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In a Persian television interview, oil‑energy analyst Omid Shokri discusses the recent drone attacks on two Saudi Arabian refineries that together process more than half of the kingdom’s crude output. He explains that the attacks have caused significant short‑term disruptions to Saudi oil production and exports, but the exact repair timeline and the extent of damage remain uncertain. Shokri warns that if such attacks continue, Saudi Arabia’s pivotal role in OPEC and the global oil market could be jeopardized. He then addresses why these incidents have not translated into higher global oil prices, citing a global oversupply, slower‑than‑expected demand growth in major consumers like China and India, limited impact of sanctions on Iran, and the possibility of the United States releasing strategic petroleum reserves to stabilize the market. Throughout, he emphasizes that oil prices are driven by the balance of supply and demand rather than isolated supply shocks.

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