Saudi Arabia & Jordan Betray the Palestinians! To What Extent?

Hey everybody and welcome to Geopolitical Trends. I'm so excited to be with you on this November 6th, uh, uh, interesting topic. I'm going to be providing you some insights, some analysis about, because I wrote extensively, uh, on, uh, uh, on this topic, also on the region, but mainly it's going to be about Saudi Arabia and Jordan. Why they made the decision they made regarding restricting their airspace for any missiles flying out of Yemen, but at the same time allowing their airspace for Israelis' jets and so forth. So I'm going to provide you— I'm not here to judge, we're not here to point fingers, as you all know. We're here to provide an objective assessment, okay, just for you to have an understanding, a clear read, if you will, of the geopolitical landscape as to why certain countries make the decisions they make. So this way you put it in perspective, and of course you reach your own conclusion for that. Before I do all this, like always, I'd like to extend my sincere thanks to all the channel's members, supporters, subscribers, that including you if you are a subscriber of this channel. If not, please make sure to subscribe, uh, at this moment. I would Greatly appreciate it. I want to give a shout out to new channel supporters. Uh, there are 4 new channel supporters. I'll start with Donald Hume. Thank you very much for becoming a channel supporter. Truly appreciate it. I also want to give a shout out to Daisy. Daisy, thank you so much. Uh, another supporter by the name Lucy Rios. Thank you so much, Lucy. Truly appreciate your support. And the last person I want to give a shout out to is Scott Davis, thank you very much, Scott, for becoming a channel support. Truly appreciate all of you guys. I— and by the way, just to give you a heads up for the members and supporters, I will be doing an exclusive Q&A for the members and supporters at the end of this month after I return from my overseas trip. And yes, I am leaving the country for a while. You're not gonna probably hear from me for a while. Sometimes it's important to travel to certain parts of the world to see. I need to see with my own eyes certain aspects of whatever I'm covering when it comes down to geopolitics. Uh, it's— this has always been a rule for me. I don't have to count on anybody else, but I have to sometimes to take the initiative and do it myself. So this is what I'm gonna be doing. I will miss you, of course. And FYI, I will be doing another livestream tomorrow on the other channel for the last time before I take off, because, uh, my co-host is on, on, on leave, on sort of on honeymoon for now. And, uh, so this is what I'm going to be doing. I also want to give a shout out to the supporters on who bought me coffee. By the way, guys, there are those who just put someone. I, I don't want to take it upon myself to disclose the name if you don't want me disclose the name. So I'll give just a quick example. There is a Dr. Stan. That's all I'm gonna say because not the full name, because all I see is someone. If, if I don't see your name I'm assuming you don't want me to disclose that, and I respect that. So, but thank you all for you, for those who bought me coffee. Thank you so much, and I hope one day in real life to have a chance to sit down with you for a cup of coffee. So, all right, let's get into our topic here because we need to ask the two main questions. What is the reason? What is the reason why Saudis and the Jordanians made the decision or announced this statement? And second, what is this all about, given the timing of what really taking place, uh, uh, in, in the Middle East? So it's just matter of understanding. Uh, and by the way, before I forget, I'm seeing Marianne from, uh, uh, uh, Canada, Vancouver. Please type in where you are joining me from. I really like to see what parts. I saw yesterday somebody from the Caribbean. Thank you so much for being here. Someone else from— was from South Africa. So I truly appreciate if you can type in, uh, where you are joining me from. Uh, bonjour à toi, Phil. Phil, bonjour means hi, how are you? It's from Ottawa. So thank you, Phil. Uh, also Lucio from Montreal. Good to see you, Lucio, as always. Um, yeah, if you will be kind and just type it when you get a chance to do so. So We'll get in. Muhammad Sinwari from Canada, good to see you. Beba from Dominican Republic, good to see you. Uh, uh, Time 9, Time Now 9, Francis, uh, from India, uh, so good to see you here. Uh, Mr. Uh, Mr. Bad 00 from Australia, good to see you. Truly, truly, I, I enjoyed having seen you guys from here. Quebec There's someone else from Quebec. Why it's not showing up here? Okay, it disappeared. That's odd. Anyway, welcome, Langley, Virginia. Jason, good to see you from here, the US. Uh, Jack, good to see you from London. Hope all is well, Jack. So, and I have my fellow Texan here, so good to see you, Nezzy. Pleasure having you all here. Somalia, look at that, guys. Max in Somalia. So, uh, oh, I see someone from Sweden. You know, I, I miss Stockholm, I must admit, but that was back then, '86, '87, made the trip back then. So, so anyway, let's, uh, oh, Malaysia! There is Malaysia here. Good to see you, Wong Kee See. Also from Manila, Philippines. Babco, good to see you. Uh, New Zealand. Wow, John, good to see you, John. And I see someone from France. There we go. Sure. Yeah, Omega. Yeah, hello from France. Corsica, good to see you. Nice, the nice city in France, guys. That's what it is. For those who might not know. Wow, California! Minor, good to see you, Minor. California, uh, Marie, Quebec. There we go. All right guys, let's, uh, uh, oh, the last one I'm gonna mention here is Atlanta. Where, where is Atlanta? No, not this one. Jack Robert there. London. And right there, Atlanta Alley. Okay, all right, let's, let's get in into our topic. So as I mentioned, and I'm going to provide you my own assessment based on my research that I conducted over the years based on the region and, and so forth. So here is what happened, and you have to put this within the context of what's coming up. And what's coming up is that, uh, uh, there will be a meeting coming up next week, next weekend, the weekend at least, in Saudi Arabia. And the meeting will be of the Arab League. They call it an extraordinary summit. You know, it's nothing but hype. Don't fall into all that, and I'm going to tell you why. So, but here is at least the background. Saudi Arabia and Jordan, you know, both of them informed Yemen that they're going to restrict their airspace. In fear of there will be some missiles flying out of Yemen. Because as you may know, and I did the video for you guys about the Houthis, Houthis are Iranian-backed with the weapons also, that means the including the missiles. So, so what Jordan and Saudi Arabia said, no, we're not going to allow our airspace to be used for that, you know. However, this the same two countries Jordan and Saudi Arabia gave the green light for the Israeli warplanes to use their airspace, including— and get this, guys— attacks on Yemen. It didn't say they will allow attacks on Israel, attacks on Yemen. So right there, as, as, as a geopolitical analyst, you're gonna have to think in terms of, well, interesting, there is the major issue right here, Gaza, Palestine, and so forth, And yet the Saudis and Jordanians will allow attacks on Yemen. What's the link there? And the link then has to do with Iran, and I'll explain as I move forward. But as I said, like I always say, you put this within— nothing happens in a vacuum. This one comes ahead of the upcoming summit, and the upcoming summit is going to be on November 11th. I think it's going to be for 2 days. It's going to be, uh, uh, hosted by Saudi Arabia. So Saudi Arabia is going to be chairing the current 32nd session of the Arab League. What does it all mean? It's nothing but a photo op. I'm here to tell you, as one who's been following those meetings of the Arab League from way back, they got there, they get in the meetings, in the summit, they talk, talk, talk, photo ops, we're gonna do this, we're gonna do that, And it's all talk, no more, no less. The question becomes, is why is it in Saudi Arabia but not another country? There are those who will say, well, Saudis can afford this and that. No, no, this one has to do with who wants to claim the leadership in the Arab world at this time of difficulties. This is what it's all about. Because what— why is that? Why that is? Because in the Middle East right now, you have the two major pillars, players, that is Saudi Arabia and Iran. Those are the key. You add Turkey to the mix, of course, but we're talking about when it comes down to the Arab Muslim world, you only have two, uh, uh, because there are a lot of people in the West confuse the Turks with Arabs. Well, Turks are not Arabs and Arabs are not Turks. So, but it's same thing for Iran. Persians are not Arabs, you know. What— where the commonality between the two is that the Arab and the Muslim world— this is why Saudi is taking step for this, to host the summit. But again, it's nothing but a follow-up, no more, no less. I'm here to tell you based on experience. Of course you're going to read or hear that it's a, it's a, a gathering, pivotal, very important gathering in response to the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict and a dire humanitarian situation. Well, wait a minute— if you are to just talk, why don't you act? Watch what a man does, not what he says. So I'll apply this to them. We're not talking about war here, guys. I know some misunderstood my statements that I'm advocating for war. No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no! It's far from reality. And the last thing I will ever advocate for. Sometimes there are conditions under which you have to meet strength with strength. No, but it's always preferably peaceful means are always better. That's my argument. I still hold that. It just sometimes people misunderstood, uh, they don't read well my, my kind of comments when I do say something No, no, it's not advocating for this. When I say all Arabs do is talk, you know, I'm not saying that they need to go and, and start fighting Israel. No, that's not what I'm advocating for. What I'm saying is they cannot just be just all about talks. In other words, if you have the means by which to influence the direction, in the case of the, uh, uh, uh, countries in the Middle East, they have the means to, to oil, for example, which is exactly what Qatar is saying right now. And they might even be doing that by limiting the flow of oil into that direction. Same thing Turkey said. That's what I'm saying. Yeah, Arab countries hold a lot of weapons and so forth. What for? I don't know. Go figure. But in this country, in this case for Saudi Arabia and Jordan, this is not about Palestine, this is not about the Arab world, it is about the monarchy's survival, period. I'm telling you this based on experience and knowledge on the ground because we worked with— when I was in Washington, DC, we were close up to the hierarchy of those countries and so forth. So we were aware of their situations. What I found very troubling also at the same time is that there is another country that is— will go that path of supporting the ties with Israel, and that one is United Arab Emirates. United Arab Emirates is also concerned about its own domestic agenda per se. And why the concern for all those countries? Because there are minority Shiites living in those countries. So they are especially, especially Saudi Arabia, there's the fear. And I'm gonna get into this as to why that is. And, uh, so I want you keep an open mind when you hear the assessments I'm gonna provide you, mainly about Saudi Arabia and Jordan, but I'm gonna focus on Saudi Arabia because Saudis will play far bigger role than Jordan. Yes, Jordan during the, the, the time of King Hussein, the current king's father, made the argument because some of them were— if you look at history, you look at the map back then, they all were Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, Palestine, they all were in one. It's the British that carved out all this. Of course, British were clueless as to the historical and societal, linguistic, religious, uh, diversities and so forth. They didn't understand all those dynamics. All they looked at were nothing but borders. So that's, that's how the Brits approached it at that time. And this is where that difference is that I need you to understand and place this within the context of why the the Saudis and the Jordanians made or issued the statement they issued about that one. So in the case of— just to go back quickly here to United Arab Emirates, because United Arab Emirates, a country that plays— it reminds me of, uh, of India. It just goes with whatever the wind is blowing. Yes, of course, I am not denying this. Of course they have to look for their own interest. But if you think, you look at the history, if you look in the history and see where they ever stood their ground firmly, in other words, they, they took a stand on something. So, so in this case, for the United Arab Emirates, uh, uh, you look at them both, uh, planning to continue their diplomatic and economic rapprochement been in proximity, closeness per se, partnership if you will, with Israel despite the surging opposition in the Arab and Muslim world regarding the, uh, Israeli military actions. And once again, guys, I can't stress this, I can't stress this enough: separate the people, the Jewish people, from the Israeli government. Two separate things. I'm sure whatever country you are watching me from You notice that in your own government, the people, your people, your fellow citizens are thinking somehow differently than your government. Same arguments can be applied here. What I need you to understand in the case now of the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia is the survival of the monarchies. And this is the same key arguments of what I'm going to base everything on, uh, when it comes down to Jordan and, uh Saudi Arabia. So, and again, this one here, guys, is based on the analysis that I did, uh, uh, in, in both my— all my writings about the Middle East. This is a picture of, uh, King Abdullah here on the left, and this is MBS, Mohammed bin Salman, the Crown Prince, the de facto leader. And like I said last time, in the West, don't be fooled by— we, uh, at least to me, uh, as one who was in Washington David Oualaalou, there are a lot of concerns about this guy here. That's why I, I can say, and I feel comfortable saying it, it's my own opinion, he's not gonna make it long term. I could be wrong, but to me, I'm seeing the— where the thinking is in Washington, uh, because the thinking in Washington is we're going to be dealing with this guy for the next 5 decades. 6 decades, and we already seeing pivoting to playing both sides. Yes, Saudi Arabia did say to the US, if you don't stop Israel, we will step in. And I did comment on this, and it was— it happened. At the same time, like I mentioned, you always put that— put everything in its rightful context. Saudis did not want to miss the opportunity to demonstrate to the Arab and Muslim world that we still play the leadership in the Muslim world. I question the Saudi leadership, you know, under what authority that leadership was granted to the Saudis to begin with. Just because Saudi Arabia has the two, uh, uh, most holy sites in, in, in, in the Muslim world, Mecca and Medina, it doesn't mean they're gonna have to become the leader of the Muslim world. As a matter of fact, majority of other countries do not subscribe to that notion. So could it be the Saudis had to calculate that they need to do this? That's one. Second one, could it be that also the Crown Prince, who most likely will become a king once his dad passes away, wants to pave the way from the get-go? There are already tensions inside the royal family, to my knowledge, and I disclosed it in my book, uh, about the Saudi book, uh, The 2,000+ princes are— all of them have their own allegiances and alliances and tribes and so forth. So there is an internal dynamics, doesn't come to the surface, of course. Those are internal royal squabbling. We're not going to know about this, but that is the reason why a statement like that will be made. So for the prince to pave the way, because how could we all forget what happened to Jamal Khashoggi? And again, you call a spade a spade. Truth matters. There are those who do not like to hear. I'm sure they're not going to like me saying this inside Saudi Arabia. Well, too bad. It's the truth because it happened. And this is where the challenge that I see coming in the case of Jordan. Like I said yesterday, I think, or the day before, King Jordan, King Abdullah, is thinking in terms of his son. He has to make sure the path is paved, no issues for the succession. No, uh, now I can't get into whether it's the right or not, ain't my business. I don't care. Monarchy to me, it's nothing. Just you look at in Britain, for example, and, and, and in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Morocco, it's a different type of monarchy, uh, in, in comparison to those in UK, in Belgium, for example, in, in Denmark, uh, Sweden, I think, uh, King Gustav, his son, I think, is taking over. It's, it's separate. So, and I'm not gonna get into this because ain't my problem. It's not, it's not an issue to me. I don't care. Uh, where I see the problem is this: whether the people are in line with this thinking that you're gonna pass the succession to the next time. And so forth. There, it's their country, they can decide whatever they want. So this is where I see the, the concern of Jordan. Jordan wants to ensure, because Jordan is so small, and as I said, we used to deal with their special ops, and you know, it's to train them, you know, because those are part of the monarchy stuff. So, and it was always about the security of the monarchy, understandably so. Same thing in, in Saudi Arabia. However, if you go back a few years ago, especially during uh, uh, just about literally, I think, 5 years ago, 4 years ago or so, uh, that there was some popular anger inside Jordan. And why is because the government in Jordan raised taxes on a large number of commodities, you know. And what was the reason for that? The reason for it was to generate tax revenues to help ease the deficit, that the public budget, there were some issues, the, the inequivalency. If you happen to be an Arab living in the Middle East, you know what I'm talking about when you see the disparity between the, the, the people at the top and the average citizens. I mean, we see it right here, our corrupted leaders in Washington. Oh, they all, no exception, and I don't shy away from saying dysfunctional US Congress. Corrupted to the core. Well, in the Arab world is the same, it's no different. And what happened back then was the rise of prices of bread, gas, sodas, and cigarettes. Those are considered very important. Ask any Arab who lives in the Middle East about those four items and he will tell you. And this, basically, this increase has angered Jordanians to the point that they took to the streets. Well, the monarch is living a lavish lifestyle and the average citizen has to struggle. The, the optics of it is not good because if you look at history, what happened? Can anybody tell me what happened back in France? What am I referring to here? Let me see what you guys can type in here because that was exact, uh, a reflection of what took place back then. We're seeing it today. So when angry people descend to the streets, you know what it means. So, and I know it takes a while, like guillotine, but it was something, uh, uh, uh, before that that took place in France, because that really changed the course of history when it comes down to— yeah, you're absolutely correct, David K. The French Revolution. You know, you can't ignore that. And you can ignore it for a simple fact that it was the same circumstances back then in comparison to today, except the circumstances are in a different time. So this is what I'm referring to here, is the idea of understanding when that anger spilled to the streets, the monarchy had to think twice about that. So, and this was in line at that time with what took place in Egypt in Sudan, in Iran, and of course Jordan. And even— and here is the key— even in certain areas in Saudi Arabia. And all it means, as an analyst, you're going to have to think about what does all this mean. What it mean basically suggests that the masses are no longer willing to pay or to stay silent. That's, that, that's what it means. And usually regimes in the Middle East or the Gulf, and they tend to pay close attention to that. This is why maintaining, maintaining the public order through stipends, through whatever means to keep everybody quiet and calm, it's, it's to their benefits. Because the fear has always been in this is the change from within. And, and you will see why when I get, uh, uh, uh, in more discussions here. So the Saudis started to see, uh, or started to consider that their options— because they had to consider their options— either maintain loyalty, because that's what their argument to the public: either you maintain your loyalty to the royal family who abuse its power and spend the country's oil wealth lavishly, okay, or you take to the streets and force change regardless of how dangerous it may be. And this is exactly what happened in Egypt. We were side-blinded. As a matter of fact, CIA didn't even know about what about to happen in Tahrir Square in Cairo. Whoever thought? And they ousted Hosni Mubarak at that time. Out. So this is what the— some countries in the region are fearing, concerned about. So, but this is a much bigger picture. This is not about Palestine, as I said earlier. For Jordan and, and Saudi Arabia to go ahead and make this decision, it's reflected to a much bigger issue, a geopolitical one, to be precise. And mainly has to do with one country, and that country is Iran. The dynamics in the Middle East have changed now with US decline. Actually, most of the Arab countries are moving away from the US. You know, you have the Saudis because the Saudis' security depends on, on the United States, because they know if not, US will create a tension for the Saudis inside Saudi Arabia. We have the means to do that. This is why the Saudis will have to maintain— despite them shifting east towards China and so forth, they're still going to maintain some relationship with, with the US. That, that ain't going to go anywhere. But here is where the bigger picture— and I argued this before— what I'm sharing with you guys is the analysis that I've done over the years that still holds true today, and it will for the foreseeable future as well. And what I argued back then, and I still argue today, now that the dynamics have changed regarding Iran's vision for the Middle East— so, because what you're gonna get with this, you're gonna get the expansion of the Shiite Crescent that includes— you have Lebanon, you have Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Iran, of course, and Bahrain. And for you to understand this, I'm gonna share the map with you for you to put this in perspective. Because if you don't see such screen, uh, Middle East, there we go. Okay, let me make this bigger for you guys. So there we go, just for you to understand this dynamics. So just remember the countries I mentioned. This is for Iran's thinking strategically down the road, the expansion, like they call it the crescents, all the way to the Mediterranean area, includes Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Iran, and Bahrain. That's why it's important for you to understand. And it is very, uh, uh, the idea of the United States— where does the US fits into all this? Well, the United States, of course, we can't think strategically because we never think strategically. We always think about the next quarter, next elections. This is why we messed up. Our foreign policy is so messed up. But even with something like this, at least when I was in Washington, you know, you have the conversation, you have the proposals of here is what you might consider, uh, putting into your head as far as strategy. Is that, uh, what this expansion will mean for the developments, the applications, and the reception of American foreign policy in the coming years. And even you argue this and it falls on deaf ears, you know. There's something I'm sure you guys know called chain of command, uh, and when you get the commander doesn't get it, what else would you do? No, but here's the thing. The US is already suffering, has been and is still, is already suffering from a political deficit that includes decline of support from Arab allies in the region. You're not going to hear this much. You're going to go— you're not going to read much about it. It's for people who truly understand the dynamics of the Middle East. And have a better read of the geopolitical landscape will be able to conclusively state something like this. So I'm staying— I'm stating it conclusively that the US declined support from its own allies in the region. So, so, and what you add to this, despite what you hear, there are tensions behind closed doors between the US and Saudi Arabia. And this is why we were unable to influence the outcome of the Syrian conflict. All this displays the failure of our initiatives, you know. And what you add to all this, you include the military capabilities of Iran for it to project this posture in the Middle East as far as flexing its military, economic, and political muscles. Iran, you have to include its ballistic missile developments. Okay, this is what you have to think about when you see the big picture of the Middle East. And this is why you see the support for the US has been eroding throughout majority of countries, except you take, for example, Bahrain, well, because we have our Fifth Fleet there. Saudi Arabia, because we have security treaty with them that we will always protect them. But even with that, you've seen some erosion into that support that we enjoyed back then. So my sense when it comes down to Saudi Arabia and as to why it made the decision is that the royal family, the Saudi family, is worried about its own survival, but also concerned about domestic stability. Because if there is any shift, it's going to create problems. And this is why you're seeing shifting in the debate and the conversation and diverting the attention could be a good strategy that the monarchy is using. The same arguments can be made for Jordan. Ask any average Jordanian what his or her opinion, and you'll get a different outcome. Where I see, as I argued in the— and by the way, for you, for those who wants to have access to, uh, the book, guys, you can just, uh, here it is. I'm going to show it for you here. Just sign up for this free, and, and you upload electronically, uh, a copy of my book. Yeah, and I share the knowledge with, you know, I— the publisher— it's my, it's my own, it's my own book now, my own rights. The royalties are mine, and I share it with you because that's how. So if you can sign up, and you will, you will enjoy reading the book. So, and I detail most of the stuff I'm talking about. So like I said, the idea of this shifting conversation, this is the reason why you, uh, as I always say, the Palestinian cause, it's a perfect opportunity to divert the tensions from the failure of the domestic policies in many Arab countries. It's a strategy, it's been used, nothing new. But for those who understand the Arab world, uh, you will know, or you know what I am talking about here. Because here's the thing, and I'm going to give you a scenario here. This is not— it's a hypothetical, but still the possibility of it could— it was about this close to happen, and the Saudis shut it down with money. That's why they poured in billions of dollars during the Arab Spring. And the argument is this: if the people of Riyadh, which is the capital, Jeddah Dammam, Khobar, and Qatif— those are major cities in Saudi Arabia, among others— were to unravel. And if you combine this with the ongoing issues regarding the Shia Eastern Province in Saudi Arabia, which is in the southeastern part where the oil is, things could quickly sort of take a different turn. The monarchy will not want to be dealing with that because in that case, despite— yes, there is now, uh, diplomatic ties have been reestablished between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Of course, now things might be slightly different, but if the opportunity presented itself there, countries will jump on it. That's just the norm when it comes down to geopolitics. Strategic interest, strategic, uh, or national strategic interests matter. So what you look at in this case, like this, hypothetically, if the people in Riyadh, Jeddah, Dammam, Khobar, and Qatif, in addition to the Shiite, uh, in the southeastern part, what you're looking at, you're looking at, uh, which country is going to benefit from this? Can anybody tell me which country do you think will benefit from this? So I wait till you guys type in your answer there, and I'm gonna keep going here. So let me see, because sometimes it might show up here. Uh, yeah, it takes a while. It takes a while for— oh yeah, you got it, you got it right, you got it right. Uh, M. Wildman, you got it right, sir. It's Iran. And, and this is not, uh, uh, Luda, you got it also right. I'm sorry. Yeah, yeah, Murphy, you got it right. Uh, yeah, what I meant, benefiting from the chaos in Saudi Arabia, which country in the region will benefit from that, most likely to benefit? Yeah, you guys got it. Emancipator, you got it right, is Iran. And, and this is nothing sort of vengeful against the Saudis. No, it's just a matter of strategic interest, no more, no less. No, that, that's normal. If you reverse the roles, Saudis will, will, will, will benefit from that as well, because this will pave the way for, for example, Iran to increase its influence not only in, in areas where majority Shiites lives, like Iran, like Yemen, like Syria, Lebanon, of course, but it further start working towards the Gulf States. Because remember, there are minority Shiites in Bahrain, there are minority Shiites in Kuwait, in United Arab Emirates, and even some in Qatar, to my knowledge, but very, very minimum there. But Bahrain and Kuwait, it has a minority Shia. It's there that it's sizable, per se. So the way you look at all this within the statement, to tie it back to why Jordan and Saudi Arabia— and again, you look more for Saudi Arabia than you look for Jordan because the, the size of Saudi Arabia in comparison to Jordan, the impact of Saudi Arabia in comparison to Jordan when it comes down to oil, for example, It makes more sense. Yes, Jordan will have to do it because the proximity, because any, any which we already dealing with as far as migration of Palestinians into Jordan, Jordan cannot absorb that kind of stuff. Is the same thing that happens in Ukraine when Europeans were saying, well, we'll be okay with this and this. All of a sudden you find them, oh, we can't deal with that. Like Egypt. Egypt already made it clear they will not be able to absorb the, uh, people from Gaza. You're looking at 2 million, one of the most dense area in the world. 2 million people living in such a small square, uh, footage. So what you need to put into consideration in this is the shifting geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, because this is where you start to think about how countries behave And I'll give you the example of Saudi Arabia and United States, because each one of them now is going to have to reorient its policy. Well, for the Saudis, we'll have to think about this, their foreign policy, in terms of the domestic issues. For us, it has to do with our foreign policy that is ill-conceived, is broken, is ambiguous, but not because of our domestic issues, but the changes on the system, on the global system that is moving from a unipolar into a multipolar. So you can just see from different orientations, different directions. Saudis will have to look at it from one end, the Americans will have to look at it from another. So, so, as a matter of fact, as, as one who did a lot of analysis about this, Saudis already had begun, already begun its process by shifting away from the United States towards China. And this is not a new— I, I told you guys this before so many times. I just want to make sure you understand what does it mean. And it shifts to, to China for two main reasons. One is that Saudi Arabia realizes that oil production in the US is going up because we have the shale going up. So which means what? There will be less demands from oil from Saudi Arabia because we buy a lot of oil from Saudis. Which means what? That the Saudis will have so much, well, we may as well find the market now. We're not gonna wait for the Americans. And second, the shift of wealth from the West to the East in the wake of China's economic preeminence, that is presenting a major, huge economic opportunities for Saudi Arabia that is considering to benefit from. Those are the two main reasons. Like I always said, when you look at geopolitics, think of economics as well, finance. All of them, they tied. Energy, all of them, they tied. So now this is from Saudi Arabia's end. From the US, US is— we are politically handicapped to do anything in the Middle East anymore, you know. So because why? We have, we have a broken system here. We have a corrupted Congress, and, and, and policymakers are marred into some sort of, uh, political infighting. No, because we suffer from leadership, uh, deficiencies or crisis. There are no leaders. Those who are running now for president, well, you got to be— if If you are an American, for example, you're, you're an American watching this, if you are, you're gonna have to think about, do you really see a leadership in those people running? You got to be out of your mind to vote for somebody like that. That doesn't mean there are not— there are some good leaders out there, but I don't think so they want to step in into— because it's the system is corrupted. Till you, you, you take down the system and rebuild it I don't see anything change. So the leadership crisis is, is known. This is why we are behaving the way we're behaving. So, and what does it mean as a geopolitical analyst? I'm going to tell you, is sending a global message how chaotic the situation is in the United States. And this is why the current thinking in Riyadh, in Saudi Arabia is to keep the United States as a backup plan when the survival of the monarchy is under threat. That is the reason. Now you know why we maintain the relationship, or why the Saudis maintain the relationship the way it does. This is what's important for you guys to understand. So when you hear statements coming up It's not coming up in a vacuum. There is some calculations that had to be made. Of course, it goes without saying how now the Palestinians and some other Arab countries is going to look— perceive that as a betrayal, because it is. Let's just say it the way it is. It's like I put on a thumbnail, a double standard. We support the Arab— the, the Palestinian case, but we will undermine it. We support it here, but we will undermine it here. And again, you're going to have to be realistic in your assessment. When I say you, I'm referring to the countries here, Jordan and, and Saudi Arabia. When they state something like this, we're gonna restrict our airspace from any missiles coming out of Yemen, but we will open our airspace for Israelis to hit the Yemen, because the fear of the Saudis— and I bet you this, guys, knowing what I know, I bet you this decision wasn't made by Jordan. Saudis told the Jordanians, you come on board. The reason for that, because the Saudis provide money for Jordan. We do provide money for Jordan, like we give money to Egypt. And Israel. So we do give some money to other countries. And why, why is that? It's because we want to maintain influence. Of course, we couldn't do that too much with Israel because the lobby, the Jewish lobby, uh, or the Israeli lobby— I'm sorry, not the Jewish lobby, Israeli lobby, the difference there— Israeli lobby in Washington is so powerful. Most politicians in Washington are so scared of the Israeli lobby. Because they can derail their political career, which tells you right there, for American politicians, is not about serving the American people, it's about their own ego and their own political career. They give a damn about American people. So that's why I say, if you are an American watching and time is going to come to vote, just think twice, because we don't have leaders. That is what I see. The challenges for all this. And the, uh, and the big concern now in certain countries is the idea, uh, when I say certain countries in the Arab world, that's why they looked at it like with the Saudis and the Jordanians as a sellout. Yeah, yeah, because that's what they— and Palestinians mainly have always felt that way. I'm gonna say something that it's hard, but it has to be said. The, the, uh, the Palestinian cause or case or crisis or issue, whatever you want to call it, has always been a useful tool for the leaders in the Arab world to maintain their authority and hold on power. Straightforward. They give a hoot about Palestinians. What she said. Yeah, that, that just the hard reality of it. I know some do not like to hear it, and I, I am not here to, uh, you all know where I stand on certain issues. I don't waver from those. And there are those who get upset because I'm speaking truth. Well, and I won't apologize for it. Heck no. If you don't like it, that ain't my problem. So, but the truth has to be told. So, but also you have to understand that the shifting alliances are a reaction to the shifting of the geopolitical landscape. And now it's even different, on a different level, given what China just did when it brokered the deal between Saudi Arabia and Iran. That is a major one because that was our, the, the, the joker card per se, or the wild card that we were playing in the middle, in the Middle East, maintaining that division. Well, guess what? That division doesn't exist anymore. China was able to broker that. And this is why there are those who have been saying— I saw a comment from one of, uh, my followers, uh, in response to someone else, on— he said, uh, well, China needs to get involved in— no, no, China is not going to get involved. China thinks strategically. Or what do you think China, where it is today, did it happen overnight? China's been thinking about this some 30, 40 years ago when they moved from agricultural, uh, uh, uh, setting of economy to much more industrialized. It took strategy, it took hard work. It didn't happen overnight. And I don't see them getting into this. Why entangle because it's entanglement. Why will they entangle themselves and end up having to fund their entanglement? Because this is exactly what we doing. What are we getting for it, we American people? Zero, nothing. Waste of our tax dollars. I have nothing against Ukraine, I have nothing against Israel, I have nothing against any country, but I have an issue with when my tax dollars are sent Well, hold on a second, I got issues right here at home. Why not fix home first before I go and fix some, uh, 5, 6, 7,000 miles away? So China is wise enough to know, do I spend $100 billion on infrastructure or do I spend $100 billion on conflict? If I spend $100 billion on infrastructure what am I getting for it? Versus if I spend $100 billion on a conflict, what am I getting for it? And the evidence is as clear as daylight. You all saw, look at the some projects that China gets involved. Look at the conflict we got involved. Which one would you take? Doesn't take genius, it's clear. So that's why those who say what China need No, just because China has the military might— no, you use power wisely. This is where the problem is. When you hear some of our idiots in Washington calling for, you got to bomb this, you got to— that's stupidity. You have power, you have to use it wisely. Power is not about flexing your muscles. I know power is about understanding how to achieve peace. It. You're in the most difficult situations. That's where power lies. But you got people that, you know, drown into their own ego. They're not gonna see far. They only look at the end of their nose, as they say in French. Il faut jamais regarder le bout du nez. Don't ever look at the end of your nose. Look very far. We don't have that because we don't have vision. Simple as that. Now, China did one thing beside the ships that went in, which usually are part of escorting its own energy and order. But China also quietly flexing muscles one step at a time, because if you will, you understand the nature of the, of the warships sent you'll get an idea. Yeah, but that's not what I'm talking about. What I'm talking about is the idea of the, the, the map that China showed has to do with— didn't show Israel in. Once again, that's China's subtle message. It's subtle, doesn't need to flex its military. No, no, no, do it quietly, nicely. And if only people pay attention to that. And yet in the Western, we don't— they don't report much about it because Google, as you know, is the back door of the US government. So you look at just, uh, the way how things have become here in so-called democracy, it's very problematic, very, very, very problematic. No, and this is again just to go back to my topic about the, the, the betrayal that some Palestinians have felt. Of course, this is not the first time they've dealt with this before. The recent one was in, if I recall, was in 2020 when what's his name, former President Trump, was there, you know, about the peace plan, because he approved the transfer of the Israeli embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. Well, we all know the status of Jerusalem, how complicated that is. So for the US to do that, It tells you right there. And for the Arab world not even say a word, you know, sad to say. And I'm going to say it, not all, of course, I shall not never generalize because you never do that, but the weakness within the Arab systems is very clear. So it's very, very, very clear. And, and I, I don't shy away from saying that. All right, let me guys, uh, do, uh, my conclusion for you, and I'm going to answer 2 or 3 questions here, and, uh, because I gotta prepare. I'm getting closer to— I'll do one more live tomorrow for the other channel, and I'm out for, for a while. So, so one thing I want to leave you with, guys, just to— since I'm noticing a lot of you start to enjoy this kind of analysis. Yeah, there are always those who argue that I take too long. Well, you can cover this in 10 minutes, you know. Come on, guys, be realistic a little bit. And I'm sorry, there's nothing I can do about this because I am not gonna give you, give you halfway information. Either I give you the whole information or not. Simple as that. So, so here's the thing, I want you to know one thing. Make no mistake, okay? Make no mistake, especially when it comes down to Saudi Arabia now, because I bet that was Saudi Arabia that is pushing this, that pushed for this declaration, not Jordan. Saudi Arabia itself, convincing Jordan, because Saudi Arabia gives money to Jordan. The choices Saudis have to make sooner or later vis-à-vis competing foreign policy goals, those will prove to be significant challenges for one reason: because Saudi Arabia had never had to face a dilemma before, as its existence and survival for the last 70 years, it has always been taken care of, shall we say, even though it's still, it's still till today still covered under the United States security and military umbrella. This is what I'm saying. Just when you look at foreign policy for Saudi Arabia versus America on, on separate trajectories. So, and this is why if I were to think how the Saudis might be thinking now, they're going to be thinking probably about the challenges that lie ahead. Just because they reach agreement and they, uh, restore ties, diplomatic ties with Iran, it does not mean In geopolitical landscape, there is no such thing as, oh, we friends. Yes, we are friends, but still I have to think about my own survival. This is what's going to be at the heart of it. On the other hand, on both countries, Jordan and Saudi Arabia, if you ask now any Arab in some other parts, you're not going to hear good things about it. This is why Saudis had to rush into hosting the Arab League to show the Arab streets we stand with the Palestinians and all that, which is not in Bar Heims. Most likely what they're going to do, they're going to give money, uh, once this dust settles, they're going to start rebuilding again. And then you go a few years from now and the same cycle will be repeated till there is an end once for all to state solution. Nothing's going to ever be achieved. That's my, my opinion. All right guys, let me once again— guys, please, please, right now hit that like button. I will really appreciate it. I don't understand if anybody can explain this to me as far as the likes and the algorithm, why it's not reflecting on, on the videos. I don't know. So if you can, anybody of you can explain that to me, please. So I would appreciate if you can hit the like button and also subscribe. If you have not done so. And I can't thank you enough, guys, for your support. It means a lot. As I mentioned, I'm gonna be out, uh, traveling. I like to see things with my own eyes, uh, because, uh, it's important. It's important, you know. It's important. And, and, and I intend to, to do that, you know. And I will report If I get an opportunity, and given the conditions and so forth security-wise, I'll do a live for you. Otherwise, you will know why I'm out. So, all right, let's see if there are any questions. And I'm going to go all the way back to the top, but most likely there will be no questions there at the top because we just started at that time. I'll scroll down just for Q so I know it's, it's a question. Uh, oh, I see. Uh, Dave, please address Obama $162 billion blackmail payments to Iran because of the fake death of— no, I can't address that stuff. It's too sensitive, and I'm still under the law. I'm bound by certain laws. I can't discuss that. I'm sorry. Oh yeah, here is that one from, uh, Boycott. Question, please comment on, on China's map. Yeah, they did have that and they didn't care. It's because that's how— that's a sign, that's a message that China's sending in a subtle way. Once again, China's not flexing its military. No, no, no, no, no. Doing it in a quiet way because that's how China is. They don't brag about things, you know. I, I'll ask you guys question. Did any of you hear recently about China getting closer to doing the 3 nanos, uh, for the chips? Do we hear about it? No. China is doing it quietly, which means what? Now all the West is screwed when it comes down to microchips because China now can build its own. Even ASML, the Dutch company that is the only one that has the, uh, lithography machines— China now is able to build its own. Are they bragging about it? No, no, same thing. So they are sending a message there not just to the Arab world, but to the whole world for that matter. This is where we stand on this issue. This is how we see it, and this is how it's reflected also for us in our maps, in our conversation, in our political dialogue. That's what it means. Subtle way, very, very subtle. Smart move, I would say. That's the way— that's the way I interpret it. Because you, you take that and you compare it to Google, two different things. They even had the same issue for the Moroccan, uh, Sahara issue in the south. Still some maps in Google showing different, even though there was an agreement. That was the whole reason why Morocco established ties with Israel, in return for the recognition of that. But Google, which is the back door of the US government, the US government can always use that issue as a pressure point if they want to. So, all right, let me see a question here. By the way, some one of you guys I think got confused about when I posted the stuff for you about the health channel. No, the health channel is not done here on Geopolitical. That was just sharing this with you. If you are interested to learn about health issue, I do that on a health channel. I have a health channel, by the way, uh, just for those who do not know, uh, where I, uh, have a conversation with Dr. Stewart. He's well qualified to talk about the health issues, and that is the reason why, because I also wanted to share the knowledge with you regarding that. That's the only reason why I do it. So I'm gonna put the link for you guys here and you can check it out. I'm gonna have, as a matter of fact, the conversation tonight before I travel. Uh, it's over there in a link for you. So if you want, uh, if you are interested, today I'm gonna be talking about cholesterol, the lies the doctors are telling you that cholesterol is bad. Okay, uh, oh, I saw some question here. I'm, I'm sorry, the question is not complete, so I can— can China send aid directly to Gaza without— so I can, I can assume, thinking for you, because it's not clear to me. Uh, and once again, before I forget, the members and supporters, make sure to join me at the end of the month. I will post it for you. I should be back by then. Uh, then, then we'll set up. That's what I do, just Q&A on, just we get to know each other a little bit better. Oh man, who's this guy here? Oh, why? Yeah, that's not a nice language, man. Yeah, yeah, yeah, please, please refrain from this one here. I would appreciate it. No, no need for that language, guys. I really appreciate it. There's something called civility, okay? I will not allow my platform to be used for that kind of stuff. So, so I'm gonna let it go this time. What's your name? Mr. Rahman. So I will appreciate it. So this will be the last time. Thank you, sir. Uh, boycott, that's the same question, I think. Yeah, we answered that one regarding the map. Uh, oh, Lemon, I want to say thank you. Thank you, Lemon, appreciate your super sticker. Thank you so much. And yeah, guys, it means a lot. I want you to know I don't take it for granted, so I thank you for that. Okay, all right, this is a good question here from Jack, uh, Hamas turning to Iran, does GCC and Saudis see more nations moving away from them causing more self-isolation? Iran Alliance Network stronger than Saudi, that's for sure. This is why I said what I said about the crescent, the Shia crescent, but its objective is not a religious one, is a political one, because the influence within the Middle East now it's in the open. You get two major players, Saudi Arabia and Iran. They can of course work together to move the Middle East forward, but you have one that is a client of the US, you have another one that is client of China. You can see that tag of war is going to be behind the scenes. And the GCC countries, like for example Qatar— Qatar tends to stand alone. This is why the three countries, Bahrain, uh, United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia attacked Qatar a few years ago for the boycott and all that. Shame on them. Why? Because of course Qatar is wealthy, but Qatar also is smart. They know how to navigate politically speaking. They stand their ground when it matters. So, and the other concern in the GCC Gulf, because the Shia minority is there, mainly for Saudi Arabia. Mike, my word on it, Saudis are more concerned than anything else is about their southeastern part of the country where the majority Shia Lives. That's where the concerns. So yeah, you will— this is why, again, the reason why they decided to launch, uh, the invitation for the Arab League is to show we're still the leader of the Arab world. But most Arab world doesn't buy it. Most of the Muslim world doesn't buy it, of course, because you have Mecca and Medina, which to me, I— yeah, just because you have a building doesn't give you a leadership role. That's the way I, I, I quantify it. So, uh, okay, Solo Wang, uh, why would the Saudis need US protection if they are moving away from the dollar? Uh, there are more than meets the eye. Moving from the dollar on one aspect, mainly, for example, oil transactions. Better still, when the Saudis buy weapon, what do they pay with? The US dollar. And those are in billions of dollars. So it's a normal— that's normal. Uh, I can use your currency or not use currency because also what you have to understand, uh, when I see you, I'm, I mean, all of you guys, sorry, I don't mean you, but all of you, what, what you guys have to understand is that the Saudis have a lot of gold here in the US. I saw it with my own eyes and they don't want to take risks for being blocked Soviet Union is still here, to my knowledge, unlike Germans, unlike Venezuela in, in the UK. UK still holding Venezuela, and gold that belongs to India is also in UK. So if UK will do the right thing and return that to its rightful owners— so, so that is the reason why the Saudis, uh, and like I said last time, for the Saudis to shift the weapons, it takes years. And they're not going to do it. I don't see them doing that. That's the reason why. Okay guys, I am going to sign off here because I got a lot to do because I have to prepare for the trip. Uh, uh, try to join me tomorrow and I'll post it for you guys also if you want. For tonight, I will be having a conversation with Dr. Stewart about cholesterol. Trust me, you want to— you want to hear because the truth is not coming out from the doctors, the medical doctors, because they won't want you to know. This is why if you hear a lot of doctors prescribe statin, the worst thing, don't ever take it. So I hope you guys find this informative, and please, please hit that like button and subscribe if you have not done so already. And thank you all for your support. As always, remember, geopolitics impacts your daily life. In more ways than one. Till next time, guys. Bye-bye.