Episode 622 Scott Adams: CNN Totally Owns Tucker Carlson, Fixing Iran and Urban Blight

Scott Adams delivers a livestreamed monologue criticizing mainstream media coverage (especially CNN) of Tucker Carlson and the framing of "white supremacy," arguing the scale of extremist murders is small, often misrepresented, and that mass shooters more closely resemble suicide-driven actors. He challenges others to produce a verifiable "white supremacist" to deprogram, praises a Danny Trejo quote about helping others, proposes experimenting with placing highly educated individuals into blighted urban areas (citing Bill Pulte/Pontiac) as a potential fix, and offers a thought experiment about engaging Iran by asking what it would gain from hostility.
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Hey, everybody, come on in here. I just noticed you. Well, there are plenty of seats in the front, so come on in. Martin, good to see you. Drew, Vicki, always a pleasure. I think I know why you're here. Probably has something to do with the simultaneous sip. The best part of your day. The dopamine hit that makes everything better. Probably grab your cup, your mug, or your glass. Hurry, hurry. There's still time. Is it a tankard, A chalice? A tankard, a chalice. Some other word I keep forgetting. A vessel of any kind. How about a thermos flask? Fill it with your favorite liquid and join me now for this simultaneous sip. You might wonder why the sound was so bad. It could be because I was sitting on my microphone. That's possible. So hold on. Let's do the simultaneous sip correctly. You ready? Here it comes. So good. So, just before I went live, I noticed on Twitter, I think this is true, but I would wait for a little more verification. It looks like MSNBC retweeted some Twitter user from Media Matters and added a blue check mark next to the tweet with Photoshop. So, in other words, as someone who is not a blue check mark on Twitter and MSNP Photoshopped them a blue check to make their comment look more important. Now, if that's true, that's pretty fake news. I mean, that's sort of a smoking gun. But let's wait and see if that's true first. All right, my favorite story of the day. Well, I've got a few favorite stories. Did you see that? We put life on the moon. Apparently, recently. We, meaning people who have spaceships, put these little things called tar dives. Have you ever seen these? These are microscopic. We put some of these that were dehydrated and flown to the moon so that we may have actually. Well, we did actually. We put life on the moon. But what kind of life did we pick? We picked the only creature in the world whose mouth and face and ass look exactly the same. This is a creature so dumb that when it eats, the only way it can tell if it's shoving food in its mouth or its ass is by looking at which way its toenails are pointing. That's it. Otherwise, its mouth and its ass are the same. And so I said to myself, huh? I did not know that nature had a creature that can talk about politics on Twitter. I'll let that sink in a little bit. All right, so of course, all the news is about gun violence and mass shootings and white supremacists. Let's talk about that Tucker Carlson got in a little. Well, I won't say he's in any trouble, but he caused a little controversy, a little more than usual. And it's because on his show last night, he said that white supremacy is all of the hoopla about white supremacy is a hoax. Now, he also said this white supremacists exist. There aren't very many of them in the country, and that in total, their impact is small. And so therefore it's a hoax. Then he announced that he was going on vacation. So how did CNN cover this? Well, they started. So this is the anatomy of how fake news is created. It's actually very clever and it's diabolical to the extreme. And sometimes you can't tell when CNN doesn't know what they're doing, meaning that it's somewhat accidental based on just ordinary bias. And when do they know exactly what they're doing? This is one of those cases where pretty sure they know exactly what they're doing. So Tucker, of course, is a huge critic of cnn. So you would expect that their opinion people would come at him pretty hard. And sure enough, they did. But the way they did it is very clever and can teach us something. So the first thing they did is they connected two random things and acted as if they have meaning. So they said that Tucker must be in trouble. They suggested. They did not say it's true. They simply suggested that Fox News has a history of when it's one of his hosts. So says something that other people think is racist, those hosts, or just provocative, those hosts go on vacation suspiciously to sort of get him out of the line of fire. Now it's summer and a lot of people go on vacation in the summer. And Tucker said he was going on vacation. And so cnn, with no evidence whatsoever, makes it seem as though his vacation is sort of a confession that he'd done something bad. But there's no evidence of that. What there is evidence is that it's August and a lot of people go on vacation. In fact, if you were going to pick a month to go on vacation and you were in the news business, what month would you pick? Well, you'd pick December because everybody's on vacation, but you'd also pick August. That would be the time you go on vacation. It's the slow news month. So first they make this connection that's not a real connection. But by simply putting the two in your mind, you say, oh, even Tucker Carlson or maybe at least even his bosses, no, he's gone too Far, none of this is in evidence. It's completely invented. All right, so that's the first dirty trick, but the next one is the best. All right, so they're pushing back. There were two opinion pieces. I'll talk about Brian Stelter's piece on cnn dot com. They're both pushing back against Tucker's claim that all the noise about danger from white supremacists is a hoax. Now here's how they push back on it. Now, one way to push back on it would be to produce one white supremacist, put them on TV and say, here, people, I've now proven that white supremacists exist. Have you ever seen a white supremacist? I never have. I've seen every other kind of racist because racist come in, you know, lots of different flavors. Yeah. There's just all kinds of different racists. So if you ask me, have I seen racist? Oh, yeah. Have I seen white nationalists, People who would prefer the country you stay white? Oh, yeah, I've seen those. Have I ever seen a white supremacist? I haven't. I never have. So how would you. What is the easiest way to prove that white supremacists exist? Put one on tv. Where is it? Where's the white supremacist? Even Richard Spencer isn't a white supremacist. Right. If you look into it, he would not espouse white supremacy. He's more of a white nationalist, I think would be a better way to put it. So you have to ask yourself, where's. Well, you don't ask yourself this. Look for the dog that isn't barking. If white supremacy is a really big problem, it shouldn't be hard to find a few and put them on TV so that we can see, number one, they exist. David Duke actually is not a white supremacist. As I understand it. He's a racist. And I think he's a white nationalist. That might explain him. So I'm not going to try to explain David Duke because I condemn him totally. But I don't believe anybody's ever gone on CNN in my memory and said that one race was superior and should be treated that way. I don't think I've seen it anyway, so that's the first thing. But here's the clever sleight of hand when I tell you this. You're going to be shaking your head so hard and knocking your heads on a counter so hard that this might be dangerous. So you might want to put on a helmet before I read this. Next part. I swear to God. Brian Stelter wrote this in cnn. All right, you ready for this? He says on white supremacy, facts first. Okay, so now Brian's gonna give us some facts about white supremacy. And those facts will debunk Tucker Carlson's view that the whole white supremacy thing is a hoax. So here are his facts to debunk it. An audit by the Anti Defamation League. Okay, now this is good stuff. He's right on point. Talking about the right topic has referred to an organization that studies these things. Okay, this is good. And what's he saying? What does the Anti Defamation League found the white supremacist murders in the U.S. quote, More than doubled in 2017. Okay, that's serious. More than doubled. Now when you say something more than doubled, and the point of saying it more than doubled is to say it's a problem, what's the next thing you say after that? Right after you say it more than doubled, you say from this number to this number. Right, so I'll read that part. Oh, that's not there. He said it doubled and he didn't say from what to what. So I looked at the source. It doesn't say from what to what either. He says it doubled without giving us a number. Did IT go from 2 to 4? 1 to 2? And why are the numbers only from 2017? In 2017, two years ago, if we're worried about a sudden increase of something, is 2017 what we want? No, it is not. So first of all, his numbers are old. 2017 would not tell you that there is a recent spike in anything because that leaves out the most recent two years. If you talk about a recent spike, you got to include the last two years. Secondly, he says it doubled without saying what the number is. And even the source doesn't say what the number is. But it gets creepier. Here's the rest of the sentence. With far right extremist groups and white supremacists, quote, responsible for 59% of all extremist related fatalities in the US in 2017. Okay, so if you add together far right extremists plus white supremacists, they're responsible for the majority of the extremist fatalities. Okay, that's good to know. Now next he'll tell us what percentage of that was the white supremacist. Because that's the topic. Right? The topic is not right wing deaths. Tucker was talking about white supremacists. So the next thing he'll say is how many of those were the white supremacists? Let Me read that. It's not there. So you see what he did. He took the white supremacist for which he had no numbers that were current and even no numbers that were not current. He added it with another group for which we do have numbers, and said, if you add those two together, it's 59% of all the extremist related fatalities. Let me read you another sentence that's equally true. If you were to add together all of the murders caused by cartoonists plus extremists, it would account for 59% of all the fate of the extremist fatalities in 2017. That's true. Right. If you were add together all of the people who were murdered by dogs. Dogs with guns, Actual dogs, like physically a dog, you know. I'm not talking about people, I'm talking about actual dogs. If you add to the number the number of people who are killed by dogs with guns to right wing extremists, they would account for almost all of the extremist murders. So this is a clever trick by CNN as they start talking about white supremacists to debunk that Tucker says white supremacy is a hoax. They show you no example of even one white supremacist. No picture of one, no writing from one, no video of one who makes that claim. By the way, now I know what you're going to say. What about the Charlottesville people marching. Wait, Tikis, we got lots of video of that. They're white supremacists, right? Are they? Are you a white supremacist? If you want to remove the Jews from your country because the Jews are doing too well, is wanting to remove the people who are doing too well a statement that you are supreme? It's kind of the opposite. I would say that if you were to look what the people marching in Charlottesville were saying out loud is that they were saying that the group that they did not like the Jews, in their words, were taking their blood and treasure. In other words, they were being very successful. They were actually criticizing the success of a group that's literally the opposite of saying you're awesome and the other group is bad. They're actually saying the other group is doing better than them and they would like them out of the country because they're taking all their stuff now. They're racists. They're white nationalists. Those are all true. But it's the supremacy part that gets weird now. So what you see is that CNN likes to make lots of references to the El Paso killer's manifesto. Couple of Problems with that? Number one, it is not in evidence that the shooter wrote that manifesto. Did you know that? Did you know it's not in evidence that the shooter wrote the manifesto. What is in evidence is that it was uploaded to a Chan from someone who was not the shooter. So we have an evidence that the source. The source of it, the only source we can trace was a Facebook post that was someone else. Now, there's some possibility that the shooter put it on somebody else's Facebook or somehow it got on Facebook from the shooter and then went to hn. But the evidence suggests he didn't write it. Have you seen that on cnn? Probably not. We heard this from the founder of A Chan and he would know where it came from. Secondly, how many people have read the manifesto? I read it and I gotta tell you. Hold on. Be right back. So I read the manifesto and I was looking for the part where Trump inspired him to be a white supremacist. It's not really there. What it is, is. And I tweeted a link from Byron York who's talking about this. I had exactly the same reaction as Byron York did. If you actually read the manifesto, you'd walk away saying, what's this got to do with Trump? The manifesto literally says in direct words, this is not about Trump. I had these feelings before Trump. In direct words, he says it wasn't Trump. But if it wasn't Trump, who is it most evocative of? Who is the person that is most referenced in the manifesto? Well, not by name, but the person most directly connected with what he's talking about in the manifesto is Andrew Yang. Because the shooter in El Paso was talking about universal basic income and how it will be necessary because the robots are coming. Who says that? Trump may have said it, but it's basically Andrew Yang's whole thesis. And if the robots come and take away our jobs, we'll need some kind of universal basic income. Andrew Yang's primary platform and the only way that works is if you secure the border. Because if you're giving away free money to anybody who shows up, it doesn't work. Right. Everybody understands that. Now, Andrew Yang doesn't make that case, but I think that's a question he needs to be asked. Doesn't needs to be asked of Andrew Yang, how can you do UBI unless you're controlling the border? That doesn't make sense. Those two are opposites. They can't exist at the same time. So. The entire. So what CNN can do and the anti Trumpers are doing is that they're suggesting that the manifesto is Trump inspired because they know nobody's going to read it. And if they did, they would find maybe one sentence that they could pull out, say, yeah, this. This sounds like Trump. But there are just as many sentences that sound like Elizabeth Warren or Andrew Yang. They'll just ignore those, and they know you're not going to read it, so they can characterize it any way they want. So it's complexity. It's long and rambled, and it's obviously just a crazy person. Its complexity allows them to claim that it supports their point of view. It just doesn't. It just doesn't. It's fake news. All right, so here's the basic sleight of hand that the anti Trumpers and really anti Americans, I would say, because the people who are moving hard against Trump are really moving hard against 60 million people in this country. So I would say anti American. If people were criticizing thousands of people in America, I'd say, well, thousands, that's barely anything compared to 300 million. So those people are just criticizing some people with bad ideas. But if you're criticizing 60 million citizens of this country, you're anti American by definition. Right? Criticizing 60 million. That's a good chunk of the whole country right there. All right, so here's the sleight of hand they use. So it starts out with President Trump says, I'm a nationalist. He doesn't use those words necessarily, but his supporters say, we're nationalists. We care about our country first. So CNN will say, you're nationalists. And I'm noticing that a lot of people at the rallies are white. So would it be fair to say that you're nationalists and that most of you are white? And people would say, well, that's true, but I don't like where this is going. So if you're nationalists and many of you are white, basically, there's not much difference between that and saying you're white nationalists. Well, of course, there is a big difference, because white nationalists don't want other people to come unless they're white. But a nationalist is open to everybody as long as the rules are followed and the borders are controlled. So they say, nationalist equals white nationalist. That's the first slate of hand. And then from white nationalist, they just throw into the census white supremacist, as if there's no difference. So, you know, white supremacist, white nationalist, nationalist, who happens to be white, all kind of the same thing. So they use this, you know, a sleight of hand to get you all the way to nationalist equals. White nationalist. White nationalist. Basically the same as white supremacist. White supremacist is Hitler. Obviously, there's a Holocaust coming. Now, when you hear that, it should make you angry. It should make you think, my God, what kind of a country do I live in where news networks can push ridiculous. Not like that. Well, where did they learn it? Where did CNN learn to turn nationalists into white nationalist? To turn white nationalist into white supremacist and. And turn white supremacists into. Obviously, the president is Hitler. Here's how they learned it. They learned it from the right. They learned it from Fox News. How many times on Fox News have you seen Democrats say they want health care? Which Fox News turns into health care? So I guess you're a socialist, and if you're a socialist, you're a communist. And if you're a communist, you're Stalin. And if you're Stalin, you want to kill tens of millions of people, you're Venezuela. Right, Same thing. A person who wants to keep the United States largely the same but have better health care is not a socialist. They're democratic socialists at best. And they're certainly not communists. So first of all, they're not socialists because socialists would. Would make everybody share everything, and it would be completely incompatible with capitalism. So they're pushing some socialist policies within a larger capitalist setting. The Fox News calls all that socialism. And then they just sort of without. Without making a break, call it communism, then it turns into Venezuela, and then it turns into Stalin, and then it turns into tens of millions of people killed. You should disregard both sides when they do that. All right? If they're taking your definition and working it through this word machine until it turns into either Stalin or Hitler, you're not talking, you're not listening to people you should pay attention to. All right? And so I would like to offer this challenge. I would like somebody to produce a white supremacist who I could deprogram. So I'm going to offer to deprogram a white supremacist. I'll do it on here. I'd have to know it's a real white supremacist. So here's the first part of the challenge. Number one, I don't think any exist who are not actually observably insane. So if you. If somebody could put a sentence together, you know, went to college maybe. Well, no, don't even get to college. Just somebody who can make a coherent statement and also refers to themselves or at least by their Policies are clearly white supremacist. I need you to. I'm offering to deprogram that person away from their destructive ideology. But you have to find me one. I've never met one and I don't know that they exist. Because those Tiki Torch people were white inferiorities. Is there a word? What's the opposite of supremacy? Yeah, the Tiki Torch guys were worried that white people can't compete. That was their whole. That's what they were chanting. Literally. That's what they were saying out loud in the chants, that white people can't compete so they don't qualify. But if there's any in that group who thinks they're supreme, I will deprogram them. I'll offer to do that. Watch how no white supremacists can be identified. Now, I would say that Tucker Carlson would be accurate in calling the whole white supremacy a hoax. If nobody can produce one at all, you can't produce one. Put them on tv. Let's see what they have to say. If you can produce one, I'm offering to deprogram that person. I'll solve it for you. I'll do it right in front of the world and it won't be hard. Now let's put things in perspective. If Tucker Carlson is wrong about white supremacy, you know, at least the hoopla about it being a hoax, then it would also be true that the numbers are big or climbing. So they're either big already or they're climbing. Because remember, Islamic terrorists in this country is very small, but we worry that it could climb or that the rate would increase. So let me give you some numbers which you don't see in most of these periscopes or you don't see it in the news. All right, so how many people were killed by extremists? So According to the ADL, the same source that Brian Stelter was using, 387 people have been killed in the last decade. So in 10 years, 387 people were killed by extremists. Of those extremists in the United states, of those 71% were right wing. So that's 275 over 10 years. Let's round it off to 28 people per year. So is it a national story that there's something that you could put a name on that's killing 28 people a year? Well, let's see how big related numbers are so we can see if that's a big number or a small number. All right, so right wing extremists according to the ADL, kill about 28 people per year over the past 10 years. Total gun deaths in the United States per year are 40,000. For gun deaths. And of course, opioids are like 70,000 a year. I think automobiles are 35,000 a year or something like that. So just 28 people. But remember, if that number is climbing quickly, then we should worry about it because the rate of change is as important as where it starts from. How many homicides per year, because these are total gun deaths. How many of the gun deaths are not suicide or accidents? Turns out that there are about 12,000 of them. So 12,000 murders with gun weapons compared to 28 done by extremists. So 28 is what percentage of the total gun deaths in the United states per year? It's.0017 of all the gun deaths.0.0017 of all the gun deaths. Two thirds of all gun homicides have black victims. Two thirds. So that's around 8,000 murders per year of black people by both white and black people. But I think black people kill more of black people just because that's who's around. Obviously, you're going to kill more of the type of people who are near you than people who live distantly. And so it's a tiny, tiny number. And so the real question is, if we all agree it's a small number, then what matters is how quickly it's growing. Do you know who has the statistics, good statistics, of how quickly the white supremacy murder rate is growing? Nobody doesn't exist. Yeah, if you look for that source, you'll find lots of people saying, well, it's hard to count because people count it differently. And there were new agencies that came online recently that started counting. So you can't really look at the current numbers and compare them directly to the past because they're counting differently now. So basically, we don't really know. So it's a tiny number. We don't know if it's going up or not. But the most visible sign of it is this El Paso thing, which, if you actually read his manifesto, you would say, doesn't look like white supremacy to me. That's it. That's the whole argument. So given all that, who is right? Well, let me give you some more numbers. 85% of, well, 2/3 of gun deaths are suicide. 2/3. 2/3 of gun deaths are Suicide, and 85% of the gun suicides are male. What would you say is the big problem when 85% of gun deaths are suicide? Wouldn't it be more useful to speak of these mass shootings as fancy suicides? Am I wrong? If you came from outer space and you didn't care about politics and you were just examining the planet with complete, unbiased, dispassionate logic, you're just looking at it and you said to yourself, okay, it looks like there's massive problem with gun suicide, which is really a problem with suicide. They're just using guns. So if you have this massive suicide problem, and this suicide comes in many forms, one of these forms is people like to dress up their suicide as having some meaning so that they can find meaning for the first time in their life. And so they, their, their warped minds come up with some political, political justification. If you happen to be a hypnotist or you study persuasion as I do, you know that the human mind does not operate on reasons. I'll tell you what did not happen in any of these shootings. Here's what we know scientifically and historically and commonsensically, we know with complete certainty what did not happen with any of these shootings. What did not happen is that a reasonable person looked at the facts and the logic and then decided to kill a bunch of people. That never happened. What did happen? Because it's the only way that brains work. Brains don't have two ways of working in the sense that I'm talking about here. They have one way of working. First they decide what they're going to do and then they work backwards to the reasons, always, not sometimes. If you think that sometimes happens, then you don't understand your reality in any useful way. Science has determined with completely conclusively that we decide first on the big stuff like this, the big emotional stuff. And a mass murderer is the biggest emotional thing you can imagine, has more emotional content than anything else because it's death and there's lots of it, etc. So these murders, I can tell you with absolute confidence, 0% chance of being wrong, that they make the decision first and then they go through some tortured logic to describe why they did it. And that's why when you read the manifesto, it looks like, it looks like somebody with tortured logic. It looks like somebody who is desperately trying to come up with a reason for the thing they'd already decided to do. Now, my take on it is that you have a suicide problem. Some of the people who kill themselves want to do it in a certain way that gives them meaning and ties into who they think they are, etc. But mostly it's just a suicide problem, you have to deal with all elements of it. But to call it a white supremacy problem, I think misses the mark by as far as you can miss it. So I'm going to score this argument in favor of Tucker, meaning that when he says there's a white supremacy hoax, I don't know that there are no white supremacists who want to kill people. I do know I've never seen one, and I don't think I'll see one on television, and I don't think I'll see a picture of one, and I don't think I'll see a video one, and I don't think I'll see maybe even a manifesto from one. Because even this, El Paso's manifesto wasn't about white supremacy. It was just about numbers and math and economics. So there you go. All right, let's talk about something a little more uplifting. Maybe, maybe, maybe a lot more uplifting. I saw one of the smartest, most insightful quotes you'll ever see, and it came from actor Danny Trejo. T R E J O. Now, if you're into movies and tv, you might know this name. So Danny Trejo is Hispanic, I assume. I think he's Hispanic. I'm not going to guess, but I'm just guessing. He's Hispanic. His last name gives it away anyway, he. Which is only important because of the times we're in. It's not important in any other way. It's only important because of our political climate. So apparently he was driving along and he saw an accident in which there was a car flipped over and there was a baby in a baby seat who was still in the car. And he stopped immediately and tried to get the baby out. And with somebody else's help, he got the baby out. Now, of course, because he was the celebrity there, he gets all of the. It's pronounced Trejo. Somebody's telling me Danny Trejo, he gets all the attention because he was a celebrity. Obviously, the unknown person who helped him get the baby out of the car is also a hero, but nobody knows that person's name. But here's the best part of the story. So actor Danny Trejo gets interviewed afterwards, and he said this quote. I swear, if you never remembered anything else in your whole life, and you just said, all right, I'm going to ignore everything I've learned in my entire life. And then I'm just going to build my life around this one quote from Danny Trejo. You would actually have a pretty good life. This quote sums up almost Everything. Here it is. Quote from actor Danny Trejo, hero. Everything good that has happened to me has happened as a direct result of. Of helping someone else. Everything. So he adds everything at the end. I'm going to read that again. It's probably the best quote you'll ever see in your life in terms of how useful it is. Everything good that has happened to me has happened as a direct result of helping someone else. Everything. That's it. Secret of life right there. The secret of life right there. Because if you help other people, they say, well, there's somebody I want to associate with. If you help other people, you feel good about yourself, you feel important, you feel like you have a place. Do you think the people who are helping other people commit suicide sometimes because there's mental illness is the thing. But. But how many of these mass shooters were working at soup kitchens? How many mass murderers are helping other people? None. None. If you want meaning in your life, help other people. If you want financial security, learn how to be valuable to other people. It's the only way. The only way I'm rich is, is because I helped other people. I made them laugh, I made them think, I entertained them, I helped them. I helped them somehow. Now, how many times have I been offered promotions back in my corporate world and why would I be offered the promotion and maybe someone else? Well, in many cases it's because I did extra work and I helped other people with no direct thought of some direct reward. And if you are in your corporate situation and people look around and they say, hey, this person keeps helping the other people as long as you're getting your own work done, what are people going to think when they want to promote somebody? You just killed everybody else, economically or career wise. You just eliminated everybody else's appearance of value. If you do your work and you are consistently helping other people in whatever way you can, you're the boss, or you can be, if you want to be, somebody's going to offer you the next promotion. So Danny Trejo's quote is everything. He actually uses the word everything in his quote twice. Everything good that has happened to me has happened as a direct result of helping someone else. Everything. It's perfect. It's just perfect. All right, here's a thought that I want to put into the mix of ideas in the world. So we've got these urban blighted areas and, you know, parts of the country where things aren't working out, there's bad economic distress, etc. And then we're watching Bill Pulte go into these areas in some cases and make a difference. You saw the cleanup crew make a difference as well. So Bill Pulte goes in and he can clean up the urban blight. I saw an article recently that Pontiac, Michigan, the value of real estate just started zooming. Now, Pontiac, if you don't know this, was, I think, the first one or two places that Bill Pulte removed the blight. So he removed the blight. And there's not one reason that real estate goes up in value. But I gotta think it's a big one. Real estate values went up, so Pontiac is heading in the right direction. Who made that happen? Bill Pulte. Other people work on it too. The mayor had to be part of that, et cetera. But I was reading this book. I was just telling you about the founding of the nation. I'll show it to you again. I'm only a little ways into it, but it's already so interesting that I'm getting all these tidbits out of it that really change how you think it's called the American Nations. I'm only a little bit into it. It's already having a big impact on me. And one of the things it talked about is something I don't think I knew. Pretty sure I didn't know it. And, yeah, I didn't know it. Let me say that for sure, if you don't know, if you knew it, you didn't know it. I always wondered why the United States was so successful. Now, you could give a number of reasons. You could say, okay, the United States was successful because we had all these natural resources and maybe because of the ocean barriers, we didn't get the direct brunt of a couple of world wars, but we had our own wars, lots of wars internally. And with the Native Americans and the Mexicans, et cetera, and the French, the Brits. We had a lot of wars. But what was it that made America so successful? Now, one thing you'd say is, okay, it was about this Western culture they brought over. But this book is all about the fact that they weren't all the same culture. I talked about this yesterday. I think some of them were Puritans and they wanted everybody to be treated equal, equally, but they had to be religious or else you were in big trouble. And then there were ones that landed in the more southern part of the country who were slavers. They started out putting white people in slavery, and they literally ran out of white people to enslave. That's why the African slave trade happened. Now, the white people they enslaved were, what do you call it? Indentured servants. And the problem was that after the indentured servants served their time, they could go get their own land. So the indentured servants were moving through the system too quickly and there weren't enough new ones, so they had to do a different source of labor. And that's where the African slavery came from. So you can't really compare the Puritan culture to the Southern culture. Completely different. I mean, the Puritans never would have enslaved anybody. So you can't really say there's something about the culture that worked. So what was it? And this book I just mentioned suggests an answer which also suggests how to fix the inner cities and other parts of the country. Are you ready for it? Part of the reason that people came to the United States is that the king in Great Britain would say, if you go there, we'll give you a land grant, which if you do things right, will make you very rich. You'll be like a king in your own large piece of territory that I grant you. Now, who would. The king in England, somebody says it's not Great Britain, let's just call it England. So the King of England, this is prior to the Great Britain word. So thank you for that correction. So the King of England, who is he going to grant land to in America? Well, it's not going to be to a peasant. The king granted land to highly educated people because they also happen to be the, you know, the well connected people in England. So what happened was because of a coincidence of how land was granted, the United States became hugely educated instantly, meaning that the percentage of people with advanced degrees in the early colonial days was sort of through the roof. By the standards of those times, there were simply more educated people as a percentage than maybe anywhere in the world. Now, I don't know if that's true, but I think it's close to true that we may have ended up totally by coincidence with more highly educated people than have ever been in one place at the same time. Except for maybe Microsoft, right? And then Silicon Valley later. Now what happened when you put a whole bunch of smart people into a wilderness? They do well. Smart people tend to do well. Am I wrong? Have you ever seen an example name a country where they're highly educated and the economy is doing poorly? Can you, can you name me a country that's among the top 10 of education that's doing poorly in economics? Well, maybe temporarily, if something's going wrong, but in general, if you put a bunch of smart people in an area they do well. Now here's the question. Did all of the colonists need to be smart? Absolutely not. The vast majority of the colonists were dumb, just like the rest of the world. Right. Most of the world is not smart people. So most of the colonists were dumb. So it wasn't just the percentage of smart people. It was that there were a lot of them in numbers. So you need numbers. So here's the question. Where in the United States do we have big concentrations of smart people and things are not heading in the right direction? Nowhere. Pretty much nowhere. Now, somebody says, I'm being a bigot, but I have not mentioned race whatsoever because it doesn't have anything to do with this. So race has nothing to do with this. I'm just saying that if you put a bunch of people who went to college into a place that needs help, it's going to do better. So what do we normally do in this country when we're trying to fix an urban area? The thing we do when we're trying to fix an urban area is we give them money and resources, Mostly money and resources. And it doesn't seem to work for a variety of reasons. What happened when you took Bill Pulte, smart and capable, well educated, and put him into Pontiac? Good stuff right. Now, money was also involved, but money, it turns out, is the easy part. Do you know what was the hard part? Finding a Bill Pulte. That was the hard part. So I would suggest this if we could find something similar to the king of England giving land grants to smart people of every race. So ethnicity has nothing to do with any of this, Right? Just smart people of any kind. Could we do the same thing with our blighted areas? Now, it doesn't necessarily have to be an urban area. It could be, yeah, it could be Baltimore, but it could also be somewhere else. So suppose you cleared an area of blight, and then you said, okay, all this area that's cleared has almost no economic value, but we're going to grant it to only people who have a certain level of, let's say, educational achievement. So you say all you have to be is a. You have a master's degree. I'll just use this as an example. So I'm not suggesting that your degree says whether you're smart or not. I'm just saying it's an easy way to know that you're at least that smart. So suppose the city said, we're going to grant this land, but instead of doing it the way that you would normally think, which is to give it to the community. You say, no, I'm going to create some kings. The they could be black kings, they could be any kind of king, but they're going to be the people who have advanced degrees and they're going to get their own little patch of land and they're going to use their intelligence. If they need money, they can figure out how to get it. Because that's what smart people do. Either they have it or they know how to get it. You put the smart people there and you say, here it is. If you can make this work, you get an amazing advantage out of it. So I'm going to put this idea into the world, which is that putting physical resources into communities that have trouble might help a little. I'm not saying we shouldn't do it, but putting smart people in there, especially smart people who can work with the community, etcetera, probably would be a bigger deal. Probably. Now, I don't know if there's any way to do this in the way our society is, is function, but what do I always say? What I always say is that if you can a B test it, that's good enough. If you have a plan that could be tested small and find out whether or not it worked, you don't have to ask if it's good. I mean, you want to do a basic filter to see if it's crazy. But if you think it might be good but you're not sure, as long as you can test it small, go ahead. So take a little place that you think has a problem that has land values that approach zero. Have your political leaders say, all right, here's what we're going to do. If you've got an advanced degree in the relevant stuff, let's say an engineer. Let's say we limit it to that. What if you say if you're a. A certain type of engineer and you have a degree will give you land as long as you promise to live there and develop it? What would happen if you came back in 20 years? I'm pretty sure people would do okay because smart people tend to succeed no matter where they are. Somebody said you're a moron and spelled U R Y O U R. I'll tell you, there should be one rule as I block that person. There should be a rule that if you insult somebody's intelligence and you spell a word wrong while you're insulting them, it doesn't count. That should just be the rule. Doesn't count. If you spelled a word wrong, somebody Says it's called gentrification. Nope, nope. No, no, no, no, no, no, no. Gentrification is when anybody who is doing well sort of creeps into the neighborhood. I am not talking about that. I'm talking about picking people who are smarter than those yuppies who just happen to have, you know, a four year degree. I'm talking about real smart people. I'm talking about somebody who went to MIT because remember, the people who settled America were Oxford trained. They weren't just people who knew how to read. We're talking about Jefferson, all right? Jefferson wasn't just a guy who could read. He was a genius. I'm talking about geniuses. I'm not talking about the yuppie who works in the cubicle and can afford to pay his car payment. That is not who you need to fix the inner cities. All right, so when you saw recently that Jack Dorsey and Bill Pulte were clearing some blight, they had partnered to clear some blight in St. Louis. And I saw those pictures and I see Jack and, you know, Bill Pulte standing there, I think to myself, I'm glad there's money, I'm glad there's equipment to do that. But what you really need is people of, you know, that level of smart and well meaning to just live there for a while and try to build something. Now, not those two guys in particular, but it just made me think that maybe bringing in some geniuses. And again, geniuses of every type. None of this is ethnic, none of this is gender. None of. We're not talking about any of that. It doesn't matter who they are. They just have to have a certain skill set and that's it. Somebody says, where does Scott get his degrees? I got my undergraduate at a small private college called Hartwick College in Oneonta, New York. And I got my MBA at Berkeley here in California to answer your question. But let me say that I would not consider myself qualified for what I'm talking about. I'm talking about people who have more than an mba. I'm talking about Harvard. I'm talking about mit. I'm talking about top of the top, right? If you don't pick top of the top, this idea falls apart quickly. I'm not talking about putting a bunch of B plus students into Baltimore and seeing what happens. That's not going to get you there. All right, let's talk about Iran quickly. So Iran apparently has some technology, must be Russian technology for spoofing GPS to make you think you're off track. And apparently, they can spoof communications and they're fooling ships in the area and causing mischief. 100% of the people who talk about Iran say, hey, war looks like, you know, it might be a risk, but every single person says the same thing. Iran does not want war. US doesn't want war. Nobody wants war. So I'm pretty sure we're not going to get war. I'm not going to say there isn't, you know, some bullets fired at some point, but the odds of war with Iran, I think we should just call it zero, because that's what it is. That's what it is. So let's stop worrying about that in terms of, you know, some kind of slippery slope toward war, because something very different would have to happen, something we don't see coming that would turn this even into an even possible war situation. And here's. Here's part of the reason why Iran doesn't want a war, because they would be destroyed. So that's easy to understand. You might ask yourself, well, why doesn't the US Want war? Because we might win it fairly, you know, fairly easily. And it would remove this risk. And even though people would die, maybe it's worth it. But here's the thing. You have to compare war to the alternative. And the alternative is just wait. Because it turns out that Iran, in terms of the Iranian population, are fairly pro American, American people, American culture. They're not pro American government. But, you know, half of the country, the United States, you know, the majority of the United States is not in favor of our own government, probably never will be. That's how we roll. So the fact that, you know, there are some Iranians who don't like our government isn't terribly important because they like us and they like the American culture and people. And likewise, if you don't, if you haven't spent time around a lot of people who had been born in Iran, they're pretty awesome people. They're pretty awesome. I see a lot of them around here, and to a person, they're just. They're pretty awesome people. So here's what I would suggest, but not in a serious way. You know, when people suggest what the President should say or do, I always say, don't suggest what a president should do. I don't know. It always feels wrong on several levels to say, here's what the President should do. So instead, I'm going to put this as a thought experiment. So the thought experiment is, suppose the President does this. What if the President did this because it'll help you understand what's going on here. The thought experiment. So this is not a suggestion, it's a thought experiment. It goes like, what if President Trump started saying, hey, Iran, what would you gain by being our enemy? What do you have to gain? That's it. That's the powerful part. Can you tell us what you want to gain? Because we might be able to help. That's the second part. Tell us what you want, because if you work with us, you might be able to get it. Now, they might say, we would like to spread Islam around the world. To which we say, okay, we don't think that's the best idea, but we'll still help you. Here's how. We'll give you full access to the Internet. We'll make sure that every person in your country has freedom of speech. Because if you want to spread an idea, killing isn't really an efficient way to do it. In 2019, we saw that ISIS tried to do that. Didn't work out. Did not work out for isis. But the Internet is really good at spreading ideas. So if Iran wants to spread their idea, we will help them take their idea into the marketplace of ideas, which is the Internet. We'll help you build out your Internet. We'll do what we can to be supportive of every citizen in Iran getting on the Internet and having full access so we can help you. If you would like to spread your beliefs, we'll give you the tool, the only tool, the only tool that's effective to do that. And we are confident that in the marketplace of ideas, it might find a place, as will others, and we'll work it out. So then what is. What else does Iran want? They want to survive. And we'll say, that's fine. We don't care if you survive. I mean, we'd like you to survive. You could even keep your form of government, because we don't care about that. That's between you and the citizens. So we're not going to fight them on who's in charge, so long as, you know, they're not a problem to us. What if they say we want to overthrow Israel? Well, they don't really say that publicly. And I don't believe that they think it could really happen. Do you think there's anybody in Iran who, in a private conversation that nobody will ever hear, do you think that anybody at any level in Iran says, you know, I think we've got a real good shot of taking Israel back for Islam? I'll bet. No, I'll bet there are Zero people who actually think that's going to happen. And I don't think they say it out loud currently. What they say out loud is that they would like Israel as a government entity to go away. They can want that all they want. And in fact, the best way to do that would be to make peace with Israel. Can you think of a faster way to. To destroy, in quotes, the nation of Israel than by making peace in the Middle East? It would effectively force Israel in the long run to have a more diverse population. And if they have a more diverse population, eventually it's going to have to become not exactly the, you know, the Jewish state in the long run, but the only way you get there is through peace. Israel would just have pressure to be more inclusive, and eventually you would get that way. Suppose Iran wants a better economy. Of course we can help. Suppose they want more energy and nuclear power. Not nuclear weapons, nuclear power. Well, Lindsey Graham has already offered to help. We just want some control on the weaponized part. And if they get those parts, I guess the fuel rods, if they get that from China and Russia, the United States would say, oh, okay, China and Russia can keep them from getting the nuclear weapon parts as long as Iran wants to get their source from those two countries. So almost everything that Iran at least publicly would ask for, we would be willing to help. We're not only not their obstacle, we're begging them to help with everything they want. Now, we don't think of it that way because we're just sort of locked into the news coverage of us against them and will there be war? And you just think of two teams against each other. I think the President could. And again, this is just a thought experiment. I don't expect him to do this in any way. I think the President could say, here's the deal, Iran, we don't understand what you want because everything that we know you want, we want to. And we would actively help you. We want you to communicate better. We want you to have a better economy. We don't want any risk of war. We want you to have nuclear energy. Israel has already offered to help with desalinization. We probably have a mutual interest in controlling Al Qaeda. We kind of have so much in common. It's crazy that we're even talking as some kind of nemesis when it's so clear that we would work better together for everything. Now, you might say to yourself, ah, I don't know, there must be something we disagree with and that's worth having a war over. But I don't know what it is. If you and I don't know what that is, I don't think anybody knows what it is. Yeah, I think the giving them tons of cash idea was probably not your best one. I think you have to do what Trump has successfully done with North Korea, which is paint a picture of cooperation and a picture of the future. That is clearly a good one, and it involves us being helpful instead of us being on the other side. We started that a little bit with Iran, but I think that picture could be completed. It could be that the president is constrained by the members of the administration who want to see some missiles fly. So that may be part of the constraint. I don't know. Somebody says that Kim Jong Un is different because he's not religious and therefore you can work a deal with him. I would say that that would be a problem. That would be a problem, except that everything Iran wants, we would be willing to help them with because they can spread their ideology anywhere they want. It's just that the Internet is how you spread the ideology. Spreading it with weapons absolutely doesn't work. All right, I think I've said it all for today. I'm going to go do something else, and I will talk to you later.
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