Sam Altman says AI has surprised everyone by hitting creative jobs first, not blue-collar work as predicted. It turns out the skills we thought were hardest for AI to learn came easiest.
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Yeah, it probably is. Just like, you know, we look at 100 years, okay, it can do the whole creative job. I think it's interesting that if you asked people 10 years ago about how AI was going to have an impact with a lot of confidence from almost most people, you would have heard, you know, first it's going to come for the blue collar jobs working in the factories, truck drivers, whatever. Then it will come for the kind of like the low skill white collar jobs, then the very high skill, like really high IQ white collar jobs like a programmer or whatever. And then very last of all, and maybe never, it's going to take the creative jobs and it's really gone exactly and is going exactly the other direction. And I think this, there's an interesting reminder in here generally about how hard predictions are, but more specifically about we're not always very aware, maybe even ourselves, of what skills are hard and easy, like what uses most of our brain and what doesn't, or how difficult bodies are to control or make or whatever.