Europe : Brexit ou pas ?

Hello, my friends. So from England, where I used to be. Something extraordinary is happening today that is making all the French people fantasize. The English have the opportunity to vote in a referendum on whether they want to remain in the European Union or leave it. This comes at the end of extremely heated debates that have been going on for years. You know, debates on sovereignty, the economy, immigration, terrorism, security, corruption, and many other things. Many elements in England. We've just had enough of these faceless civil servants who are somewhere in Brussels and who decide what kind of lamp you can use, what kind of vacuum cleaner you can use. And if we let them go like that, they'll end up deciding what time you have to go to the toilet. Do you understand? It's true that this has really pissed off a lot of people. Now there is a referendum that has been put on the table. My feed tells me that the English are going to use this referendum to just send a seed of hope towards the European Union. Just to say, look, we are ready to vote on whether we should stay with you or not. When in reality, I think they are going to vote to stay. I think they are going to vote to stay. They are just going to want to scare the European Union. Personally, what I think about this story is that whether you are pro or anti European Union, you have to vote to leave. The reason is that in any case, it will collapse on its own. In any case, it is a world that is collapsing under its own weight. So if you leave now, you leave on your own terms, under your own conditions, you leave in a controlled way, you control the exit, you stay in a different way, and then, well, you wait, and it will end up collapsing under its own weight. You know, it reminds me of the joke about Ruiz asking a guy to jump off the table, for those who know it. So, I mean, it's going to fall off by itself anyway. So there's no point in insisting. The fact remains that the debate is extremely polarized. When I look at the English people I talk to, I see that the debate is extremely polarized between the old and the young. That means the old are more in favor of leaving the European Union because they've experienced something different. They've experienced. They remember an England that was different. The young are very aggressive about staying in the European Union. They feel that their country can't exist as anything other than a province of the European Union. And I even heard one tell me that he was against the idea of a referendum because he told me that people. I don't think the people are mature enough to vote for such things. That means that ideally, these things should be decided by civil servants, by technocrats somewhere. And. And that's it. They decide for us. They know better. They know our interests better than we do. Okay? That's it. It's true that I told them, having been born and raised in Africa, it's true that I can recognize a Soviet system when I see it. So sincerely, I hope they'll vote to leave. That said, my personal indicators tell me that they'll vote to stay in the European Union. That said, I'll tell you later what these personal indicators are. Indicators that rarely change. But I'm telling you what made me lose my temper. Ah, let me show you something. But regardless of whether they stay or leave, there's something extraordinary that would never have happened in France. I'd like to show you. I'll show you two newspapers, two major dailies, daily newspapers with large circulations. I'll show you this one, the first one. What does he say? He says, don't take a leap into the unknown. Don't take a leap into the unknown. Vote to remain in order to stay in the European Union. Quote. So this newspaper is clearly calling for a vote to remain in the European Union, because for it to leave would be to go into the unknown. We don't know what the future holds for us. If all of a sudden we have to control our own affairs. If all of a sudden we don't have our lords in Brussels voting for us, deciding for us, thinking for us. That's a position. It's something to be respected. Another newspaper with a very large circulation. Your country needs you. Vote to leave today. Okay? So we have literally two newspapers announcing two different opinions. And that's unheard of in France. In France, on an issue of this magnitude, there would be total unanimity in the press, which would have published everything the Socialist Party thinks, okay? And I find that absolutely terrible, because here I think it's a lesson in plurality of opinion, a lesson in democracy where journalists defend diametrically opposed positions with their pens, okay? Because. Well, in France, we know anyway. I mean, in France, the press lives off subsidies, okay? It lives off subsidies. The state gives them money. So listen, does it sell people out in general? There's a rule. There's an important rule. People work for those who pay them. And if they receive two payments, okay, they'll work for whoever pays the most. It's like if, for example, you had a member of parliament who received from you, the taxpayer, I don't know, €10,000 per month, okay? And then if he received €100,000 per month from a Gulf country, it's clear that he's going to serve the Gulf country, okay? It's like the newspaper. If he gets €1 from you as an actor and he gets millions from the state, it's clear that he's going to serve the state. And the state that finances the state that subsidizes is generally the left wing state. So there you have it, uh, there you have it, my friends. So we'll see. But in my opinion, in my opinion, if he votes for, if he votes to stay, I think he thinks that what they're going to do. I think that, yeah, I think, I'm saying that if you like, it will be the last chance. It will be the last chance. Because what's happening is that demographically we're moving towards a youth that hasn't known anything else and that will be increasingly sensitive to the notion of a world without borders, to the notion of the state becoming a province, to the notion that sovereignty has no value. It's even a bit annoying, and so on. So it's true that demographically, if the referendum doesn't pass today to leave, I don't think there's any point in campaigning for a future referendum because in five or 10 or 20 years, the results will be even worse. We just have to wait. It will collapse on its own and then we'll see. In any case, the English, despite their disgust with Europe, are not completely in Europe because they have kept their own currency with the queen on it. Right. I have a. I don't have a penny. You see, I'm writing this. What's terrible is it's absolutely. That it's terrible. Do you see what I mean? As a blogger, I write, I write extremely heated articles about cashless money and that the New World Order is bringing us back to a society where you will be forced to spend electronically and then they will know what you have spent at the moment you are going to spend. They will be able to track you and so on and so forth and who want to ban cash and I don't know what else from the articles that I have posted everywhere and final. I am the first to. The first not to use cash here. I. Look, I have what. I have three. Yeah, I have three cards and not a single bill and not a single coin. I assure you, not a single coin. Nothing and not a single bill. Okay. Empty. There you go. There you go the blogger. There you go the blogger who talks about the Cashless society. Okay, there you go by New World Order, stuff like that and all that. You search, you take the wallet, you look, and the first one to use uses bank cards. Yeah. As they say, advisors are not payers. You have to be careful. You have to be careful of bloggers and people who write stuff and all that. Sometimes it's like there was a guy named Celent, I think he talked about their papers. Their papers, their papers. Like it was a scam and all that. And it was okay, I think. And then one day there was. I don't know what, he spit on their papers and all that he suffered. I think he lost half his fortune. You say, but dude, what is this? It's, it's, it's. Do what I say, don't do what I do. Do you understand? This kind of position is very, very questionable morally, I think even if I just got caught hand in hand in the, how to say, hand in the garden. But hey, let's be fair. It's not because I'm the one who's going to do it that I'm going to do it. Huh? Okay. There you go, my friends. Oh, yes. The thing that makes me think that they're going to stay in the European Union. It's very simple. Actually, I'm telling you this because I don't think so. It's that I look at the Paris websites, you know, Paris online, it's an institution here. There's a great Parisian culture. People do anything. And I went to look on the websites and then the fact of leaving the European Union and giving a six to one, that means if you bet, they'll give you six times your stake. Why? Because most of the money is going to the other side. Going to the fact that people stay. Okay. That the European Union, that England stays in the European Union. Okay. It's very easy to follow opinion with that because on the table there's a lot. On just one site that, where I checked, there was £60 million that were bed. £60 million, we're talking about £80 million roughly that were bet just on this question. Is England going to leave or is England going to stay in the European Union? Yes. No, almost 80 million euros were bet. And when you look at this, 80 million euros, when you look at the odds, you'll see that the overwhelming majority, okay, the overwhelming majority we're talking about, uh, practically out of every €10 that was wagered, seven or six were wagered on England staying in the European Union. And so these people who wager in this way, they Know what they're doing. It means they're going to wager, but at the same time, they're going to vote exactly as they're going to wager. So that gives you an idea. It's different from coffee shop politics. Why? Because the councillors aren't the ones paying. Again, the guy at the coffee shop or whatever, he can say, oh, no, going to vote because I'm fed up with the European Union, I'm going to vote to leave and so on. But it's possible that he just wants to yell at the European Union, but when he goes to vote, he's going to vote to stay. So there will always be a possible discrepancy between the polls between what people say and the reality of what they are going to vote for. But when you look at the bets here, you will rarely see a guy putting €1,000 on the fact that England will remain in the European Union. When he goes to vote, he will vote to leave. No, hear the guy, he will vote exactly as he bet. Okay? So often, hear the press and others use these betting lines, especially when they are huge and there is a lot of money involved. The more money there is, the more credible the betting line becomes. Uh, they use them a bit like forecasts for votes, for events and so on to know where the public is going. So it is on this basis, but, well, we can be wrong. We have seen some fairly constrained horses win too. You know, it is not. I mean, well, it is what the market thinks and it has rarely been wrong in recent years, but it can still go wrong. That's it. Okay, my friends, I'll leave you. I hope everything is fine. This is my first video of the summer that I'm making in almost wintery weather. It's not very cold, but the weather is a little bit rainy. Okay, I'll leave you and then I'll see you in a few days.