Bayrou saute : la France de Macron dans le Chaos !

My old friends, good evening. Unsurprisingly, Bhairu did not survive the vote of confidence so well, he jumped. Tomorrow morning he will present his resignation, which will be accepted, and then it will be Macron's Nim Prime Minister who will be ousted after a few months. France is starting to resemble more and more the Italy of the Berlusconi era, where we see coalition governments of misunderstandings that are set up and then collapse later. Well, all that is good. It is Macron's management of management that is increasingly moving towards an absolutely ungovernable country. So in a way, for a man who likes to manage through chaos, I think he's not, he's not unhappy because at some point, if there's no government, he can find himself with absolute discretionary powers. Which suits him very well. Which suits him very well. Now, I'd like to draw your attention to something very particular. If you look at the United Kingdom this week, I know that the French weren't looking at the United Kingdom this week, they were looking at France because of what I just said. Well, if you look at the United Kingdom, it's pretty much the same thing. So this time in London, it's not Prime Minister Starmer who's gone, but practically his entire entourage. He's had to fire a lot of ministers to try to save his skin. His skin is hanging on by a thread that could snap. In a way, we're extremely surprised by the synchronicity between French and British political life. It feels like if you were a conspiracy theorist. Fortunately, I'm not. You're on an extremely well maintained channel and you might have thought that they were taking orders from more or less the same place. In any case, they, they're pretty much following the same roadmap. I'll tell you what to watch out for, because there's something huge going on. France is a country that's heavily indebted. It's been in deficit for over 50 years. Only 51 years, year after year. So the debt is piling up. There's a risk of the rating being downgraded. That means debt servicing is going to increase. And so we're literally in a situation of bankruptcy. You know, it's like someone who's over indebted and taking out new consumer loans just to pay the interest on their previous debts. You see, once you get into this spiral, well, honestly, there are no miracles. Mathematically, you are guaranteed, mathematically you are going to hit a wall. So at some point what is going to happen is the destruction of the French system. Let me explain. You look at the United Kingdom. Since Thatcher, there has been a kind of logic that we do not have public services. There has never been a mentality or logic of public services in the United Kingdom, unlike France. France is a country that has had a strong awareness of public service since 1945. So in the United Kingdom, as I was saying, they were in a neo Victorian logic, we are not going to collect a lot of taxes because in any case, we do not give you anything, we do not give you any public services, we do not provide anything. And you get by, you manage with your own money and you do what you want. That was kind of the logic. The United Kingdom, which is a hugely indebted country, is borrowing at nearly 6% on 30 year roofs at 6%, which is guaranteed bankruptcy. I mean, well, they can still hold out for a few months, but it's over. It's over. So what's going to happen? They're focusing on using the only lever they have left, which is to increase taxes. So they're moving towards French style taxes. And practically every day, sometimes even twice a day, we hear about a new tax, okay, which puts the population at risk. Because you realize that you're in a country where there are no public services and you're actually paying taxes to the private sector. Because you have to pay for everything in the private sector. Nurseries, doctors, schools, all that, you pay for it in the private sector. But now, not only are we not going to provide you with these services, but we're taking away the money that would have previously allowed you to pay for it in the private sector. Let's just give you an idea of the comparison between the United Kingdom and France, just so that I know that many French people rightly criticize their system because of its deterioration. I'll just give you an example. In France, you have private schools. I did a poll on Twitter. There are people who pay tens of euros per month for a private school. Why? Because it's state funded. Because the state pays the teachers in private schools. Why? It makes sense. Because the children who are there are not in the public sector. So they're going to take the burden off the public sector. So it's normal for the state to contribute to their education. Right? Well, imagine that in the United Kingdom, not only does the state not pay the teachers in private schools, but it also imposes 20% VAT on school fees, which is pushing a lot of parents to withdraw their children. Okay, so what am I telling you? The United Kingdom, let's Compare it to France, the United Kingdom, zero public services, low taxes. Their only lever of intervention for an indebted country on the verge of ruin was to significantly increase taxation. Okay, we're in France now. Let's move on to France. In France, taxes are very high. Raising taxes in France really doesn't make much sense anymore. Of course they can say, okay, rich people, we're going to give the rich a pension. We're not in the 1700s anymore. In the past, that meant the rich were stuck. They had their land, their fields, their cattle, their castle. I mean, if you want to increase taxes, they have nowhere to go. They have to pay you. You see, if this year they gave you 10 cows, next year you say, give me 15, they have no choice, they have to give them to you. That era is over. Today, two or three phone calls, funds are transferred, wealth moves. Wealth has never been so mobile. Globalization has never been so mobile, has never been so welcome, so welcome in so many places in the world today. Rich individuals, entire rich families, all they have to do is take their toothbrush and everything else. There are companies that take care of it. Okay, so raising taxes in France seems completely realistic to me. Remember, there is something called the business curve. Too much tax, you tax it. And that is exactly what the British have received and that is why they are going bankrupt. There comes a time when you increase taxes, but tax revenues fall. Why? Because quite simply, at some point people say to themselves, I don't work. Investors say, I, I don't invest. People change their behavior because there are so many taxes that there are a lot of investments that won't happen. A lot of companies that wanted to move to your country won't do it. People will be laid off and then people will leave the country. And in the end, what do you get? You end up taxing more an economy that is contracting. So in the end you earn less money and your tax burden contracts your economy and pushes you further and further towards ruin. So debt and economic contraction, tax explosion. This is really the recipe for transforming a country into Somalia. That's exactly what the United Kingdom is going through. It really is a future fail state. Right? It's to that point, it's literally a country that is on the verge of final ruin. Now in France, once again, the tax leverage is almost non existent. They can always try to increase taxes a little, but. But that won't go any further. What's the other lever? If you've watched this video up to this point, you know what the other lever is? The other lever is destroying public services. Destroying public services to align them with the United Kingdom, putting them exactly where the United Kingdom is. That literally means non existent public services. Okay, Destroying them. And so there's room for improvement there. It works because despite the fact that the French are complaining about hospital care, they monstrous waiting times and all that, neighborhoods that are starting to go a little bit crazy. Sorry, that's the machine. That's the machine that's just ended up being vicious. Wait until I make a video about that. And in fact, I was saying that. Well, that's what we are today. So what is going to happen in France is the total destruction of public services. This destruction is necessary because quite simply, I say not necessary in the sense that it is mandatory and morally right. I say that France has ruminated, once it has ruined itself, it cannot have the same public services that it had before. So necessary in the physical sense, in the mathematical sense of the term, in the sense that they will collapse. That's a bit of the idea. And the risk is also moving towards a takeover by perhaps the imf, perhaps by the European Central bank, since France is in the European Union. Well, it has already been licensed by its membership of the European Union because you end up with, pss, a system of communicating vessels. We can talk about that another time. There is a system of communicating vessels so that when you create a union of rich and poor countries, well, inevitably the poor countries will get richer. But how will they get richer? They will get richer at the expense of the richest countries. So we will end up one day with France, where the Parisian plumber will go to Poland to work. Right. That is a bit of the risk that is now emerging. So the French voted for Macron once, voted for Macron a second time, 10 for Macron. I am not even sure that we can get out a 10 years of Macron. I'm not even sure even in 100 years we'll feel the impact of these 10 years. Provided that in 2027, of course, this country starts over, starts from scratch. Starts over for once in its history, for once in recent history, with people who have love for their country in their hearts. If it keeps voting for the same globalists, pro Europeans and all that, well, it'll end up in the trash like other countries have ended up in the trash. I mean, there's no miracle, there's nothing written like that somewhere in the sky that you can manage this or that country however you want. You can waste. You can let corruption, crime and all that go. Take part in wars, destroy industries, relocate everything and you'll still be a rich country. That's not how it is. It's not written that there are countries that will be rich no matter what they do, and others for no matter what they do. No, we live in a world that is extremely mobile, extremely flexible, and, well, all countries experience ups and downs. Except that. What's terrible is that what's happening in France isn't just a low point. Ah, that comes from fatherhood, but it's a planned destruction. In any case, we'll follow the news together in the coming days and that's it. I hope we'll have something positive, but for now, there are people who say, yeah, it's not positive. I'd like to find some positive news. If you know of any, drop it in the comments. I'd really appreciate it. Quote.