Bitcoin Live with the Power Law & Minotaur Team, #20 8/21/2025

Hi everybody. This is Gwani show here from the Minotaur Trim system team. And like always we cover the latest price movements of Bitcoin traditionalize with different tools including publicators and all of them. And really we end with discussing with mandator team. Okay, so let's dive in and let's start with some going to share my screen. For a long time. Basically show the deviation that is basically. Some kind of curve. Basically the right proportion of time itself. So it looks like curve. I think this. Now if we take off where we take a log of the price. What you see is this. So basically anything that is basically power something. Illusion that in a logging chart log here. It's hard to understand this. It doesn't mean that we have a ceiling. Because people are confused about this. And I'll see if depend on power. In our case it's going to be much thicker. Exponential. And exponential will mean exponential. It look also like a curve. But we'll be able to sing from something like your eyes maybe to it the way to know. If you take a log then exponential. And if I take the log of both the X axis the Y axis. And it's really complicated because by using all this technology is a good. Enough to kind of close the peak. To draw a curve that kind of predicts the peak. That is what started the market in November when was supposed to start exactly here. Sorry. And then correct it. And we actually went down first time. Then we correct that to go back to the parallel. And every time there's a time to leave. This is the story for these. Sex a lot of people. And also doing and mobilize identify thought. And this is what tools.

Equal to.

Things like maybe and options. You know, like put options ET and kind of try to gain from that. And since we love that every task is done now. You know, we still have to space things even in the short time. So it's not really impossible to have a two pair in whoever is. We have 64 months to try to go there. I say a million times. Based on the observed decay that I've seen in the past. We have less and less time. Now you can see behavior is interesting because it shows the deviation from parallel. And there are no lines. So usually if I show you deviations I do that as a function where I can show deviation. So for example, if show you the deviation relatively depend letting the sound first the first few very few kicks. This is the first one second. Not how huge is go to peak. Times five times second week. Talk about 180% so almost two times the deviation from this one way of showing deviations. And right now we kind of because in one game the second K is organized. When people talk about lines. And then draw it as format and if I change log we also change the shape in case. But if use the first. Top spot we expecting here because we expecting basically if this line go about 70%, 77%, 8%, 80%, 78% so look like it's all behaving like in past. And the one that I've shown you before basically what happens. Calculated K where I just show you and then I count. So basically normalization. So the result that now everything looks exactly the same actually instead of precise in terms of percentage it create index right between 0 and 0 zoom reach bottom and 100 reach top you know 200 that is expected peak again if that is the case. And when we are of that N because B is different I. And and then we peaked we went down the peak usually. So he was just doing that. We're not doing that. We had pressure brought us back down. Had really touch his line. When we went up again he.

All right, let's see what's going on in the world liquidity. Let me share my screen here. A lot of chatter on social media right now. People are really, really getting scared a little bit. And that is the nature of the game game is to shake you shake your boots, right? So here's what's going on now in world liquidity it really matters or it feels the market. The market can't move out quickly. So just looking at the features perpetual zombie on Bitcoin where the bubbles are formed and where the pop burst so we get good indication on the progression of price and derivatives. So having said that, no matter what's going on, I mean it's just going crazy on social media too. All saying okay, it's over. It's not looking good. Emergency data. I see so many videos that say hey, it's emergency, right? Okay, so what's really going on? When in doubt, zoom out. Right? Let's take step back, take deep breath. Everything is cool. We're going to do this real cool. So what's going on in market currently is the same thing we have. This is a short pool here. Massive amounts of charts have been building up since the last and December 24. So we've been building some massive amount of liquidity on both sides. And the marketing people that can the markets have been harvesting that quickly. Impulse there's another big right there and we have small one Here. So this is as usual, there's nothing changed. Nothing has changed. It just takes time to play out. And here's another confidence. We look at the opposing side. These are longs long stop being harvested April 7th or early April. So that hasn't changed. Longs are being positioned for the return at some point. May actually find a bull push later. This is the return liquidity. It's a very simple business model to make harder. That is you need to. This is buyer buy side. These people here, these shorts long for sell at low prices. So this is your fair market price here. This is fair value. Anything that you can buy below has down here. The market makers took all the inventory the wholesale inventory below fair market. You know, below fair market. They bought this inventory and then they started to return the inventory. To have a massive amount of locked in sellers buyers would go to buy high. All these people have already committed say look, I am going to buy high. The high price ranges above fair value. So very small business model. Business market makers buy low at wholesale prices and they sell to retail prices higher. So just what happened? They were waiting here. They keep inventory and starting to. They started dispersing, displacing or that inventory here on the 9th, they started that inventory. And we have changed. So I don't want to give that background. So we can just be cool about everything. Now let's zoom in a little bit closer. Now start zooming in a little bit. So from a simple business model of five. This is internal liquidity. And so is on here, right? We're gonna take a look at that. If you think about it, we have major concentration of liquidity right here. For a market maker institution. So they just want to move into that inventory until they have all setting in regard to bounce out. That's why a market interests that gives them opportunity to pick up the opposite size Hotel sellers here same below fair value. And they're able to disperse that inventory here. So distribution. Right. So something like that. It's very simple. So we have another installation zone where the market collectively check the market and create. So they can establish the temporary or local fair value. And at the same time liquidity. There's some liquidity there. We look at it right here. We'll just zoom in on higher conservation and can see it being built in. So building that internal liquidity while they ask the book. Because there's a tremendous amount of offsetting liquidity buyers up here you have more buyers than you have inventor. What do you do? Prepare and get more inventory to offset to balance buyers you want to distribute this inventory into those buyers. So let's put it back. We can see that again. So right here I'm adding a little bit again we can see there is a mess out. And that is why markets keep going. These are why they get checked up right there. There's a tremendous amount all said by demand there. And you if you are closed open positions that you don't have offset for and you would be short opening short. You would have a problem short positions. So obviously you have to send up more down here. This move up was very manipulated. With 500 and then another coming back. All the liquidity that we stuck into that move. Okay. So liquidity that's formed here. On that move we have l come back down. You can see it come in there somewhere up here. So again you got to get on both sides. So let's keep our hats on. Nothing structurally change that we haven't lost these levels right here we have Jeff liquidity seal sitting here on top. We might mitigate that. That's fine. Won't have any major problem down here. See a hatchet there. So anything we might mitigate this down to we hit 110 buying big deal and we'll start coming back. There's one other development to look at here. Real simple, not hard. Okay. It's easy to complicate. It's hard to simple. All right. We look here. This is very promising. We have a nice pool of short development here at 155. It's in to grow. We're a little bit more. We put on another thousand points actually. Good. Some of the wonders sit there. But that's just the last fall that's continued to grow. But we have a problem here. Houston. We have a major gap here. That bias needs to fill before we can get there.

Right.

So Q hygiene is the algorithm. Algorithmic programs are. That's part of the reason why you have this type of section here. We're doing that. We're building that now the bridge big built. Let's shift to back out to. It doesn't matter. This is 3x5. So just until 3 first. As you can see it's being bridged in right now. That's connectivity that we need to start to make the move up. Can't get there without the being built. So I already watching that. I already know that. So let's let 5x see the same type of non. Yes on 5x. The same thing being closed in. So the 3 to 5 is actually closing gap. So 5x is here. 3x is there. So I want to get this gap closed in. Then we have the bridge that we need to keep going higher. It's not going to happen until we get there. This is all natural part of the process that goes on. Liquidity creation through price action. Liquidity harvesting through price action. You have to have both. One last thing on the turnover. So one thing is until the stops they are harvesting shorts hasn't changed. We have to stop right here because we have to B it out. This game hasn't been completed short like you probably say. What about last time you get down here? Well the bull market we only harvest 5x so we took it 9% so we do that when we go above market we definitely on the short side take it all. We don't take the reaction shorts. Let me show that bring to my computer. Let me refresh the page so I can show you that. Okay so here's the previous example have Rex on here. And we take all the 3x market take all the Rex too. So we get work too. So until that changes until the market fips I'm sleeping. You guys can watch YouTube or do whatever it's due to night. You know we still. I still have everything I need to a good night. That's it right now. Tomorrow's another day.

Okay later. So what about.

One Because I think the question but this I think it's just a good when you're running a and this the market really happy because we got married and we'll encourage took you through. So just give you bas understand that we completely dance without having to be stressed at all but without if there's really any point able to reset.

So.

Safe this is so we literally crashed 42k in a straight line and the system will still be working completely right. If there is a tiny we never take anything as certain investing models we produce we always assume I think can broken this technically could price all the way down to zero. That's why right now these kind of corrections we actually really enjoy because it allows us to fill our bags and trade and you know we deal up to 10 day. So yeah it's. I actually think this is really good one we can discuss when comes to capital rotation personally I think that but I think for most people they're going to be swing so badly that they will use the opportunity to rotate the capital and then a lot of money made. So actually really this really like as you can see here and yeah let's call it three to five months.

That defends this local linear easily and we want to move a little bit but yellow one.

Yeah. So. Yes the violet blues we buy.

You don't have to sell and buy coin. This. We have this discussion on. You can use you to get these gains.

From you. It's not too much. So what we're doing here we're initiating a law on that significantly and they're actually doing it proportionally increasing.

We actually trying to reach you know we trying to reach an average.

However you want to create it.

You see here.

What position size position and how do you have an engineer a strategy that can detail you. The consulting side of this is where a lot of times people you know a body's like. It's not really the right word because the idea of a boss is like I'm gonna keep something. You just hide it in and run. There's so much that goes into the actual engineering of the strategy. How much habit would play that's mathematic has to be so sound distribution of capital has a lot of the work we put into clients one month is actually work together with them in order to engineer strategy based on their capital. How much that's deploy whether you can get along with this system and work with everyone one as well.

Yes.

It's full five minute demo. We'll show you the live trading accounts. We'll show you exactly how and really it's good for people as well. So it's free demo consultation balls. Yeah.

Because. Is shows what if you had consistent gain. Of these rules. So this is another way of doing that. Now spend a lot of time. Calculate how many you want of how big we are going to be sold. Increase the amount where you are the bomb and. When it seems that. We have based exactly. Based on knowing. So it's something powerful that we create.

You know the gap between the two cliffs. And it's invisible down the bottom. Well imagine trading. You have vision by looking all the way the ground scare. You know where to go power cross it. Right. So allows us to extract significant profits because we're able to draw a line and say okay this is the range that we're going to be flying. Right. And anyone who doesn't have that know that they did. Yeah. Walking that line again. Don't treat it at a certain not 100% so use first point defense.

It's still very good.

Right.

You want to take down questions here and we can. Okay.

Okay.

Thank you.

All right. Can you talk a little bit about the effectiveness of the short time Frame I have 10 frame one about your experiences and thank you. Thank you welcome aboard I mean welcome to the world come in market welcome aboard. Yeah it's very effective on the 15 minutes if you want to get there typically don't go past 15 to 5 minutes because the satellite very well results.

Yeah 5 minutes go the more trade you have because the less actually entering faster the longer time frame 15 minute 1 hour significant so the 50 minute fund is good balance in terms of activity and positioning the trading does drop down business the last one minute where there are some occasions around one minute it's somewhat too far the decisions too quickly explains if I only drink it could quite well as well because.

You.

Will find.

Okay so to show us how as peak to have faster and faster oscillations right so is not over and there's always a little circuit anyway so basically it's not exact with what MAR is telling us and reach an all time maximum so. Different views of. People. Macus talks language of community. And then these few m.

Well, that is not exactly what's happening because you have to understand where the guy on at the galore so the art is very very shrewd as master so what's happening there. Now I can tell. Liquidity so it's taking them out profit that's why we are going to more than likely the probabilities nothing's 100% certain but the probability is all set we're going to finish at short side pool before not like you're saying now it's not going to allow to make yes.

Okay yeah look modest many were based on what happening. Well I'm expecting the same happening that is a default. But 10, 15 days later it usually happens maybe this lower warning is messing up with that right. So we need to introduce new information now remember our main model is PO Law PO is a foundation and that is our casually became stronger because usually challenge is during these markets and is not yet su I know maybe last.

Month.

Maybe coin be you know when was like $1 to December. It would be again an exception because we never after end of year. If they reverse now and updated the photo. Simply because I still trusted some kind of peak but instead of probably I need to know where to start the best thing can do is to draw the indentation. Basically coin on whatever other look to do three times better. I don't know maybe because the office. Institution overall things where people so SC Beh stay the same. Why cycle is effect that is the best definition I can give I don't know what else you guys are thinking about something do you have any Idea man. And also. Okay, so we're saying this is a things changes when you're dealing with trillions of dollars of dollars. And now we each cutting up market cap levels of injection in terms of money are completely different from before. So that could be. But also maybe one more reason. Many previous markets were given by strong interest from individuals from.

Term.

And I think that is psychologically many people that understand coin and there is. Tough for. Some things that I'm SC for example Google searches. And they have relationship between Google searches. But I will not worry. I will not worry. I believe we have this crazy. You know we have some smash.

Russian.

I use all currencies. We plot the oil. We use always. Because basically things of hundreds of house. And it doesn't matter about actually show the power is real. Of course you're not going to see something regular. Works management. Thank you, marcus. Okay.

You'Re using charts extremely similar.

Yeah, it's much.

Preference. Yeah.

Multipliers and they can all customize.

This one is a common question. It's asked the way we choose is program to not top of market. As long as you can vote to keep the absolute tops. The algorithm is a very good position to as fast earlier in his presentation. It can walk yourself down Even in bear market. When market flips and I can show you something with hoodie and we come down there will be rallies that are based on condition and price action. As you come down the algorithm to you to buy and sell on those relish. So everything we do that and the algorithm can basically walk down to.

Four months. Plenty of time. You can see the liquidity that we've been study for the last few months on show. We've been getting one 40 or 60 almost in my opinion a very, very high stre that can happen. So what cycle might happen Seems like a pretty good. We might have hit the highs of nature. If we did from 16k to 141 60.

Cups. To the 70s and we are not done it. We have dummies once it starts. Faster. In the beginning. Remember the first few exclude the first cycle. That was before the album. Include the first cycle after the first album. Standing.