Trump Claims "Total Victory" and Iran Downed the US Apache Helicopter

Hello everybody and welcome to Geopolitical Trends, where truth matters. A US Apache helicopter gunship just went down. Of course, the Pentagon is saying it was a technical error. Iranians are saying we shot it, we shot it down. And this went down in the world's most dangerous waterways, right as Iran's missiles slammed into Israel. So the Pentagon right now is scrambling to find out exactly what happened, just how Iran was able to shoot down an American helicopter. And President Trump just gave Israel an ultimatum. Yeah, you might be surprised, but even with that, it's nothing but a facade. Just gave Israel an ultimatum that changes everything. But at the same time, they are not disclosing the truth. They are not disclosing the truth. So that's what prompts me at least to share this with you. I'm going to be— it's going to be a brief livestream, by the way, guys, because I'll do my analysis briefly on it. There's still information coming as we speak, and I wanted to just get on this because I might have to move to a different location. And when I mentioned earlier about Donald Trump just gave an ultimatum, It was true because what Donald Trump told Bibi Netanyahu is that he told him, you're on your own. But that's just Donald Trump talking because the US government is controlled by, from Tel Aviv. No matter what Donald Trump say, no matter what a president of the United States says, no, it's going to be what the AIPAC wants. So, and that's exact words that Donald Trump just used to warn Israel after A chaotic 48 hours of missile strikes completely now shattered the Middle East ceasefire. And you all remember way back, way, way back when, when I told you this ceasefire is not going to hold. So the world now, as we speak, is bracing for an all-out war because you already have one. You have a secret one also. You have a high-stakes, peace, high-stakes peace that is going on and a deal that is happening behind closed doors. And at the same time, all this could trigger some massive shift within the next few days. And that is important to understand with this development here with Iran launching a barrage of missiles and rockets into Israel, which by the way, the Israeli Defense Force, and I mentioned that to you last time, is saying we intercepted all missiles. It is a lie. It is a lie. And here is what happened, at least with the Apache helicopter. It went down in the Strait of Hormuz. And Donald Trump himself confirmed this, that the crew members of it were safely rescued and uninjured. I could not confirm that. So once I found out, I will even post something for the community. Just keep your eyes open on those, uh, on that posting that I might do that. So the official cause of the crash remains under investigation. The Pentagon is already rushing into saying it was a technical, and that's exactly at least what I read the earlier release of the, the Pentagon briefing. It's saying that with options You know, this investigation with options, it's all in the wording, with options ranging from mechanical failure to possibly a hostile fire. And that is why I'm waiting to read the, the, uh, uh, uh, sort of declassified, uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, formal report, because by law the Pentagon will have to release one. But at the same time, you think about the significance of this incident. It is very highly significant for several reasons, the geopolitical and economic ones. You think about the fragile ceasefire we've been talking about. You know, this— the peace is— of course, we're talking about the crash that occurred less than 24 hours, 24 hours after Iran launched a barrage in Israel in response to Israel bombing Southern Lebanon, Beirut, and Beirut, and so forth. This is the heavily exchanged missiles between, and drones. There were some drones involved, by the way, between Iran and Israel, to the point that Israel is saying to Iran, we want a ceasefire just between the two. So, and that the, what's important to understand in this development here is that if the investigation reveals that the Apache helicopter was deliberately shot down. Well, deliberately or not, what is the Apache helicopter doing in that area to begin with? But at the same time, if this is tied to a ceasefire, ceasefire is over. On the other hand, Donald Trump still holding on to the possibility of a deal, a peace deal. But Iran already put a condition, and you know what that condition is, is the release over the funding, the frozen funds, immediately. I don't think so Donald Trump can do it because Donald Trump has no say. You know, so when Donald Trump says we are very close to securing powerful peace deal with Iran, no, that's nothing but hot air. That's Donald Trump talking. It's for, for stock markets, it's for some other stuff. And I'm going to share one clip with you towards the end. Please, please make sure to stay with me till the end here to show you really who's benefiting from this war. You'll find out. Now you think about the strategic and economic stakes involved. First, you have the Apache lost. That's a big loss, you know, how much it costs to build one. And this makes now the first US Apache helicopter lost in the region, in West Asia, since the beginning of the conflict started. This also confirmed Iran's stronghold on the Strait of Hormuz. Once again, it's confirming that, that is exactly what is going on. The Strait of Hormuz is vital global choke point, as you know, for energy. Because that's nothing new for you. So, and that the shutdown of this helicopter reinforces and confirms the assertion that Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz. As a matter of fact, I just read this morning from a reliable source that Iran has established now a special entity Okay, special entity that's gonna now deal with the Shwer of Hormuz and Babel Mendeb altogether. You all know what it means. Okay, let me, let me pull up the Babel Mendeb. This is the Shwer of Hormuz. Okay, and when we look at here, we look at Babel Mendeb, and Babel Mendeb is Uh, it's not on this map here. Uh, let me see here, the Strait of Hormuz. Once again, I might not have— my apologies, I might not have the map for, uh, for— no, I do, I do. I always keep it here, right here, Bab-el-Mandeb. So what, Iran now, this new entity, is going to be dealing with both. It's going to be dealing with the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb. The Bab el-Mandeb is in conjunction with Ansarullah. That should give you a hint as to what lies ahead. Suffice it to say, the downing of the Apache helicopter confirms that idea, that the concept that the Strait of Hormuz is under a firm grip of the IRGC, or Iran for that matter. And also this highlights Iran's sort of enforcing the blockade on maritime traffic. I mean, if you are able to shut down, to shoot down rather, the helicopter, the US asset, first of all, what is the US asset doing there to begin with? And second, it shows you that Iran is prepared for whatever it needs to do. But this is going to have the impact on the economic because it's going to spike the global oil prices. And further stress the global economy. Okay, then there is another dimension to this, and that dimension is political, the political pressure. And all this is coming just few months ahead of the November— we're going to be getting into midterm election. So, so the management of this conflict heavily, heavily impacts domestic political stability And of course, Donald Trump's government approval rating, which is sinking down. As a matter of fact, I read yesterday that things are chaotic inside the White House, very chaotic. Now, the key important thing that I need you to get out of this is that this event, the downing of the Apache helicopter, coincided with Iran's launching of missiles at Israel. Because what Iran did, it went ahead and blasted Israel with missiles. Why, you may ask? It's because Iran is defending its closest regional ally, Hezbollah. That is the reason why. So that's why they're doing it. And that in itself was an established red line that Iran has made it clear to Israel. But Israel didn't care. So they went ahead and launched an airstrike on Beirut on Sunday. So Iran saying, okay, you attack our ally, we're going to deal with you. Israel didn't expect that. And that in itself, the act of Iran by launching, broke the 2-month-old US-brokered ceasefire. But of course, how can you even trust the US for that matter? But that in itself is creating now a nightmare not only for Israel but for Donald Trump. And I'll get into that in a second here. So just I want you to understand why Iran went ahead and launched— suddenly launched a barrage of missiles at Israel. Retaliation for Israel's Beirut strike. That is the reason why. There is no other reason. No, because as I mentioned to you on Sunday, Israeli Air Force launched a surprise strike on suspected Hezbollah headquarters in southern suburbs of Beirut. Of course, Israel is accusing Hezbollah of violating the separate truce that there were between them. I don't buy what Israel is saying. And that in itself crosses the red line. This is why crossing the red line on behalf of whom? On behalf of— because Iran viewed the bombardment of Lebanon by Israel as a major escalation, because that in itself crosses the line. Remember, Lebanon was part of the deal of the negotiations between the US and Iran. And that is why hours later, after Israel attacked Lebanon, Iran launched about 30 ballistic missiles. Yeah, those are not small. And that's why I didn't buy the argument that IDF saying we intercepted all missiles. Not true. Not true. So 30 ballistic missiles were launched directly at Israel military targets. Once again, that's one, one development you need to understand. Why did Israel launch this and what were the targets? The targets were military targets that included the Ramat David Air Base in northern Israel. Specifically, didn't target bridges, didn't target Iran, didn't target, for example, electrical grids, water treatment facility or whatever. No, no, no. Those are civilian infrastructures. And this is again, what you need to get out of this is the idea of why Iran decided to do it. Besides those reasons, what is the long-term, the strategic thinking of this? This is a forward deterrence. That's exactly what Iran strategy was. This is a shift towards that deterrence that Iran wants to wants US and Israel to understand. So, of course, Hezbollah is under the protection, training, funding, and everything of Iran for years. This is nothing general, nothing new. But Iran made it clear to Israel that if you attack our ally, we will retaliate. And that's exactly what they did. So, and that in itself, once again, is the strike by Iran suggests that this is a change in the strategy. By firing missiles in response to an attack on an ally, Iran is sending a message. It is also trying to build the new strategic reality. And that reality is, we're gonna warn you, Israel, we're gonna warn you, the US, that any future strikes on our ally, Hezbollah in this case, maybe Ansarullah as well, maybe the groups in Iraq, will immediately trigger a direct war with Tehran. It's because both the United States and Israel understand the language of force. That's my point. That is exactly what Iran is doing. And that in itself paved the way for something else. And that something else is the diplomatic leverage. Because Iran will be coming to any future negotiations from position of strength. Because as of now, we have stalled peace talks. Okay. And that exactly happened during the time when Donald Trump and the representatives of Iran have been engaged in some sensitive diplomatic negotiations. Nothing that came out of it so far, but They're talking. But the importance is that the Lebanese condition, the peace talks stalled because Iran insists that any final agreement with the US/Israel will also have to force Israel to stop its military operations on ground, invasion and operations and attacks in Lebanon. And that is exactly— by striking Israel directly, Iran is pressuring Washington to rein in Israel's military. The question is, can the US succeed into that? I'm here to tell you the answer is no. Donald Trump has no say when it comes down to Israel. No US president has a say when it comes down to US. To Israel. And this is why the late— the, the re— the what's-his-name Thomas Massie, who just lost the election in Congress, just disclosed what Israel was intended to do regarding Gaza— wanted to wipe out everybody. And the reason Thomas Massie lost is because AIPAC and the stupidity of the American voters That's a— that's the reason why. So you have to think in terms of where this is going and how it's going to evolve. That is the importance for all this one. So suffice it to say, for now, what I need you to get out of this is that the last 24 hours for exchange of fire between Iran and Israel. That included the retaliatory strikes because Iran— Israel also responded. So, and, and what did they attack? They attacked petrochemical plant. But so far, as of now, Israel wanted to have a pause with Iran. And Iran seems not to fire anymore. They're pausing as well. So, and this, in my opinion, this— why I call it the term tentative, because it's not official— this tentative de-escalation came after Donald Trump stated something on a platform, social platform, because what Donald Trump is saying here, I am demanding both sides to stop shooting to save the peace process. Who the heck are you thinking you're talking to? I mean, are you going to trust what Donald Trump is saying? No, of course. But at the same time, you have voices inside Tel Aviv vowing now to continue the operation against Hezbollah. And at the same time, Iran is saying we will respond harshly to any counterattacks if Lebanon is attacked again. And this is why the region remains highly, highly, highly volatile. And this leads me to mention one thing specific, and the thing is, where is the Muslim world into all this? You know, if there's to say the brothers and sisters in, in a religion, in Islam, Where are they? Where are the Gulf states? Where are the other Arab nations? It tells you hypocrisy, no more, no less. That's the fact. If the truth matters to you, hit like, subscribe, and tap that bell. No spin, no agenda, just the stories they don't want you to know. So don't watch from the sideline. Be part of the movement. Your support keeps the truth alive. Thank you very much. Indeed, indeed. Now, this leads— because I have to address this particular aspect as to where Washington is right now, politically speaking. Isn't it an awkward position? Donald Trump dug a hole for himself, for the country, for peace for the world, for that matter. So Washington now is positioning itself as a demanding peace broker, prioritizing sort of regional stability. But who's going to trust America? We have no credibility. We have no— we say one thing and do the other. So no, because the US still wanted to have to sort of finalize The US-Iran nuclear deal. Iran is saying, we'll talk to you, but there is no talk about nuclear file, period, or the missile aspects of it. Because what Iran is seeing and the rest of the world, the world is seeing, they're seeing that the US is offering unconditional support for Israel and we don't get anything back for that. There is nothing in return. And I'll show you one clip that exemplified exactly what I'm talking about. So you are giving all this support for Israel. What are we getting back for it? Nothing. Because when you consider the conditions in Israel, free healthcare, free education, whatever, whatever, in comparison to America, and things are going down in the United States. Mike, my word on it, I give you a decade. The face of America will be completely different. And that is why the US cannot do anything to Israel because it has no power whatsoever. So what the US is going to end up wanting to do is he wanted to show the hard line. Oh, we pressure Israel to de-escalate. And that is why Donald Trump put that. I'm here to tell you, That's nothing but a facade. That's just show for show, no more, no less. Oh, you are on your own, Bibi. No. Yeah, he will say something like that, Donald Trump, but that's just for show. Behind closed doors, there are deals. He has to bow to the pressure from the APEC. And again, I'm not saying something that is new here or classified. It's to those who understand how things work in Washington. You'll understand what I'm referring to here. So when Donald Trump said, "Hey," and I quote here, "Bibi, you better be careful or you will be on your own very soon," end of quote. Yeah, because we all know in case of one-on-one, face-to-face, Iran and Israel, Iran stands— I'm sorry, Israel stands no chance. Only in one condition: if they use the nukes, which is not a secret because Israel has nukes. And that is why the administration is kind of stuck, stuck with this. Donald Trump's argument is that we are only a few days away from a breakthrough. There is none of that. Once again, it's a lie. It's a lie what the President of the United States does, he lies. And not just the president, there are others in the government because our government is corrupted. Simple as that. You all remember when Donald Trump was saying the total victory over Iran conflict within 2 weeks? Remember that sentence? Where is it? And we automatically, we're going to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Good luck with that. None of that's going to happen. And that's the harsh reality. So I need you to understand the bottom line as to where this is going. With this downing of the Apache helicopter, with Iran launching a barrage, 30 ballistic missiles, with Donald Trump being now stuck between, between, you can use the term Allah, you can use the term of a master, you can turn whatever term, stuck between the pressure from that and the harsh reality on the ground. And also the reality of that Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz. You take all this in combination and you realize No, that's exactly what Iran is doing, and Donald Trump has no ability to change that outcome. So the one thing that's just before I'll do a conclusion here, because I told you I'm going to keep this livestream, that brief analysis short here this time around. So if we are to think about if Washington wants to enforce or force some sort of a diplomatic hold, Then its military commitment to Israel, no matter what the US does, that military commitment to Israel is going to stay intact. Once again, it's because the American president cannot say no to Israel. Any president, not just Trump, any president. And that's with the shutdown, with the, with the, with the With the Apache being down, you will think that the regional countries that host American bases will be now really thinking hard about this reality moving forward. Because I'm here to tell you, the region is not going to what it was before. That era is gone. US dominance in West Asia is over. Simple as that. So here is my conclusion, and I'm going to play some clips for you and sign off with this. So far, you think about the West Asia or Middle East, that is. So it's balances now on some sort of really, really thin edge between you looking at possible of a historic peace deal, if we ever get to that, or an all-out regional war, which the late Ali Khamenei warned of prior to the US launching attack. They didn't take his statements seriously. The US didn't. Israel, of course, was pushing the US over the cliff for this. And the true cause now of this, the Apache crash, of course, is going to be the wild card. But are you going to trust what the Pentagon is going to say if they found out that it was shut down indeed? Which my opinion, and again, I speak for myself, This is no mechanical error. Those kind of helicopters, you know, I flew on some before, whatever. Those are not— they won't take off to the air if there's the slightest doubt or whatever from the pilots. And those pilots are highly trained. There is no way. But that's my opinion. So if evidence, if evidence, once investigation concluded, reveals that Iran downed the American gunship, Then in that case, US is gonna say, well, the entire diplomatic playbook could shatter in an instant. Why will Iran care whether the US diplomatic efforts will shatter or not? Who cares? Because Iran's moving forward, whether we like it or not. And Iran still standing as of now, despite whatever we did, still standing as of now. So I wanna leave you with one question before I play the clips for you. And I always like to read your comments. I read all your comments from the live stream yesterday, and thank you for that. Thank you for sharing your opinion. Yeah, really, I, I learn from you guys. It's two-way street. So the question for you that I would really like for you to leave me your, your thoughts in the comment section below in the, uh, of the video here: what do you think is going to happen next? In your opinion, moving forward, will— do you believe Trump will finalize a historic peace with Iran? Or are we looking now at a larger conflict that is becoming day after day unavoidable? So what do you think will happen next? Will Donald Trump, in your opinion, finalize a historic peace deal? Or are we going to be leaning towards a larger conflict that is becoming clear, that is unavoidable? So just make sure to leave me your comment in the comment section. I will greatly, greatly appreciate it. So, uh, okay, let me play some clips for you, and, and we're going to go from there. And those, by the way, I, I knew of them on Sunday night when the incidents happened, but I decided to hold off on that till I share them with you because I want you to see with your own eyes. Uh, let me, uh, share the screen and then we'll take a listen. It's in English anyway, and that's in Haifa, by the way, in Israel right now. Make sure Iran is attacking Haifa in Israel right now. Make sure to subscribe So that's— that was as it was happened at the night, and I confirmed that from a different place, for a different source rather. Next one is a very interesting conversation. I want you— I want you please, please pay close attention. And the reason why is this important, like I mentioned earlier, we are giving this unconditional support. Where's Ryan? What are we getting back in return? Zero, nothing. So take a listen to this explanation here.

I think our country is occupied.

Who do you think we're occupied by?

AIPAC.

A lot of people think that.

The evidence is all there. We send $18 billion a year to Israel. Why? Just ask the question. What do we get out of it?

Nothing.

We get nothing. Are we doing humanitarian work? No, they're charged with genocide. They're killing off Palestinians. Are we helping them survive? Oh, they've got a higher standard of living than we do, a longer lifespan than we do, free education, free housing, free healthcare. But we're sending them money. Why? Ask yourself why a US congressman can wear an Israeli military uniform in congressional chambers. I would think that would be an act of treason, but they did. Nobody said anything. I have difficulty looking at that in any other way than we're occupied.

Hey, Sparrow, what do you think? And it's disturbing to see a member of Congress in a foreign military uniform. You know, when we raise our hand in the military, who do you swear allegiance to? To the Constitution, to the country. You know, we all came from somewhere. I'm not against something like that, but we're talking about something different here. In Congress, in the House of Representatives, and you are wearing a foreign uniform of a foreign nation, military uniform, is disturbing to say the least. Next one I'm going to share with you is from the former Fox anchor, Megan Kelly. Okay, and, and, and once again, she's spot on. Sometimes you have to share this with, with, with our community so you, you are aware of what's going on. Take a listen.

She took $200 million from Miriam Adelson. Well, how did we think that was going to end? You know, I think we took—

by the way, Miriam Adelson used to be the wife of Sheldon Adelson, who's Jewish, but it was a major funder, uh, funding, uh, uh, entity for members of Congress and AIPAC. So that guy could write a $100 million check like he's writing $100.

So took Trump too much at his word on the 'I'm not going to start any more wars, especially not Middle East wars, especially not one with Iran.' We could be here for the next hour running those soundbites. We were too non-skeptical when when the answers were right there. If you looked at who was backing his campaign, the biggest donor, you know, he said her loyalty is more to Israel. Why didn't we pay more attention to that? Like, why aren't we blaming ourselves?

And it's enraging. It is enraging.

It is. Because it's like, who's going to be stuck with this bill? Our kids.

That's absolutely correct. And she used the keyword critical. Because we don't have here in the US, we are literally, literally unequipped to think hard because thinking is very hard. It requires not only concentration, but you have to have critical thinking, which we don't even teach at the universities. No, I used to teach, I used to see the students. It's, it's the, the level is only going down. And when it comes down to voting, is the same reflection. You know, people here, the saying goes, in America you vote with your pocket. This is a reflection of it. So when Donald Trump saying, oh, I won't go into a war, people bought into that. You know, you get what you vote for. So the last, the last, the important one I said, and I'm going to save this for you, is who's making more money from the Iran war and why. You want this war to continue. In other words, those in Washington that want that to continue. Take a listen, please. Let me share the screen. It's— I'm not surprised. I was in Washington. I'm aware of those, what we call the Big Four. So, all right, take a listen, please.

Russia wrong. China, Iran War? Russia? Do you know who made the most money from the Iran War? Russia? Wrong. China? Wrong. Iran? Wrong. It was the companies sitting in American office buildings, counting the money. Number 1: Lockheed Martin. $18 billion in sales in one quarter. Full-year revenue projected at $80 billion. Their own CEO called it a golden opportunity. America fired 1,000 JASSM missiles at Iran. Lockheed makes every single one at $1.5 million each. Number 2, Northrop Grumman, RTX, Boeing. All 3 reporting record order backlogs. Every bomb, every interceptor, every drone, all paid for by American taxpayers. Number 3, ConocoPhillips. Oil jumped from $72 to $120 a barrel. Made $2.3 billion in one quarter. American oil producers combined $63 billion in windfall profits. Number 4. JP Morgan. Made $11.6 billion in one quarter. 6 largest banks combined $47.7 billion profit in 3 months. Number 5. The Insiders. Polymarket. Trump Jr. sits on its advisory board. Someone placed $500 million in oil futures minutes before Trump announced military strikes on Iran.

And that should give you, especially for my American viewers, it's, it's— you wonder why our education system is going down. There is no free healthcare. Like, even countries are not as rich as America have a healthcare system, education paid for, and so forth. And look where our money is going. But again, You don't blame this and that. You blame the people themselves not willing to take time and go educate themselves about the issues because we are so intellectually lazy. I say it out loud, we Americans are poor readers of history and we are intellectually lazy. It's the truth. It's a fact. And we are living the consequences of it. So, and again, I'm saying this not to be this harsh. I am thinking about the next generation. You know what, what is going to be left for them? You know, they're going to be stuck with bills that have nothing to do with their own well-being. They have not acquired that debt. Why are we passing on that? It's because we got corrupted politicians in Washington, and the system in itself is corrupted. This goes now beyond just the people, is the system. When you find corrupted people and you couldn't acquire the law that's supposed to happen. Look, just what's going on right now with this H-1B visas that I, I am finding out more and more, it's beyond me because the government, our government, is facilitating that kind of stuff for someone to get money from the back door from New Delhi. But again, I just wanted to share this with you. You all know by, by now how things are. So I want to take this opportunity to say thank you to Noel. Noel's been an avid supporter of the channel from day one. And Noel and I, we communicate privately. Wonderful human being. And Noel, I can't thank you enough, man, for your continued support. Anytime I do live stream, you always put in super sticker, so it adds up. And I am very, very grateful. I want you to know this. And among other people as well, I take this opportunity also to say thank you to Paul Green for for your PayPal donation. And also last night I got a, a note about a generous donation from PM Visna and from Cambodia, believe it or not, in support of my upcoming Asia trip. It was a generous donation and I am very, very grateful. And that in itself has pushed now the funding closer to 50%. We are now at 49%. So should you decide to support my upcoming Asia trip, which I still plan on doing, I will be grateful to you if you decide to support that. You know that I'm not going for tourism, and if I am going for tourism, it will be on my own dime because that will be the right things to do. But this trip is for the community when I travel to Asia because I want to report the truth to you. And I have some places in mind because I want to put a nail on a coffin about, about it once for all, because there have been so many lies and I've been following this for a few years. So I intend to go to that place, but I have to reach this funding goal of $10,000. So who knows, maybe it would be some wealthy individual will support this. But in any event, I am very grateful for the channel. You know that this is the link for the channel. The donations that you— or the support that you give for this channel, those are specifically for the channel. You know the type of information that I bring you. I do the research. I spend time even when I'm out outside the US, whatever I'm here for, and I do lock-unlock time not to forget about our community because it's my responsibility. And I promised you that from day one. What you will expect from me, two things: honesty, and I will be always there no matter what part of the world I'm in to report to you. So this is your way of showing, uh, if you are appreciating what I'm doing and so forth. Here is the link if you want to support the channel. And the last one is for my books. If you want to buy a copy of my books that I already published is the Saudis, Russia, Iran, and American foreign policy. And I'm, I'm working on the China book. Once it's completed, you will be the first to know. And I already shared an excerpt from that book last time. So I'm going to keep up with this development of what's going on. If there is any interesting developments, I will do a live and livestream analysis for you. Otherwise, I'm going to have to wait till I, uh, go stateside. Then we'll resume our, uh, daily, uh, live streams from back in the United States. So as always, remember, geopolitics impacts your daily life in more ways than one. Till next time, bye-bye.