Trump's Foreign Policy Priorities for his Second Term?

In this live‑stream, the host of the Geopolitical Trends channel delivers a lengthy, informal analysis of what President‑elect Donald Trump’s foreign policy might look like if he assumes office for a second, non‑consecutive term. The discussion is organized around a set of key questions: why Trump won, what his overall foreign‑policy agenda could be, and how it will play out in specific regions – the Middle East (Israel/Palestine, Iran, Lebanon), China (trade wars, Taiwan, technology), the Ukraine‑Russia war, NATO, North Korea, and Europe. The host argues that the U.S. political system is fundamentally corrupt, that real power lies with hidden elites and lobbying groups, and that Trump will be constrained by these forces rather than acting independently. He predicts a continued pro‑Israel stance, intensified pressure on Iran, possible leverage of family ties to Lebanon, renewed tariff threats against China, a quick‑but‑unlikely end to the Ukraine war, a potential withdrawal from NATO, and a more ambiguous approach to North Korea. Throughout, the speaker intersperses personal anecdotes, references to external articles, and critiques of the current administration, while acknowledging the fluidity of geopolitics between now and the January inauguration.
Chapters
All right, hello everybody and welcome to Geopolitical Trends, where truth matters. Excited to be with you as always. Got an interesting topic for you. Usually I don't address domestic politics here, especially in the US, but for this particular one I'm going to be addressing the foreign policy of the elected— or the president-elect, that is, because he's not officially a president yet. Till January 20th. So it's, uh, for, for President-elect, uh, Trump, what will be his foreign policy moving forward? So we all know, we saw the part one, this is like part two or Trump 2.0. So, and, uh, and this is what I decided to, uh, do for you guys, do this analysis, because I'm gonna be addressing the, uh, foreign policy aspect. I might touch on just the domestic on one question as to what made him win the election. So, and with that, let's just start. First, let me just say hi quickly to all of you. Um, guys, please give me a thumbs up if you can hear me. I want to make sure. Uh, we had a major rain, uh, uh, the last 48 hours, and the weather is kind of, uh, so even the screen sometimes it it flickers a lot, so I just want to make sure you guys can hear me. Uh, oh, Rumples01, thank you very much, appreciate it. So all right guys, let me just say quickly, Hang NG, as always good to see you, uh, and, uh, thank you for joining the live stream today. You're most welcome, all of you. Uh, who else here? HJ1, good to see you. Matt Becky, Willie Holman as always, Hamad City, Truth Seeker, Ripples 01, Eric, good to see you, YT, good to see— oh man, my screen is flickering. Hmm, but we did have a bad, bad storm passed by the last 24, 48 hours, that is. Francis Tango, good to see you. Taiwan Steel, Z, good to see you. Army with Harmony as always. Hong Kong, see you. Okay guys, let's, let's get into this because I got a lot to cover here. So I'm going to start with the key questions, and the key questions that we need to consider, uh, are right here. I'm going to share them on your screen with you guys right there. Okay, what would Trump's second term be about? So we also— the first, uh, his first presidency 2016 to 2020. And now it's going to be the second term. What will it be? Will he be after legacy, his history, or what? We don't know. So it's worth asking the question, why did he win the elections this time around? Yeah, because it's worth— as an American— and by the way, guys, I didn't vote for him. I didn't vote at all. I don't shy away from saying it because there's nobody to vote for. And once the system— because the system is corrupted to its core, let me just say it straightforward. So I'm still baffled by the idea that if we have one man, one vote in the Constitution, and yet you have to wait on 270 for the Electoral College. Why? Why? Which means the Electoral College that depend— they end up deciding on who the president is. Not the people. Even though Trump wins by about 5 million votes more so than, than Harris, still it's flawed. You know, let it, let it be to the people. We the people. So, but anyway, why did he win? And I'm going to try to answer this one for you. What kind of foreign policy should we expect? Like I said, Trump 2.0. What should we expect? On the last question, within this third question from Palas is pertaining to those three locations: Russia, China, and the Middle East. So, so the way I'm gonna do this, guys, for you is I'm gonna do, uh, one section at a time. I'll address the Middle East, I'll address China, I'll address Russia, I even will address North Korea for you. Then I'll wrap it up and I'll answer some Super Sticker questions if there are any, and, and we'll just go from there. So All right, let's, uh, let's get on with this one here. Now it is expected that, uh, it's a done deal because Kamala Harris conceded, and now President-elect Donald Trump, uh, will return to the White House and become— as a matter of fact, this is a little history for you— it will become the first president since Grover Cleveland, okay, to win two non-consecutive terms nearly in about 127 years. Yeah, because usually any president in America when he runs for office, they look for second term, and he only around allowed to run for two terms. This is the, the first time since Grover Cleveland, so 127 years. But only if Americans know that Even longer than this, 150 years, 150 years, the political process in the US has been controlled by these two parties. This is why you don't see a third party. And shouldn't we have a third party in a democracy? Come on, wake up, Americans. So, uh, so now there are those who saying, and there are many analysts, and I can see the argument and I concur to that, when they use the term, and I put in quote because it was the consensus of the analysts supporting this, that Donald Trump, or president-elect— he's not a president yet, you call him president-elect— is considered as an orthodox politician. It's not the norm. Yeah, Donald Trump will take $100 million from you and stab you in the back. Donald Trump is a showman, he's not a politician. So this is why a lot of people have no idea They need to understand. Yeah, will he do good? I hope so. Will the establishment allow him? I don't think so. This is as one who works in Washington, you understand the ins and outs of the dynamics. Corruption runs very deep inside the system. Members of Congress are corrupted. You know, the whole establishment is corrupted. There is no, uh, no, uh, no surprise there. But here is one thing I want to share with you from the get-go, and this I got it through my YouTube feed, and I'm gonna show you the screen because I want to share this with you so you'll see it with your own eyes. So let me share the screen with you, which is outrageous anyway. But again, what do you expect? American system is corrupted. I keep saying it, it's corrupted to its core. Take a look, guys. So I know it's not clear enough, you might not see it, but anyway, here is what it says. Just in, this information right there: Biden-Harris administration to send $6 billion in taxpayers' fund to Ukraine before Donald Trump is inaugurated in January. So So it tells you right there, right there, it tells you where the, the sort of the— no, it's corruption. I don't know how else to describe it. So yeah, right there, there's the picture. Yeah, what a shame, what a shame. So anyway, let's, let's move on with our stuff. So I just wanted to share that with you. So, so first, before I'll delve into my own analysis about the three locations of what that is, I need to give you a brief, brief history about Donald Trump himself. And I have a lot of pictures I'm going to be sharing with you guys because to put it in perspective for you so you understand, uh, what are we talking about here. Uh, before I forget, did you guys see those for the, the, uh, channel members and supporters? I created the emojis for certain types, so you just take a look. And, uh, so that was my way of saying thank you. And also I give credit to, uh, uh, Jules Liang. He's the one who suggested this to me, and I got on it yesterday. And, and so, so I— when I see the chat now, I can see those emojis there. So anyway, let's get into, uh, Donald Trump here. Uh, so known as, you know, he was known for his controversial statements. You all remember last time, uh, when, uh, he won the presidency, what was one of his first statements? Was the reoccupation of Iraq. You know, what a crazy idea. Also was banning all Muslims into America, you know. And wait a minute, man, you know, even for Donald Trump himself, you know, where his ancestors came from, you know, they go back to Germany and Scotland. You know, we all came from somewhere. There is no American here. You know, we are all Americans, yeah, by nationality, But if we are to dig deeper, we all came from somewhere. There was no America before the Indians, you know, let's, let's face it and let's, uh, set the record straight here. So, so anyway, Donald Trump was born in 1946 in New York City, and this is where, uh, the kind of their ancestors goes back to the German Scottish, uh, parents. That's where he came from. And I'm not gonna detail how he grows up and all that stuff because I don't care for that. Now, one thing suffice it to highlight, for example, why Donald Trump doesn't drink alcohol— because his brother died from alcoholism. He was an alcoholic, Fred. His name is Fred, and his brother, and died when he was 43. So this is why Donald Trump doesn't smoke and doesn't drink. You kind of learn from what's going on within your own family. So, uh, and, and that's all I need to share with you about that because we don't care. I gotta care now about be actions that if— because remember one thing, guys, I need you to keep in mind: there is a lot that can happen between now and January 20th. Remember that, a lot. In geopolitics, there is no constant. Things are changing constantly. So a lot can happen between now and then. So, suffice it to say, for now, the Let's just think about the idea of if we are to take a look at the glimpse into what his foreign policy it's going to be. Well, to me, I go trends. That's why we call it geopolitical trends, because you're gonna have to look at the patterns. So I am to go back to his first, uh, term. What was the first thing he embarked on? Signing the executive orders barring citizens of 7 Muslim countries 7 Muslim countries that included Yemen, Syria, Sudan, Libya, Iran, and Somalia. Okay, whatever his reasons for. So, and this was like, to me, was like, well, wait a minute, won't you be dealing with much bigger issues than just worrying about banning, uh, uh, uh, certain citizens from Muslim countries? And that's one of the things makes me just think about, uh, he might not end— oh, sorry guys, the screen went blank because there is an alert, public safety alert. So I have to wait till it, till he, uh, clears up. So hopefully you guys can hear me. Yeah, it, it blocks the entire— I don't know what you guys can see there. Yeah, you still can see me, but on my screen here there is a public safety alert, whatever that means. So anyway, so let's start with— as I said, I'm going to divide it into 3, uh, uh, parts. Uh, the first one is the, uh, Middle East. And for the Middle East, you know, this is another picture of, uh, Trump here. Okay. So I'm going to start with the Middle East. And the Middle East, there are 3 other elements there, and each one of them I'm going to provide you my own analysis, and we just move on from that. So, so in general term, if you are to think about Middle East, and I happen to agree with at least the analyses that I read from different sources, I don't see much changing, uh, uh, uh, to the Middle East. You know, there are a lot of people say, well, he's gonna stop wars and all that stuff. It's nonsense. You know, let me tell you this, as, as sad as it is, yeah, you want the wars to stop, you know. So, so there are some observers who are saying that what we expect, uh, his policy towards the Middle East, not— we're not, we not witness radical change. It will be the same as usual, it's just prepackaged now differently, you know. So, and to those who say, well, he will be pragmatic, No, that's nonsense. Trump will not be pragmatic. He can't be pragmatic because if he can be pragmatic, he will have cut off the ties, for example, with Europe as far as NATO. That's to me pragmatism. So there are those who say, well, he will be less inclined to confrontation. I agree with that. Confrontation meaning in military terms, but that doesn't mean will not be in other types of confrontation. Like what we witnessed in 2017 or '18, that is when he unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action regarding the Iran nuclear dossier. So, so, however, it is hard to tell because Donald Trump goes back and forth, whatever the wind is blowing. That applies also to these foreign policy aspects of it. So there is one thing I am certain of. And I happen to agree with, uh, uh, an individual by the name Muhammad Al-Minshawy who wrote an analysis, and I read it. It was in Arabic language because I speak the language, so it's easier to read in the original, uh, uh, language where the text was written. And I couldn't agree more with him, and he specializes in the American affairs. So the idea that Trump pledged to support Israel's security is non-negotiable. That begs the question, will we see change between now and his inauguration? Another word, more slaughtering of the Palestinians, because there will be carte blanche for Netanyahu, more than what he already did. So, and that begs the question that I'm trying to answer for you, the question I asked earlier, why did he win the elections? He won the elections because American people were angry. Angry at the Democrats for contributing to the slaughtering of innocent people. Because this is not where you say you stand for what's right. You stand for the defenseless individual. You know, yes, I'm a former military. Military, uh, uh, war is, is a bad thing. You know, it's, it's hard. You know, I'm not denying this, but the fact is things would have to be justly For us to go about this spree of supporting the mass killing of individuals, it's not right. It was never right. And one of the reasons why he won, because it was the Muslim community in Michigan that gave him the vote, because the Democrats were sort of— they lied to the Muslim community. Because we all know what Biden did, and we're not going to dig into that because It's old history. The guy, it's about to check out soon. So let's just leave that in the dust or throw it in the dustbin of history. So, but suffice it to say that one of the key we need to understand is the idea of the special relationship. And I'm going to share a picture here with you, the special relationship between Netanyahu and Trump, because you can't ignore that one. So, and because as a matter of fact, the Prime Minister Netanyahu— because here is how it's gonna work in my opinion, and again, this is my own analysis. So Trump will tell Netanyahu, I want you to end the war, but do what you need to do between now and the inauguration, which means by the time Trump gets in, the conflict will end, but also after the damages are— which the damage already been done. So because Trump will not be able to go against Benjamin Netanyahu, why? Because the Jewish lobby in Washington. Like I always say, guys, American president has no power. That's just a formality. So So, and this is where, uh, uh, they are, and I concur with this analysis, that the idea that Netanyahu may end the war in Gaza early in Trump's term— why is that? Is to give him a quick diplomatic, uh, or the, the diplomatic victory, that is, on both ends. So And this is why it was being said that no one in Israel wants Kamala Harris to win. That gives you the idea why the votes was pushed into that direction. There is a lot behind the scenes, and I'm going to share soon with you one particular billionaire that has funded the Donald Trump elections behind closed doors for a reason. Now let's move into Iran because that's the next one that we're going to have to talk about. Iran, what should we expect? So, well, of course the Trump presidency now has changed the dynamics regarding the escalation with Iran, you know, because you all remember when the US withdrew from the nuclear deal in 2018, the JCPOA, the Joint comprehensive plan of action. So, and of course, what we do— what did we do back then? We went ahead and imposed additional sanctions called the maximum pressure, in quote. That's what the term was used. And this is where you're gonna see, of course, it gets even worse by the— when we decided— it was Trump that got the order to take out to take out, rather, Qassem Soleimani. Qassem Soleimani was the head, the commander force of the IRGC Quds Force, was the commander, that is. And this is where you're gonna see now Netanyahu and Donald Trump objective are aligning on the same path. Objective is what? Iran. So this is why the concern at least for me, the way I see it, is that now the Prime Minister of Israel will have a free hand to do whatever, because Donald Trump is not going to turn his back on, on, on, on, on Netanyahu or Israel for that matter. Remember, Jared Kushner is Jewish, married to his daughter. No, there is another player, his other daughter, which I'm, I'm gonna get into soon. And this is why you look at it, both the United States and Israel will, will achieve the same objective because they have one objective together, and is that to accelerate the realization— and I use the term specifically— realization of the Israeli and the American order on the geopolitical landscape in the region, which means you want to limit Iran, cap it, put a cap on Iran. So because this is what Israel objects— is objective is, is to weaken Iran. This is what the US will want, is to weaken Iran and the so-called Axis of Resistance. This is what I need you to understand how it's going to be. Now the question becomes is what will be the reaction from Iran? So because here is the thing, both the United States and Israel do not understand, and I use the term carefully, do not understand the capabilities that Iran has. They never disclosed that. Iran never disclosed it. But mind you that if Israel attacks Iran, what do you think Russia is going to do? Then that's going to put the US in a very, very awkward position. That is so much so. So Iran was already anticipating that Trump will support Israel attacks on Iran's nuclear facility. They already, uh, sort of, uh, put that plan in their head, meaning the Iranians. They are aware of this. However, Iranians are not intimidated by this because this is why the US had to move its aircraft carrier out of the region. That's one. And second, all the US installations in the region will be within reach of Iran's missile. And third, uh, host countries, the likes of Bahrain, the likes of Saudi Arabia, Jordan, even though they say we're not going to allow any launching of missiles, whatever, from our territory to target Iran, that's just words. I tell you, you can't trust Muslim countries. Not all of them, of course, but when it comes down to Jordan, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and all that, the useless. So we all know how it is. This leads me to talk about Gaza, because what comes next now for the Palestinian? So, and here is the thing, it is unlikely— it's my own assessment— it is unlikely that Donald Trump will object to the atrocities that's been going on right now. The only difference is going to be is that he's going to tell— he meaning Donald Trump— that is going to tell Netanyahu, hurry up and wrap this up before I inaugurate the office. This way, when Trump comes in, he'll talk to the American people, see, I ended the conflict in Gaza, but the damage has already been done. So, so, because there is no possibility, in my opinion, and again, I could be wrong, and I hope I am wrong on this, there is no possibility that Donald Trump is going to put pressure on, on, on Netanyahu to cease and desist from what he is doing, the atrocities that's committed, which by the way, we are taking part of that. We are part of this. Makes me just wonder, will the previous administration now, once it's inaugurated, meaning Biden and Harris and Lloyd Austin and Secretary of State, be tried in the International Court for assisting in, in, in crimes against humanity? If we are to say we play, uh, by the rules, what the rules should apply— what do you guys think? Will that be even a possibility in your opinion? Just, uh, please say yes or no because I want to keep this, uh, uh, short here so I can, I can continue in my own analysis. And that's the one I see where things are. Uh, okay, that's regarding Gaza. And as a matter of fact, there is a, a great article by Global Research, and I'm going to share it with you guys. Uh, uh, uh, I'm going to share it with you. This has to do with the three locations of, uh, Lebanon, the West Bank, and Gaza. So unlikely that Trump will oppose, uh, uh, uh, the Israelis for that. Then comes the third one, and that's the only one I'm going to talk about. There are a lot to talk about Middle East, but I don't want to focus the conversation on this because there are other parts of the world that need, uh, to be addressed so you'll have a better understanding. Uh, the other one, because Iraq, we got— we can talk about Iraq, about Syria. Will, will Donald Trump pull the American troops from Syria? Because what are we doing in Syria? Let's, let's, let's be honest about it. What are we doing in Syria? So, but I'm not going to address this one. What I'm going to talk about is Lebanon. Why is this Lebanon? There are those analysts who are saying, well, wait a minute, now that you have— we have Trump in, in office, he's not going to be constrained by the military and security policies. That's nonsense. I disagree with those analysts who argued that now Trump will not be constrained. He will be constrained. You know, those individuals do not understand how Washington works because they are— those analysts have never worked inside Washington to understand the dynamics. I did. So you understand how the dynamics works within the Beltway. The constraint— they will be, you know, as they say, well, there are no constraint. No, they will be. Because the president of the United States is not the one who dictates the foreign policy. It's the hidden hand behind closed doors that decides. So, and this is why I am, I am, I believe that when it comes down to the Middle East, those tensions is gonna persist. Yeah, there is no other way. Now, will the war in Gaza, for example, end by the time he inaugurates? Maybe, maybe not. Because remember, we are on November 7th. The inauguration is still January 20th or 21st, that is. So a lot can happen in between. A lot can happen in between. There is another key regarding the Lebanon, why Lebanon might be of interest to Trump. The reason being because his daughter, uh, uh, uh, uh, second daughter, not, uh, uh, she's married to a Lebanese-American billionaire. So, and this is also Donald Trump is expecting a grandson. So his daughter is pregnant, they're going to deliver a baby, whatever. Who will be this grandson? Will be half Lebanese, half American. So, and this is why the calculation will be— as a matter of fact, uh, uh, I did find out that the, uh Yeah, let me get, uh, let me, let me get you the picture if I can find it. I, I don't know if I could, but, uh, uh, uh, this individual, his name is Michael, uh, uh, Michael, uh Yeah, I'm gonna have to dig out for, for, for this one. I found it elsewhere and I kind of misplaced the, the link. So yeah, but anyway, uh, this individual's father is a billionaire here, and he's the one who funded the elections of Trump behind closed doors because Donald Trump's daughter married into another wealthy family. So, uh, that, that's just how it works in this. I'm gonna try to figure out the link and post it for you in the description later on. So this is one thing I need you to understand about why Lebanon might end up being a key role for Donald Trump— not because he cares for the people, but because of his daughter and so forth. So now let me move to the next, uh, location, and the next location will be none other than China. Why is this important? What comes to mind, guys? I need to ask you a question. Why is this important? If you can answer in one word. So let me see what you're going to write down in the chat box. Why the next, uh, uh, we have to put a microscope now regarding on Donald Trump policy towards China. Why is that? Muhammad Ali, you wrote war. Okay, money. Okay, uh, oh, oh, pardon, you got a tariff war, trade, trade war. It's gonna be a major one for specific reason, and I'm gonna provide you my own. Again, it's my own thinking, my own analysis. You can take it, you can reject it, you are free to decide for yourself. So now, what do we remember from the first time Donald Trump took office? It was a trade war, you know, which by the way, in this trade war was also a breach of protocol regarding Taiwan's former governor, even though they use the term leader or president, whatever. Because you all remember that the, uh, uh, uh, conversation that was, uh, the US at that time and Donald Trump was saying as far as Taiwan. So, and that created tensions with Beijing. Now you don't need to hear what Donald Trump is saying, you need to hear what his vice president is saying. His vice president already made it clear the moment they take office They gonna arm Taiwan to the teeth. Why is that? Microchips, TSMC. We want to take it over. That's what it is. So, so as Donald Trump, president-elect Donald Trump, prepares to start his second, China is already sort of, uh, uh, understanding now this unpredictability that is coming and putting its dots, uh, uh, uh, the dots on the letter per se, as to how they're gonna respond to this. Because tariff-like— so what happened to China the first time was major economic issue for China. Why? Because this time around China is dealing with two main issues. One of them is the debt, even though we all, all countries deal with that. And I remember Professor Yan Liang explained to us, you all remember the MMT, monetary, modern monetary theory, that the debt is not as bad as you may think. However, the West is pretending it to be, oh, this is the collapse for China's economy. I've heard analysts that they worked in DC, are this— are disclosing that China's economy is going to collapse and all that. It's nonsense. It is nonsense. So, and I was there, I saw, I would have seen signs. There are signs for the collapse, like when you start seeing companies are filing for bankruptcies. Yes, it was an issue in China with the real estate. I'm not denying that, but also China government took care of that, first of all by putting the guy in jail who created the problems. I wish we had something like that. Our system is too corrupted. And as a matter of fact, I found out yesterday that China now is, is, uh, uh, sentenced somebody to death for some corruption of sort. What a, what a perfect— to me it's perfect. Yeah, that's how it ought to be. You deal with the corrupted people that way. So anyway, now China's going to have to be thinking in terms of will the US renew— will Donald Trump renew the, the, the tensions over trade? Most likely, except this time you're going to have to consider the technology aspects of it. So, so because tariffs like that would be a big blow to China, it will be, no other doubt. So because here's the thing, and I disagree with a statement, by the way, from the source that I found And I wanted to share it with you as is. I'm going to provide you the link to highlight to you when writers play with words for specific reason to manipulate. So listen carefully, and I quote: tariffs like that would be a blow to China's already unstable economy, which is suffering from high youth unemployment— that's one— a lengthy property slump and government debt. A 60% duty on Chinese imports could shave off 2.5% point, or about half of China's projected economic growth, according to an analysis published earlier this year by UBS. Always remember the source. So, which I don't believe in this. But again, I'm not an economist, but I, I share my own point. Here is the key where my concern about Donald Trump's foreign policy that's going to be guided towards some entities outside, because it's not Donald Trump that is saying we're gonna have to arm Taiwan, is his vice president, JD Vance. So, and here is the, uh, what Donald Trump will be willing to do is to go crazy when it comes down to Taiwan. Yes, that's what I foresee. There is one scenario, and I provide you the link, guys, with all this, that in which Trump, uh, has already threatened to impose even high tariffs, up to 150 to 200% on Chinese goods. And this is tied to one that has to do with if China invades Taiwan. We all know there will be none of that, but just to highlight to you how the narrative has to be pushed into that direction. I have to push back against this because this is, in my opinion, is manipulation. So when you hear Donald Trump saying about, well, we will put up to 200% tariffs if China invades Taiwan— China is not going to invade Taiwan, first of all. Like I said last time, guys, If China wanted to go that route, all they need to do is put a blockade on Taiwan, suffocate it economically. But how can you expect to do that to your own country? You know, Taiwan is a province of China. What do you expect a country to do that to its own province? Just doesn't make any sense. But that's not how it works in Washington, is how you word it. And this is why the statements are coming out of the vice president's mouth. Not the president, because they'll say, oh, the president didn't say it. See what I'm getting at? And I will provide you the link for all this. And that's one thing you need to understand as far as, uh, when it comes down to what China is going to be preparing to that. China has already put in its own calculations, and rightly so. They're gonna have to think in terms of preparing themselves for all that. The next one comes the Ukraine conflict, because Ukraine conflict, Donald Trump said, and here is, and I quote, that, uh, uh, I will quickly negotiate the end of Russia war Ukraine. Yeah, good luck with that. That tells me right there, when president say something like this, it shows you how clueless he or she might be. First of all, to end the war, you don't end it over in 24 hours. There's a lot, a lot of moving parts that goes into this. Second thing is, if the president even will say that, he or she can be undermined. And I'm gonna give you a quick example, uh, for, for this one. Uh, think about Ronald Reagan when he was, you know, and think about the hostage taken at the U.S. Embassy at that And what did the entities surrounding or working around or with, uh, Ronald Reagan at that time end up doing? They negotiated a deal by which they'll provide weapons to Iran in return for release of the hostages, right? So the president later on was like, I wasn't aware of all this. Maybe he was, maybe he wasn't, but that's beside the point. Just to highlight to you, there are entities behind the scene that can force the trajectory to go another direction. This is no different. So for Trump to say, I'm going to end the war tomorrow, it's nonsense, because if he push against the establishment, they could take him out, meaning Trump himself. Don't be surprised. I, I'm not. So, and why is this now a concern for Ukraine? Because it's a major concern to Ukraine. Here's the picture of, uh, President-elect with the comedian, uh, President Zelensky. You know, I'm, I'm— this guy Zelensky's end is going to be brutal. I, I can guarantee you that, guys. Once the dust settles, his end is going to be brutal. So because that's how we do it. So, so the Ukraine, the concern in Ukraine Uh, uh, it has to do that now Trump is gonna back away from supporting Ukraine. Well, he did mention that one, and this is why the administration, the current one, went ahead and signed off the $6 billion. Why? I think, I think whomever signed those, even the money that sent before should be held accountable, should be investigated, trial. And if they found that they broke the law, or they broke the law, or involved in a corruption, the appropriate punishment should be applied. And you all know where I stand on this. I don't need to say it here. Now, the European countries are now saying, well, wait a minute, uh, uh, if we are uh, if, if Trump becomes a president, he will back away, uh, uh, from supporting Ukraine, uh, to undo the Russian invasion. Well, first of all, let's talk about how this invasion happened to begin with, this military operations. If we didn't create it, it would have not have happened to begin with. So this is again one of this manipulation. And again, I am not speaking on behalf of Russia or this or that. I don't do that. I speak of what's objective and what's right. You know, we created the tensions by design. It's no different than now. We all— that's why I wanted to do this for you guys, is to at least put some map or path for you to understand what kind of foreign policy, if any, it will be coming out of the next White House administration. So, because frankly, for the last 3 or 4 decades We didn't have any foreign policy strategy. We were just reacting to events as they happen because we have amateurs that deal with foreign policy. I am yet to find out who's gonna be nominated for the Secretary of State. We all saw what happened with Blinken and before him and before him. So, so the, the same arguments, uh, uh, I can make. Now what you gonna be hearing You will, between now and January. What you're going to be hearing is that now, oh my gosh, Western or Eastern European countries, including those of NATO, are now concerned and worrying that if Ukraine doesn't get the, the support it deserves and if it's weakened, that means it will have to surrender some of its territory to Russia. Well, here is where again they are lying. Why they are lying? It's because president-elect, in previous conversation, he mentioned that if this to be resolved, Ukraine will have to set with the, uh, uh, uh, possibility that that land in, uh, that Russians took, they— it's never coming back. It's reality. I've been arguing this from the get-go. When the Russians took over the Donbas and all that, that's for strategic reason. And there is no way Russia will give that back because Russia will not and cannot and will never trust the West again. So Trump already mentioned that one before. So when the Europeans and members of NATO are saying, well, if Ukraine is weakened to the point of having to agree to surrender land, no, It's a fait accompli. It's a foregone conclusion. So, and this is where the vice president, the, the candidate vice president, uh, JD, uh, Vance mentioned in an interview in September. Yeah, and I have the link, I'll put it for you guys. In September, that a deal would— and I put this in quote— probably entail Russia retaining the land it has seized, uh, in, in Ukraine, and Ukraine agreeing to renounce its goal of joining NATO. And that's exactly what the Russians proposed in the 10 security points that they provided to NATO, and NATO rejected. When I say NATO, it's the US. NATO countries are useless. They are useless, all of them. I'll tell you this. Useless. It'll be interesting to see if really the president-elect is going to push NATO now to increase its defense. And that's why I'm saying this foreign policy will have to start till I see concrete evidence. Well, one of them has to do with what do we have NATO for, you know. If Donald Trump is really is gonna mark history is when he makes a decision to pull the US out of NATO altogether. Let the Europeans figure out their own defense. Europeans have been talking about it forever, and I'm going to talk about the Europeans as I get closer here. So the next one has to do with this one right here. Now remember, the alliance between North Korea and Russia. Well, North Korean soldiers are already on Ukrainian soil, so But that's not what I'm going to be talking about. I'm going to be talking about how Donald Trump now is going to be approaching North Korea. Because remember, I did post something for you on the community, uh, uh, uh, post that North Korea doesn't bluff when he tested or launched that ICBM. And the purpose of that ICBM is just to put the dots on the letter following the joint military exercises between US, South Korea, and Japan in near in the area there. And this one here will be of interest to know. It's more about South Korea than it is about North Korea. So, so now there are rumors that Kim Jong-un and Donald Trump, they do have some sort of good relationship. No other president, American president or president-elect, has ever had a good relationship with with North Korea because he was ordered not to. That's what I'm saying. You have to understand who are the decision-making makers in Washington. It's not the White House, it's not Congress. So, so, and now the dynamics might have shifted now slightly because of these elections of 2024. So now the relationship between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un might end up having an influence on the response— meaning his response, meaning Donald Trump— to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. But again, it's a foregone conclusion in my opinion. As a geopolitical analyst, I can tell you right now that Russia will not give back the territory it took. That's one. And second, Russia will have to have in writing that Ukraine will give up this NATO. And third is that they will— Donald Trump in this case will have to, you know, move out American forces or any NATO forces or whatever from the whole region. That is because Ukraine is done for. So it's done for, we're not gonna worry about it. And the last one I want to mention to you is this knuckleheads right here, those idiots. I call them idiots. You know, they are head of their states, but, uh, uh, one of them is chancellor, the other one is president. Because Germany, uh, the president of Germany, Steinmeier, I believe, is just a ceremonial— is the chancellor that is the, uh, the one who takes care of the government. In case of France, is the president. So the two idiots have already have already mentioned, well, we need to strengthen our European alliance, uh, now that Trump is in office. So, well, let me tell you this, guys, and I always do it as an analogy. Europe— I've said this, I've said this before— Europe is like a child that never grows up and is in constant need of discipline and guidance. This is why the Europeans, despite the talk, they will never take stand on their feet because they are too weak. Remember, we are the one controlling the European Union. It's not the European Union Parliament. All that is nothing but a facade. We are dictating. And the way to understand it, look at the German economy. Look at the EU's economy in general. Look at the economy in Italy, in France. You got the idea. Spain, Portugal, and so forth. We decide. And this is one thing about this transatlantic relations for the promotion of the rule of law and democratic principles, whatever. All that, it's hypes. It's hypes. And, and we became now exposed about the double standard and the hypocrisy. But again, who do you blame for this? Also the European people. That's no different than us here voting for, uh, at least to some people arguing that we vote, we voted for the lesser of the two evils. Well, if democracy, why don't we have choices? So Europeans are to decide what they want. If they want the likes of these idiots then be it. It's their choice. They're gonna have to live with the consequences. Winter is coming. Things are changing in Europe. I have family in Europe. I talk to them, and I know my family is not going to be telling me, uh, just hypes, because I'll ask specific questions. I've been in Europe. I've been in Poland in the last few months. I saw with my own eyes. I went through Frankfurt. I saw with my own eyes, you know. And I intend to head out to Europe soon So it's clear as, as daylight. It's just where the difference is, guys, is when the media manipulates the masses, because the masses are not trained to really read between the lines, like I always say. So, and that's the difference between someone who spent time dealing with these geopolitical matters, uh, for over 20 years or plus, whatever you learn over, over decades what to look for. And I'm here to tell you, American next foreign policy is going to be as chaotic as it was before. So it might be just dressed, dressed up differently, but it's the same. Move one conflict from this location to the next location. And this is why we have moved naval assets into the South China Sea because our aim— you know what our aim is? Microchips. And this leads me to— I have one picture I didn't share with you. Oh, I thought I did. Oh, bummer. And the picture of Elon Musk. Now, Elon Musk was an avid supporter of Trump, right? Do you know how much money he made since he supported Trump? $5 billion. Why? Because the stocks went up, and the media stocks for Donald Trump went up. This is why Donald Trump will take the $100 million from you but will stab you in the back if he has to. So, and again, nothing against Donald Trump. I'm not against anybody. Just for me, I won't vote for the guy. And again, I, I will be very, very curious to see now who is going to be nominated to the key positions— Secretary of Defense, Secretary of State, National Security. I mean, the last administration, those are where— jokes. Those are, you know, idiots beyond the belief. They don't grasp the the depth of what geopolitics is all about. So, and you can't just put somebody in a position of power like that just because of loyalty instead of credentials, instead of capabilities, instead of understanding how to articulate the problem and find the solutions that impacts the nation for that matter. We don't have those, starting from the president himself. We don't have those. That era is gone. So why? Because the system, the system is corrupted to its core. That is the hard truth that I need you to understand. So, and this is what I wanted to share with you, and I'm going to see if there are any super sticker and, uh, questions. I'll answer some. And once again, I want to thank you all for being here. And, uh, by the way, guys, uh, I am, uh, uh, reaching out to some guests. So I'm waiting for some, uh, uh, confirmations, and I'll have some interesting, uh, conversation for you guys with those individuals. Uh, what else? I was gonna say something else. Uh, once again, I hope you guys enjoy, especially the ones I created for the, the, uh, emojis for the members and supporters and so forth. So yeah, it was fun, it was fun creating that. I wanted to do it because it's the first time I did that. And thank you, J, for suggesting that. It was J that suggested that to me. All right, let me scroll, uh, back to see. All right guys, so I hope you— I don't have any Super Sticker questions here. So I hope you guys find this very informative, and I look forward to seeing you next time. As always, remember, geopolitics impacts your daily life in more ways than one. Till next time, bye-bye.
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