Jesse RogersFounder and CEO of Smart Trading Blueprint

Volume Profile reveals next day moves

18 May 2026 · 1 min

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In this tutorial, the presenter explains a common “trap” pattern that can be spotted with volume profile analysis on the S&P E‑mini (ES). He walks through a real‑world example from February 11, showing a down‑trend that creates a B‑shaped volume profile. Shorts take profit at a support level, triggering a rapid upside burst, while smart‑money long positions are covered at the end of the day, causing a sharp sell‑off. By examining the next‑day opening (around 9 AM), traders can identify the early signs of an aggressive upward move and position accordingly. The lesson emphasizes the importance of timing (end‑of‑day vs. next‑morning), volume‑profile shape, and smart‑money activity for setting up high‑probability trades.

Chapters

This is the beginning of a trap. Very often, let's just say you have price trending in a downwards move all session, then shorts take profit at some support level and you get a fast burst to the upside. The way you're going to be able to trade this is by looking at the next morning. Now let's take a look at this. So if we look right here, this is ES on February 11th, in case you want to go and take a look for yourself. We have this down move which created a B-shaped profile in this down move. When this happened, we see that this day— so notice the times here, this is noon, So right here, this was an end of day move. The overall day was pretty bullish, right, for the most part. And then we saw this huge sell-off at the end of the day. This shows that smart money had covered on those longs. That caused a really big move to the downside. And then if you came in to the next day, which was right here— so pay attention to the times. So this is at 9 AM the next day. Right here you can see that the market started to show signs that we're going to move to the upside. And this is where you'll get these very aggressive moves.