WW3 Brink? Iran Threatens to Strike US Homeland & Shut Down Global Oil Over U.S. Strike Warnings

Hello everybody and welcome to Geopolitical Trends, where truth matters. So what do we have right now? We have the United States and Iran are one, one button press away from a total regional war. Literally, I was up last night at 1 o'clock in the morning, and I kid you not, one of the things that I was thinking about is what will happen if we came— or if, if we get to this phase of a regional war. And at the same time, Israel just passed on intel to the US. Now you're going to have to question anything Israel passed, whether it's real or fabricated. And what Israel said to the US is that, hey, we have information about Iran's most dangerous nuclear move yet. And when the US asked about this, saying, oh, they are hiding thousands of advanced centrifuges 100 meters deep inside a solid granite bedrock. And of course, Trump, the way he is, doesn't think things through. Look, look where we are in the war because, uh, uh, uh, he bought into what Netanyahu was telling him. So what he said, Donald Trump that is, he said that the US now is about to bomb it, bomb that location. But Iran just issued a terrifying ultimatum, and here is what they're saying, and I'm paraphrasing here: if you touch our mountain, every American base and oil field in the Middle East will burn.

And here is exactly the exact scenario playing out behind closed doors, which I'm about to share with you as we move forward.

So what we have right now, we have that Khatam al-Ambiya, Khatam al-Ambiya Air Defense Base— that's Khatam al-Ambiya, is like the headquarters for their defense— issued a warn— issued a warning rather to the United States against approaching nuclear facilities and other, uh, other vital and sensitive sites within the country. It emphasizes Iran, that is, that any targeting of these locations will be considered by Tehran as an official declaration of war, encompassing with it the entire region. This is what Donald Trump doesn't get, and that will make all— according to Khatami's statement, uh, it will make all American interests and those of the subservient allies, a direct and legitimate target for Iranian attacks. We all know what Iraq— what Iran, I'm sorry, has done so far with the targeting of the locations, and the US defense systems were incapable of defending against that. And if Iran goes full force, we all know what it means. And this is again, when you think about what warning, uh, what Iran's warning to the United States means within the bigger picture, because any attack on a nuclear facilities, Iran facilities, that is, will be treated as an expansion of the war in West Asia. Simple as that. And that in itself will trigger an immediate retaliatory strike from Iran against all American interests. And as a matter of fact, Iran went as far— and I'm going to share it with you later on in detail— as far as even target, uh, uh, threatening to target the US homeland. Which makes me just wonder, do they have something that we are not aware of as far as an ICBM of a far range? Or are they gonna get— or they already got something from someone? I'm just thinking. So you think about the explicit warning issued by Qatam headquarters, which is the operational command, uh, of Iran Armed Forces. So this warning that was issued by Qatam directly responds to the US Donald Trump threat to bomb highly protected underground Iranian assets. What's interesting about this is this is when you— this is where you— when you realize why the IAEA, the International Atomic Energy Agency, wanted to go to those sites. Those sites are sensitive, off limits. And that's why Iran end up making a decision not allowing the IAEA. They shouldn't even allow IAEA from way back. This shouldn't even be done. They should be done with all this. And that gives me an idea why all of a sudden those locations are, uh, uh, uh, uh, of interest to the US. What are we talking about here? We're talking about the Picsaxi Mountain. I'm gonna share a picture with you, a satellite photo of the, uh, what they— what this photo shows. Excuse me. This is a satellite view, shows a tunnel entrance into the, uh, uh, Picsaxi Mountains, which is near Natanz nuclear facility. And this picture was taken on June. I looked at the record for this satellite image. It was taken on June 30th of this year, of course. And this is where this sudden escalation now, it's heading out towards really the fortified underground facilities for Iran. So what Donald Trump is saying, which, you know, Donald Trump, it's, it's unfortunate, uh, Donald Trump is saying that the US military will pretty soon heavily strike a Picsaxe Mountain, which is, as I said, a tunnel, uh, complex, buried roughly 100 meters deep near Natanz nuclear facility. And we all know what it means. But at the same time, when you think about how we got here, you think about the intelligence aspect. And this is why Donald Trump's threat followed an intelligence sharing from Israel Mossad. And who was in Washington recently? None other than this guy. This guy is the head of Mossad. His name is Roman Gofman. He was in Washington. I saw the, the, I saw the, the, uh, press release regarding his visits and so forth. Now makes you just wonder, like I said, is it real info or is it fabricated? We all know what happened with the, uh, during the era of Saddam Hussein. They had, uh, biological and nuclear stuff, whatever. Turns out to be a lie. We all know that Libya, we all know, uh, you know, we have a precedent, so we understand how this— so you're, you're gonna have to, uh, uh, it's almost like, uh, uh, you, you have to decide for yourself whether this is really, really a, a real intelligence or just, uh, some sort of a pretext. It's the same argument we made for getting the US into the war. Iran is close to building the bomb, so US needs to go. And what the— what the, uh, what the Israelis, the Mossad, said to the US is that, oh, we got information that Iran has moved thousands of uranium-enriched centrifuges into the mountain, uh, uh, area to protect them from conventional airstrikes. What even if they do that? If they do that, so what? It's their enrichment. Under this IAEA rule, they are entitled to enrich uranium for civilian use. So they're conflicting the information to justify whatever. And that is why Donald Trump, in his hyperbole and, and, and, and, and bravado as always, and bullying, uh, tone of voice, he's saying that I am declaring that for Iran, this is the last chance. But last chance to do what? And listen to what he's saying carefully. He's saying a last chance to eliminate Tehran's nuclear pursuit. Why am I mentioning this? I'm mentioning this because all of a sudden we switch from Strait of Hormuz into the nuclear fire. Remember, when was the last time we talked about nuclear file? Since the war started, right? And the war started under that pretext. All of a sudden, Strait of Hormuz, the control of Strait of Hormuz became the key theme, the key issue. Yeah, and that is why Donald Trump, with all this, this whatever that is, so it's, it's just not gonna cut it. Iran, however, Iran responded forcefully. And what I learned about Iranian so far military, that is when they issue statements, they follow through. I, I really keep track since I did the research for my Iran book. I, and I looked at into some data regarding when they issue statements, what happens after that. It was never a threats. They follow through with what they say they will. So what— Iran issued the multi-layer retaliation warnings. So I'm going to start first by playing a clip for you because it's within the context of what we are talking about and makes you just wonder, is Iran prepositioning itself for what's coming? And that's to me reads that way. So, but I'll let you decide for yourself.

In this video, Iran is seen moving military equipment through Khuzestan province toward areas near the Kuwaiti border. The convoy has sparked widespread speculation about the purpose of these movements, with some suggesting they could be linked to preparations for a possible military operation or defensive deployments.

So it makes more sense as to why Iran will do such thing. And this is what Iran's response to Washington span across official military channels, top government negotiators, and of course the state media, all of them. So I'm gonna share with you 3 or 4 key points, then we'll move on with our, uh, uh, uh, analysis here. You have the regional escalation matrix. This is what the first thing Eran mentioned, and that's what the Qhatem al-Ambiya Central Headquarters announced That's exactly the first order of business. Is that what they announced? Is that any attack will expand the war zone, making all US military bases, all of them— we're talking about all those locations right here.

Look at this one, and you look at the other locations right in, right here, all of them, which we have, we have our military installations there.

Making all US military bases, troops, and regional allies legitimate target for a powerful assault. That's the first one. Second one, a second one was issued by none other than Muhammad Baqir Ghalibaf, or Ghalibaf. Now, to those who do not know, uh, uh, uh, Muhammad Baqir, he's a former pilot and a former— and he's a retired brigadier general. So somebody who knows about the military structure, and here is what he's saying: all or none oil war. This is exactly— he's the top negotiator for Iran, took to social media, that's where he put this, and warned that if Iranian infrastructure is attacked, no infrastructure in the region will be safe. And he warned, and I put this in quotes because I have to keep it word for word, in a region where we do not sell oil, no one will sell oil, end of quote. Which means he's threatening a total disruption to the region. That's from the economic aspect. Then comes the infrastructure counterstrike. And this is why they are stating that Iranian— that is the media and so forth, which is on behalf of the government That's saying that, uh, uh, what Iran will do— Iran will strictly match US action. It's almost an eye for an eye. So if the US targets an Iranian bridge or power plant, Tehran will immediately destroy bridges, energy nodes, and infrastructure tied to US interests across neighboring Gulf states. And the last one has to do with the asymmetric nuclear threat. This is one once again issued by Khatam al-Anbiya headquarters, took the rhetoric step further. And this is why where they are threatening an eye for an eye, meaning if the US strike this nuclear or offsite or fortified locations, Iran will strike US domestic or regional nuclear facilities from undisclosed locations. That's only if— the big condition— if Iranian sites are targeted. And once again, I find myself asking the question: does Iran have something in its possession that we don't know of that could strike the homeland here in the US? And again, I don't rule that option out. I don't want to rule that out. So we know that Iran has the ICBM capabilities.

You know, this is the Sajjil, uh, uh, uh, missile.

So I don't know, I'm just thinking out loud here. So, and this is where you have now this standard of the called the nuclear, uh, brinksmanship. All this is happening against the backdrop of the ongoing open hostilities. We're still— Iran's still firing and the US still attacking certain locations in Iran. So because the Central Command, the US Central Command, recently completed its 11th consecutive night of airstrikes Of course they're going to state, we are aiming at degrading Iranian maritime and drone capabilities in the Strait of Hormuz. To no avail. Iran still standing right there. But in retaliation, the IRGC also deployed drones and missiles— wave missile waves— that, that targeted and successfully disabled, uh, early warning, uh, uh, and tactical radar systems around the US linked bases in Kuwait and regional. So Iran is not, is not holding back either. And this considered, the key drivers, the primary drivers behind Iran's warning are the combination of imminent military threat from the US and of course the strategic shift in Iran's nuclear posture. Makes you wonder once again You remember yesterday what I said to you, that there was conversation inside Iran about moving forward with the nuclear option? And that's again where Iran is issuing those imminent threat to fortified underground sites are off limits. So the intelligence leak, I, I, I know how this, the, the world of intelligence work. You know, you know, this kind of deceptions and so forth, uh, because if it were the case, the US would have said it earlier. So why would you want to wait till you have no other options? And interesting enough that the Israeli Mossad came with that information now, but not a month ago, two months ago. So, and even as I said earlier, even if Iran moves ahead with transferring thousands of advanced uranium enrichment centrifuges It's under its purview. Under the IAEA regulations for civilian use, they are allowed to enrich uranium. Those are sort of, uh, uh, uh, advanced types of enrichment. But now we have a different conversation.

The conversation inside Iran is that let's move this to 90%, which what you need for weapon-grade, uh, uh, uh, nuclear deterrence or bomb, whatever.

The Pentagon, on the other hand, is saying, well, if Iran is issuing this sort of warning to the US, this one signals it might act before the facilities become completely in a— sort of will not be feasible for conventional bunker-buster munition. Well, wait a minute. And then once again, this is where you see the flaw with the statement. They saying— the US saying this will signal that it might act, meaning Iran will act before the facility becomes completely impenetrable to conventional. What makes you think that it will, it will be, let's say, a week from now? That just doesn't make any sense. But the Pentagon wants to make a justification for this. But at the same time, we all know from previous the failure of previous strikes. Nothing was, was, was destroyed because those tanks are buried deep inside. You're not going to get to them. So we tried. And that's again where you have this, uh, uh, uh, uh, the, the, the way I'm seeing it moving forward is this regional deterrence, because we are redefining now this regional deterrence, to the point that some might even suggest the Samson option. You all know what that is. Because Iran is driving home the message that it will not absorb clinical isolated strike without burning down the regional status quo. That is the message Iran is sending loud and clear. And if Donald Trump doesn't get it, or Israel doesn't get it, or the Gulf states don't get it, makes you just wonder, are they like pretending, or are they living in a, in a, in a parallel world?

Because that's exactly Iran's message.

The strike, it will kind of burn down the status quo. Because it will expand the war zone. This is what Iran wants Washington to know. They want him to know that a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities will not be treated as a localized counter-proliferation operation. No, no, no, no. A declaration of a total regional war.

That's one thing they want Washington to understand.

And second, The message that Iran is sending to the region is that he will hold US allies in the region hostage, if I may use the term, or they will pay the price. And I can see why, because they are hosting US bases from where the US launches attacks on Iran. And by explicitly Naming US bases and regional allies like Gulf states— Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Oman, and now you have to add Jordan to the mix— Iran is trying to force neighboring countries to think twice before allowing US military, uh, deploy its assets from their territory or allow their countries or their airspace to be used. Because what do we have now? We have now Britain, the new, the new— that they got another, uh, another incompetent PM. His first order of business, he will allow the US to launch any attack on Iran from British soil when we all know how degrading the economy of the UK— UK is going down the toilet. Economically speaking. UK is becoming— from what I was told from people who've been on the ground, they're like, this is not England anymore. So, and that gives you an idea right there. Then we have the other element, and the other element is the economic leverage. This is very important. It's because the oil blockade not only in the Strait of Hormuz right here, but also in the Bab el-Mandeb, which, by the way, two Saudi, uh, uh, uh, cargo ships, uh, oil tankers rather, were hit. And I saw the footage. I think I have one for you to see towards the end. So, so we have the Strait of Hormuz closed and we have Bab el-Mandeb And that the economy— this is why now Donald Trump is issuing threats to Houthis. You know how stupid Donald Trump is? Didn't he issue the, uh, threats to the Houthis a year and a half ago, whatever that was the time? And what did he end up doing? He end up having to give orders to the aircraft carrier to move out, even though the Pentagon's press release, which I read at that time, saying Oh, the aircraft needed the maintenance. No, it was no maintenance. It was no maintenance on that. They were concerned that in case the Houthis might have acquired some types of anti-ship, something far advanced. Because remember the movement of the Harry Truman, I remember at that time, uh, from the Red Sea, because I, I, I remember this vividly. Came right after Houthi delegation returned from Moscow. Put the two and two together and figure. And that's exactly what I see, uh, why you have now this oil blockade. So that's why the Kalibaf, the, uh, the top negotiator for Iran, issued that statement. And the statement is, 'If we do not sell oil, no one will sell oil,' in quote. And that on itself, just that statement, his statements, sent now a panic mode in global energy markets. I mean, think about it, most of the oil comes from the region. So if Iran doesn't sell it, nobody else is selling it, that is. And when the US Central Command issuing those press releases, we have actively struck Iranian capabilities in the Strait of Hormuz, it's just a lie, a lie after lie. If you are, uh, really in control or in charge, we would have seen the ships crossing through the Strait of Hormuz? None of them is, because the Strait of Hormuz is under the control of the IRGC. Straightforward. And the thing is, for us American audience, American, uh, people, populace, repeat things to them 3 or 4 times, that's it, they'll buy it.

Why?

Because we are poor readers first, And second, we— not all of us possess that kind of critical thinking. And third, they just buy whatever the government says. Yeah, Iran understands what it's doing because Iran is leveraging its proximity to these vital shipping lanes. That's why it's issuing the warning for global supply chains will collapse if its domestic energy infrastructure is such. And with that, you shut down the Strait of Hormuz, okay, which is already shut, and you shut down Bab-el-Mandeb, which you're going to block the Saudis from both locations. And Saudis, if— I mean, imagine this, and to those who are familiar with Saudi Arabia, and again, I disclose some of this— if the Saudis do not sell oil for a year It will be another country. I'm telling you this based on facts. And that's again where the whole idea of understanding where this is headed. Let me play this clip for you here quickly to put in perspective for you what is this cost about, the, the energy cost or, or the, uh, the shutdown. Of the oil blockade, rather, what it will do to us. This is one of the things Donald Trump is so scared of because Democrats will win the midterm, the Democrats will move forward with his impeachment, and all of a sudden it become— it's already chaotic and corrupted and all that stuff.

Not like the Democrats are any better, but take a lesson, please.

American public is about to lose everything they have. People— sorry, 60% of the American public is about to lose everything they have. People living paycheck to paycheck are about to go broke. The GDP numbers came in yesterday, and of course the economy receded, which I predicted 2 months ago and people laughed. Mark my words, the second quarter is going to be far worse. Tariffs on Chinese products at 145% are about to kick in, which means everything you buy from China on Amazon or elsewhere is about to go through the roof. Grocery store shelves are starting to empty at Walmarts across the country, and of course, grocery prices continue to soar. People who've been financing groceries on credit are starting to default on those payments. We are about to see an economic catastrophe. If you're in this 60% that has little or no money, please stop spending money, protect your family. Trump does not care about you, even if you voted for him, He's a billionaire, he won't suffer, but you and your family will. Please protect yourself.

Yeah, he's right. And Trump is billionaire by credit, by the way. You know, all his billions are tied to debt. You know, all the wealth is tied to debt. Donald Trump is— no, all that stuff is, is just, uh, but anyway, it's just the idea of to understand where this economic downturn is headed towards. And this, we put it within the bigger picture. Why this move is considered so dangerous. The move, meaning the intelligence from the Mossad, once again, real or perceived or fabricated. Second is the statement by Donald Trump, he's going to target those. And the third one is that Iran is moving centrifuges elsewhere. So, and this is where you have to think, because this intelligence report Once again, I couldn't confirm its accuracy, and I'm gonna look into that, but I wanted to share it with you. I do know for a fact that the head of the Mossad was in Washington in the last 48 hours. That I know for a fact. But for the intelligence itself, I do not know. But suffice it to say, the info— the intel, rather— triggered now intense concern in Washington and Tel Aviv because both of them They are thinking in terms of the zone of immunity, which means what? This is what Iran has. The, the US and Israel gave it the term zone of immunity.

Why?

Because these locations are inside the, uh, under the mountains. It's about, uh, they buried about between 300 to 400 feet, approximately 100 meters down, deep beneath solid a granite bedrock. So, so the sides are very significantly deeper. It's even far deeper than, uh, uh, uh, Fordo, uh, nuclear power plant. And that makes it inpenetrable to airstrike, no matter what we use. I mean, even with GBU-57, it's not going to cut it. We can deploy all the— it's not going to cut it. Because we did before and it didn't work. So what makes Donald Trump think that this time it's going to work? This is, by the way, Fardo Nuclear Power Plant.

This is a NASA picture for that.

And this is where I see where things are sort of— it's just the hyperbole of the US because those are not signs of strength. What the US is embarking on and all that stuff is signs of weakness. Yeah, so, and this in itself, Iran already has a plan, and it's planned that if, uh, why Iran has completely banned the IAEA, the International Atomic Energy Agency, from entering Pixie Axe Mountains, it's because they know The IAEA is the back door, like I always tell you guys, is the back door for the US. And the US will share the info with Israel and vice versa. Because if it is the case, why the IAEA did not, uh, uh, access Dimona nuclear power plant in, in Israel? So it's only fair. So, and this is where that's concerned. The way I see it, that if Iran— if the US goes ahead with targeting, uh, the, uh, uh, uh, uh, PECAXI, uh, uh, locations. One of the scenarios I can think of is that Iran might end up targeting some other locations in the region that deals with nuclear power plants, and there are plenty there that we are supporting. As a matter of fact, the US just cut a deal with Saudi Arabia about nuclear power plants. And I know I'm aware of one, uh, I think it's in, uh, which country is it, Bahrain or United Arab Emirates? I think United Arab Emirates, there is one there. Yeah, because I remember when I used to travel, we were aware of certain locations because we had to share nuclear information. Uh, oh, Barakah, that's the name of it.

Barga, that's the name of it.

And the, uh, and, and, and why I made the argument that when the Saudis approached the US a few years ago, I even wrote an article. And you know what I wrote about it? I wrote, are you going to trust the Saudis with the nuclear technology? You know, nothing against the Saudis, but are you going to trust them with it? And this is exactly where I see the dilemma for, uh, uh, Donald Trump that he put himself now in this particular delicate political, geopolitical, uh, uh, position. If the truth matters to you, hit like, subscribe, and tap that bell. No spin, no agenda, just the stories they don't want you to know. Don't watch from the sideline, be part of the movement. Your support keeps the truth alive. Thank you. And indeed, this is when we think about, okay, what is the most likely scenario? Well, the first one is going to be the GPU using, even though it's not going to do anything, but it's for, uh, uh, uh, optics. That's the reason why you're going to be seeing this, uh, most likely. It's the optics of it.

No more, no less. Uh, uh, it's not going to achieve anything.

That, that's one. The second one, it will be about, uh, the scenario is not from the US, but rather from what Iran could do, you know. Because to me, I will not rule out Iran will go full force, full force on Kuwait, full force on Makes you wonder about the clip I shared with you earlier, why it's moving certain, uh, uh, uh, military hardware near the border.

I mean, let me put the map for you so you can see exactly what we're talking about here.

Uh, when you look at, uh, where, uh, uh, Iran is, yeah, and moving those kind of, uh, uh, uh, assets Makes you just wonder. That will be one. Then also about Bahrain, also United Arab Emirates, meaning all the infrastructure, the high visibility of infrastructure in these locations will be a legitimate target for Iran. That's the scenario that I see on part of Iran playing into this.

And of course, we'll add the two other locations, the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab-el-Mandeb. Which is already under the control of both.

So there is one other element that I believe Iran now has proved by blinding US radar systems, is the cyber sabotage. Yeah, what Iran could do that, because remember, Iran also has special ops, and as a matter of fact, I'm aware of their, uh, uh, Navy Special Ops, highly trained, highly trained. No, because no matter what you do when you're attacking targets deep in the mountains, your air campaign is going to be limited. No, it's going to be limited because the only way you're going to target that is from the sky, and that doesn't guarantee it.

So, so That's the only way.

For the US and Israel, they will try to sabotage the nuclear facility electronically or technically, if I may use the term. But at the same time, Iran proved that now that it has the capability, if it was able to shut down the—

or take down the air defense systems and the radars and so forth, they will be able to target and take out certain other locations where electronic, uh, cyber warfare takes place.

So, and that is one. The only thing that I wasn't sure of, and I'm gonna share it with you, but I have to confirm it. I just want you to know, just came to my attention. And why am I mentioning this? Because that's also one of the scenarios the US and Israel could do, the deployment of covert operations by both the Israeli intelligence and the US.

US will be in this case not the military but rather the paramilitary within the agency. So which—

this assets will be deployed near the site to physically sabotage the construction. However, what I just found out yesterday, and again, till I confirm, I want just to share this with you, is that Iranians are holding an entire platoon of special ops from the Israelis that try to land in one of the areas near Bandar Abbas.

I saw the image, but I have to reach out to my people to confirm, so that's why I don't—

so I'm, I'm holding off on that. So The only one thing that I can tell you so far is that a full-scale invasion of Iran, in my assessments, remain unlikely.

Unlikely.

Because if the US wants to do this, you know how many they have to deploy? Can you guess what the number is? Let me see in the, in the chat box if you can type in how many troops the US needs to do a successful invasion of Iran, if even it gets to that.

It won't.

I just want you to, uh, put your, your thoughts here.

Just give me a number and I'm gonna see what some of you will, will, uh, will put down.

Because the numbers, uh, 50K, uh, Mari, you see, 1 to 3. Actually, I'll go with your, uh, your, uh, your, your argument, Mari. You need about a million boots on ground to get— 3 million, that, that's also a possibility. So, so the 50, 50 is not going to cut it because Iran, just for the 50, they have put 179,000 just for that. Remember Iran has a large number of troops. So David Oualaalou, you say 2 million. Yeah, you need a large number. And the reason I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm saying this is to highlight to you the complexity. That's why I think it's unlikely the US will go, will go that route, let alone the massive cost to it and the deployment restrictions.

You know why?

Because any country in the region that will allow the US. The US will have to launch from somewhere. So any country, especially those in the Gulf, are now— will become a target. They're already a target, but if they even host more US troops, they become legitimate. And Iran doesn't hold back. It's going to just fire and, and, and target every, every location within its reach. That is the way I see it. Uh, uh, and for those who say, well, all the US wants to do on Israel was to contain and seal the operation, uh, no, you're not going to succeed. It's too late for that. Too late for that. And this is why I think Iran now is moving forward with the idea of enriching up to 90%, because more voices inside are saying enough is enough. So that's why I, I believe, uh, and I'm gonna do a live stream for you next week, uh, regarding this particular scenario of what if. And because it's something that even though it's unlikely, I'm not ruling, uh, the idea of at least for you to have information handy just in case something like that, pardon me, materialized. So And this is why when you think about the Iranian military, they, they have affirmed now that the Khatam al-Ambiya headquarters, you know, any statements usually come from there. They have affirmed their, their, their military forces readiness for any, any scenario. So because to them, should the military confrontation escalate to a ground war the likelihood of attacking forces suffering, it's going to be very heavy on, on, on, uh, on, on the US. And of course it will be on the Iranian as well, but you have to think about the US and familiarity of the American personnel with the region's geography and complex terrain. I, I remember back in the day when I Uh, I went to the, uh, northern Iraq and I could see the borders, I could see the mountains. It's a rugged terrain.

Iran on the other side, it's, it's a rugged terrain. There is no way, there is no way.

And let alone what Iran will do with its own missiles and so forth.

So, so that's the way, the way I see it.

So, all right, let me share my conclusion with you, then, uh, I'm gonna share a few clips and sign off with this one here. So, so far, you think about this standoff over The, the Pigs' Axis Mountain—

let me put the map right there—

uh, has pushed now the US and Iran to the absolute brink of an all-out war. And the war so far now is limited to infrastructure, but with Trump threatening imminent bunker buster strikes, Tehran is vowing to set the region energy grids ablaze. You know, they're not gonna, they're not gonna hold back. Because what makes Donald Trump think that he can just bully anybody? Because now a single miscalculation, literally, I know we said this before, a single miscalculation will reshape not only the region, but we're talking about global security overnight. If military strikes begin This is the question for you: if military strikes begin, do you believe the US can successfully neutralize Iran's nuclear program, or will this trigger an uncontrollable regional war? So I will greatly appreciate if you can share your thoughts. And by the way, the Chinese just issued a major statement.

I'm gonna save that for you for next time.

So Uh, let's, uh, let's do the first clip here. All right, let me share this one here, and, uh, I'm gonna tell you this one about, uh, pardon me, uh, this is about Iran warning all Israelis.

Israel that the country is now in a partial lockdown. Breaking news, the BBC is reporting from Israel that the country is now in a partial lockdown with empty streets due to fear of Iranian attacks, closed shops, and the situation is becoming unbearable for the people. Iran just mass texted Israeli citizens this morning, the last US radar systems in the region have been destroyed. Your government leaders are lying to you. Leave the country. Missiles are on the way. No shelter can provide safety. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard. And Israel's thinking now that Iran has warned them, any deaths are not their responsibility. IRGC General Massoud Ahmadi told Iranian news, and I quote, because we destroyed their radars, Trump and Netanyahu are trapped in a slaughterhouse now in the Persian Gulf. And I believe them. Sirens have not been going off in Israel. The Iron Dome is no longer working and and residents are not getting any bomb warnings. Yesterday, Iran warned they would no longer use small missiles. All missiles launched toward Israel will now carry a minimum of 110 warheads, and they are not lying. More than 10 missiles landed in the heart of Tel Aviv last night, destroying the Ha'ula satellite communication center south of Tel Aviv. A couple more hit targets in the north and center of the occupied territories. 3 strategic missile drones struck American bases in the region and northern Now there is one thing that I know for a fact just happened, uh, within Israel.

157,000 people left.

Yeah, they left. They were Israelis. They just packed and left.

157, according to the source that I read. What, what is about Now this one I'm going to share with you about what I said last time. I will provide you the proof. Uh, when the, uh, when the, uh, Houthis targeted the Saudi oil tankers, of course the media said no, there's none of that here, but it's not true.

Take a listen, please.

Oil tanker. This is one of two oil tankers currently on fire in the Strait of Hormuz struck by Iran. And President Trump just said this shortly.

I'm sorry, this one about the Strait of Hormuz, not Babel Mandeb.

You talk to the CEOs of various oil companies encouraging them to use the Strait of Hormuz. I think they should. I think they should. I think they should use— Look, we took out just about all of their mineships in one night. We're up to boat number 60. I didn't realize they had that big a navy. I would say it was big and ineffective.

This fucking idiot just admitted on TV that he didn't realize how big the navy was of the country he was attacking, meaning he went into this attack not knowing the capabilities of his adversary. This is incompetence. He claims they've taken out most of it now and that it was very big and ineffective, yet they are still blowing up ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Trump is just in way over his head and there is zero confidence he is able to handle this and get us out of this situation without it being a complete and total disaster. Let me know what you think.

Yeah, he's, he's right. I mean, Trump has no clue.

He is clueless, clueless about all this.

Uh, this one here is about, uh, nuclear deterrence.

I want you to—

and this one is from Tucker Carlson.

And, and once again, because of the content, the importance of it, I want you to be aware of it. Take a listen, please.

Now, no choice. Iranian state media—

oh, sorry—

says it has now no choice but to obtain the atomic bomb to remove the military option for the occupation and partitioning of Iran from the table, arguing Iran must absolutely reach nuclear deterrence before current negotiations can be conducted from a correct position. Per Fars, Iran adds the acquisition is not only driven by negotiation leverage but also by Trump's two recent nuclear threats against Iran, including his April warning that a whole civilization will die tonight and his May threat of one big glow coming out of Iran. Officials argue Tehran must absolutely reach nuclear deterrence before engaging in current negotiations from a position of strength, signaling a potential shift in long-held policy. This bombshell comes against the backdrop of intense US-Iran negotiations, recent military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, and heightened regional volatility. Iran has long maintained its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes, with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei previously issuing a fatwa against nuclear weapons. However, hardliners appear to be gaining ground, viewing acquisition of a bomb as a survival imperative after reported damage to sites like Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan in prior US and Israeli operations. Tehran's move raises the stakes dramatically. Will this force a breakthrough in talks or trigger preemptive action? As one of the most heavily sanctioned and isolated regimes faces pressure, the path to the bomb or a credible deterrent may now be framed as non-negotiable by hardliners.

Yeah, it's, it's— and that's why I've been telling you guys, I, I get from different sources, there is a conversation inside Iran right now about this particular aspect. And with this, I will share the next one pertaining to what China said pertaining to this. Take, take, uh, I'm only going to show you the screen because it's in English already, but it has a soundtrack, uh, and I usually don't play soundtracks here because of YouTube policy.

So yeah, right there, this is what the Chinese statements. Yeah, and that's from, from China.

Makes you just wonder, uh, uh, you know what, that's one of the things I last night I was just thinking about.

What if what, what could happen next? What could happen next?

Speaking of the Chinese, I found this very, very interesting, very interesting, once again from Tucker Carlson, pertaining to the Chinese right close to us here in the southern border, close to where I am anyway.

So take a, take a listen, please.

Full military alliance with China. Mexico has just signed a full military alliance with China. Thousands of Chinese troops, warships, and advanced missile systems are now massing along the US-Mexico border in a move that threatens American sovereignty. In a shocking late-night announcement, Mexican officials confirmed the Pact for Economic and Security Cooperation, but US intelligence reports reveal Chinese military bases being rapidly established in Mexican ports and near the Rio Grande. Heavy armored vehicles and aircraft have been spotted moving toward Texas, Arizona, and California. The Pentagon has immediately raised alert levels across all southern states, rushing National Guard units to reinforce forced the border as panic buying sweeps border cities and stock markets tumble nationwide. The White House has convened an emergency national security meeting amid fears of a two-front crisis. This development comes as tensions with China remain high in the Pacific, raising questions about America's vulnerability on its own doorstep. Is this the beginning of a major shift in global power that could reshape the Western Hemisphere?

Spot on, a good point. And now you see how the Pentagon for, for us Americans, we now know what— we know, we now know how it feels when we go and put our bases near other countries. So look, they're just right down from where I am.

I'm talking few hours from, from where I am.

So, uh, very, very—

I found it very interesting.

Uh, this one here is about two of the subservient states, uh, Egypt and Jordan. Uh, take a listen to what Donald Trump said about them.

Now saying that if Egypt and Jordan continue to refuse to take in the refugees from Gaza that he plans to boot out of there, he is going to strip them of American aid. Here's something people probably intuitively understand, but if not, I just wanted to underline it for people. We do not give Egypt Egypt and Jordan aid because we are a charitable country. We give them aid to prop up what are their military dictatorships and to pay them not to attack Israel. If we withdraw our aid, our military support for Egypt and Jordan, and we force them each to take on another 800,000 or 900,000 Palestinians, both of those countries will collapse, and whatever is constituted in their place will abrogate whatever deals they have with Israel. So Israel should probably be careful.

Donald Trump, he's right, he's right. Those two countries will collapse because it's the US aid for the last 30-plus years that been sustaining them, especially for Egypt with the Camp David accord. That's why Anwar Sadat was, was taken out. Uh, it wasn't about the security, it was, it wasn't about aiding Egypt, it was about a payoff for Egypt not to attack Israel.

The same thing with Jordan. So I, I do find it very, very interesting.

And the last one I want to share with you is about the Kurds, which what Iran did, interesting enough, that Oh, I got the wrong one here.

Let me—

I picked up the wrong, uh, the wrong link.

No, it's not here.

So Kurds, let me see this one here.

No, it's not here.

So anyway, I lost it. I lost the, uh, the one about the Kurds. Anyway, I'll, I'll do it for you guys next time, uh, uh, when I do live stream.

So I will be working on the two other stories for you.

Regarding the scenarios of what, what if. And the other topic I'm going to be working on, which I have to make some calls and confirm certain info, has to do with the Philippines and China, the tensions that is now once again the South China Sea. So I will be doing this for you. Uh, I want just to, uh, say thank you to those in the channel here that been, uh, uh, sort of thank you all for for your, uh, civil discourse in the conversation here. But I also want to highlight quickly, uh, an update regarding the fundraising for the upcoming trip to Asia. This is where we are, uh, so far. And the, uh, uh, once again, the thanks goes to all those who have donated in support of this, especially to Doug and the anonymous donors. They put in a substantial donation in support of this particular trip. So I'm gonna— upcoming trip, rather. I'm gonna put the link for you here if you decide to support this upcoming trip to Asia. Once again, I want you to know it's to report to you. That's the reason why, why I am planning on doing this. It's almost— I've been doing it every, almost every year.

It's the community that funds this.

I don't take, uh, sort of, uh, uh, financial support for this from corporations or what have you. No, I don't. It's from you, the community. So if you decide to and you want to support it, here is the link for it. I will greatly, uh, appreciate that one. Also, for those who wants to support the channel, here is the link for it. I will greatly appreciate, uh, your continued support because without you there will be no channel, uh, straightforward.

So I'm gonna be working on— I might see you tomorrow.

I might do a livestream tomorrow if you not, I will see you on— but most likely I will do a live stream for you tomorrow.

I hope you guys enjoyed this. Please, please hit the like button and share this video with others.

I would greatly appreciate it. As always, remember, geopolitics impact your daily life in more ways than one. Till next time, bye-bye.