Power law predicts Bitcoin’s price with math precision.

5 Sept 2025 · 1 min

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A short monologue (YouTube) arguing that traditional hedge funds offer limited edge versus simply buying Bitcoin. The speaker emphasizes dollar-cost averaging and algorithmic execution: by averaging down as price falls and letting an algorithm 'reset' at lower concurrent prices, investors can avoid being correlated with spot buys and don't need price to return to original buy levels to break even. The piece contrasts fund fees/complexity with straightforward DCA into Bitcoin.

Chapters

Traditional hedge funds. You know, I'm not saying they're bad, but they push you into investing a lot of money. And at the end of the day, where is the real edge? If when bitcoin falls by 10%, the hedge fund falls by 10%, I mean, you're better off buying bitcoin and holding it in a cold wallet. It literally doesn't make sense. So the point here is not that. Look at us. We're better than all the funds on earth. The point here is, look at what bitcoin's price does, and the real value comes into understanding how to dollar cost average into its position. Now, as bitcoin price falls, when we cost average down, we can make our first buy at 100, we can make our last buy at 70, and we can exit the market at 72. Now, the value in this is 1. We're no longer correlated with the buy and the spot hold. What this means is we've separated ourselves, and not only are we not correlated, the algorithm has completely reset at the new concurrent price. We don't need to wait for price to return back to where we made our original buy to break even.