation. This is what the United States, the Pentagon, is saying our action are in self-defense. Self-defense from what? We'll go with that. So here is what the Central Command is saying, and even some American officials are saying. They are stating that the strikes were preemptive, were localized, meaning limited location for that, and of self-defense nature. And when those officials were asked why, they said, oh, this act by the United States, or this provocation, meant to counter immediate threats to international shipping and US forces rather than an attempt to provoke a full-scale war. This is the US explanation, which doesn't make any sense since the US is also imposing blockade And Iran has issued warning that they have for, uh, uh, international shipping and so forth. They have to coordinate with Iran. So where is the threat here? And that is exactly why the US went ahead with this. I think Donald Trump was forced into taking action, and we all know who control Donald Trump. So what happened with these attacks? Because I need to to you what was targeted in these two locations. There are specific targets that have been, uh, uh, uh, uh, sort of, uh, sort of, uh, uh, uh, aimed at in these two locations, Bandar Abbas and also in Qeshm Island. The two main ones that were attacked there is the drone ground control and the radars. And that's where the US fighter jets hit a ground control station and a radar installation on both Keshem Island and Bandar Abbas. And the justification for the Central Command is saying, oh, those sites were preparing to launch one-way attack drone threatening naval and commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. Well, wait a minute, under what condition Iran will do that? Only if the ships didn't coordinate with Iran. As a matter of fact, if you remember last time I did live stream for you, I, I remember telling you that Iran allowed about 33 ships to pass, and they did pass. Of course, some, some other, uh, uh, uh, data stated that it was only 31. To my knowledge, based on the research that I did, was 33. The point is not that 31 or 33. The point is that those ships coordinated with Iran and they were able to pass. So when the US said, oh, we had to attack because we were preventing one launch strike by Iran on the ships, there were none. The other one has to do with the US justifying its action by mine lane interdiction. In other words, they wanted to intercept what Iran is doing with laying the mines in the Persian Gulf. Okay, since when? Iran already did that. The mines are already there. And this is where you have to see, and the Central Command justification is, oh, oh, we caught the Iranian laying naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz. And were subsequently eliminated, which we know, you and I know, it's a lie. Anything coming out of the White House, anything coming out of the Pentagon, anything coming out of State Department is a lie. Here is the third justification that the US is saying: oh, we had to attack the anti-air defense threats. Threats, not missiles, not launchers. Threats, like, like some concept in the air. The US justification is that there is a base, there is a, uh, uh, uh, surface-to-air missile known as SAM, uh, a launching pad in Bandar Abbas. This is why the US went ahead and attacked that particular site, uh, of SAM in Bandar Abbas. Surface-to-air missiles. Once again, the US has to justify this, and the US is saying, oh, those, those missiles, those launch pads are, are attacking American fighter jets, warplanes. Well, they will attack American fighter jets if you cross into Iran airspace, and of course they will have the right because you violated their airspace, you violated their sovereignty. What do you expect? And the fourth element that the US is stating is that this has to do with the blockade enforcement. So when you consider, in tandem with the strikes, US forces fired a Hellfire missile to disable an oil tanker. And why? Because the oil tanker was attempting to bypass the American naval blockade. On Iranian ports. Yeah, if the US is doing a blockade and, and de-justifying that, Iran will have the right to respond. And this is exactly— lead me to talk about the Iran perspective. Iran sees this act as an act of aggression. That's one. And second one is it violates that so-called fragile ceasefire. So Iran strongly rejected this defensive framing from Washington, and rightly so, if I may, because the strikes by the US is really an illegal provocation. That's the way I see it, looking from outside in. That's the only way I explain it. To give you a better example, it's like what happened a few years ago in South China Sea. The US sent the frigate and some naval assets through the South China Sea near Chinese border and called it all freedom of navigation. You come in closer. They didn't cross. Let me just emphasize this. Those naval assets didn't cross the 12 nautical mile known by international law. Nonetheless, why do you need to go that close to the Chinese border? And when the Chinese and the Russians— because I remember that incident. Sent their naval assets near Alaska, we cried foul. Oh, the Chinese and the Russians are near our borders. How do you think the other countries feel? And this is exactly why I look at this action by the US as an illegal provocation, because now what the US just did, it's really violating the ceasefire, no matter how you look at it, fragile, weak, whatever. It was some sort of a ceasefire that existed. The US just violated it open. And that's why the Foreign Ministry of Iran condemned these attacks on, on Qeshm Island. Because what the US ended up targeting, they targeted the communication towers and the radar towers as well. Because it's unproven. It just— it's an aggression, simple as that. There's no other way of saying it. And why there is another problem with this from an international perspective is because those locations, not the military sites, is the civilian telecommunication tower. This is considered a civilian sovereign infrastructure. In a war, there are laws, then there are rules. You don't engage in destroying civilian infrastructure. You have to, you know, we do know this, but at the same time, we are not a signatory to the sort of certain organizations that deal with war crimes and all that stuff. We're not a signatory to it. But in this case, This is what the US did. Targeting a civilian and sovereign infrastructure is a violation of the law because he crossed the lines. Now, when you start targeting the coastline, when you start targeting infrastructure, when you start targeting oil tankers rather than purely offensive military installations, the explanation is there. It's become clear to the rest of the world to see who the aggressor is. And this is again where Iran comes in, the immediate retaliation. Iran didn't hold back, didn't wait. And the US was thinking, oh, we're going to just fire at Iran, we're going to intimidate them. It looks like we haven't learned anything for the last 3+ decades. You're not going to intimidate the Iranians, the Persians for that matter. And in response to this, Qeshm and Bandar Abbas— let me put the map here. This is Qeshm Island and this is Bandar Abbas, just for you to know where everything is. In response to this, the IRGC went ahead and launched a wave of ballistic missiles and drones. They sent two types Hey, that's why that devastation you saw, uh, when I shared the clip earlier, how massive it was in Kuwait. And now Kuwait is crying foul. Well, wait a minute, I was in Kuwait. I passed through to the military installations there because my unit back then in the military, we were used to rotate to Kuwait and Egypt. So we do have a massive presence in Kuwait. Now it becomes on Kuwait. You're the one who allowing this. And at the same time, in my opinion, Iran is sending a strong message not just to Kuwait, to the rest of the Gulf states, all of them. Let me put, uh, as long as you have US military installations there, you are a target because the launching of the attacks on Iran is coming from those locations. Of course— all right, there we go, my screen froze for a minute. Of course the US is saying, oh, we are not launching from this kind, we're launching from an aircraft carrier. I don't buy that. I don't buy that. But again, there is a reason for that. in the chat box for the community, for everybody to know which country is the 5th fleet is being hosted. So just put that in the chat box, I would greatly appreciate it. Now, when we consider the broader geopolitical strategy for all this, you're gonna have to think in terms how this act by, by US provocation and the response of Iran. I'm not just justifying only the provocation of the US, but I'm also have to include in the assessment and the analysis the response of Iran. And both actions, the US provocation Iran's response and put them within the broader geopolitical strategy or landscape for that matter, because it's important. And why is this? Because the immediate physical trigger was the ongoing game of tit for tat. It's like what they say in the Arab culture, an eye for an eye. I mean, we have it even in Christianity for those religious laws and so forth. I'm just giving a comparison here. It's not the same, but I'm just giving a comparison. Basically what Iran did is that you targeting us, we're going to target you, whatever you are nearby, whatever the stuff have been launched from. I mean, remember, Iran didn't go and attack Saudi Arabia. No, they attacked Kuwait and Kuwait because the US presence and where some of the operations was launched from. So they stood foot for that. Tit for tat, rather, escalation over drone shootdowns and the ship transit. And this is again where you have to understand something that is invisible. And what is that thing that is invisible? As an analyst, you're going to have to think in terms— what it all this means, what messages are both sending. This is where you have, uh, the calculated diplomatic and strategic play that is under the ground, hidden, hidden behind this launching of missiles and so forth. There is a diplomatic, a calculated one, and there is also a strategic play here in this scenario. And the two one you can think of, you think of the negotiating leverage. Here is the thing. Donald Trump— Donald Trump is intentionally keeping up heavy military pressure on Iran's coast. Okay, why? The strategic objective is to systematically degrade the infrastructure Iran uses to threaten the Strait of Hormuz. That's his argument. Of course, that's Mr. Trump. He's not all together. So This pressure aims to force— in his opinion, is going to force Tehran into a permanent peace deal with the United States, of course, and Israel that must include strict provisions to dismantle its nuclear program and uranium enrichment capabilities. Well, good luck with that, Mr. Trump. Keep dreaming. Good luck with that. But again, that's what Trump is thinking, okay? The second thing is the fragile diplomacy, and you're going to have to consider this a part of this equation. Both sides— and this is not just from the US on this one here— both sides, both sides continue the talks to a degree, but also continue the trade heavy strikes. Look what the US did. Look what Iran response was. And neither Washington nor Tehran has officially declared the April ceasefire completely dead. That is the key. Iranian are playing the game. The US thinking they have the upper hand. When it's not. And this is why you have right now, and I just checked it this morning, the foreign minister of Saudi Arabia, the, the, the head of Qatar, they are trying to figure out a way of mediation. This is where you have the regional mediation is so heavily now stalled because they all realize as long as American forces still on your soil, you are a target. Simple as that. Iran made that clear. And if this Gulf state didn't get it, then they must be like, uh, not all right in the head, because it's as clear as it gets. You don't have to be an analyst to figure this out. And that is why now they are trying to push for communication with mediators and so forth. But nothing is moving forward because what the US did and what Israel is doing in southern Lebanon. Remember, those issues are not resolved, and Israel's bi-attack in southern Lebanon is wanted to not allow the US to have any agreement or reach a deal with Iran. Of course, the US is thinking we're going to pressure Iran into submission. Good luck with that. And that's the harsh reality that Washington is not willing to accept. That is the problem in Washington. And this leads me to think about this response of Iran by attacking US base in Kuwait, because Iran is framing these strikes by missiles and drones against US assets in Kuwait and Bahrain. By the way, let me see your answer in the chat box if you happen to, to know which country, uh, that was. Oh, oh, you're right, uh, Abbas Ibrahim, you are, you're right, is in Bahrain. That's what it is. So that's where Iran now is responding because Iran justifies its attack, or response, I'm sorry, not attack, a response as a provocation from the United States. And this is where the region now is worrying about, we're going to have to mediate somehow. But here is the stupidity, if I may use the term, those Arab state— Arab Muslim states in the Persian Gulf are not addressing the fundamental question, the fundamental issue. And that fundamental issue is, as long as you have US presence on your soil, you are a target. Because Iran is not going to trust taking, uh, or, uh, the word of those Arab states when they say, oh, nothing is launched from our soil. But if nothing is launched from your soil, why do you still have American presence there? And this is where Iran strategy comes in. This is when you really, really realize Iran is not going into this emotionally. No, no, no, no, no. They have a plan and they have a strategy because Iran's response strategy is operating on 3 distinct fronts. You have the asymmetrical denial, you have the diplomatic leverage, and you have the threat expansion against the Gulf states as long as they allow the presence of American, uh, uh, presence there. And this is again what Iran's message to the Persian Gulf states are: a retaliatory claim, a lesson learned or served, or a message, uh, delivered. The barrage of the, uh, uh, uh, missiles and drones that IRGC launched targeting US forces in Kuwait and the 5th fleet headquarters in Bahrain were direct proportional response to the US strikes on Qeshm Island and Bandar Abbas. Eye for an eye, tit for tat. And that's exactly what the Iranian state media signaled with these strikes. It used the specific word. I read the article for that. And I put it in quotes when it says, "This attack should serve as a lesson." And by this logic, you know, by this logic, when you think about it, the immediate timeline, by the time— another word— by the time the US launched the attack, it was followed by a strike by Iran. Of course, Iran has to do one more thing, and you know what that thing is, is that has to state— it's— you guys know how it is in war, the information becomes also another tool. How you word the message, how you deliver that. By Iran having— Iran denying a civilian intent, it clears itself. They are not targeting civilians, which their objective wasn't civilians. But there is a presence of the US in this facility. Remember, the airport in Kuwait is where the US military hardware lands. It's like what Ben Gurion now is becoming, which I will share a picture with you in a second here. So despite the heavy damage, heavy damage on Terminal 1 at Kuwait International Airport— I remember, I've been there, so I kind of— it's a big airport. So one person was killed, uh, and there were other that were injured. You know, it's like what happened with that school in Iran with 167 girls, but that was targeted Why did we launch a missile at a schoolgirl? Where girls go study, kids, those are kids. That's a violation of international law. That's a war crime. However, in this case, Iran maintains that its military only targets US installations. And hold Kuwait directly responsible for hosting American forces. It's exactly what I've been saying since the beginning of the war. And I recall saying that if those Gulf states do not come to grips with the reality that they're going to remain target as long as the US is present, military presence continues there. And here we are. And that in itself, the message from Iran to the Gulf is that's going to now be much wider threat to the Gulf states. Of course, the US is going to always going to say to the Gulf states, we are behind you, we will defend you. Good luck with that. We won't defend anybody. Look what we've been saying to Ukraine. And that's why Taiwan now is getting the message. It's because what Iran is doing with this, this neighboring Gulf states, is Iran is targeting the source the source of where the attacks are planned, hatched, launched, and directed. And that's exactly what the Iranian Foreign Ministry issued, this severe warning stating that it will target the origin and source of any US strikes. Yeah, to me, it's just, it's, it's common sense. You, the host country, You are allowing your territory, allowing U.S. military presence, allowing the launch of the attacks from your territory, in this case Kuwait, Bahrain. That's directly their responsibility. That's why the Saudis few— 2 weeks ago went ahead and said to the Americans, sorry, You can use our airspace to launch anything. You can use our space, period. Regarding Iran war, use it for something else, but that's about it. And that in itself, Iran is thinking in terms of imposing a cost. This is a strategic cost in the US partners: Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia. And if you think as, from an intelligence perspective, if you are an intelligence analyst, you're gonna say to yourself, Iran is shifting to a strategy of striking regional states. Because why? Because Tehran calculates that by damaging local infrastructure, like in Kuwait airport case, It can pressure America's Arab allies into restricting US military flights, operations, and what have you without directly involving the US. And that's exactly the point of Iran, why it did what it did. If the truth matters to you, hit like, subscribe, and tap that bell. No spin, no agenda. Just the stories they don't want you to know. Don't watch from the sideline. Be part of the movement. Your support keeps the truth alive. Thank you. The other point is that while all this happening, there are still talks between US and Iran behind the scenes under fire. Like I said last time, Iran is talking but it has its finger on the trigger. Simple. We'll talk when you want to talk, we'll strike when you strike. So despite the severity of the exchange, what just happened, Iran is not walking away from the negotiating table. No, no, no, no, no, entirely. But of course, no, no, no, no, they're using the attacks as a sort of a form of brinkmanship. It's a leverage. That's exactly how it works. It's because American government cannot be trusted. What do you— we will say we'll do this and do that, and, and look what we just did. Because what we just did is provocation. Simple, plain and simple, is provocation. When you target the communication infrastructure, you know, that's also cell phones where people use Those considered civilian infrastructure. When you target bridges, those are civilian infrastructure. At the same time, Iran is still going through back channels, which is Qatar and Pakistan. Uh, that, that back channel still remain active as of now. I just want you to be aware of that, because here is what the leadership in Iran, especially with Mojtaba Khamenei. They are stating that the US bases in West Asia or Middle East are no longer safe. That's the direct quote from them. That's from Mojtaba Khamenei and his advisers, are no longer safe. Well, if you are Kuwait, if you are Bahrain, if you are Qatar, if you are Saudi Arabia, if you are United Arab Emirates, you're going to have to listen carefully and read between the line. Yeah, that's exactly what the meaning of it. US bases in the region are no longer safe. Can't get clearer than that. It's because what Iran, the message is sending without saying it, is that Iran intends— here is what we plan, here is what we intend to do— without telling you We're only going to put a quote for you, is that American bases in the region are all target. Doesn't have to point to a specific country because Iran is intending to use this sort of missile strikes to prove the status quo is unsustainable for Washington. And that's with one objective, and that objective is to force a final deal that guarantees total, total US military withdrawal from the Gulf in exchange for permanent peace. It's because simple, and the simplicity of it is this. I'm going to put the back the map of the Middle East, or West Asia rather, or this one, uh, this one right there. Sorry, right there. As long as the US presence in this Gulf, Iran will never Be safe. And here is the harsh reality that I'm going to share with you. If this issue, that is the conflict that is going on right now, is not resolved the way it's supposed to be, and you, as we said, oh, we entered into peace and now that's it, everything is fine. No, it's not. It's because, mark my word on it, 10 to 15 years from now We're gonna see the same scenario. I argued back then before I even wrote the book, before I even completed my doctoral studies, before— when I was in college on a master's degree, was studying and all that stuff. And I argued back then, and the argument I made with some colleagues and professors when we would talk, I said, Eran, we never bow to to the US despite the pressure of, of sanctions. That was back in the '90s, and here we are. And that's my point. The Gulf states needs to understand this reality. And this leads me to talk about one more key theme in this livestream, and this has to do with Iran's nuclear bomb. And I'm going to be sharing this with you in a form of question: Does Iran have a nuke? Of course, they are different. When I judge it, when I jump into conclusions here, it's because I like to have evidence. I like to be sure of the sources, and I usually check and double-check and triple-check to make sure. But I am not— but I'm not going to refrain from asking the question. Does Iran have them? Some will say, well, some sources say they are. When you have the, at least during my days in Washington, the intelligence community, even international watchdogs, they all of them say Iran possesses an operational nuclear weapon. Then you have independent commentator, you have whatever else, YouTube programs, you whatever, interviews. And the interesting aspect is you hear it from US officials. As a matter of fact, I just heard one from Marco Rubio is saying about admiring that Israel has nuclear weapons, which is unusual for, uh, they don't come out openly and say. But regarding Iran, he, he and others like him will always say inside sources, but they don't have the proof. They don't have the proof. Oh, that's why we're doing what we're doing. We want to prevent this because of inside sources. Well, I'm here to tell you, I'll ask the question, does Iran have nukes? But I will not answer because of an inside source, because I don't have that. That's one. Second, I cannot confirm that, but that doesn't mean we cannot leave the question open. So the consensus among even the IAEA, which I don't trust, the International Atomic Energy Agency, Even the assessments among the US intelligence community, even the assessments of some well-established geopolitical analysts from around the world remain conclusive. And the conclusion is, is that Iran has not built or tested a functional bomb. That's where it stands today. My argument, because I may be having different type of information from reliable sources, might have the capability to assemble one in no time. And I think after the assassination of Ali Khamenei, his son Mojtaba moving forward with it. So the distinctions between what is in Iran or what Iran has as far as capabilities and the what's been stated by those inside sources, because I, I can call them rumors, uh, this will rely on 3, 3 key elements. And the 3 key elements or realities are, for example, the fissile material versus a completed bomb. You can have the material, but you don't have the completed bomb. And this is why I've been always saying this. We might even use the term Iran has the nuke, has the nukes as far as material, but not a complete product. And this is where some might misunderstand of how close Iran has come to having the capability to make one. Now, with what just happened with this war, They are ready to move to the next phase. How long is it going to take them to make that final decision? I do not know. I do not know. All I know is that the Supreme Leader, Musab Khamenei, and his people surrounding him are moving into that direction. Some voices inside Tehran are moving into that direction. It's because this will repeat again if Iran The way I see it, and please, guys, correct me if I'm wrong, if you disagree, that's what we are here for, is to exchange ideas. The way I see the strategic mistake, and I did say this before, the strategic mistake Iran is making is if it enters into another deal with the US only to see 10 or 20 years from now the scenario being repeated again. And that is again, when you think about this fissile material versus completed bomb, the stockpile, the IAEA has said that Iran has built significant stockpile and Iran admitted it. It's not like they're hiding that. No, no, no, no, they're hiding though. There's a record there. You're looking at over 400 kilograms. As a matter of fact, the last number I saw was 440. 440. It was another database from a military institute overseas stated that it was about 440. So between 440 and 460 kilograms of enriched uranium, and that enriched uranium was up to 60. It won't take them long to increase that if they want to, to 90 if they have. So, and the breakout time. When you think about this, the 60% enriched material is considered near weapons grade. And that is why I'm saying once— it's not if— once Iran makes the political decision to, to break out and further enrich this 1.290, which won't take them long anyway, yeah, it could produce enough. Fissile core for a bomb in a matter of days, not months, not weeks, not years. No, no, no, no. In a matter of days. And I am sensing, and again, based on what I'm reading, I'm sensing that they are moving into that direction. Will they make a decision tomorrow? I don't know. All I know is that they are moving into it. And this is again, where that missing steps are. They are missing parts that you need to understand about this is that having a uranium core is not the same as having a working weapon. And this is even the data, the information inside the sub— the Intelligence Subcommittee inside Congress in the US, which is like part of the US Congressional Research Service, which deal with classified and sensitive information. Iran still lacks some viable nuclear weapon designs, but how hard will it be to re— given the conditions now, how hard will it be for Iran to reach out to other countries, ask for that? Then it has, of course, if they do that, they're going to have to do a flight test for reentry vehicle for a ballistic missile. That was the reason why Iran went ahead and launched at Diego Garcia base, because that was an ICBM. Then you have to have specialized detonation, explosive detonation for that system that will work. All these components, you have to sort of gather them into a deliverable missile warhead. And that takes a few weeks to put that together. Suffice it to say that the impact of the recent military strikes— Iran came to the realization that by doing so, Iran is going to respond and target the— or disturb or disrupt, rather, the ordinary life in the Gulf states. Simple as that. I mean, when you have even the US CIA, the US Director of National Intelligence, before she retired, before she resigned, stating that Iran do not have a weapon, all they are referring to is the idea that the nuclear nods They have the pieces together, but nothing has been sort of structured yet. And this is where Natanz, Fardau, and Isfahan— because there is a barrier to that. And the last thing I want to mention here, it has to do with while we're talking about the nukes here, you have another leader, world leader, that's Kim Jong-un. Un just did something a few days ago. And what did he do? He announced the doubling of military nuclear material production. Once again, read between the lines. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, he said that his country now— production of weapon-grade nuclear material has more than doubled. Yeah, he understands He's not going to do the same mistake Iran did. This is the targeting of those locations. This is the Isfahan and, uh, uh, uh, the locations of Iran's nuclear program. But for Kim, it's a different ball game. He is drawing a lesson from this. Because Kim's remarks came during an inspection of a nuclear material production facility that recently went into operation. And that's exactly the picture I'm sharing with you right there. Those are Iran missiles, but I do have one that's their largest ICBM., for, uh, Iran, which that one, by the way, can hit the US anywhere in the US, by the way. And Kim Jong-un pledged now to strengthen North Korea's military nuclear capability. He didn't say military capability, military nuclear capability. And he also revealed that his country has an ambitious future plan regarding the nuclear deterrence or capabilities. Uh, if I am to read this between the lines, I'm going to read it in this way. I'm going to read it in a way that the Russians is going to share some upgrade technology with the North Koreans regarding the ICBMs, nuclear-tipped, because the Russians just tested something very, very, very, very destructive, very destructive. And the multiple warheads that can carry nuclear, uh, uh, payload Basically, you flatten everything all in one strike. That is how I read Kim Jong-un pledging that to upgrade North Korea's nuclear military nuclear capabilities. Because to Kim, this time represents literally the best period ever for a successful change regarding the nuclear doctrine. Because to him is an historic moment. And that in itself marks some sort of a milestone because he is learning from what's taking place in Iran. If Iran had developed its nuclear capability back then, we won't be having this conversation altogether. And that, with that, come one more question which put really things to test. When you think about North Korea, okay, and when you think about Iran, is why is North Korea— why, why a nuclear power is permissible for North Korea but is forbidden for Iran? And it's something, in my opinion, it's worth asking. It's worth asking. I still don't have the exact answer. I have some sort of an answer, but I want to hear from you first before I share mine in the comments when we— when I respond to you. So here's my conclusion for you, because I want to conclude this, play some clips for you and sign off. So the ongoing clash, the ongoing now that is taking place in the Persian Gulf, in the area near, uh, uh, Qeshm and, uh, Bandar Abbas. It proves that a fragile truce cannot survive without real diplomatic agreement, or compromise for that matter, as both Washington Tehran trade now these devastating strikes because those are devastating. Of course, here in media, when I say here, I'm referring to the US. I'm not in the US, the US. And I read, of course, from a distance here, and I call and I check, and they're not reporting it as this. Oh, no damage has been caused, whatever. But those are devastating strikes. Just to let you know. And the risk of an uncontainable regional war grows with every single day as we move forward, especially now that Congress is now challenging Trump, might end up putting a pause on this war because it's Congress that decides. So even Republicans are turning on Trump himself. But again, people get what they vote for in America. Now, all politicians corrupted in America. Anyway, you all know, we're not gonna beat the dead horse here. So, so what do you think? Will this severe tactical exchanges force both— this is my question for you— force both Iran and the US into permanent peace, a deal of sort? Or in your opinion, have we just witnessed now the opening salvos of an unstoppable global conflict? Let me repeat this question for you, because I want— I would like to really read your feedback on this. Will this severe tactical exchanges between the US and Iran sort of force both sides into a permanent peace or a deal, or have we just now witnessed the opening salvos of an unstoppable global conflict? So make sure to leave me your comments in the comment section, uh, if you feel like it. I would greatly appreciate it. All right, let me share clips with you as promised, and I'm going to sign off after that. The first clip I'm going to share with you, it has to do with the with the airport. All right, let me start it here. It's in English, so you— I don't need to do translation for you. I think something I already mentioned, but I just want you be aware of. All right, let's take a lesson here, please. Israel has effectively turned its airport into a US military base. According to Israel's own logic, this is now a legitimate target for Iran to strike. And that's it, because like I said last time, Ben-Gurion now hosts more US military planes than you can even imagine. So, so Iran is a legitimate target because what those planes are there for Oh, so it's common sense. Same thing that the Gulf States needs to learn from. Next clip is, uh, uh, hold on. Okay, this one has to do with, uh, Donald Trump, what he's been saying. Uh, this, I know it's not related to this, but it will make sense to— for you to understand the double standards that exist within the American system, even from a president of the United States. Take a listen here, please.

And the U.S. Supreme Court has just delivered an unprecedented verdict. Trump must either deport his own family or resign as president. The U.S. Supreme Court has just delivered an unprecedented verdict, ordering Donald Trump to obey the same strict immigration laws he created for America. After an in-depth investigation, the justices discovered that both Trump's and Melania's grandparents entered the country illegally, crossing the border without documents, just like the families targeted for years by Trump's own policies. Now, the ruling is clear: unless Trump steps down, Melania and their children must leave the United States immediately. The justices declared, Justice starts at home. You can't protect your own family while tearing immigrant families apart. This double standard is over. The message is simple: no one is above the rules, not even the president. Social media has erupted. Millions are in disbelief. For the first time, Trump faces the pain and uncertainty he caused for so many others. Share before it disappears. Justice at last starts at the top.

Uh, spot on. And again, I say this about everything, you know, no one is better than anyone else. And, and let alone Trump, doesn't even respect certain laws that are embedded in our Constitution. So that's, that, that's Trump. And the last one I will share with you, uh, this is Tucker Carlson. I, I've— it came across my desk here and I found it very, very interesting. Within has to do with the bigger picture of, uh, uh, the bigger picture of really what's, what's the objective. What's the objective of certain entities, especially when it comes down to Israel? It'll make more sense to you. Take a listen, please. They're trying to turn religions against each other in our country. You make them fight with each other. Turn them against each other, you heard the rabbi say. Now, how could this play out?

Very simple.

There are about 15.5 million Jews in the world total. There are about 2.5 billion Christians, and there are about 2 billion Muslims. So whatever happens next is not going to be a fight between the Muslims and the Jews, because 2 billion versus 15 million, not much of a fight. This is likely to be, if not brought under control immediately, or maybe it's too late, a war, a religious war, the one that Lindsey Graham just described between Muslims and Christians. I notice it's very obvious efforts by Israel and its proxies in the United States to foment a religious conflict in our country. Hate all the Muslims, deport the Muslims, as if that's better than saying hate all the Jews.

It's not better.

It's the same thing. Very interesting. I just wanted to bring this to your attention. This has not— I don't do religion, you all know this, but I found it very interesting because that will be one of the way if you want to really, really create division inside a society, you go that route. Because when it comes down to religion, a lot of people get so emotional about it. But anyway, I just wanted to share this with you. I hope you enjoy. By the way, I hope you enjoyed listening to the video that I did. Uh, as a matter of fact, uh, this one is coming up soon. I will be releasing a recorded analysis that I did. I hope you, you, you take a listen to it and, uh, and share your feedback with it. I did post one last time, and I would greatly appreciate it if you can share your feedback, uh, because if you like this kind of analysis in a recorded setting, I usually go about 15-20 minutes sometimes 22, whatever. If you like those, the way I know that you like those or you want to have more of those is by looking at your comments and, and, and if you like them and how many response to this. If there is no reception for that, then I won't do it. So I don't want to waste your time, I don't want to waste mine. I take this opportunity, I want to say thank you to AFU9375. 5 for buying me cups of teas in support of my upcoming Asia trip. Yes, I didn't forget about that. And here is where we are right now. We are at 48%, didn't cross the barrier of 50% yet. I know I haven't been talking much about it. I will greatly appreciate it if you feel like supporting, uh, that upcoming trip to Asia. Let me put the link for you right here. I would greatly appreciate it. I still plan on going, uh, to, uh, Asia. I don't know the exact locations yet, but I do intend on going this one here. So thank you, F.U., for your support. To those who wants to support the channel, here is the link. And you know, I, I go sometimes great lengths to spend time in even whatever part of the world I'm in. I still allocated hours of research for you so I can do a live stream from whatever part of the world I'm in, because I want to keep you informed and updated on what is going on. So your support is greatly, greatly appreciated. To those who might be interested in getting a copy of my books, it's right here. As you know, I wrote about— I wrote about Iran, I wrote about Saudi Arabia, wrote about Russia, I wrote about US foreign policy in the Middle East. In addition to now on Substack, I do write on Substack. I would greatly appreciate if you feel like subscribing to it, so it doesn't cost anything. And I don't do this paid subscription. I, no, share the knowledge with you, so I hope you subscribe to that on if you like it, if you like to read. So, uh, I'm gonna be working on another story for you. Of course, I keep up with what's going on with Iran, and, and we'll just go from there. So hope you enjoyed this. Once again, I really appreciate you being here, spending time with me, and I look forward to seeing you next time. As always, remember, geopolitics impacts your daily life in more ways than one. Until next time, bye-bye.