Golfe, Qatar : les missiles iraniens arrivent

My friends, good evening. Really bad weather on the golf course tonight. There's shooting. Missiles are being fired, so. Well, the analemy has just started, huh? We don't know how it's going to end. In any case, you know that I'm just looking for a quiet place, okay, in my life. You've noticed. I. I'm just looking for peace and quiet. I just want a nice place where nothing special is happening, okay? And then, well, here I am, right in the middle of a 100-year-old war memorial. Uh, the supreme Leader of the Iranian revolution, Ayat HAMANI, well, he's 86 years old and he seems really upset. There you go. Basically, before all this started, I didn't want us to have any trouble with this clown. I just wanted us to leave them in their corner and then they'd forget about us. That's it. Unfortunately, that's not how it happened. So on June 12, just to recap a bit of history, on June 12, there was an Israeli bombing of Iran. It was actually a bombing to provoke the United States into war. Because they know that in any case, with Trump as president, it's now or never if they want to get rid of Iran. So of course, they can't attack Iran to destroy it, but they know that Trump will do the job for them. So what did Trump do? He fell into the trap. I mean, today I'm looking online and everything without losing a lot of his base because he arrived saying, I'm the President of peace Stability. I don't know what. Well, if we look at the grand scheme of things, we have to see things in a general and a specific way. For example, when someone gets diabetes, they get diabetes. It's a well known disease, right? If he catches it in general, he also catches it in particular. The thing is, if we look at American presidents, they all need a war. Of course, we can go into the specific details of this one, we can talk about it, but the reality is that Trump is a normal president today. There was one exception during his first presidency, when there was no war. But the fact is that it's still a very classic system. If you look at January 17, 1961, when President E Nor left the presidency, he was finishing up. Kennedy was going to replace him three days later, and he made an address to the nation. It's still on the American Archives website. So if you look up Enor's speech, the last one, the one from God before he left, you'll see that verbatim. Verbatim, he mentions the military or industrial Complex, saying that it has taken on huge proportions in the country and that it's something that we'll have to be wary of in the future and that we must keep it under control, obviously. Well, it hasn't been kept under control. Here's the result. So I imagine that the countries, the Gulf countries, are now extremely upset with the Trump administration because they gave him a lot of money and all that, but he wanted to play for stability. And what he did was, well, he bombed illegally, in reality, because he didn't even ask for Congress's authorization. Now, you're going to tell me that Congress is sitting on it. Right. Truman, when he declared the Korean War, which was far more deadly, he didn't ask anyone for permission. Okay, that's a classic. It means that people arrive at the White House and then, well, they're going to serve. They're not always going to serve the American people. So that's where we are today. This is just a little historical aside and all, but the situation today is that several countries have closed their airspace. I've heard Qatar, that's for sure. Bahrain, all that. There are images of missiles flying over Qatar. And there are also lights that we see. They're not missiles. You'll see them on Twitter and elsewhere. They're countermeasures. They're interceptor missiles that are advanced from the ground. So it's saturating the sky a little with its lights and its trails. It's not necessarily missiles that are coming from Iran. It's more like responses to that. So we'll see what happens during the night. In any case, as I was telling you, Kamalai is 86 years old. He has nothing to lose. So at that point, the risk is that we'll see a conflagration. That's the optimistic scenario. I was going to say, you see, I'm starting to see the green is half full, half empty. So, no, that's not really the story. The story is that we're perhaps going to move towards a situation of symbolic bombing. What does that mean? It means that if you look at Trump, he didn't bomb Iran. In reality, he. He didn't hit Iran. He hit an empty lot. He hit the bases that had been empty for a very long time. Right. There was a wedding yesterday. There was a wedding in France. There were shots fired. This wedding was held. The bride was killed. By the way, it caused more deaths than Trump's bombing of Iran. So in reality, we are talking about a symbolic response. It means that Trump is somehow torn. He is stuck between the two. He is stuck between a wing that is at war, and every American president is surrounded by wings that are at war. And we hear the same speeches. We have seen them in Afghanistan, Iraq, we have seen Libya. We have seen many. Right. And so he has to satisfy that. But at the same time, there are his campaign promises, there is his character, there is the maga, there is the priority on the United States, all that. So somewhere where we have the impression that the old Trump tried to split the difference, he wanted to please everyone. That means, on the one hand, he wanted to please the conservatives around him. So he said to himself, okay, you want a war? I'm going to provoke a war. So Iran was symbolically bombed, pulled out of the ordinance, as they say, in the wasteland. Right. And then, yes, that's great, that's good. Now I'm ready for peace. It's a way of saying, that's good war. Well, that's it. We can stop there. The problem is that when faced with him. Well, there are people who are extremely angry today, as I was saying, which means that they're going to repost. Well, I hope that in their reposts, they'll also be symbolic and then it'll stop. Well, now, if they really want things to heat up, well, things will heat up. There is also a risk. Yesterday there was a false alarm because yesterday, while monitoring maritime traffic, we thought that Iran was going to close the D3 of Ormuz. It is a D3 that closes the Persian Gulf. And in this Persian Gulf, well, there is only one exit. It is the D3 of Ormuz. You can't get out through the taps, you know, so I'm going to remove that in the editing. So I, I was saying, I was saying that if they close it, well, there won't be any. Well, the boats, the ships, the tankers in particular will not be able to get stuck at the level of Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, a good part of the Emirates, a good part of Iran itself. So, yes. So it could be quite difficult, huh, for the traffic of crude oil. The problem is that if you look at Europe, hey, because I don't really have a dog in this fight. But if you look at Europe, that's where the big hit is going to happen. Because what's going to happen is that if there's ever trouble here in the region, particularly in Iran, Iraq, all that, what's going to happen is that we risk seeing unrest in Europe in the sense that we risk having waves of migrants landing in Europe, we risk seeing fuel at €5 per liter in Europe. And when you have economies that are exang proxy all that, you add to that, you add to that this war story with Iran and the worsening. I mean, we risk reaching our climate goals quite quickly. We might even be able to exceed them. There you go. In any case, my friends, I'm going to come back to the balcony to see if I can see some missiles. Well, I hope I won't see any, but hey, sure, never. And I'll make another video when I can.