The Best FVG Trading Strategy (That Actually Works)

Jesse Rogers presents an FVG (Fair Value Gap) trading strategy for scalping and day trading designed to produce consistent profits in under 90 minutes per day. He demonstrates step-by-step rules: mark the first candle high/low at market open (9:30am EST), use specific timeframes to confirm direction (5m→1m for scalping; 15m→5m for day trading), identify fair value gaps (three-candle gaps), enter on engulfing retests (scalp) or set limit orders on FVG (day trade), place stops under the FVG with one tick breathing room, and use fixed profit targets (scalp 3:1 R:R; day trade 2:1 R:R). He then shows a one-month backtest: the 5-minute scalping entry netted $10,950 with a 70% win rate; the 15-minute day-trade entry netted $15,400 with an 81% win rate over 16 trades. Video includes an enrollment pitch for mentorship and a funding guarantee (12 weeks).
Questions this video answers
Nine years.
9:30am EST.
A three-candle formation where a gap exists between the first and third candle wicks (middle candle shows expansive force).
Five minute chart (first 9:30–9:35am candle).
One minute chart.
Chapters
This FPG strategy consistently gives me days like this, this and this. And I'm about to show you exactly how. I've been trading for nine years and in that time I've tested hundreds of complicated strategies. And this is one of the only FPG strategies that actually works. And today I'm going to teach you the full strategy and then we'll do a one month backtest to prove to you that it works. Let's hop right into the strategy. The goal of this strategy is to make consistent profits and in less than 90 minutes per day. And to do this, we're going to get to our desks right at 9:30am EST. This strategy works for any market, whether it's futures, stocks, crypto or forex. And you use the same time for each market. There are two ways that you can use this strategy depending on whether you're scalping or day trading. And knowing when to decide between the two is what separates profitable traders from the unprofitable traders. If you weren't aware already, scalping means catching quick and small moves and and taking a lot more trades. And then day trading is catching bigger moves and taking less trades. First we're going to go over how to scalp using this strategy. For step one, we're going to identify our key levels. Now this part is stupid simple, but if you mess it up, everything else will be wrong. So make sure to pay close attention. We're going to start on our five minute chart. Now to get to this chart, you're going to go over here on Trading View and click the five minute button. This means that each candle you see represents five minutes of trading time. Next we're going to wait for the first candle of the day at that 9:30 time to print. And then we're going to mark out the high and the low of the first five minute candle. To do this, we're going to go over here to the left hand side of the screen on Trading View and select the Trend line tool. And then we're going to mark out the high and the low of that first five minute candle. That happens at 9:30 to 9:35am Eastern Eastern Standard time. But in order to find good trades, we need to know which way the market is going to move. Which brings US to step 2, confirming the market's direction. For step 2 we are going to switch to the 1 minute chart by clicking this 1 minute button on Trading View. And once you're on the screen, each candle represents one minute worth of trading time. Next we're going to wait For a break of the level. But we need a fair value gap. Simply crossing through the level, whether it's a wick or a candle closure, just won't cut it. As you can see, the market rather quickly forms a fair value gap. Now, if you didn't know already, a fair value gap is just a three candle formation where we leave a gap between one candles wick and the third candles wick. So as you can see here, the middle candle was very expansive, showing a lot of force, which tells us that buyers are in control, especially when it happens through this first five minute candle level. So since we broke through the high, the direction is bullish. We're going to be looking for long trades. But knowing the market direction is useless if you don't know when to enter and exit trades. Which brings us to step number three. Finding our entry, our stop loss and our target. So first we want to wait for a retest of the fair value gap, meaning we need the market to trade back into the fair value gap. Now, after we've traded into the fair value gap, then we wait for this retest candle right here to to get engulfed. Now, if you're not aware of what an engulfing is, it's when the body of one candle gets completely closed through by opposing direction candles. As you can see, this first candle that traded into the fair value gap has now gotten engulfed. And this shows us that buyers are in control. And as soon as we get this engulfing, you're good to enter the trade. Now in order to do this, we're going to go over here to the left on trading view and you, you're going to find this icon right here and then you click long position. Since we are taking a buy, this helps you plot out your entry and find good risk to reward. So for our stop loss or our invalidation point where we will cut our losses if we're wrong, you want to put that under the lowest area that we traded into that fair value gap. And you always want to give it one tick of breathing room. And then for our take profit, we are just targeting a fixed 3 to 1 return, meaning that on our winning trades, we make three times as much profit as we would lose on a losing trade. So as you can see here, we've got $400 at risk to make $1,200 in profit. And after you execute the trade, you sit back and let the market do the heavy lifting for you. No need to micromanage your trade. There's no guessing and no confusion with this strategy. As you can see here, this trade took 24 minutes to play out and and netted a profit of $1,200. Not bad for 24 minutes worth of work if you ask me. And there you have it. It's that stupid simple. And yes, the scalping entry alone is powerful. But knowing when to use the scalping versus the day trading entry is what separates the profitable traders from the unprofitable. Let's learn how to use the day trading entry first and then you'll learn how to choose which one you will use. And this brings us to step one of the day trading entry. Now we're still going to identify key levels, but we're going to do it just a little differently because for this entry you're going to start on the 15 minute chart. Now to do this, you go over on the top trading view and you select the 15 minute button. Now this means that each candle represents 15 minutes of trading time. We're going to wait until the 9:30 to 9:45 Eastern Standard Time candle closes so it's still the first candle of the day and just using the 15 minute instead. And then just like we did with the scalping strategy, we're going to mark the high and the low of the first 15 minute candle. And this brings us to step two of the day trading entry which again we're going to confirm direction but we're going to do this differently than we did in the scalping strategy. So pay close attention. Instead of going to the one minute chart, we're going to go to the five minute chart. So go up here and click that five minute button and then we're going to wait for a very specific pattern. What we need is similar to the previous strategy but a little bit different. As you'll see here, we have now created our fair value gap through this first candle. But here's where things get different because instead of waiting for a retest, we're actually going to set a limit order on the fvg. This means once the market trades back into the fair value gap, we're automatically entered into the market. Now if you don't know how to do this, you just click the buy button here on Trading View View and then you want to make sure to click for a limit order. Now on Trading View you can actually drag down your order to put it right on that level. Now for my stop loss, I'm going to put it right at the first candle in the fair value gap pattern. Remember, a fair value gap is three candles, so it goes right under this first one and then for our target, Instead of a 3 to 1 return, we are going to target a fixed 2 to 1 return. Now, now, I know what you might be thinking, why less than the scalping strategy? But wait till you see the backtest and you'll see exactly why I chose this target. Now, as you can see, the market traded into the fair value gap, which entered us into the trade. And we have a nice move away from our entry. For this trade, we risked $945 to make $1,900. And the one thing that isn't different about this strategy from the last is that you don't need to micromanage your trades and, and you can just sit back and let the market do the heavy lifting for you. Now, I want to be clear that every once in a while you're going to have the market come down and revisit the fair value gap. That's totally fine. Don't freak out and close your trades. Just trust in the system. Now, this trade took 35 minutes to play out. And remember, it made 1900 dollars. Not bad for 35 minutes if you ask me. Now, I know you're probably thinking, well, Casper, when do I trade the scalping entry versus the day trading entry? And my answer for you is the only way to know for sure is to look at the data. So let's go over to the back test and put this strategy to the test. But before we get into the back test, I need you to take a look at this disclaimer. Now that we've got that out of the way, let's take a look at how the back test turned out for both strategy entries. Let's take a look at our five minute first candle scalping entry. First, it netted $10,950 in our backtest with a win rate of 70%. And now taking a look at our 15 minute first candle day trading entry, it netted 15, 400 with a win rate of 81% over 16 trades. So to answer the big question, how do you pick which strategy to use? Well, here is how you're going to decide. If you have blown accounts before or if you struggle with emotional trading, then use the day trading approach. It's more forgiving and it has a higher win rate. And yes, as you've seen in the back test, the scalping works too. But it requires split second decision making that most struggling traders aren't ready to make. So congratulations, you now have a powerful and proven strategy. But chances are that you've had great strategies before. Before. And yet you're still not profitable. Now, the reason that I know this is because I used to be in the exact same boat. Which is why I mentor traders to help them avoid all the losses and all the wasted time that I had to go through. I do this by trading live with my traders. I share my screen and my executions. Every single trade that you take will be reviewed. Plus you get direct access to me for anything that you need. And you get access to our trader dashboard and. And all of the other stuff we have in our software. Now, I'm so confident in this system that if you don't get funded in 12 weeks, then I will personally sit with you and trade until you get funded. This is not your average trading discord. And due to this being a direct and intensive mentorship, I limit availability to the public. So if the link at the top of the description still works, then there are slots remaining in this enrollment. But if there are no slots, then you can join the wait list for the the next enrollment. Thank you guys for watching this video. Make sure to subscribe to the channel and I'll see you in the next video.











