Why Iran Refuses to Back Down | China's Secret Role Explained

Hello everybody and welcome to Geopolitical Trends, where truth matters. The ceasefire between the US and Iran, which just collapsed, by the way, after what, 21 hours of failed negotiations. And now you have the naval blockade that the US is threatening Donald Trump and so forth, which, by the way, I will do a livestream for you tomorrow about this specific development. And behind all this, behind closed doors, China is funneling shoulder-fire missiles into Iranian hands. So if Donald Trump doesn't understand that the clock is ticking and the next few days will certainly determine whether this conflict between Iran and US and Israel stays at this level or it could explode— and I use the term carefully— into something the world hasn't seen since World War II. This is what the scary part of all this. So in this brief, in this livestream, I'm going to be providing you my own insights into really the importance and the strategic importance of these developments. And as I mentioned earlier, tomorrow I will be doing a livestream for you regarding the the blockade, whether the US is even capable of doing that. We'll talk details about that tomorrow. And, and I'll share, by the way, I'll share one particular clip with you pertaining to what is going on right now. So, so far, the reports coming out of the IC, which have been declassified, not in its entirety, of course, indicates that China is preparing to deliver some new air defense systems. Specifically, I have a picture of this shoulder fire, shoulder missiles right there. This is exactly what the US intelligence agency is saying, and this shoulder fire anti-air missile systems known as MANPADS, it's going to be delivered to Iran in the coming weeks. By the way, China has been sharing some really specific key information pertaining to the missile technology and the chips involved in the missile technology, which, by the way, to my knowledge, I found out that these particular chips China's been sending, those are so crucial for the pinpointing accuracy regarding the missile trajectory. Yeah, it's, it's, it's, it's geopolitics. What do you expect? Is China doing something different than what we've been doing before? No, except that, oh, China can do it, but we can't. That doesn't make any sense. Suffice it to say, two sources indicating that Beijing is working to route, or route rather, these shipments through a third party. And again, I'm not going to get into that. What I'm going to get into is to Why is this significant? You need to understand this because this idea of the qualitative escalation regarding the Chinese support, we moving now beyond just the satellite coordinates and so forth to really, for example, the solid fuel that is crucial for the ICBMs. Guess who's providing that to Iran? It's China. We're talking about chips. Guess who's providing that to Iran? It's China. And this is why the Chinese companies continue to sell Iran sanctions, the dual-use technology. They have an agreement. And as a matter of fact, the Chinese Foreign Ministry now issued statements regarding this delusional US initiative of blockading the Strait of Hormuz. So the Chinese government directly transfer this kind of weapons, and by doing so, we'll mark now a new level of assistance. And this again, it's so crucial. Why so crucial? Because this is a direct threat to US aircraft. As a matter of fact, the F-15, the downing of the F-15, the targeting of the F-35s, it was because of the technology that China shared with Iran. Not that Iran didn't develop its own. I just want to put that. What you need to understand is that the MANPADS, those ones here, the MANPADS are portable air defense missiles that pose now persistent threat to low-flying US aircraft, which has been for the last few weeks, by the way. And it became apparent with the downing of the F-15. With the targeting of the F-35, with the downing of the C-110 and some other helicopters, to my knowledge here. Trump himself, the delusional Trump, noted that the F-15 was recently downed. This is Trump saying this, downed by a handheld shoulder missile. Now, if Trump is coming forward and saying it because, you know, and by the way, Trump has came to a conclusion that he's been played out by the Mossad who provided the wrong intelligence. However, what Donald Trump wanted to not disclose, or let me rephrase this, what Donald Trump wanted to sort of manipulate the statements by saying half of it true and half is not. The other half is that, oh, by the way, this handheld shoulder missile, it wasn't Chinese. This is what Trump's saying. Yeah, whatever. Why is this important? Also, now you need to understand this. How could complicate now the relationship between the US-China relations? And of course, the statement by Donald Trump to close the— to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. In light of his upcoming trip, if ever happens, to China, it's gonna be now very, very, very crucial because what Donald Trump is saying, oh, I am warning those countries of consequences. If, and I quote here, if China does that, China will have big problems. Okay? End of quote. This is how Donald Trump has talked to the point that he went and threatened China. Are you out of your mind? This is not about being scared of China, whatever. I mean, you couldn't defeat the Houthis, and now you see the damage Iran is causing, and you want to take on China? You got to be out of your mind. And this is where the upcoming meeting or summit between Donald Trump and Xi might not happen because the timing It's very, very crucial at this moment. But one thing that is important is that Chinese strategic calculus. Don't be surprised. I'm not surprised at all. We do the same. I mean, look what we've been saying. Oh, we want to push for negotiations between the Russians and Ukrainians, whatever. And we turn around and provide Ukrainians with weapons. Once again, what makes it right for us and wrong for China to do the same with Iran? But China is strategic about this kind of stuff. They know, they know how to move forward. So sort of what the Chinese strategic value into this doesn't want to be overtly entering the conflict, which he won't because doesn't make any sense. Why would China get involved into the fighting itself? However, what the Chinese strategy is, is some sort of strategy that will possession Beijing or China as a continued friend of Iran, the same way right now Russia is doing it and the same way North Korea is stating. Because in the case of China, depends on a lot of oil from Iran. Of course, China is saying, yeah, we stay neutral out of all this. But now think about it, that the US is going to put a blockade What do you think China is going to do if they found out that their oil tanker is being held by the US and the US will steal that oil? I don't think it's going to get to that. And as a matter of fact, some ships just passed through, to my knowledge, today, and one of them was a Chinese. So the hype about the blockade, which again, I'll talk about it tomorrow, it's delusional. So what China is doing strategically is going at it on both ends. Of course, China is going to say we are not involved and all that stuff. That's normal language in this kind of settings. Because the representative of the spokesperson of the Chinese embassy in Washington stated, and I quote, because I read his statement that was issued, I think yesterday. Afternoon. China has never provided weapons to any party to the conflict. The information in question is untrue. As a responsible major country, China consistently fulfills its international obligations. And of course, it's a specific— and why is this last part about international obligations? Because it's the same argument China is making by using the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. And China is saying, wait a minute, you can't do that. It's because we have an international agreement with Iran regarding the transfer of goods. That's how interesting that is. And this development now sits at the really intersection of the US-Iran conflict, the US-China trade war, and of course, the fragile West Asia or Middle East. Ceasefire because there is no ceasefire so far. It's a holding by threat. And there are those analysts that are saying, oh, if confirmed, okay, we'll go with that argument. And if confirmed, and we go with that, that argument, that is, it will signal that China is willing to take the next step, is willing to take chance at rupturing the diplomatic ties with Washington because What would you get out of it? Especially now when you consider the two main events that happened in China. One of them has to do with the visit of the Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez pivoting to Asia. And the second one, the opposition of the KMT Party in Taiwan. Xi just visited Beijing and had a meeting with President Xi. Read between the lines. Where this is going. And that is exactly why to China, it's making sure to preserve its strategic relationship with Iran. So important because Iran is going to come out, uh, uh, uh, uh, at the top once the dust settles on this. Like I argued before, we might not see it this year, we might not see it next year. But you will see it eventually, is that the end of Israel and the US dominance in the region, it's going to be at the hand of Iran. In other words, Iran is the one that is going to end this dominance once for all. And in this case, be on the lookout for what the Gulf Arab states are going to be doing, Arab Muslim countries are going to be doing. And this is why China might not do things directly, doing it through intermediary countries. It's a common practice. We do it in different ways because China understands the dynamics. And with this leads us to ask the key question: is this part of the reason why the US got shocked and surprised that Iran is not— is willing, rather, to continue the war with it and with Israel? I think the answer is yes. The Chinese weapon pipeline is almost certainly a factor. I'm not saying that's the only factor, but it's certainly a factor among other several interlocking reasons that Iran appears willing to hold firm moving forward. Because Donald Trump and his cronies were thinking that, oh, Iran is going to capitulate the moment we fly in our, our fighter jets and all that stuff. They're going to get scared and intimidated. That's, that's the strength. That's the demise of empires when they assume, oh, the high and mighty taking the high and mighty position. Oh, They're going to bow to us. Turns out to be the reverse. And that's exactly where or how the Chinese MANPADS now is going to bolster Iran's resolve. And I'm going to talk to you briefly here as I move forward about the types of what Iran is sending. Those are not your sort of deadly accurate types of MANPADS. And it matters militarily. Why? Because these systems really pose a serious threat to any low-flying US or Israel aircraft throughout whatever time. That is the harsh reality that Donald Trump now is coming to grip with because he's already— he's in panic mode behind closed doors. You don't see what's going outside. It's behind closed doors. The guy is freaking out because he realized what a trap Israel put him in. And of course, with what happened with Epstein files regarding his wife, that just adds more fuel to the fire. And this is where Iran confidently is sure of, we don't care whether the ceasefire collapsed or not. Well, all this doesn't matter to us. We are prepared for what this US want to do as far as the blockade, the Strait of Hormuz. I am here to tell you, no force beside Iran will be able to blockade the Strait of Hormuz except Iran. And that in itself, by having now Iran acquiring additional technology, two things: the solid fuel that is very crucial to ICBMs and the chips. There are specific types of chips that is used for the missiles Iran is using. And that in itself is inflicting now massive destruction and cost on the US air power. I will share a clip with you later on towards the end to tell you the exact figure how much we have lost so far. We're talking about the value of the weapons that's been lost. And the other strategic way you need to look at this is that Iran is very savvy as to how many missiles it wants to use. Doesn't want to use everything because the usage of these MANPADS— let me put the picture for you here— the usage of these MANPADS could be just as an opportunity for Iran to replenish certain weapon systems with the help of the key foreign partners. Remember, Iran is producing, to my knowledge, about 5,200 missiles per month, per month. And I'm gonna, when I do the clip for you, because the detailing this from reliable sources inside. And this is why this kind of, why the US mainly, and of course, Israel is just Israel is dictating to the US, but we'll go with the US. Why the US wanted this ceasefire so bad? It's breathing space. That's what they want. And Iran is looking at it. There is no way you will have a surrender because Iran is not going to surrender no matter what. So, so let me just share one, one, one information with you regarding this particular, uh, types of weapons. Uh, let me, let me put the picture. Now you have— there are two types. One of them is known as, uh, F-6, and one of them is FN— I'm sorry, FN-6A and FN-16. To my knowledge, there are about 7 countries that have this. You have Bangladesh, Cambodia, China, Malaysia, North Korea, Pakistan, Peru, Sudan, and Syria. Those are the, and this has entered into service back in 1999. And this tied also to when you think about the collapse of the talks, and I'm going to briefly, briefly talk about this just to highlight to you. After 21 hours of talks, The talks collapsed in Islamabad. Islamabad, by the way, Pakistan is playing both sides. Pakistan went ahead and provided now the Saudis with some types of fighter jets, you know, because Pakistan is under the thumb from both the US and Saudi Arabia because Saudi Arabia asked Pakistan to repay the loans of $6.1 billion. Pakistanis don't have that kind of money. So what they end up doing, so Pakistan's kind of, wishy-washy both sides. Let's just, uh, but at the same time, Pakistan has to think in terms of its neighbor. And which neighbor am I referring to? Iran. That is why it's very, very important. But that's not what I want to talk about. I want to talk about what JD Vance, the vice president, said right after the collapse of the talks. Here is what he said, and listen carefully, and I'm going to quote it for you. Pence said, "Iran chose not to accept our terms. We need to see an affirmative commitment that they," meaning Iran, "will not seek nuclear weapons and they will not seek the tools that will enable them to quickly achieve a nuclear weapon," end of quote. Who the heck are you to dictate the terms? That's one. And second, Iran, it's not about accepting your term. It was Iran that proposed those particular 10 points. The US is trying to manipulate this narrative for the American people because they are concerned, meaning the government concerned in Washington about the upcoming midterm elections. So they have to word it in any way they can to play out with the mind of the American people watching. So JD Vance himself, which I won't trust anyway, that gives you an idea because Iran's core objectives or even objections to all this go beyond just a nuclear supply or weapon supplies. That is, nuclear program has been consistently rejected by Iran because they've been saying, well, the West is saying, the US is saying, oh, Iran is going to build a nuke. We are under threat because Iran could attack the US. All this was a lie. Iran had no intentions of attacking the US, was not thinking of attacking the US to begin with. And that is why Iran is saying, yeah, we can negotiate except two things we won't talk about: the nuclear program and the missile technology. Simple as that. The other key term why the talks collapsed, of course, has to do with Lebanon and Hezbollah. And you all know the story with that when Israel is going and bombarding the southern part of Lebanon. Only now to have Marco Rubio going to Beirut and meeting with the president of Lebanon, which is, by the way, a puppet. You know, that's Aoun, his name is Michel Aoun, saying, oh, we're going to have the Lebanese military. No, no, no, no, no. Lebanese president is a puppet. Let me just tell you this straightforward. The other element has to do with the deep mistrust that exists between the US and Iran. And from Iran perspective is rightly so. People in the streets in Iran are saying this is not the first time we saw Iran negotiating with the Americans. And they are saying, the people inside Iran are saying in their own way to their government, be aware of past initiatives that didn't produce lasting solutions. I mean, think about it. And this is why the strategic logic of the misjudgment of Donald Trump thinking strategically, oh, it make more sense to me to do what I did in Venezuela to Iran, just intimidate them and all that stuff. And that is again where Donald Trump launched the war, confident of the conflict will be relatively quick and cheap and that Iran wouldn't be able or willing to hit back. Big mistake. Neither assumptions, by the way, proved true of what Iran was thinking, of what Donald Trump was thinking. Iran has survived so far now 6 or 7, we're going into 7 weeks of U.S. and Israeli strikes. The control of Strait of Hormuz is still under Iran's hand. And now you have the Chinese and the Russian backing. North Korea said something, but North Korea did something also. Which I'll mention later on. So from Iran's perspective, analytically speaking, it hasn't lost anything or hasn't lost enough to accept Washington's maximalist demand. That is the beef. That is the key aspect into what's going on. And that is why the US now is thinking, what do we do? Let's just go with this blockade and tarnish the rest of the world because the rest of the world is going to be impacted by— but the idea of we're going to just intimidate Iran and go and use a blockade. No, it's not going to work. And this is again, to go back to my topic where the Chinese see, because the Chinese, the way they think about it, like I said earlier, they don't see any reason, any strategic reason to enter into the war directly. That doesn't make any sense. It doesn't make sense. What they want to make sure is that Iran sees that China standing by Tehran. Simple as that. So what's happened next? Now that we are— the talks are collapsed and the US, Donald Trump, the bully, is saying, oh, I'm going to soon blockade ships from Iranian ports. The ceasefire status is deeply uncertain. There is no ceasefire. It might be just on paper, but what's certain, however, is that the escalation, the situation is escalating rapidly. And that is why it makes perfect sense for the Chinese weapons delivery to be more consequential if hostilities resume. That's just part of the reality. So let me do a quick clip for you here. I'll do the translation because I want you to see the images. And those images, by the way, pertain to exactly what I'm talking about. And I'm gonna— I give credit to TGR Plus. That's their clip. I'm not gonna play it for you because it's in Arabic, but what I'm gonna go— what I'm gonna do is let you watch the images, but I'll do the translation for you. Basically, this is not merely a war unfolding in the Middle East. Rather, it is slowly taking shape, a scene that seems to redefine the very meaning of warfare. On the surface, it appears to be a blazing regional confrontation. Yet Iran's downing of US military aircraft reveals what is truly transpiring behind the scenes. A narrative of silent international conflict in which major powers maneuver without openly declaring their presence, surreptitiously reshaping the equation of power and deterrence. Amidst the escalation of military strikes against Iran, the prevailing belief was that its missile capabilities were gradually eroding under the pressure. However, recent analysis of shipping data have turned this hypothesis completely on its head. Even for— even as the fires of the conflict rages, supplies— let me put this for you here. Sorry. Supplies line were quietly operating across the seas, transporting something far more dangerous than the weapons themselves: the capacity to manufacture them. From ports in China, specifically the port of Gulan in the city of Zhuhai, a convoy of Iranian vessels subject to international sanctions set sail towards Iranian shores. At least 5 such vessels have appeared on this route since the outbreak of hostilities. Some have already arrived while others are currently en route. They were not carrying ready-to-launch missiles, but rather sodium per— perchlorite, the essential ingredients for producing the solid fuel used in ballistic missiles. Herein lies the most critical shift in the geopolitical landscape. Instead of merely being supplied with finished weapons, Iran is being provided with the means to domestically manufacture hundreds of its own missiles. According to experts' estimates, the quantities that have arrived recently far exceed previous shipments, which were sufficient to produce between 102 and 157 missiles. Now, however, the figures suggest the potential to manufacture approximately 785 additional missiles, a number that completely redraws the regional balance of power. Armed with this capability, Iran no longer appears to be a defensive— in a defensive posture and is commonly assumed, but rather in a position that enables it to sustain a launch rate of between 10 and 30 missiles. Two missiles are being delivered daily, a pace that could persist for up to full month. However, the story does not end with the numbers. What is far more significant is the manner in which this operation is being conducted. In this context, China is not shipping weaponry directly, but rather material classified as commercial goods. Given the difficulty in tracking these vessels due to the disabling of tracking systems and the alteration of routes and names, it becomes evident that what is taking place involves far more than mere transport operation. Far from being ordinary, these routes constitute an integral part of a supply network designed to evade surveillance and sanctions. Indeed, some assessments suggest that these pathways may not remain confined to the maritime domain, rather they could eventually extend to overland routes, a development that would pave the way for a more stable and continuous flow of supplies. These developments we are witnessing today, moments of critical and qualitative significance, such as Iran downing of US military aircraft, convey a message that transcends the purely military realm. They serve to redraw the equation of deterrence and reveal that global conflict is currently being waged through indirect means, a conflict whose impact nonetheless extends beyond borders, quietly yet perilously reshaping the global balance of power. That is the importance of these aspects, and that's why I want you just to have an idea at least of what is going on regarding this particular aspect. If the truth matters to you, hit like, subscribe, and tap that bell. No spin, no agenda, just the stories They don't want you to know. So don't watch from the sideline. Be part of the movement. Your support keeps the truth alive. Thank you very much. And I am very, very grateful for your support. The idea of that Iran's ready-to-use stockpile— this is why Iran right now, as we speak, is turning to a third and a fourth generation types of missiles. That is why Iran is vowing to reveal more capabilities moving forward. And once again, when you think about what China has shared with Iran so far— and by the way, here is the picture of the port of Golan. This is where the ships leave in from China into— and I'm going to talk very, very soon here about the other types of Iran's missile development. And this is why you have to understand that the US now is realizing there is no way we're going to defeat Iran unless the nukes are used. But Pakistan and China already preceded. I don't know about Pakistan on this. You know, I don't know. But anyway, they said that if Israel used nukes on Iran, Pakistan and China will use the nukes. I hope it never gets to that. But here is the harsh reality. From day one of the war, from day one, Iran was saying all what the US is saying and all what Israel is saying in their medias and all what they want the people to know is falls within the scope of psychological warfare. And this even Some military and political analysts in the West agreeing with that because why? Because Iran possesses the capability to sustain this conflict for many years, not for next month, not 6 months from now, for years. And that in itself is backed by stockpile of types of weapons that Iran has in its possession. That's the harsh reality. And this is where the reports have clarified, particularly during the days of we are witnessing the conflict, especially last 2 or 3 weeks, you know, because some of these missiles that Iran used, here is the key, which we were shocked to find that out. They were pre-fueled with propellant designed to remain viable for up to 15 years. Let me repeat that for you. The types of missiles Iran had pre-fueled with propellant designed to remain viable for up to 15 years. That's what I'm saying. And I said this yesterday. For the record, Iran has prepared this for decades, for about 3 decades for this scenario. And by the way, these assets are housed in clandestine locations, sites that are not known to many, even within the government inside. And with this underground, what is known as missile cities, those are beneath the mountains. Arrangements that the US couldn't, no matter what we drop. Iran planned on this for a long, long time. And these facilities are difficult to target because we found out, remember last June? Oh, we destroyed Iran's nuclear facilities and all. It was nothing but hype. It was nothing but hype. Because the storage facilities— here is what Iran asserts, and they did say that before, that Iran's missile inventory remains robust, enabling it to sustain the war effort for years to come. This is the harsh reality. Israel will not be able to do this, and the US will be worn out because we are already worn out. Not even our war. And regarding the launch platforms, specifically, this reported by variety of media outlets, oh, even Israel saying we destroyed them, the US said we destroyed them. None of that. The reality on the ground suggests that Iran's missile launching capacity remain undiminished. Compared to the past. So what has changed is the quality of the missiles deployed, because previously, if you— I'm sure you've been, at least if you've been watching this channel here, I've been walking you through from day one. As a matter of fact, that's all I've been covering. Even here in my overseas location, I still have— I found very important for the community to be aware of what's going on. So Iran launched larger quantities of missiles, relying primarily on first and second generation models, not the third, not the fourth. Now what Tehran is doing is transitioning to relying on the third and fourth generation missiles. And these types of missiles and weapons possessing significant power destructive or greater power for destruction. Because the features of these warheads, by the way, weigh in no less than 1 ton, including cluster warheads. We saw what happened to Tel Aviv. I mean, when you look at images, the real images, it's almost like we're looking at Gaza. Of course, Israel is not going to allow that to be seen. The US will not allow that to be seen, but Some videos or clips have been shared with many people around the world. But the idea of Iran using these cluster munitions, we're able to disperse in multiple submunitions or smaller explosive charges when they launch, thereby inflicting massive devastation. And the 3 one that I want to bring you to, to be aware of is Khorramshahr. Okay. Khadar, okay, and Emad. Very, very, very crucial, especially for Khadar. I want to tell you something quickly about Khadar. I had to read up the specs of it. A Khadar missile is one of Iran's— by the way, it was Iran's first-generation long-range ballistic missile, which was sort of— there are too many variants of it, the F, the H, and S. Variants. And this, the length of this particular missile is about 17 meters and weighs between 15 and 17.5 tons, and its operational range goes between 1,350 and 1,950 kilometers. By the way, I give credit to that picture to the Wa News Agency. So that's the important aspects of it. The other one is Emad, which, by the way, Iran didn't use before, didn't want to. Emad is a liquid-fueled medium-range ballistic missile known as MRBM, which was developed by Iran, and it was unveiled in 2015. It developed it as an advanced, highly precise, and maneuverable variant of Shahab-3, and its range is reported to be between, uh, up to 1,700 kilometers, and its payload is about 750 kilograms of payload. And that is why it's maneuverability re-entry vehicle designed to bypass modern air defense systems like the Arrow 3. And that's why the massive destruction took place in Tel Aviv. It's because of this type of missile. And as we speak, Iran is actively manufacturing now a new type of missiles concurrently with their deployments, using the two key ingredients from China, the chips and the solid fuel. And these new units, by the way, are produced as we speak in clandestine facilities. Not many know. I don't know, of course, not many know. And all this is Iran to ensure that it can sustain this war for how long it takes. And we won't be able to do so. So let me share the clip with you here before I'll share my conclusion with you before I let you go here. And here is the harsh truth. As to how much we are losing into this war regarding the— let me copy the link here and share it with you. Okay, hold on a second. And it's in English, so I don't need to do a translation for you. Let me share it with you. There we go. Take a listen, please.

Iran now total over $2 billion, 4 F-15Es, 1—

I don't know why the— sorry, I don't know.

The total aircraft losses for the US in the fight against Iran now total over $2 billion, 4 F-15Es, 1 A-10 Warthog, 1 F-35 severely damaged, 1 E-3 Sentry completely destroyed, 2 KC-135s completely destroyed, 6 additional KC-135s damaged, 17 Reaper drones, 3 HH-60 helicopters damaged, 2 C-130s destroyed, 4 Little Birds destroyed, and 2 CH-47 Chinooks.

The total aircraft losses for the US in the fight against Iran Okay, I just want you to think once what you heard, think about this man, Pat, because that is exactly what played the role into ensuring that China quietly supplying Iran. And this is where it came to the shock of Donald Trump. He didn't expect this. So tomorrow when I do the The— I'm gonna be talking about the blockade regarding that. What Iran said already, Iran vows now to destroy US naval assets. This is why US naval assets, it's not going to get closer. There is another alternative geographically. If you look at the map, which I'll share with you tomorrow, it has to do with the Caspian Sea. Why is this important? Because that's a body of water that both Iran and Russia have an interest in security. This is the importance of why is this— why, why, uh, the US is, is, is making a terrible mistake, terrible mistake regarding these aspects of it. So, uh, I wrote an article about this particular topic already ahead of time. I'm gonna share it on the link on the chat box. I'm sorry. For those who might want to read it, I wrote it on Substack. If you want to subscribe to that, it's free. So I don't do subscription for— at least not for now. And all this comes against the background of something else, which is North Korea yesterday just tested a new type of cruise missiles. Why do you think the timing of it? Why will North Korea test the missiles right now? So this is again when you look at the idea of how this is moving forward. So let me share my conclusion with you here, and I will leave you with a question because I always like— and by the way, I truly, truly appreciate you when you put your comments, when you share your thoughts, and when you participate in the surveys, which, by the way, we did last time. I thank you for participating in that. What we're looking at right now as we speak, volatility comes to mind because volatility of the region and volatility of the situation we are in. So because ceasefire that Donald Trump was talking about was already a fragile one, I didn't believe in it. And once again, I spoke of it that ain't going to hold. And that's exactly what happened. Even though there is some, but it's being now tested because Israel is still able to do whatever it wants in Lebanon. And does the US tell Israel, stop? It can't. Donald Trump can't. That is again why this ceasefire is so fragile. The peace talks collapsed after 21 hours of talks, and the so-called US naval blockade is going to be challenged one way or another. Because once you start seeing certain types of missiles targeting destroyers, and when you start to see the US naval assets sink into the water deep down, it's going to be a different conversation. And all this behind the scenes, you have China. China's quietly resupplying Iran with the very weapon that could now shoot down American aircraft. Okay, the moment, the moment the fighting resumes, which I foresee sadly, but I do foresee that the fighting is going to— of course, there are those analysts saying, oh, China has to be careful. No, no, what China needs to do is just to walk a fine line. They know how far they can go. China's— they're smart enough to know. Remember Sun Tzu, for those who— The Art of War, which by the way is a required reading at the US Military Academy West Point. That just tells you an idea right there. And that is exactly where this— Iran, Iran knows that it has powerful friends. We're talking about China, we're talking about Iran— I'm sorry, we're talking about Russia, and we're talking about North Korea. So it has little incentive to accept any terms that is coming from Washington, especially when Washington is saying in a subtle way, unconditional surrender. Good luck with that. Good luck with that. So here is my question for you. This isn't just, by the way, West Asia or Middle East story. This is, in my opinion, my humble opinion, this is a preview of how the next great power conflict could unfold. Not with the direct, some sort of declaration of war. We declare war against you, China. We declare war against you, America. No, no, not that one. But through proxy weapons, the sending, the supply of weapons through a third party, back-channel deals. And of course, the strategic ambiguity, which what China is doing. Russia is doing that as well. We're doing that as well. You're looking now at the Strait of Hormuz. You're looking at global oil prices. You're looking at the credibility of American military power. Whatever left of it, are all hanging in the balance right now. So in your opinion, and please, please leave me a comment if you feel like it in the comment section here, if China is truly arming Iran while publicly brokering peace, is Beijing some sort of playing both sides, double dealer right now? Or is it just a smart geopol— smart geopolitics that China is playing? Which way do you see it? And also, do you think that a ceasefire will hold? Or are we few days away from a full-scale war that will resume? So please make sure to leave me a comment in the comment section. I will read your feedback. And like I said earlier, tomorrow I will be talking about the blockade. Please make sure to read my article that I posted in the chat box. I take this opportunity, first of all, yesterday, my sincere— first of all, let me say thank you to Naz M. Thank you so much for your super sticker. You wrote, Dr. O, this is a bit off topic. No, no, no worries. Is the US now the bigger supplier of LNG gas? Was this their end goal all along? Thank you for your work. You're most welcome. The short answer is yes. Is yes. We are the one providing now Europe with— I'm in one of those locations in Europe before I go to my next destination soon. Europe is buying gas from the US, paying 5, 6, 7 times the amount of of, of, of, of, of, for the price. Of course, they used to get it cheap from Russia. And this didn't start because of Ukraine. We've been working on this for the last 20 years. I was in Washington 20 years ago. We've been working on that. How can we cut off the supply of Russian energy into Europe? Now, what is going to be? It's going to be that the same arguments we're going to be making to the rest of the world that gets its LNG from the Gulf states, especially Qatar. Qatar is one of the main producers of LNG. So is Iran. And this is exactly the endgame of the US, because remember, one thing is that oil companies here in the US controls the political destination. We don't have foreign policy. Foreign policy in America is not made by diplomats. It is made by military-industrial complex. It is made by the energy companies. It is made by lobbyists. And it is made by AIPAC, the American-Israeli Political Action Committee. That's the bottom line to it. Once again, Naz, I want to say thank you so much for your super sticker. I take this opportunity to say thank you for the Super Sticker yesterday, that my apologies I overlooked it, to Ray M64. Thank you so much for your Super Sticker yesterday. And also to Ray HSV, much appreciate your Super Sticker yesterday. And for today, I take also another opportunity to give a shout out to Stephen Chan for your buying me tea in support of my upcoming Asia trip. Stefan has been an avid supporter of my last two trips to, uh, to Asia. I'm so grateful for your support. To those who wonder what I'm talking about, I'm talking about my upcoming trip to Asia that it's going to happen soon— not soon, but still have few months. But I will get on it when I get back, uh, stateside, and we'll be talking more about this upcoming trip to, uh, to Asia. So here is the link if you want to support this upcoming trip. And once again, my trip to Asia is not for tourism, by the way. I go in certain locations to report to you, and I have one location in mind this time around. I'm not getting into details yet. I wanted to see first if we can, uh, reach the funding for this, which is about $10,000 for this. But I need to go to this specific location to confirm to you once for all what has been reported here in the West, which by the way, it's a lie. And I decided to do this if it works out. So anyway, that's the, that's the link for those who wanted to support the Asia trip. I also want to say thank you to DB Rocky Cape. For supporting the channel by buying me cups of coffee today. So thank you so much for your support. I'm very, very grateful to you. And to all the community, please, please hit the like button, share the video with others. Now it becomes on you. It's your responsibility to let other people know where they can find out about the truth, because this is not about just me sharing whatever. It's also your responsibility. I can't do it alone. You know, nobody can do anything alone. It's the community. That's why I call it our community. So I'm greatly appreciative of you all. And tomorrow I'm going to be working. I have some time tomorrow before I head out to my next destination, and I will be sharing with you what this so-called US blockade will mean if we ever succeed in doing it. I, I, it's, it's— I don't want to get ahead of myself, but tomorrow I will be detailing to you some other aspects. So I hope you enjoyed this livestream and I look forward to seeing you next time. As always, remember, geopolitics impacts your daily life in more ways than one. Till next time, bye-bye.