Hezbollah launched Missiles while Iran is Preparing to Attack Israel!

All right, hello everybody and welcome to Geopolitical Trends, where truth matters. Very excited to be with you as always. I am not going to spend too much time here because I got to bring in my guest, the only Larry Johnson. You all know about it. Thank you all for being here. So today I'm not going to say hi to everybody. We'll do it next time because I got a lot to cover with Larry. So, and I don't want to waste any, uh, uh, uh, any time regarding that. One last thing I can tell you is prepare your questions, and I'm going to answer some Super Sticker questions from you for Larry. So, all right, let's bring in Larry here. Hi, Larry.

Hi, hi there, David.

Good to see you as always. And like I say, on behalf of the community, we say thank you for carving out time for us. I know how busy you are. You've been on other outlets, and I've been watching your your analysis provided in the other outlets. So we're grateful to have you here. So let's get into it right away, Larry. I would like to start first by your assessments of the appointments of Na'im Qassem, who was the deputy secretary of Hezbollah. Now he is at the helm of power, and his statements— and I read it last time, uh, that a few days ago— that he said, we are not gonna relinquish from our fight against Israel. On the other hand, you got a comment by Gallant, the head of the Ministry of Defense, the Minister of Defense, that is, saying, and I quote here, "An appointment that won't last long." What do you make out of this, Larry?

Well, Gallant needs to learn one important lesson. Same thing applies to him. Applies to everybody. Human beings have a finite lifespan. Some die early, some die late in life, but we all die. So the notion that Israel can kill its way to peace, which is really the underlying assumption of what Gallant is saying, is wrong, and it has been proven wrong. The customs of appointment right now is just, uh, further underscores that Hezbollah is not a one-inch-deep organization. It doesn't have just a thin veneer of leadership and then it falls apart. It has a lot of depth. And the— these, these are not ideological fanatics. They're, they're not in the same category as the the Salafists, that were the foundation of ISIS. There they felt that they were on a true mission from Allah to either you convert to Islam or you die. And there was no in-between, no negotiation. That's not the Hezbollah mentality. Hezbollah really has been a national liberation group fighting for the liberation of Palestine in the same way that Hamas has been. Yeah, they have a religious element to it, and yeah, they make the case that Israel shouldn't exist. You know, I could make that case. It's, you know, Israel's a fabrication based upon, you know, some strongly, I'll call them strongly held myths. But anyway, what they're running up against with Hezbollah is they're not able to kill them. They keep shelling and destroying villages. They're destroying stuff on the surface. Hezbollah has enormous complexes underground. And Israel is not advancing rapidly geographically because the terrain in southern Lebanon is so difficult. Yeah. So Israel's now got itself in a situation where it's fighting at least a 4-front, if not a 5-front war. They're fighting in Gaza. They're fighting in West Bank. They're fighting in southern Lebanon. They've got to take on the Houthis, worry about the Houthis from the south, and then they're wanting to fight Iran. Yeah, I don't know of any army in the world, including that of the United States, which is capable of fighting a 5-front war and prevailing. Yeah, don't see it.

So, well, speaking of southern Lebanon, I read a report recently and also an analysis by a retired general, Jordanian, Dweiri. And because I read Arabic, so I speak Arabic, so I could read it in, in its original format, uh, or its original language, that is. And he argued, and I could see why, now Israelis are hesitating to go in. And even if they went in, into southern Lebanon, they couldn't go past 5 kilometers because they've been now, uh, uh, what, uh, what Hezbollah has been doing— Hezbollah has been now targeting, uh, uh, Israel with guided missile, especially in Merkava, uh, uh, south of the town of Hiyam. And Israelis can see this now. It's very concerning because the worry is now, in my opinion, for Israel now goes beyond now Hamas. It goes into the marshes and the guided missiles that Hezbollah has in its possession. Where do you see the wind, Larry?

Well, the Galant was announcing that they destroyed like 80% of the Hezbollah's supply of rockets and missiles. I don't believe that for a minute. I think that's just more Israeli spin. But the ostensible purpose for this operation was to open up, make secure the southern Lebanon so that the settlers who have abandoned northern Israel could come back. Well, they're not coming back. Many of them actually left the country already and said, "It's just too dangerous," and they don't foresee a time coming when they can go back and actually live a normal life. So, and when you add in Israel's, I'll call it a genocidal bombing campaign of civilians in Lebanon, both Muslims and Christians, That's not causing Hezbollah to go, oh my God, this is terrible, we need to stop. It's making them madder, more committed to defeating Israel, to destroying Israel. And I think in a very, you know, in a Hegelian sense, Israel has sown the seeds of its own destruction by its actions, that it is now isolated instead of embraced. It's viewed justifiably as, you know, murdering bullies, as thugs, not as an elite professional army. So, you know, I don't see this ending well for Israel at all.

And I did argue this, Larry, from the get-go, from the get-go. I see that Israel is digging a deep hole for itself and it's not going to be easy to come out of it. And now with what's going on with the leaks from within, uh, the, uh, Netanyahu government, we can always see where this is headed. Now there is one thing I want to address with about Hezbollah before I move into the Iranian front, and this one has to do with Iran— I'm sorry, with Hezbollah, uh, uh, displaying, uh, some sort of, uh, video about its missile, 5. Now, if anybody knows about the HIMARS 5, it's one of the category of, of the missiles that Hezbollah has in its possession. And to my— in my opinion, the reason for them bringing this up now is to highlight the strategic value regarding their capability vis-à-vis Israel. Will I be wrong in this assessment, Larry?

But no, in fact, it's sort of one of the other dynamics that could be at play here. Right now, we've not seen strong coordination between Hezbollah and Iran and the Houthis in terms of, okay, we're going to coordinate and we're going to launch strikes at the same time, or we're going to, well, Hezbollah, you'll hit this area, Houthis, you'll hit this area. We, Iran, will hit that area. We haven't seen that kind of coordination yet. That could come. And that system that you just described could end up playing a role in that. Israel's air defense system can be quickly and easily overwhelmed by a massive strike, and particularly one that's coordinated. If the Houthis fire from the south, Hezbollah fires from the north, and Iran fires from the east. Israel is going to— they're not going to know what to do. And even with the American THAAD system, the Theater High Altitude Area Defense system, the radar is really good. It'll tell them, oh my God, we got a massive incoming strike, but they don't have enough missiles in those systems to actually be effective to shoot it down. So up to this point, you know, I guess you want to give a foreign policy accomplishment to the Biden administration, something that is remarkable. They have managed to unite the Sunnis and Shias in a way that they never have been in recent memory and brought them to working for the same cause, which is now in support of the free country of Palestine.

Yeah.

Wow.

Is this why the US now is moving some of its aircraft carriers from the region? They are concerned about what's coming?

No, I— well, I think it's, uh, it's a preventative symbolic gesture. Uh, all the B-52s are going to be— if they decide to go into action, they're going to get shot down. They're, you know, they're not going to survive. Uh, this was— I think this is seen as a temporary stopgap because the existing carrier task force that's there is pulling out, and it's the replacement task force is not yet on scene. So these planes are— these planes are there sort of to say, okay, we still have a U.S. presence in the area.

Wow, that makes sense. Yeah, because I, I I really couldn't read the signals as to why all of a sudden the order will be given to the aircraft to move out of the region. My thinking went directly to the Far East because I just came back from the Far East and I made a trip to Taiwan and I was aware of the movements of the naval assets, US naval assets into the South China Sea. So I was just like trying to put the dots together. This could planes, and I figured I'll just ask you for that one too.

Well, again, from a military planning standpoint, it just doesn't make sense to bring those planes in and put them at Al Udeid because they are very vulnerable to an Iranian attack if Iran decides to attack and destroy them. They'd be better off out there with Diego Garcia, you know, farther out in the Indian Ocean. They could still— I mean, again, if the purpose of having those planes in the area is to be able to carry out a bombing mission over Iran. The last one you want to use is a B-52. I mean, it, it's what, 70 years old, 75 years old aircraft. They've modernized, upgraded the frames over time, but still it's just a big lumbering aircraft that it is going to— is extremely vulnerable to S-300, S-400 air defense systems, which Iran has. You know what, that's why the B-1 and B-2 bombers were ostensibly created. So this isn't— I— that's why I say I don't see these— these planes are not there as a sign of a preparation for an attack. It's, it's there just to be a symbolic presence.

Now, speaking of, let's turn our attention to Iran because there is a lot to cover on the Iran front, aspects of it. First of all, I'm aware of the deployment of the Russians' anti-radar systems. Those are the advanced ones.

Okay.

The second thing comes to the call from within, within the political establishments inside Iran, hinting, first of all, on increasing its missile range and second, revising its nuclear doctrine. Okay, now the question, Larry, will be, as one of my supporters here in the channel puts it, if we are to think that Iran is going ahead with another round of missile strikes against Israel, will it make sense for us to ask the question whether it got the green light from Moscow to do so?

I'm sure they will consult with Moscow. Um, there is a lot of the information that's being put out about Iran's plans for an attack citing Arab and Iranian sources. I don't believe for a minute, uh, because it's appearing in Israeli newspapers and it's appearing in the Wall Street Journal, the newspapers with strong Jewish control are very favorable to Israel. Yeah. But the Iranian leader, the Khamenei, he has been quite clear that Iran will, they will retaliate. They're going to respond because they feel that they've been attacked, again, unjustly, and will respond in a manner and time that they choose. Israel has been trumpeting that they denuded the air defense systems in Iran, that they wiped them out, that Iran is now naked, exposed, that Iran suffered a terrible beating. Well, if that's the case, why hasn't Israel finished them off? And why hasn't Israel come forward and shown all the photographs and all the satellite images? Haven't done any of that. And then why is Israel talking about the fact that Iran is getting ready to launch this massive attack on Israel again? You supposedly kicked their ass. Yeah. And you kicked their ass so bad they're getting ready to hit you again harder, which makes sense. Yeah, yeah. I mean, there's no logic to it. The logic's not a strong thing, uh, for these people. In Washington, D.C. and in Tel Aviv. But what you— I do think what you're going to see, if Iran chooses to retaliate, they will do so after coordinating with Russia. They will coordinate with China. They will— they'll make a diplomatic case to their Arab and Muslim neighbors that, look, We were attacked. We were the first one to be attacked. We held back and then we responded. We got attacked again and we responded and we got attacked a third time. And the, the previous two missile strikes that Iran carried out in Israel, the first in April and the second on October 1st, were not designed to destroy and inflict major harm on Israel. It was designed to be a warning that, hey, we can hit you, we can penetrate your air defense system, and we can inflict great damage on you if we choose to. And Israel's chosen to ignore that message. It's just they're so arrogant. They, oh, we don't have to pay attention to that. And they're not paying attention to it.

And the Iranian, by the way, did file a complaint with the UN Security with the United Nations and requested, I believe, last week, if I'm not mistaken, something like that. So, like what you said, they made the case diplomatically speaking, and the military, we are all waiting to see what's going to happen. But for me personally, Larry, I am convinced that both Russia and China, Russia more so in the open, China behind the scenes, they are both supporting Iran, but again, with the delivery of the certain types of radars, but also the call inside Iran for upgrading its or revising its nuclear doctrine. Is this means that we're going to be seeing now Iran revamping its nuclear program?

Yeah, no, I think so. I think they've made the decision to build the nuke. I think that decision's finally been taken. That's, um, that, uh, Khamenei, you know, the, the fatwa as it originally issued really seems to say the prohibition on using a nuke. Yeah, but not a prohibition on actually possessing one. And I think Iran's not at the stage where they're calculating possessing a viable nuclear weapon will provide— it could and should provide a deterrent effect, not the opposite. As long as they're without a nuclear weapon, they're getting— they've been regularly attacked both through these missiles, through assassinations, through other terrorist attacks. United States and Israel have been active supporters of terrorist groups that are carrying out attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure inside Iran for the last 20 years. So, you know, the United States always likes to get up on its moral high horse and denounce Iran as a terrorist state, but in terms of actual terrorist attacks carried out against the other, United States has carried out more terrorist attacks against Iran than Iran has carried out against the United States. At least in the last 20 years. So, um, it is, uh, what Iran is going through now is, uh, it's, it's like the, uh, the, uh, larva coming out of a cocoon to become a butterfly. They've been sheltered, they've been shackled, they've been isolated. Now as a member of BRICS, I've got a seat at a viable big organization. Uh, Russia is signing a defense pact with Iran. Iran is conducting regular joint military exercises with China and Russia. They just completed a joint naval exercise with Oman and Russia. They've got one slated on the schedule to do it with Saudi Arabia. So the days of Iran being isolated and on its own is just the opposite. They're going, they're becoming, they're really establishing their political power there in that area of West Asia.

Speaking of BRICS, Larry, while you mentioned this one, what do you make out of the Saudi pivot backward instead of embracing the full membership? Would that be considered a strategic mistake on their part, or was it too much pressure from the United States to do so?

I think it's a combination of both. Um, you know, they've still got a lot of financial assets that could be seized.

Seized, that's what I thought. That's what I thought.

And yet, you know, why, why do they continue to want to subject themselves to that kind of slavery? So, um, you know, I think The Saudis are, you know, they're playing, they're playing both sides because, for example, while they've backed away from BRICS, they're moving ahead with doing the military exercise with Iran, and they're working with Iran on trying to, you know, settle the, settle that dispute in, in, uh, Yemen with the, with the civil war with the Houthis.

Yeah, and with all those dynamics, Larry, especially in the Middle East, where in your opinion or your assessment do you see Turkey fits into this equation, given that Turkey, of course, NATO member, but also now is aiming at wanting to become part of BRICS, but India had to object to that?

I, I think it'll all be determined based on how fast Russia ends the war in Ukraine. Once, uh, and, and it's going to be a decisive military defeat. There won't— it's not going to be a negotiated settlement. It's not a stalemate. It's not that Russia and Ukraine are exhausted and can't do anything else. You know, the momentum is entirely with the Russians. And once the Turks sit down and assess that, hey, the West is, you know, despite all their tough talk, they couldn't deliver. They couldn't stop Russia. So, uh, Russia is going to be the power now in Eastern Europe, and we better line up with them, uh, that we'll get more. And candidly, You know, Turkey has been longing to have trade relations, uh, you know, the favorable trade relations with the EU by virtue of becoming a member of the European Union, and has been repeatedly told to, you know, screw off, go away.

Yeah, for over 2 and a half decades they've been telling—

yeah, almost 30 years, almost 30 years. So You know, I think at some point just they're gonna get fed up and walk away. And that's what BRICS now creates, a real alternative. What's interesting, I just heard this today, that even though the US Treasury Department imposed some heavy sanctions on the Russian banking industry, they've quietly lifted those sanctions. And there's the, the banks, major Russian banks are now able to do business with U.S. banks. Wow, very interesting. Wow.

And yet mainstream media is not disclosing that. No, I guess they won't.

Well, hell, the administration isn't disclosing that. Administration's sitting on it. Interesting.

Yeah, speaking of sanctions, just FYI, guys, excuse me, just to let you know, I also just find out this morning that the U.S. sanctioned 6 companies in Malaysia. Very interesting because it was the visit by the Secretary of State and Anwar Ibrahim sort of lashed back at him for the double standard that we are. So what the US end up doing? Sanctioning those 6 Malaysian companies. Very, very, very interesting how this dynamic is going to move forward.

It's a stupid policy. It is. Because just I challenge anyone, give me one example of one country where we've imposed economic sanctions, and as a consequence of those sanctions, yeah, the country has either acceded to what we wanted, they've done our bidding, or they've changed their policy, or some combination of the two. Just one. Yeah, it hasn't happened. I mean, Cuba, we've been going after them now for 64 years. And that's not letting up. We've sanctioned Iran, we've sanctioned Afghanistan, sanctioned Russia. All it's done is made Russia stronger. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Speaking of, uh, Russia, I need to get your take into— as we are approaching winter now, and this pertains to Ukraine, uh, just guys, for you too, because we have Larry here. Larry doesn't come here every day, so we may as well just ask the key questions that we can learn from as to what lies ahead. Uh, Ukraine is going to be now experiencing the third winter of the conflict. So what are your forecasts? What, what's going to be happening between now and the end of the year, given that we are— next week we're going to find out here in the US who the next president is and how that might alter the trajectory of the relationship between the US and, uh, or the transatlantic relations vis-à-vis Russia?

If it is a mild winter, if it's not terribly cold, the Ukrainians might be able to hold on. If it's a severe winter, I don't see the Ukrainians being able to hold on because of the— their power, their energy sources are down about 80%, and most of the cities are going to be without electricity at least 20 hours a day. Uh, now, now that they're into winter, they won't have to worry about refrigeration as much. Yeah, you know, because everything will be refrigerated. But it's still the lack of electricity in tall, uh, condos and apartment buildings makes it virtually impossible for people to get up and down to their apartments, as well as, uh, such simple things as flushing a toilet or being able to get water because ultimately you need electricity to pump that water and everything to the top of those buildings. So I think winter is going to really impose some hardships. And unlike the previous winter, since, you know, over the last course of the last 12 months, Russia's taken quite a few direct steps to attack and debilitate the power grid in Ukraine.

Well, in your assessment, Larry, and you've been around long enough and I trust your judgments on things, in your assessment, do you believe Ukraine might surrender to Russia despite what the US says?

No.

Is there possibility?

Yeah, there's a possibility, but it's only going to come after a coup, a direct attack on Zelensky and his ouster, and being replaced with a member of the Rada, or, you know, maybe General Zaluzhny. His name keeps popping up. But barring that, no, I think they're just like Adolf Hitler burning down Berlin. They're gonna— this, this would be the Ukrainian version of Gotterdammerung.

Very, very interesting. Uh, one, one other thing I need to address while I, uh, on that part of the world, the outcome of the presidential elections in Georgia. Now we're hearing here in the West that it was some sort of an interference from the Russians inside the elections. I, I am reminded of what, uh, what's his name, Mikhail Saakashvili. Did back then when he was told by NATO and the US, just go ahead and fight the Russians, we will defend you, we will come to your support. And when the first shot was fired, he reached out to Brussels, he reached out to Washington, said, hey guys, are you coming to help me out? They like, what, are you crazy? You want us to fight a nuclear Russia? Are we seeing the same scenario in Georgia now?

Well, yeah, the United States is certainly trying to take it over and to dominate it and to control who the leadership is. But, you know, when you go down, when you go down the look of the election rigging that took place, you, so you, number one, you had a lot, you have a large number of Moldovans that live abroad. Many lived in, you know, live in Romania, Germany, other EU states, but also in Russia. So what happened is the government of Moldova, they made lots of ballots available to those Moldavians living in Romania, Germany, and the rest of Europe, but they restricted the number in Russia. And apparently, in Russia. I think the number is something like potential of 500,000 Moldovan citizens that live in Russia. But for that 500,000, they only had 2 voting stations. So this, this was a deliberately rigged election to produce a desired outcome, to create this woman, keep this woman in power, because she, yeah, she's basically, she's agreed to prostitute herself to the West, and the West is happy to pay her.

Wow, you would think she would learn from the history of that, of what happened to her country back then.

So they don't read history. Wow.

Yeah, that's, that's unfortunate. So, uh, I like to shift our, our conversation, if it's possible, to the Far East, given now the drums of war has been resounding in Washington and the narratives being pushed. As I mentioned earlier, I was in the Far East I was aware of during the time I was in Taiwan, some naval assets, US naval assets were moving into the South China Sea once again. Are we on the verge of a conflict in that part of the world?

Oh, yes. No, most definitely. I just, I got a communication from one of my military buddies talking about the, what was going on in the Middle East. What was going on, you know, with Israel and Iran. We're talking about what was going on, um, in Ukraine. And he just said, hey, those, those are sideshows. Uh, the big— the focus, the attention is— it's all on, uh, it's all on China. That's, that's what we're, um, wanting to do. Let me see, let me just read it to you real quick. Um, he says, uh, okay, the amount of money that Department of Defense is pouring into non-kinetic spectrum warfare is insane. We're hell-bent on knocking out China's communications before they knock out ours, which is impossible, but it won't stop us from trying, I suppose. It's just China is the focus because, because of its size. Now again, yeah, they're ignoring— the argument was for a long, so long here in the West over the last 2 and a half years is that this was not even a real relationship between China and Russia. Well, now they finally recognize, oh my God, these guys really do have a solid economic, defense, scientific, you know, you name it. It's a broad spectrum relationship across the board. And by virtue of that, China and Russia together are extremely powerful and more powerful than anything the United States can field.

If, if there is— and again, I'm just thinking outside the box here, Larry, If there were to be a, a conflict breaks out between the US and China, and of course each one of them is going to be bringing its own allies per se. Yeah, what are we looking at here?

Well, what are we— uh, the United States lacks the number of naval vessels to be able to sustain at sea to impose a naval blockade on China. Yeah, we don't have a maritime force capable of of carrying troops that could invade China. We don't have a large enough army to invade China. So I mean, what the hell are we going to do, get into a quote-unquote war with China? We're going to have to deploy our ships, which right now I think we've got 5 carrier task force groups. And we've already seen that, well, one of those carriers was no match for the Houthis. That carrier, remember, the carrier went out there to open up the Red Sea to make sure the ships could sail at will to Israel, and it failed. Mission not accomplished. So, you know, if, if the Houthis can stop us, because their missiles are not as sophisticated as what China has, not as numerous as what China has, not as, uh, not as, uh, with the, with the distance they can travel as China has. Yeah. So, you know, if we have trouble handling the Houthis, we'll get our ass kicked, to put it bluntly, if we go after China. So again, we're just, we're, we're living in the 20th century. We failed to catch up to the 21st century.

Well, that's for sure. It's the idea of, let alone the logistics of this. Uh, one of my avid supporters for the channel, Hank, uh, he put in a comment pertaining to this particular aspect. He wrote, and I quote, I hope everything calms down. If it erupts, the island, meaning Taiwan, that is, hoping wars favor the PLA. The supply lines are 7,500 miles from LA. And 10,000 miles from Europe. Logistical challenge, end of quote. And it makes perfect sense. We will, you know, we have to move our assets all the way down unless we are using— we are going to be using Philippines, South Korea, Australia, and Japan.

Yeah, but, but he's exactly right. The, the line of communication, the logistics, yeah, is a very, very long tail. Very, very tough to get it there in time. And as we've also seen during our attempts to supply weapons to Ukraine, we don't have the inventory and we don't have the productive capability to produce more in a timely fashion to replace what's being used. We're having to shepherd, husband these resources and restrict who gets them and who— and direct them to those who we see in most need. So I mean, if we get into a shooting match with China and trying to, you know, establish control over the sea, yeah, what China has learned from watching the Ukrainian-Russian battles on the fields of battle in Ukraine is if massive drone swarms can overwhelm conventional defense.

And they do have the advantage for that, the Chinese.

Absolutely, absolutely.

And it was just the idea, you know, sometimes you argue this way and you get this pushback against those who are like, well, why are you putting down the country, the US, that is? Why And the argument, Larry, is that it's, it's pragmatism. We won't be able to fight a war over there. It's just because the logistics of it, especially when it comes down to the naval and amphibious war. Yes, you can use some of whatever you have pockets there, but it won't be enough, uh, against the overwhelming force that China presents. And now when you put China and Russia together I mean, I might as well add North Korea to the mix for that, right? We'll be looking at a different outcome for that. So, and that's what the reason I wanted to ask you that one, Larry, because I, I'm keeping my eyes open on this. That was one of the reasons why I went all the way to Taiwan, because I wanted to see with my own eyes. So yeah, let me go back to, uh, let me go back to the Middle East because it was one major development and I know it's not getting enough coverage. And I forgot to mention it to you earlier, Larry, this one has to do with the passage of an Israeli destroyer through the Suez Canal. Now that begs the question, why will Egypt allow that?

Well, Egypt and Israel have had, you know, they've had this peace agreement in place now for 34 years, and Egypt gets billions of dollars from the United States. So it's, it's a paid vassal state. Uh, it's, it's, you know, I think this was done purely for show because again, Israel's not sending it down to fight the Houthis. If it goes that far, it, it could very well get shot out of the water. So I think that again, this is more to demonstrate the that Israel and Egypt still are in, uh, good relations with one another, even though Israel is becoming more isolated among many of the Arab Muslim world.

Yeah, but still, most of the Sunni countries, they're just giving lip service regarding this Gaza issue.

I mean, well, they, they have up to the— to a point, but now there's— they've really started That's one of the interesting phenomena that the, at least the people in the street, the Sunni, average Sunni man and woman are enraged by this. And that's why I say that Biden's inaction or facilitation of Israel's genocide has created a situation where the Sunnis and Shias who normally would be at odds are actually coming together and rallying around the cause of the Palestinians, starting to rally around the cause of the Palestinians.

No, and it's becoming more evident. I just saw the demonstrations, the hunger strike that is taking place in Jordan. It was also another demonstration in Morocco, another one in Germany. So there are some, even European countries are some moving into that direction. So yeah, I want to conclude, Larry, with the domestic front, because domestic front, meaning the US presidential elections. No matter how we look at it, we can't ignore the fact that US presidential elections, the outcome will impact the direction one way or another. Doesn't matter. And I would like to have your, uh, uh, assessment, your insights, not about who's going to win and it won't matter. I'm, I'm talking about the trajectory moving forward, the, the, the day after the election. What, what, what do you expect? Going to happen?

The US will be riven with chaos. We will be weaker regardless of who wins. That, um, what will come be clear is that there is no genuine consensus. I think the Democrats are positioning themselves to be able to declare that, uh, Trump's election is fraudulent, that he didn't win. Yeah. When Trump challenged the election 2020, that was insurrection. Now when the Democrats do it, now they're just being patriotic. Uh, by the same token, if Trump loses, uh, there's, there's again, there's already, uh, we've got multiple reports of people trying to vote for Trump and the machines switching the vote to Harris. So there are, there's already evidence of that kind of corruption. The point is, regardless of whether Trump comes out or Harris comes out on top, the United States is not going to be strong and united. And there are going to be these international crises creeping up. I take the Iranians at their word. I think they're going to hit Israel. And when they do, I think they're going to inflict damage on Israel that Israel has never experienced in its entire 75 years of, uh, existence there in the Middle East. And if that happens, this could rapidly get well out of hand.

Yeah, the possibility is there. I'm very concerned about it, but it's, it's part of reality for how— and this is why, this is why, guys, uh, when we have Larry here, this is because I want you to hear sort of the pragmatic analysis assessments, because Larry doesn't work for a media, Larry doesn't push a narrative, you know, you know how it is, you know how Larry is. So let's just— I'm not gonna be saying what you already know. And because you need to hear the other side of the argument, I'm not suggesting you don't listen to others, you do, but you reach out to your own conclusion based on evidence, based on logical arguments., and, and you decide for that. Speaking of, uh, uh, uh, Larry, here is you guys where you can find Larry's, uh, work. Uh, he writes, uh, uh, uh, extensively on Substack. Check it out, sign up for that one, you know, read up his stuff over there. And, uh, I think it shouldn't cost that much money anyway, but on Substack, that's where Larry puts his, uh— Larry, do you have, uh, do you have an X account also?

Also sonar21.com.

Okay, let me write it down for them. Sonar21.com.

Dot com. Yep.

Is it S-O-N-A-R, right?

Correct.

Roger. Okay, I'm gonna put it up here for you guys. Check this one out. And I'm gonna put it— I'll add it into the description, uh, for you guys to, uh, have it there. And you just click on it and check out Larry, uh, uh, work there. So, uh, I'll take one question from, uh, uh, there is one question here. As I mentioned, the Super Sticker question from, uh, Rafael Ligon. Rafael has been an avid supporter. Thank you so much for being here. Uh, Larry, sir, why is Putin not doing more to stop the J-word and the JA in Lebanon and Gaza and so forth? And that, uh, does he know that history will not be kind to him too.

Well, I'm not sure what he means by it. Oh, just stop.

Basic. Yeah, basically. Yeah, the way I understood it.

Yeah, okay. I now, now I understand what he's got it.

Okay.

Um, the Putin and the Russians are, are— it's really, it's not their fight. Yeah, I mean, they, they'll support— they probably provide support. They're embroiled in their own battle. Um, what would be, uh, what would be bad for Putin's legacy is if he doesn't finish him off in Ukraine first. The, um, you know, the ones who are really in a position to shut this down— first, the United States. United States is facilitating genocide. Then there's Turkey and Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan is supplying 30, 40% of Israel's oil. You shut that off, Israel can't continue to fight. And Turkey is allowing that oil to transit its territory and be delivered. Those, you know, those three countries right there could stop it. I, you You know, um, Russia's doing— I think Russia is doing what it can. Yeah, they could, you know, they could go in full military, but they're like, that's, that's not going to happen. They're, they're, they're smart enough to know they don't want to fight a two or three front war because they can't win it.

It won't be that easy. So, right. Well, Larry, I can't thank you enough for being here, man. I truly appreciate your time. Appreciate your insights, and I'm very, very grateful on behalf of the entire community. I would say thank you for carving out time for us here.

Well, thank you for having me. It's always an honor and a privilege.

Of course. Thank you so much, guys. All right, Larry, I shall communicate with you soon.

Okay, bye-bye.

Take care.

Bye.

All right, guys, I hope you understand. You know, here is why I bring Larry here. Whenever he's available because his insights, it's something it's worth listening to. He's been around, around the block, given his previous work in Washington, DC. Some of us who went through, he has more experience than I do. He's been there longer than I have. But anytime you walk or you work in Washington, you gain insights you won't get outside from either mainstream media, whatever, because we were inside the system itself. It's just some of us wake up to that reality of this is going a wrong direction and I don't want to be part of it. And this is what happened, that, that, you know, consciousness that is, it's because, you know, whatever the government end up doing, it's not right. And you either decide to stay in that system or get out of it. So in my case, I can speak for others, made decision to get out of that and I was, it's over. So Anyway, remember, tomorrow, guys, I will be releasing my analysis about the Saudis. That's something you really want to check it out. I know I did livestream, uh, on that, but this is different. This is a, a specific or detailed analysis as to why the Saudis, uh, sort of opt out of BRICS full membership. So, uh, second thing is I am working on two main stories. I'll decide whether to do them in live or recorded video. I'll, I'll, I'm at this point I am confirming some information before I'll come on the air and share that with you. So, uh, to those who've been supporting the channel, by the way, I gotta say thank you to the YouTube channel members for your continued support. It means a lot. I usually don't say much on that, but, uh, because I always talk about Buy Me a Coffee and so forth, but also the, uh the, the YouTube channel members, which I am very, very grateful for your continued support. Uh, for you guys, if you want to support the channel, you know, I don't have outside financing for this. It takes a lot, a lot of time, efforts, and energy to put this together. Should you decide to support the channel, I would be very grateful to you. So, all right, as always, remember, geopolitics impacts your daily life in more ways than one. Till next time, guys, bye-bye.