A recorded interview where host Juha introduces Giovanni Santostasi, a PhD astrophysicist, who explains a power-law model he applies to Bitcoin to predict its long-term price trajectory. Giovanni frames his approach as physics-based scaling behavior, provides a closed-form formula involving the coin's age (example using 16 years / 5990 days), cites an exponent (~5.82–5.83) and uses the formula to compute a present-day price prediction (~$105,292). The video links these ideas to algorithmic trading applications at Minotaural Trading Systems.
Questions this video answers
January 3, 2009
5,990 days
16 years
Approximately 5.82–5.83
$105,292
Chapters
Today's not about trading, it's about using powerful physics based insights to understand Bitcoin's next move before it happens. Welcome Giovanni Santostasi. If you don't know who Giovanni is, he's a PhD astrophysicist whose power law theory unlocks Bitcoin's hidden scaling behavior and reveals the physics driving its long term trajectory. At minotaural trading systems, we've actually figured out a way to harness Giovanni's theories to inform our very own algorithmic trading system. One what that does for us is it gives every decision, precision and clarity and it enables us to actually generate income from the price, action and movement of Bitcoin. Daily, weekly, monthly, enables that income generation without stress, without guesswork and without waiting years for returns. So let's dive in and make the most of today's event. So welcome Juha.
First of all, I like this picture because basically this is what I'm trying to do, right? I'm trying to be like the Galileo bitcoin. And it's actually another day, a bit of a joke, but I'm asking everybody say, you know, Galileo was famous to tell people, look, if you don't believe in the things I've said, like for example, Venus as phases, right? So it means that he goes around, the sun has to live. Adele, he would say, come and look at my telescope, right? Many people didn't want even to look at his telescope because they thought, you know, it's kind of magic or something like that. And the few people that did, they would say, actually that telescope was made by the devil, you know, to deceive us, right? Is that really true? And so many people react to the power law like that because you think maybe it's coincidence or whatever, right? But it's not coincidence, it's all math. 10, 12 years ago, you could make 10 pair in a year. Anybody knows what is the rate of growth of Bitcoin? What is a annual percentage that you get by holding Bitcoin in average of a nun 42%. In fact, we can calculate it. I give you a formula. If you want to write it down, if you want to use it, anybody wants to try, but let's do it to dig together as an exercise. And the formula is like this. You open parenthesis, another parenthesis and then you write down the age of the coin. Right now it's 16 years old, right? So you can do it in days, we can do it in years. So let's use these appears it's 16 years, right? 16 years. When you add one. So 16 plus one. So it's 17, right? And that you divide it by 16 is our formal cost. And then you close the parenthesis and use that. But you need to use a scientific calculator. So with little carrot sign and you do 5.82. And what do you get? Anybody? 1.42. You should get. This is what you should get. 1.42. What that means that basically that is a growth 1.42 times. It is 42%. Right. Right. Now Bitcoin is 42%. Let's move on. Can you find out how many days today for from January 3, 2009 we can test this formula. Let's see how what this formula tell us the price of the coin is today? 5,990 days. Let's use this. Basically, the formula says like this is how our law looks like. It's basically any relationship where you have Y with some constant, then X, whatever it is. In our case, this is price. And this time to the power of N And N is 5.83. Okay. And A is that very small number. So 10 simply means 0. 16 zeros 1. Why? Well, let's test the formula first for day one, right? Let's go back here. I put one because that was. We are calculating the price at day one, right? Let's calculate it now and put at 5,990 days. So after almost 6,000 days, we get which price? Anybody stand up first? That's $105,292.
105.9.
So it's crazy, right? It's crazy. And this formula has been working for years and years and years.
