L’Equation Macron : pourquoi il ira jusqu’au bout ?

A first-person, informal video commentary arguing that Emmanuel Macron will publicly project confidence (refusing to say he will resign) because legislative elections could be reframed as a referendum on him; the speaker suggests Macron may seek a longer-term European leadership role if he preserves his reputation and helps block the far right. The video also claims that France has lost sovereignty to the EU, that major policy differences between Macron and the National Rally are limited by EU constraints, and places contemporary risks in a longer history of European instability and war. The tone is skeptical, reflective, and sometimes polemical.
Good evening, my friends. I feel like an abandoned blogger. I was humming this in the shower. In fact, a lot of friends wrote to me and sent me screenshots of an article in defigaro that said Macron had announced he would never resign, that he was set to win, and that he would not resign. So, in the opinion of some, that would make it obsolete. Right. My last video. I'm going to cry. Okay, I'm going to have a good cry. I'm going to have a good cry. Okay? I'm going to spill my guts, as they say. Well, there's that. Maybe I made a mistake, or maybe there's another calculation behind it. Because if we put ourselves in Macron's shoes. Let's put ourselves in his shoes. We must always put ourselves in the opponent's shoes. What will he tell you? He's going to tell you, yes, if I lose the election, I'm going to resign. I'm going to leave. I'm going to take responsibility. And not. Because if he does that, just imagine he's going to divert the election from its primary goal. These are legislative elections. Now, if he says what I've just described, what's he going to turn them into? He's going to turn them into a pro or anti Macron referendum. There are a lot of people who will say, anyway, I don't care about the equation, I don't care who's who, but if I speak out against him, he'll leave. Oh, well, let him leave. You know what I mean? That's it. So it's normal. It's normal at this stage of the process for him to say, yes, I'm here to win, but that's normal. He's not going to say. He's not going to start. He's not going to start talking about failure. So he's going to talk. He's going to project himself into a situation that's positive for him. He's going to say, I'm going to win. I'm not here just to try, I'm here to win. It's a meeting with history and all that. It's normal, but we know that at the same time, we know it's reversals. So it wouldn't surprise anyone if the day after the legislative elections, they said to themselves, uh, guys, I've thought about it. And then, well, that's it. I'll stop. Put yourself in the character's head again. What is the crisis he's going through? He's doing his second term. How long does he have Left in his second term. The next elections will probably be presidential, probably in April 2027. That means he has less than three years left in the Elysee. He's currently doing two years and a bit. And each day that passes brings him closer to the fateful date when he will have to pack up and leave. He knows that. So he is not here to want to cling to power at all costs in order to accept the humiliation of cohabiting with the National Rally, and then just to extend his term by two years or so. That would not interest him. Why? First of all, we have to look at where he comes from. We also have to look at his profile when he spoke for the first time. When he spoke for the first time, he mentioned comparing the French elections to what happened during the D Day landings. He compared the D day landings of June 6, 1944, which were celebrated recently. He mentioned that when he spoke about the election results. So we can see the angle he is taking when he said, I am going to win, I am not going to resign. Where was he? He returned. I. I will give you 1000 on Glenn. Anyone who has studied the history of World War II knows what happened at Adore Sir Glau. I won't tell you. I don't want to spoil the atmosphere, but you get the idea. So Macron's situation today is that he says to himself, I'll give it a go anyway. I'm going to win if it goes badly this time. I want to go down in history as the hero of France, the one who doesn't compromise on hatred, on extremes, on the rejection of others, on everything, you know? And at that point, bam. At that point he resigns. Another thing on the calendar this year. Funder Darlaen. Funder Darlayen, you see the girl with the text message. Funderland became head of the European Union on December 1, 2019. How long do the terms of office of this president of the European Union last? It lasts five years. So his term ends on December 1, 2024. In the months leading up to the expiration of his term or the end of his term, the European Union will work to either renew him, there is no term limit for this position. Or maybe with all the skeletons in the closet that she got rid of, she. She replaced him with someone else. These conversations will take place in July, they will take place in August. All that. It will have to be settled by November in order to know who will replace Thunder Lyon on December 1, 2024. Or if we keep her, we keep her. And there you have it. There are interesting options, because Macron is young. Macron is a convinced European, a federalist. The guy, he can. He. He can rise to the head of the European Union and spend 20, 20 years at its head. He is still young. And that is really the role in which he would feel better. For him, being the president of this province or the governor of this province that we call France, is a country of scum. For him, it is just a springboard, a gateway to access real higher functions. Do you see the thing? So he will be able to restore his good name, his reputation. It's not that he needs to polish it up. I mean, he's already very polished in the environment he frequents, but he'll be put on a pedestal. I was saying, if he manages to derail the rise of what's called the far right in France, and that's the best thing he can do, to shine and to become someone who the international system, the globalist system can really give him extremely high credit for. There you have it. That's the idea that will allow him to continue his career. Now, another thing, this election thing for me is. How should I put it? It's not that nothing is really going to change. It's not a major issue. I don't see any historic issue. Why? Because the National Rally is aligned with Macron on the most important issues. What is threatening France today? France has its sovereignty dissolved in the European Union. The Union. European Union. Do you leave it or do you obey it? There's no real choice. You can always obey by dragging your feet, like Orban does, but you obey in principle. The National Rally is a European pro party. So someone wrote to me earlier saying, yes, great, they're going to implement national preference. No, they will not implement national preference because it goes against European laws, because it will be open to challenge before the European courts. So as long as France recognizes its laws, recognizes its institutions, and this justice, it will not have its freedom of action. The same goes for border control, the same for immigration, the same for all these issues that are imposed from Brussels. So Front national or Macron or someone else on these issues, it's the same. The other threat is the threat of war in Europe. It's the threat of war. It's the specter of a world war. You have to know that Europe is an extreme continent. I'm not taking it from you. It's an extremely unstable continent. If you look at the past, we had what is called the First World War. So just to tell you the first and second World wars mean, let's be clear, it's in the sense of the first and Second World wars of the last century, of the 20th century, because in the centuries before that, there were also world wars. Just look at the War of the Spanish Succession, for example. I think we are towards the beginning. Don't quote me on that. We are towards the beginning of 1700, it was already a world war. All Europeans were involved, practically. The English, the Spanish, the French, the Austrians, the American colonies, everyone was in it. Then there were other wars which each time were said to be a world war. So Europe is an extremely unstable continent. That means it is a powder keg. In other words, unlike countries like Afghanistan or South Sudan or others, which are, let's say, constantly, in a latent war, a low intensity war with sometimes an increase in intensity, the European Union seems to be going through, or Europe seems to be going through phases of calm. It seems like few the demons, the nightmares of the past are perhaps completely behind us and will never return. And then suddenly we. We relive the events in butcher shops. So it's very intense, right? It creates spikes like that on the timeline of history. And then we catch up a little bit. So we have peace. We're between the end of the First World War and 1918. And that's how it is. We let ourselves slide until 39 and bam, we start again. Tens of millions more dead each time. Each time. So Europe is very unstable. What threatens Europe today is this history. Ukraine, Russia, NATO, you know, the same alliance systems that caused the First World War, The First World War that happened because of a bourgeois who got shot in Sarajevo. To tell you the truth, your grandparents died for it. And most people on the street, when you do a street interview, they can't even say his name. I mean, a guy gets shot, it's sad, right? I mean, maybe his family members are listening. It's sad. But there was no reason to add to the tens of thousands of deaths. Well, that's what we did anyway. World War II, we don't even know why it started. So if you want. In relation to the rally, if we compare the National Rally to Macron, they are aligned with the same vision. On the one hand, they are aligned with the same Atlanticist vision. So whether you're Macron or the National Rally, there will be a policy that is Atlanticist Europeanist, with everything that we know about it. And maybe if the National Rally is in power, uh, there might be an illegal maid living in the 93 who will be deported. There you have it. Basically, we're doing this to. That's it. That's the difference. What I see today. I'm just looking at it a little bit, you know, if you're under 20, you shouldn't watch this video. I wasn't like that when I was 20. I was much more naive, more candid. But anyway, I'm sorry to be so direct, but when I look at all these people parading on the sets today, all these politicians, I still feel like I'm watching a parade of shells, you know, because we're the same thing, you know, in the United Kingdom, by chance, unless they're taking orders from the same shop. By chance, we've also had a total dissolution, you know, we're in the same boat. We're in the same boat and every day we have these shells in the newspapers offering us. There's one who says he wants to fight against Whisme. There's another who wants to cut taxes. There's another. There's someone who wants to give more money to hospitals. There's someone who wants to block the borders. In short, everyone parades with the proposal that they think will hit the mark. All these proposals, all these stories that are told during the traditional Coke parade have absolutely no value. Don't think that they're promises. It's a parade. It's like if you look, you go to French or German villages or other places, you'll see that sometimes on certain days of the year, they organize a kind of carnival. There's a carnival, people wear masks, there are torches, all that. I've seen it myself. And when you ask people, well, a lot of people don't even remember where it comes from, you know, but it tells stories. So we have to dig deeper. We have to dig deeper. There was probably an event that created this at 10 anons. So what we see today in election campaigns, it's the same thing. It's just a carnival. It's the people who do the carnival with torches and who tell stories, who tell ideas, who tell stuff. Don't think for a second that he's committing to anything towards you. He's just telling you that, that's all. And then once they're elected, well, they'll go back to their business as before. What's going to happen? The reality today, since France is a country that has lost its sovereignty, I tell you, I'm sorry to go back to basics. Since it's a country that has lost its sovereignty, it's following an agenda. The agenda is the same, no matter who serves it. It's like when you go into a cheese shop to buy cheese. I mean, you can be served by the nice girl over there at the back. Maybe she's busy with a customer. So a young guy will come over there. Good morning, madam, sir. What can I get you? But basically, Basically, what are you going to leave with? Cheese. So you're going to leave with cheese, no matter who serves it to you. You're not going to leave with meat, you're not going to leave with fish, or with a spare part for your car. It's the same in politics today. It means there's an agenda in place that's scrolling like an airport conveyor belt bringing in suitcases of all colors. But they don't arrive by chance. Placed by people. That's another part of the story. And so there you have it. There are different faces that come to serve the agenda. That's all. There you have it. I'm sorry to be so. I don't know. I don't know. I feel like I'm a bit of a garlic sausage tonight. That's what I'm trying to say. I want to find something positive in all this, but. But I see a circus, I see a carnival. Well, years ago I might have reacted differently. But hey, years ago we were all different. I mean, me too, right? We were all different years ago, right? That's normal, right? That's it. It's not the passing of time, right? If we were the same today as we were years ago, well, we would be in a negation of time, right? I mean, okay, it's serious anyway, right? So there you have it. That that's why we're not the same. Personally, I'm not the same. Well, the national rally isn't the same either, right? Mind you, you look at my father's time and all that. That was a different story. Okay, there you have it. Anyway, I'm in the parking lot of a mental institution that I practically use as an. Oh, that'll cover it all. People, they're going to say, yes, these videos are made in the parking lot of a mental institution. Yeah, I'm going to build myself a studio for Estherone. I don't know. Maybe not. I don't know. I think things are often without opposites. Anyway, my friends, I'll leave you. Or I'll leave you. I'll leave you. I'm going to allow myself a little publicity stunt. People have already left here. A publicity stunt? There's no one left. A publicity stunt for my book. For my book, which is about the great reset and the fight between Trump and the American deep state. And in terms of agenda, it tells you quite a lot. Okay, thank you, my friends, for listening so far, and I'll see you in another video. As the saying goes, See you soon.
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