Game Changer: China Backs Iran!!

Hello everybody and welcome to Geopolitical Trends, where truth matters. I gotta start with some bad news. YouTube, if you are listening, why did you take down my content on the community post? You know, it was nothing there. I just— my community that I care for and I wanted to warn them, simple as that. Yeah, they went ahead and took it out. Anyway, I am gonna take care of that in a different, uh, location, uh, in due time. Just stay tuned on that topic because you need to know something in the works behind the scenes. And that was the whole reason why they took it out, sent me a warning. So anyway, uh, on the other hand, I gotta be fair to YouTube. Sometimes when I, when I appeal something, they, they'll fix it and all that. So let's not— anyway, put it aside, ain't worth it talking about. We're gonna be talking today about an interesting topic. It's about the announcements of China backing Iran from both angles, politically and from security aspect. So I happen to— when I wrote my, my Iran book, I, I detailed some stuff that I'm going to be sharing with you and provide you, of course, my analysis about this. And all this gonna fall within the announcements that Iran made, which I promised you I will disclose that to you. So, so quickly, just say hi to all of you being here. Uh, Hang NG, good to see you as always. Elena McKay, notification on, so it's working. Good to hear that. Jason Lee, good to see you. Uh, Sampa, good to see you. John Lay, uh, Attila, Harun Guzo, good to see you. Farhad Razavi, as always. Song and Lee Page, good to see you. Hamad City, UTU, Z Super as always. Hassan Azizi, good to see you. And Muslim, uh, Willie Homan, good to see you as always. Taiwan Still, uh, and North South, good to see you. All right guys, let me— because I got a lot to cover into this today. There is no geography or history, I gotta get into because there is a lot, a lot of to unpack. And that's the whole reason for why I do this analysis for YouTube. And by the way, second thing I want to share with you, uh, in addition to what YouTube just did this morning, uh, is that the, uh, this, this individual here— I'm sure you know who that is, but nonetheless, I don't want to assume you guys know who this is. Can you type in, in the chat box, please? Yeah, once again, I'm not insulting your intelligence, guys. It's just I don't assume. I don't like to assume. So, uh, if you can type in quickly here who this gentleman is. Uh, YT, you got it. Uh, Shino Tong, you got it. Uh, Sam Karina, you got it. Hairless Ape, you got it. That's Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo— I'm not Shinzo Abe. Shinzo Abe was assassinated. Uh, Fumio Kishida, that's what it is. So what's important about it is that he just announced his resignation. So he's gonna resign, I think, starting in September, if I'm not mistaken. Uh, surprise, uh, that he said he will not run for the upcoming. So I think September, that's— but that's beside the point. What's important about it is why, why at this time. And to me, as an analyst, I'm thinking there's only one explanation. He's been dragging his country in a wrong direction on behalf of the US, and now he's getting pushed back domestically. So basically what he wants to do is he wants to save his skin, not, uh, some sort of, uh, uh, encounter or experience the same fate as Shinzo Abe. You all know what happened to Shinzo Abe. He was assassinated. So, so that's to me where I see it going, because the policies he embarked on were in the wrong direction, taking Japan in the wrong direction more than it already is. So, and that's probably why he is stepping down or forced to step down. So they will never disclose that. Anyway, all right, let's get into our topic here. Uh, I'm gonna be providing you analysis about What is the significance of this? As a matter of fact, I have the questions for you. I prepare them, uh, right here, guys. The questions we need to ask is, first of all, why is China declaring its support publicly? You know, China does things quietly sometimes, and for something like this, you know, they could have stayed quiet about it. Beijing could have stayed quiet. Who's gonna know? You know, but that's not how it works, you know. And this is why we need to ask question: what, why, why now? Second question is, what message is China sending? And if it is a message, to whom? We all know. So third question is, what is China's strategic calculations? China is not doing this in a vacuum. There is a strategic calculations from two angles. One is economic and the other one is, uh, geopolitical. And I'm going to tackle those two, uh, uh, aspects of it. And the, the, the fourth question, which to me, again, thinking outside the box, the possibility is there. Could the conflicts in Gaza lead China, Russia, and Iran into a formal— that's the keyword— formal military alliance? Again, when I share with you what I wrote in my Iran book about China and Iran, it will make you think in those terms. And those are, uh, the aspects that I'm gonna be addressing. Then I have a question for you. I can either ask you here later on or put it in the community. Hopefully YouTube will not take it down, so let's hope. Anyway, all right, uh, I had a chance, as I mentioned, I had a chance, to read an article. I do read a lot before I'll come on the air and share my knowledge with you and reaction to articles and my analysis. Most of it all, uh, had a chance to read an article by Ethan Wang and Kevin Kroligke. Hope I pronounce it correctly. So, um, yeah, the article was sort of spot on as far as the framework of what an article had to be. However, Uh, it didn't go into the depth of really, really what's behind all this behind the scenes. And then it's understandably so. Those are, uh, authors of the article. They are not an analyst. They are, they are sort of journalists, if I may use the term. And there is quite a difference there. So, but here's the thing, uh, China's support— and this is the word from, uh, Mr. Wang Yi, Chinese foreign minister. I have a picture of him, by the way. A very, very, very smart individual, well-spoken. You know, I listen to him a lot with the translation and so forth. So he's— I consider him statement. You know, if I have a wish, is to interview him one day. So that's just a wish. So, uh, uh, what he said was, uh, he said, and I quote, China supports Iran. And listen carefully, guys, because those words are measured. China supports Iran in defending its sovereignty, security, and national dignity in accordance with the law, and it— in its effort to maintain regional peace and stability, and stand ready to maintain close communication with Iran, end of quote. Well measured, well measured, with a loud and vociferously loud message to the West, to the US mainly. It's not to Israel because there's nothing— there is some coordination between Israel and China as far as economics. That's, that's usually— I'm aware of that one, but this is, this is on a different level altogether. So, and this is why we have to think about it in terms of Why now? Why will China announce this publicly now? Why didn't they announce it, let's say, 4 months ago? Why didn't they announce it when, uh, when the, uh, when the consulate of Iran in Damascus was hit, even though China made an announcement but not on the same weight as this one here? Once again, I'm going to read the statements from Mr. Wang Yi. China, unquote, China supports Iran in defending its sovereignty, security, and national dignity in accordance with the law, and in its efforts to maintain regional peace and stability, and stand ready to maintain close communication with Iran, end of quote. So putting my geopolitical hat on, when I read the last part, to maintain close communication, It tells me the message right there that China is going to step forward in supporting Iran. How? We don't know yet. That's, that's, that's the whole key to all these dynamics that now all of a sudden China is stating this. Well, of course, you all know how this all came about, uh, uh, because it was, uh, uh, the Chinese Foreign Ministry, through Mr. Wang Yi, uh, which repeated Beijing denunciations of the assassination of Hamas leader, or chief political leader rather, Ismail Haniyeh, in Tehran on July 31st. You know, and even the Chinese Foreign Ministry went as far as saying that the strike itself has violated Iran's sovereignty and threatened regional stability because it happened on Iranian territory. So that is what's, what's important about, about all this one here. So now we need to understand, uh, how all this happening within a certain context. Well, one of them has to do with— and I have a clip for you, uh, that I'm going to share with you shortly here, uh, as I said, have to understand in— within the sphere of, uh, Iran's historical, uh, and, and contentious announcements, that is Why? It's because Iran has been able to achieve certain advancements in weaponry. Those are domestically indigenous, uh, uh, production, that is. So, and all this has to do with this particular— and I'm going to show you an image here, and, and I'll detail later on for you the announcement about it and all that stuff. What are you looking at? You're looking at, at Fatah, Fatah, the Arabic term for it, or Fatah. Fatah is a nuclear submarine. These are small size submarines, but the fact that Iran developed a nuclear submarine, it changes the calculations for all parties involved. And I will get in into all this, but first let's listen to, uh, this particular, uh, clip here. And we just go from there. Share screen. And it's gonna be just very, very short, and, uh, and I got it through another video when I found it, uh, last time. All right, where is it? Yeah, it's right here. Bear with me, guys. 47. Okay, all right guys, uh, share screen and, and please give me a thumbs up if you can hear.

Of Iran's nuclear-powered submarine which has been named the Fateh-class SSN marks a significant development in nation's military capabilities. This new addition to the Iranian Navy is touted as a game-changer, capable of operating silently and for extended periods underwater, making it a formidable weapon in the nation's arsenal. One of the key advantages of a nuclear-powered submarine is its virtually unlimited range, allowing it to traverse oceans and remain submerged for months at a time without refueling. This strategic capability poses a direct challenge to the maritime interests of the United States as well as those—

okay, I'm gonna stop right there. Yeah, I just wanted to highlight this first. Well, there's major— those are— we're talking about some strategic calculations now in the region. Why? It's because the announcements by Iran Till this time, uh, for, for it to be announcing about a nuclear submarine, it doesn't matter its size. What does matter is what the impact is going to be. And it's going to be armed— that sub is going to be armed with certain type of missiles that can take down an aircraft carrier. That is the major announcements that Randi— and this is why this sort of, uh, uh, uh, I, I use the term surprising announcement. I mean, I didn't hear about it before. The Iranians stayed quiet about it. And this is why, guys, we need to understand one key: there's always a strategic calculation before you embark on any act, be it in this case Iran retaliating against or attacking Israel, being about announcements like this there's always strategic calculations for this. So for us, we tend to want to see things happen quickly. It doesn't work this way when it comes down to geopolitics because there are so many moving parts and calculations that any country will have to take into consideration. Take the example of China. Why will China announce its support publicly for both the sovereignty and the security of Iran today, but not 4 months ago. It's all about the calculation, the strategic aspects of it. And with Iran's announcements about these nuclear submarines, what you're looking at now is that the balance of power in West Asia or Middle East, that is, that is now going to be shifting beyond the US control. Well, the US doesn't have any control anymore because our influence in the region is waning down. And this is why you are hearing from some Arab countries saying to the US, you will not launch any attack against Iran from our territory. But of course, you can't trust those Arab countries anyway. You know, they'll tell you one thing and stab you in the back. We're talking about the leaders, not the people. So, and this is where, uh, now you're going to be thinking about the naval warfare how it's going to be and place it within China's announcement. Well, if you know anything about China's naval capability, it begs the question, how will China intend to support the sovereignty and security of Iran? Those to me are very, very, very interesting aspects of it. And I need to share something with video also about the, uh, let me share a picture about this nuclear sub, then I'll detail some other stuff later on. The Fatah, or, or Fatah, uh, the, the nuclear sub, you know. Now there are those, uh, that argue that, well, this is small, whatever. Yes, it is, it is. Nobody's denying this. However, as small as it might be, it still can pose a serious threat in close quarters. This is exactly the purpose of why Iran established this type of submarines, let alone if it is nuclear powered. That means it can submerge for a long period of time. And just think of this, guys, just think of this possibility. You all know China developed some very advanced sonars when it comes down to detecting the presence of submarines and so forth. Can you imagine if China provided Iran with this technology? I don't see it happening now because this is new for China. Why China will turn around and give it to Iran? It doesn't work that way. But it's just hypothetical, you know, sort of indulge me for a second here. How do you think it's going to change the calculations? Despite now we are sort of sending our Georgia-class nuclear class submarine, it's just posturing, no more, no less. I mean, we couldn't even defeat those in Afghanistan. It's not a laughing matter. We couldn't beat those ones in Afghanistan without saying the names here, you know. What makes us think that we're gonna sort of try to intimidate? Because that's what it is, nothing but intimidation. And it's not gonna work. Ain't gonna work. So, and this is where I'm, I'm arguing with the Chinese advancements in the sonar system. Just imagine the combination of this. No, now there is one key aspect that I need you to know, because one thing is for sure is that Iran's naval capabilities are growing, are growing. Iran does have a substantial navy, uh, or naval assets that they can deploy. So, and this is why in the Strait of Hormuz, uh, when I, I wish I had a map for it, uh, the Strait— let me see if I have one old picture. I don't know if this will show it. No, that's not the right one. Yeah, we want to say— I, I didn't— I'm sorry, I forgot to, to have that one. But if you think about the very tiny Strait of Hormuz how tiny that is, you know, the idea of how Iran has already placed underwater sort of type of weapons, you know. All I know personally is that they have the capability of sinking whatever vessels or big ship and so forth, military one that is. So that tells me those are very, very powerful type of, uh, weapons. You know, you can fill in the blank here. I know YouTube doesn't like this word. So, uh, and this is where the issue— that not the issue, rather, but where I see the, the challenges that's gonna come forward. Because when you think, when you think about, uh, this particular, sub right here. Let me put it back up again, right there. When you think about this again, this is only about 150 meters long. So, and put about, based on the specs that I read, and I will provide you the link, guys, uh, to all this, about around 600 tons. That's how much it weighs. So, uh, but to Iran, is considered one of the biggest. But in comparison to what we have, for example, No, it's very, very small, but nonetheless, it's not about that. It's about the impact it could have. Because when you think about this type of submarines, uh, the little that I know about submarine technology, whatever, that this one, uh, this particular one lacks the, uh, vertical launch tubes in it because it's very small. That's all it's made for. It's, it's not a substantive that is going to be, uh, uh, moving forward with that. Now, the only thing that I have read somewhere is that why does Iran use diesel-electric submarines instead of nuclear? So this is in contrast to the US Navy, uh, nuclear submarines, because most of ours, the offensive ones, those are nuclear. Here is the thing, uh, the diesel submarines, based on my little research that I did on this, have limited range. This is why they developed this nuke, uh, nuclear submarine, because it can stay submerged for a long period of time. So, and they are virtually undetectable. So unless they are moving— this is where the distinction between the two— if they are moving, unless you have an advanced radar system, you won't— a sonar, rather— you won't be able to detect it. And that's what exactly what China developed. So, and, uh, uh, one thing that I want to share with you also, one of those announcements that I told you I'm gonna keep till I— we have the live, is that Iran now is in the process— yes, and I checked on this— it is in process of developing atomic submarines. The dynamics have changed. And that's once again, when I put the statements of China as far as backing Iran on both sovereignty and security, that tells me personally, that tells me Iran can count on China's commitment or support. Second, China realized that communication with Iran— China was informed that China— that Iran has developed some types of weapons that can, uh, repel or challenge the US. That's the only way I see it. So, uh, as to the atomic submarines, it's going to take time, but it will happen. So now this leads me to talk about the US nukes. Now we are sending, uh, deployed the, the, uh the Georgia, actually the Ohio class. There is an entire, an entire, uh, class of this. And, uh, so the Secretary of Defense, uh, Austin, uh, sort of, uh, issued the order for the deployments, excuse me, of guided missile submarines to the region. It's posturing. That's in my opinion how it is. Yes, of course he has to say this is for the defense of Israel. No, and this is what I'm saying, you have to think about this from the bigger picture. And this is one of the things Iran is thinking about as I speak right now. What are the strategic calculations? Should we— when we launch the attack, if Iran launches, or when, not if, when Iran launches the attack on Israel, we already started to see that, uh, uh, both the Hezbollah and the Qassam, uh, or Hamas, that is, have already launched two rockets, two, two missiles rather, in Tel Aviv. I have a picture of those ones here, and it was confirmed because I confirm, I, I checked. So I will not say something if I can't confirm it. So, and this is why, one of the reasons why the US decided to send all this one here. And why? Because the US understand that Israel won't be able to handle this on its own. It can't. It does not have the capabilities to do so, doesn't have the assets needed to do so. So what's going to happen is the US will have to come to its support. It's back to the question of what is our interest into all this. Well, of course, you know what our interest is— fomenting more tensions in the region— is because we don't want the rapprochement or the close partnership between Iran, Russia, and China. That is one of the whole aspects of it. So the Georgia class, uh, which is a nuclear power submarine, was already in the Mediterranean, and from the Mediterranean was dispatched to head out to the region. So, and the idea of, uh, let me see something here because I need to make sure Uh, you have the full picture of all this one here. Uh, the Georgia class, that is the picture you are— if there is a picture there, I didn't put it right here. This one here, guys, this is Georgia class. But Georgia, uh, they, they are sort of falls under the nuclear-powered Ohio class, uh, Navy submarines. So, and all this one again when an aircraft carrier moves, the submarine will have to move with it as well to maintain reconnaissance, to maintain sort of, uh, espionage and so forth. That's just part of the platform we tend to use, but also is for posturing. When you see— but again, Iranians not going to be intimidated by this, uh, I'm, I'm— I guarantee you that. It's because we don't know We don't know what other capabilities Iran has, let alone that Russia has deployed already, or sent rather, some advanced systems to Iran. I got a picture of this Iran marshes here, very, very interesting, sophisticated one that's been deployed, and this one was displayed in Moscow, by the way. So, so all this falls within the, the, uh, the arguments that for Iran to be thinking in terms of— for the US rather to be thinking, well, we're going to send our, uh, aircraft carrier and intimidate them— no, it's not going to work. That era is gone. And this is why it gives me, uh, sort of, uh, confidence in what I'm saying. And again, it's my own, uh, uh, uh, statement my own opinion, uh, for China to come forward and announce this, uh, uh, there has to be, uh, something tangible as far as, uh, Iran communicating with China that we have XYZ, uh, therefore China saying yes, we feel comfortable enough to move forward. But also China has its own strategic calculations, and rightly so. And this is one of the key that I key that I need you to understand, guys. Even for Russia, that end up sending its own, uh, uh, its own, uh, weapons to Iran, uh, I came across, uh, some information that suggests, which was, I think they got declassified by the Russians. Uh, why now? I don't know. I don't have an answer to that. All I know is that Uh, for Russia, some of its, uh, uh, plans, uh, part of the training they conducted way back, and they stayed mum about it, is that it trained on the capability of striking UK, uh, you know, Britain cities with a nuclear missile. That's how, uh, uh, sort of when I read the declassified one It demonstrated that one. That's, that's to me was the very, very, very, uh, because the Russian— what the Russian did is they prepared the list. We do the same, we do the same. The last time it was an issue with Iran, the Pentagon had to sort of put the list together as to what the targets are. And the first one on the menu, we call it the menu, at the top was a carpet bombing. But now, wasn't tactical nuclear part of that calculations? Yes, it was. That was back then. Of course, that after that it was shelved, that plan was shelved. And, and then now the ones that I came across, and I will provide you the link so you can take a look for yourself, is that this particular, as declassified the documents, uh, sort of, uh the Russians looking at it in terms of a preemptive, because we all know what the UK now is saying, right, regarding the, uh, uh, the Ukraine aspects, or even attacking, uh, uh, Russia for that matter. So to, to, uh, to Iran and China, the calculations are different. Very, very, very different because you're gonna have to think about the economic aspects of it and of course geopolitics. This is a picture of President Xi with, uh, with the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. This is an old picture, by the way, guys. It's not recent, it's an old picture. I just came, uh, found one and, and put that in. So when we think in terms of the idea of, uh, why all of a sudden China will end up publicly announcing this, it's because it is committed to now ensuring that that stability in the region— because remember, uh, China has been working hard behind closed doors for that agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia. So why should all its hard work be wasted? They're gonna have to do whatever needs to be done to ensure that their interests are protected, meaning China in this case. And this is where my own analysis that I disclosed in my, uh, in my, uh, Iran book, which by the way I just uploaded for those who might be interested in, uh, buying a copy of it. It's like $15, whatever. Uh, you'll find it very, very interesting because it's relevant to what's going on right now. And this is what I'm going to be sharing with you, uh, some of excerpts from it to highlight to you what I exactly argued back then that is reflective of today. And, and even back then I was always saying, consider the developments in the region, okay? And we should, uh, also emphasize the role of other major powers, the likes of China and the likes of Russia. That's going to be playing a role in the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, as I argued back then. And here we are. So, and like I said last time in this analysis or research, I said I focus my, uh, arguments on how Iran's new status helps China and Iran— helps, I'm sorry, China and Russia to further advance their cooperate— or their corporate interest and also challenge the declining regional leadership of the United States, because it was declining from back then. So, and I keep returning to the question, really, whether— and here is the key to why I am convinced that China's announcements of backing Iran didn't happen in a vacuum. Like I argued back then, I said, I keep returning to this question, whether this interests mainly on part of China will divert United States focus away from the Pacific region, given, given what was going on, uh, over in that part of the world. So the answer to this, we all, we all know that the next, next theater is going to be South China Sea. There is no ifs and buts. We know where things are headed, and this is why China is moving forward ahead of it, which is a smart move because to China, they rather deal with this from far away than be in the South China Sea for the US to be there. Of course, we all know what just happened with Australia and the, the signing of the AUKUS, another agreement pertaining to AUKUS and so, which is a mess anyway. That's a, a conversation for another day. So to me personally, the answer to this kind of, uh, arguments will shed light for us in terms of China's long-term strategy that it pursuing. This is one of that, agreeing to back Iran. It's one of the strategic step. And, and as I argued back then, for now suffice it to say that China and Russia's interest in the region will grow stronger bolder and more calculating. That's what I argued back some 4 years ago, or 5, whatever that was. Still apply today. And signaling, in my opinion, for a far more assertive foreign policy from both countries in the coming years. Now, when we say assertive, don't, don't take it in a negative way. Sometimes when you say assertive, yes, it can go into that direction. But usually it's only going in the wrong direction or in a negative connotation to it if it is a provocation. China's assertive policy, it's not a provocation. In this case, it's about protecting its own strategic interests, and rightly so. Like I argued back then regarding China, observers have noticed in recent years the increased economic, military, and political footprints in the region, West Asia or Middle East, that is. So, and this pursuit, as I argue, stems from two main things, in my opinion. One is China's need for access to energy sources, mainly in Saudi Arabia and Iran, given their proximity— okay, given its proximity, rather, to the Caspian Sea. And number two is that, uh, the, the Caspian Sea and Turkey, of course, on that end. And number two is that China's economic involvement in the region facilitates expansion of its political sphere, sphere of influence. This is, guys, why am I sharing this with you? Is to highlight to you the changes within the geopolitical landscape that shift from a unipolar to a multipolar is now displayed before us to see how major powers like China intends to play its role in it. Because for the US, it's done for. It becomes now the question that I am asking is what kind of role China is going to play in this 21st century, in the new geopolitical landscape. And it's fair question. So the Because here is the thing about all China's moves that did back then, and I connected to China's recent statements. All this, for me personally, it tells me one particular aspect, and is that China's projecting to the region and the world for that matter the perception of its ability to, one, challenge American leadership in the region and second, protects its interests the same way we've been doing. So, so that's the way. And this is why I argued back then, and I still stand by my statement, for the United States and the collective West, you know, they shouldn't be thinking, you know, they shouldn't be thinking that China's gonna back down. There is one reason if the thinking persists in the West, because they never expect to see where China is today. Because the mindset in the West still thinking about China of 30, 40 years ago. Because if you go 30 or 40 years ago, China would not, would have not made statement like it did today about backing Iran. That's part of the shift. That I need you to grasp. So, and this is why the West collective didn't expect where China is going to be economically, politically, and diplomatically. That's how I see it. And even I remember, I quote, at that time was the Secretary of Treasury Henry Paulson, who was the head of Sachs, I think, uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, Goldman Sachs. If I'm— so what did he say back then? And I, I kept the quote for you, it's in the book. For those whom I end up buying the book, you guys can read it there, but I'll share it with the community here. He said, and I quote, 40 years ago most Americans wouldn't have imagined owing China one red cent. Now it is the US's biggest creditor. Owen, just under $1.3 trillion of our government's debt. It is enough to make the head spin, or for Americans to wonder how the world got turned upside down so fast. End of quote. And the answer that we Americans should grasp and, and, and accept is that China worked hard enough to be where it is today. We did not. We cannot compete. It's because where our interest lies— China invested in its own domestic, uh, projects and so forth. What are we investing on? Truth matters. So And like I argued back then, which again, I, I am trying to bring this to you guys to understand, once again, nothing happens in a vacuum when it comes down to geopolitics. You know, all those pieces are moving together. And I said back then that this approach, that China's long-term strategy focuses more on having a relationship with the United States, more complementary than acrimonious when it comes to the region, meaning Middle East. That's what I argued back then. Just let that sink in for a moment. I'm gonna repeat it. I wrote back then that this approach suggests that China's long-term strategy focuses more on having a relationship with the United States more complementary than acrimonious when it comes to the Middle East. Why is this? You think China's doing it out of fear? No, it's a shrewd movement. Because if you look at the Chinese history, will give you the answer. And China did this back then and still doing it today for two main reasons. One is the US attention shifts away from the Pacific region, and two, China secures more economic ventures with key regional players, including Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey, to a degree. So, and this is why I asked you the question earlier, will, for example, the conflict in Gaza will lead to a formal military alliance between Russia, China, and Iran? Because even back then I argued Will the Middle East become a hot zone where the US and China's interest collide? And again, I saw it coming. It's because the world wasn't standing still. The world was moving, and moving in a direction that we couldn't control anymore. That's called shifting from a unipolar to a multipolar order. So And like then, I asked the question and I put the answer is possible, meaning the interest will collide. China's support for Iran is a testimony to this, what I argued back then. They, they just the way I see it. And even I won as far as saying, uh, uh, as far as China and Iran back then, and, and, and I argued this vociferously, backing it with facts and arguments, logical argument. One day I argued back then that, uh, uh, China and Iran may enter into a military treaty of some sort, clearing the way for the former to— meaning China in this case— to establish military and naval bases on Iranian soil, similar to the arrangements the United States has with Bahrain, for example. That's where we have our Fifth Fleet, right? However, I argued back then that China does not— I argue that does not strike me as a wise policy for China to embark on at this time, meaning at the time when I was writing this. Rather, China will wait until the dust settles in this latest major shift in regional geopolitics to better assess the situation and execute its next calculated move. And here it is. That's why I'm saying, guys, this is not in a vacuum. This is well-calculated strategy by the Chinese that the Iranian feel comfortable enough to move forward and and announce about the nuclear submarine. So, and let alone the idea of what Russia type of weapons they shipped already to Iran. Because here is the thing, when you think about it, China and Iran's military interests— militarily, you think about it just militarily Iran and China, the interest could merge in unexpected way. We will never know. To me, this is like one of those— well, who, who tell me, guys, whoever, and, and if there's anybody in YouTube, I'll challenge if the, the so-called analyst, if there's anybody in YouTube who kind of argued or thought in the idea of could this interest of China and Russia China and Iran will merge in an unexpected way. None, none, none. Because here's the thing, with China's advanced military technology, right, one assumes, as I argued back then, the lifting of sanctions on Iran will allow China now to sell its military systems to many countries in the region, including Iran, of course. That's what I argue back then. And, and, and to me, I'm seeing it, uh, folding in front of my eyes here as we speak, because despite the much anticipated shift, geopolitical shift that is in the region, uh, following this back then the US-Iran nuclear agreement, I'm convinced that China will proceed cautiously So as not— you know why? Do you think because they're scared of the US? No, no, no, no, no. This one is not to upset the balance of the world order. China's strategic about it, a system, because remember, it was through this, uh, uh, uh, global order that was for the last 30 or 40 years where China moved forward. Doesn't make any sense to disrupt that one. What it makes sense is to move shrewdly moving forward, because like I argued back then in my book, China strikes me as a pragmatic regime that understands the stakes if it flexes its economic and military muscles beyond what is realistic. And once again, that's what I argued back then, and I'll bring it into today. This is why China stated the way it stated, uh, the, the argument. First, let, uh, let me just go back to it right here because it will make more sense to you. The quote Mr. Wang Yi said: China supports Iran in defending its sovereignty, security, and national dignity. In accordance with the law and in its effort to maintain regional peace and stability, and stand ready to maintain close communication with Iran. End of quote. This is exactly what I'm arguing here. That's why China would proceed cautiously, and China will not flex its military. Can you just imagine? Just imagine this, guys. China will bring in its advanced naval systems. You all know what he means. So, or maybe even the question for you: should China bring in its advanced naval system to, to, to the region? What do you guys think? Yes or no? Should China bring in its advanced naval systems to the region? Excuse me. And by the way, guys, make sure prepare a question or two. Uh, let me see your answer. Oh, I saw someone here. Oh, Bon, good to see you, Bon. Interesting time we live in. Thanks for this. You are most welcome, Boone, and good to see you. I know I haven't seen you for a while, but I know why. So good to see you, Boone. Uh, let me see your answer, guys. Uh, oh yeah, yeah, I, I don't see the answer. Oh, Dragon, Dragon 52, thank you very much for your super sticker. Truly appreciate you, man. Uh, History Economy Entertainment, thank you so much for your super sticker. You mean Iran submarines with, uh, uh, no, no, that's not what I meant. What I meant is a submarine that is nuclear powered. That's not what I meant. It's not the weapon, it's how it is. It's like we do have some, but this will lead us to the question, of course, is that means that Iran has developed the nukes. That's possibility to that. So, all right, let me see your answer here, guys, if there is one here. Uh, uh, I can't see it. Oh, oh, uh, San, you say yes. Siko TV, you say no. Gayatri Adar, she say yes. Army with Harmony, you say no. Uh, Common Sense, you say nope. Francis Tango, you say yes. You know, I can see that's the reason why I wanted to ask you guys. It's because for China, like I argued back then and still hold to today, that I argued China strikes me as pragmatic regime that understand the stakes if it flexes its economic and military muscles beyond what is realistic. And I keep arguing Till today. But make no mistake, especially for the West, make no mistake that China's, uh, sort of, uh, uh, uh, move is gonna be intended to protect its own interest one way or another. Of course they will go about it the diplomatic way at first, otherwise they're gonna have— I mean, you look at just for example the issue of Taiwan. You know, I mean, come on guys, you tell me that the— you— China couldn't wipe out whatever. But again, why will they do that? There is no need for it, except that for us in the West, we keep fermenting more tensions. Because China understand how to play the long game. Look at their history, no more, no less. So, and this is why I'm, I'm, I'm arguing for the idea that China might not want to bring its advanced naval systems to, to, to, to the region because that will end up sort of flaring up tensions even beyond. I mean, as of now, we don't even know what the outcome is going to be once Iran launches its attack on, on, on, on Israel. Israel is on a high alert as we speak. So the whole region is Arab. Arab countries in the region are— I mean, they are useless anyway. So basically what you're looking at, you're looking at key players: Turkey, Iran, of course, Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia is not a player. Saudi Arabia is, uh, is, is survival, you know. They have to think about the monarchy survival and all that stuff. So, and this is why the Chinese will have to think twice about, okay, do we bring our assets? Russians didn't mind. Russians went ahead and sent their own, uh, some advanced systems, including those jamming, uh, uh, radars. Those are advanced, and, and, and Russia is very advanced when it comes down to jamming systems, you know. So this is what I'm saying. I just want you guys to understand the big picture. And this is the reason why I wanted to do this live stream for you, is because soon you're gonna be hearing some— everybody's viewing whatever. Be, be aware, be aware of what you are consuming. Listen to different perspective. Of course, there's nothing— it's just when you— when I look at now, YouTube is saturated with— man, I mean, come on, you guys, whomever Please, to those who have channels and all that, make sense of what you are talking about. That's all I can say. So, and this is again where you're going to have to understand, and that to me was reflective through your answers when I asked that question, should China bring in, uh, you know, almost 50/50, that's, uh, between those who say yes and those who say no. And that gives me hope. You know what it gives me hope in? In, in you, for you to understand rationally, because a decision like this cannot fall under the emotions. I'm gonna be doing a video for you guys soon, uh, which by the way, I did, I did the posting on the community, uh, as far as the, uh, yeah, YouTube let it be, but, uh, the site, not you Yeah, I asked you the question about the psychology of geopolitics. So, so I intend to do one, and, uh, I wanted to highlight to you some very, very important aspects of you to understand this dynamics. And why is this important? It's like when I did the survey, uh, where is the survey? Yeah, and, and thank you for answering that, by the way. Uh, when I asked you the question, is it ethical to use psychological knowledge to manipulate the behavior of individual or groups— and, and I should add another one, or government for that matter— to achieve political goals, uh, 12% of you said yes, 67% of you said no, and 21% of you said It depends. Very, very interesting. Uh, uh, I didn't expect that to be that way, but I'm— and by the way, guys, I hope, uh, many of you did not take this in terms of negative way. Ethical use, uh, the psychological knowledge. Psychological knowledge can be used for good things sometimes. It's like when you have in geopolitics You know, I remember when I was doing my, uh, my master's, uh, on international security, we had a class, I remember, about lying. Yeah, yeah, you'll be shocked to see the, the, the, the conversation about lying as part of my master program. But it was very interesting to understand the rationale for it, for why politicians will have sometimes, especially when it comes down to the survival of a nation in a very, very delicate situation like we are dealing with in the region right now. And this is why, again, I fall back to the shrewdness of the Chinese for them to issue that statement the way they did, as far as providing support to the sovereignty and security and open communications without— it's, it's saying something without saying it. That's basically what it was. So, all right guys, that's all I have to share with you here. I am gonna go check your questions. Uh, thank you all for being here. It's very, very interesting. And I'm gonna be looking at some other stories for you. Uh, and again, I'll make some videos for you guys, and we just go there. So, all right, let me see a question. Uh, and by the way, I want to say, Army with Harmony, I want to say thank you for your, uh, buying me tea. I truly, truly appreciate you for that. Uh, someone also did the, uh, PayPal, and Danny, thank you very much, Danny. Uh, I truly appreciate you. And Ramzi Abdurrahman, you know, uh, your generosity means a lot to me. Your gesture means a lot to me. It's not the amount, and I'm very grateful. So, so thank you all for your continued support. So here is the link for those who wants to support my upcoming Asia trip. And yes, it is, uh, once again, there are some of you who said, why didn't you go to Asia yet? It's not the right time, you know. Just ask Boone, he just came back from there. You don't want to travel at this time, you know, it's summer, especially in July-August time frame. That is, uh, and again, I have my reasons for why I, I— but, but the trip's still on, of course. All right, let me take a question or two from you guys and we just go from there. Once again, I want to say thank you to Ebon for your super sticker, truly appreciate you, uh, Dragon Thank you very much for your Super Sticker. Uh, History, once again appreciate you for your Super Sticker. And, and Joe, or Joseph Daniel, thank you very much for your Super Sticker. Truly appreciate you. All right guys, let me take a question or two from you and, and we just go from there. Okay, uh, wow, we got a lot of people here. So, and then I take this opportunity, uh, to let you know how much I appreciate you guys keeping the conversation civil here. I know last time I had to remove one individual Because I will not allow that kind of stuff. But what you do, human nature. We humans are very complicated creatures, very, very, very, very. So, uh, Rampos, the Dr. O, do you know how— do you have an idea how much is China's debt? No, I don't. I And I'll be happy to take a look at that. Uh, but, but at least one thing I am certain of is nothing in comparison to what we have. Because remember, did you know part of why China is where it is today is because the surpluses they had back then, they went ahead and reinvested inside the country? Which, like what you do with your business— if you have a business and you make a profit, what do you do? You go and buy an expensive car and just some silly stuff, or you go and reinvest in your business. And that's what China did back then, in my opinion. So, ah, let me see next question if there is one here. Uh, Uh, Francis Tango, good to see you as always, and always appreciate your support. Uh, question, Dr. O, is it also maybe because there are BRICS countries, China on the right? That's true, but it's not about that. This is a geopolitical move on part of the Chinese. It's strategic. It's strategic to also send the message to the West that the era of the US dominance of the global system has come to an end. That's— that's in geopolitics. When you send the message, it has to be very settled. Like I said earlier when I shared those, uh, those, uh, uh, uh, paragraphs from my book, you know, it's not about China flexing its military. China's naval assets far outweigh those of the US. You know, but it's not about that. It's a— it has to be very, very calculated move, and I believe that's what the Chinese, uh, declaration about supporting Iran is all about. That, that's the way I interpret it. So, uh, let me see another question from you. Uh, be— I'm not going to say this word here, guys, But this is why, uh, YouTube took down my content about it. That's the reason why they took it down. They gave me now a warning for 90 days. So what I'm gonna do is I'm gonna— because you need to know something, so I'm gonna do it on the other location and I will let you know. You will know because you need to know, uh, what's coming. I was like, what the heck? Violating community? What community? I didn't violate anything. But again, what do you do? We all know, we all know where, where America is headed. So, okay, let me see one last question. And I'm just scrolling, guys, because we have a lot here, so I'm just scrolling through. Uh, very, very interesting statement here from, uh, Johan Slam. Really, China has given Iran senzu. Well, I mean, I tell you, uh, you know, in West Point, the military academy, you know, they, they do teach the Sun Tzu, The Art of War. But, but again, you, you can teach that, but if you don't understand the history of China, it's useless. So because it's just this scheme on the surface, uh, and this is why I believe, uh, China's statements, it's signaling to me the much bigger picture regarding the new global order the way it is, in which the US— as a matter of fact, for us sending this, uh, uh, uh, aircraft carrier, what it's nothing but a posturing, no more no less. You know, trust me, when you start seeing body bags coming here, it will be a different conversation. Plus, we can't fight anyway. We can't fight anyway. Uh, Hairless A, Excuse me, is that Iran submarine equipped with a long-range missile or is it just for taking out enemy ships? It has some. I, I do not know the exact answer for this one here, so I can't, I, I can't say something I do not know about. And of course they will not disclose what type of, uh, uh, of, of, of missiles they're going to have. But again, remember, it's a smaller one, and if they are to do this, in my opinion If they are to do this, they're going to have to do mainly the torpedoes, the, the type that can take down, uh, or even some type of, uh, short-range missiles, uh, to take down an aircraft carrier. Remember, the Chinese developed this kind of missiles, so they have them. But China, again, submarine— Chinese submarines, uh, are far bigger than those of Iran. So Iran will have to work with what it has. So I don't, I don't think, I don't think so, but again, I don't know. So, uh, uh, the, the log— great question, great question for this one here. So, okay guys, I, uh, I hope you found this very informative, and I look forward to seeing you. I don't know if I'm gonna do livestream tomorrow or not, we'll see. I'm gonna check out what's going on, and, uh, of course, I always welcome your, uh, your, uh, uh, uh, feedback. And by the way, uh, the question I was going to ask you, and I can— I'll put it in the community as a survey. How about if we do this? We'll do it there. All right, guys, hope you, uh, uh— oh, Francis Tango, uh, how many, uh, how many submarines Iran have? Uh, they never disclose the numbers. They do have the small, the short ones, because remember, uh, for those who argued last time when I did the video about the, uh, regarding the SF, the 70 Israeli, US, and UK, uh, in, in, in Yemen and so forth. And one of the arguments I made at that time in response to one of you put a comment, well, they could have gone, uh, it would be easier if they used another location instead of the north. Makes more sense, especially from the south. Why the south? Because access to the water. Why the water? It's because in special ops, they are small subs, very, very small. That is objective is just for these specific missions. You can move the special unit and the water to get them to the location where they need, and they can, uh, uh, swim from there. Because remember, those, uh, the special ops, they are part of the SEAL, part of the So swimming is part of the training as well, and that's why it makes more sense if they would have gone from the south. But it's, uh, uh, so as far as how many submarines, I, I do not know. Okay guys, hope, hope you find this video interesting, uh, or hope you learned something from me today. So as always, remember, geopolitics impacts your daily life in more ways than one. Till next time guys, bye-bye.