Recent Bearish Correction

14 Sept 2025 · 1 min

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0:48

Kosta Ouzas looks at how far the market has strayed from its trend. Historical deviations ran 5 to 10 times normal, but recent moves suggest something different. Bull runs averaged 0.45% daily returns, yet current behavior would need 2 to 3% daily to match.

Questions this video answers

Five times (speaker: 'we went five times above the power law').

About 0.45% (per day, as stated in the transcript).

About 80% ('including a possible decay, we are talking about 80%').

2% per day and 3% per day (mentioned as examples).

Chapters

In the past we had like a 5 pair deviations from the trend or even 10 pair deviations from the trend. And this time doing, you know, including a possible decay, we are talking about 80%. But it seems that we don't even are not even able to do that. Right. And last time, like I say, where we went five times above the power law. The average return during this period, you know, let's say from when the bull run started to the second peak, was about 0.45%. And so it's going to be required a behavior that is even faster than what we had last cycle. That is 0.6. So it's not completely out of the question. If we were talking about 2% a day, 3% a day. Yes, it will be.